iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Miles Moore

Catalina I. Fernández, PhD (she/her) @catferna.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

New in the saga of our causal model of human growth 🚼🧬📈at AJBA: can we reconstruct growth trajectories when kids’ ages are uncertain & all we have is cross-sectional data? Turns out, YES! 🎉 Accurate estimates, with exciting (?!) implications for bioarchaeology and beyond. doi.org/10.1002/ajpa.70358

doi.org

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👻👹 boo-rit 👹👻 @britculpsapp.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

listen man, if the constitution doesn’t guarantee me access to clean water, i don’t get how it’s gonna guarantee you the right to use your robot to make those kids naked

Reuters

Musk's xAl asks court to block Minnesota Al 'nudification' law
during appeal
By Mike Scarcella
September 14, 2026 7:43 AM PDT • Updated 41 mins ago

WASHINGTON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Elon Musk's xAl has asked a federal appeals court to block enforcement of a Minnesota law regulating Al-generated "nudified" images, arguing that the state's first-in-the-nation measure is unconstitutional and that the company's
lawsuit challenging it should be permitted to move forward.

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Maximilian Scholz @scholzmx.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

ry 0.9 is out! My attempt at an R counterpart to ty now has extensions for VS Code and Positron with diagnostics as you type and optional type hints. Zed support is submitted for gallery review. #rstats github.com/sims1253/ry/...

Zed showing R code that assigns a string to x, then adds 1L. ry displays the inferred character type and flags the arithmetic with diagnostic RY040

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c0nc0rdance @c0nc0rdance.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

This tiny crab captured by Pedro Valencia of Blackwater Cozumel has me learning about crab life-cycles. Prepare for some vocabulary (& errors)! This is a swimming stage called a 'megalopa'. The furious tail structures moving a mile a minute are 'pleopods' or swimmerets. (📷: pedrovalenciam on IG)

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Eric Orchard @inkybat.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Mermaid soldiers. My story starts with these guys rescuing a cat.

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Emily Moin @emilymoin.com · 28/08/2026

I'm not a cardiologist nor an amyloid specialist. Luckily, you don't have to be to critically evaluate this paper out today in JAMA Cardiology and featured in JAMA+. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

jamanetwork.com

Machine Learning–Driven Risk Prediction Model in Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy

This cohort study develops and validates a machine learning–based prediction model for patients with transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CM).

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Saoirse Kelleher @saoirsekelleher.eco · 13/08/2026

This one is an instant classic but I also just remember it for being a surprisingly hilarious read for a statistics paper. More room for being funny in papers please

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

After (mostly) recovering from the scars of drafting the conditional probability theory chapter a few years ago, I'm back in the probability theory game with my next chapter covering probability theory applied on product spaces.

patreon.com

New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter | Michael Betancourt

New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter by Michael Betancourt on Patreon. Join Michael Betancourt's community for exclusive content and updates.

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Peter Innes @peterinnes1.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Kudos to Forbes for covering this topic—I was interviewed and got to highlight recent work from our group led by Eliza Clark! www.forbes.com/sites/derekn...

forbes.com

The Next Green Revolution: Climate-Resilient Crops

American farmers face increasing climate volatility. Scientists are developing diverse solutions, integrating genetics, breeding, and engineering to adapt crops.

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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

For examples of the priorsense package in use, see e.g. chapter 17 case study ("sleep study") from the Bayesian Workflow website: avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor...

figure 10 from the linked page, showing prior sensitivity checks for three parameters

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

Friendly reminder that everyone is welcome to join the probabilistic modeling Discord server to discuss all things probabilistic modeling, www.patreon.com/betanalpha/p....

patreon.com

Generative Modeling Discord Server | Michael Betancourt

[Despite my best efforts the invite link can sometimes expire. If you find that the link is no longer working then try clearing your cookie

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Brian J. Enquist @bjenquist.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

Height does not impair the hydraulic system of the tallest tropical Dipterocarp trees www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... - good to see our #MetabolicScalingTheory predictions we made for scaling of hydraulic resistance and xylem anatomy hold up in some of the tallest trees #allometry #megabiota 🧪🌾🌐

science.org

Height does not impair the hydraulic system of the tallest tropical Dipterocarp trees

Half of the aboveground biomass in forests is stored in a disproportionately small number of very tall trees. These giants are predicted to be more vulnerable to drought-induced damage because height ...

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Timnit Gebru @timnitgebru.blacksky.app · 26/07/2026

Now is a good reminder that machine learning is a rebranding of statistical learning. Reinforcement learning is something I first came across in control theory. Many ML formulations are from information theory, a much more theoretically grounded discipline that's been around for decades.

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Nicolas Fulghum @nicolasfulghum.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Solar produced a record 35.5% of Germany's electricity in June ☀️ That was more than all fossil fuels combined: Solar: 35.5% Fossil: 30.7% Other: 33.8% 10 years ago, solar reached a share of 11.6% in June, and has since tripled.

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Danny Kingsley @dannykay68.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

EXCELLENT: The Netherlands new OA policy seems to be well thought through obc.copim.pub/when-scaling... Policy explicitly recommends redirection & reallocation of funds from existing ‘big deal’ budgets towards community-driven alternatives, incl university-led diamond OA & Netherlands Uni Presses

obc.copim.pub

When 'scaling small' becomes national policy

The Netherlands' new open access strategy echoes the principles the Open Book Collective was built on - 'scaling small' and community-led publishing

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Manchester City @mancity.com · 05/07/2026

Take a bow, Erling

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Dare Obasanjo @carnage4life.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

The billionaire co-founder of AirBnB wants you to blame the babies of undocumented immigrants for starter homes being unaffordable.

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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 07/06/2026

🌊 An early-season marine heatwave is spreading across the Atlantic and Mediterranean. Some coastal waters near France and parts of the western Mediterranean are running more than 5°C above normal for this time of year. Summer hasn’t even started yet.

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Andrej Spiridonov @andrejpaleo.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

The concise history of modeling character evolution. Handy timeline. academic.oup.com/sysbio/advan... 🧪 #EvoBio #Paleobio

Timeline of select major events in the development of phylogenetic comparative methods, sorted by discrete trait models, continuous trait models, and tree models. We elaborate on some of these methods in the main text.

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Alexandra Witze @alexwitze.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

OK, so I was at the first court hearing over the NCAR lawsuit this morning in Denver. I, uh, am not a legal reporter so bear with me as I try to recap a few things. You can view all the court documents here: www.courtlistener.com/docket/72496...

courtlistener.com

University Corporation for Atmospheric Research v. National Science Foundation, 1:26-cv-01061 - CourtListener.com

Docket for University Corporation for Atmospheric Research v. National Science Foundation, 1:26-cv-01061 — Brought to you by Free Law Project, a non-profit dedicated to creating high quality open lega...

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Shimanti | Human Consequences @humanconsequences.com · 22/05/2026

Just wanted to let you know that the IRS has audited every president annually for decades now to ensure there was no corruption and the reason you didn't know that was because only one president found that to be a problem

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Reposted by Miles Moore

Francisco Rodriguez-Sanchez @frodsan.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

#StatsPubs No matter how many times you read it, this paper on hierarchical GAMs keeps giving. Clear model explanations together with R code (mgcv). So useful! doi.org/10.7717/peer... Thanks for writing @ericjpedersen.bsky.social, D. Miller, @gsimpson.bsky.social @noamross.net

In this paper, we discuss an extension to two popular approaches to modeling complex structures in ecological data: the generalized additive model (GAM) and the hierarchical model (HGLM). The hierarchical GAM (HGAM), allows modeling of nonlinear functional relationships between covariates and outcomes where the shape of the function itself varies between different grouping levels. We describe the theoretical connection between HGAMs, HGLMs, and GAMs, explain how to model different assumptions about the degree of intergroup variability in functional response, and show how HGAMs can be readily fitted using existing GAM software, the mgcv package in R. We also discuss computational and statistical issues with fitting these models, and demonstrate how to fit HGAMs on example data. All code and data used to generate this paper are available at: github.com/eric-pedersen/mixed-effect-gams.

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Francisco Rodriguez-Sanchez @frodsan.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

#ecopubs Transforming #mutualism from peripheral to a core pillar of ecological theory doi.org/10.22541/aut...

Foundational training in ecology is overwhelmingly focused on competition and predation, relegating mutualism to the periphery. This decades-long pedagogical bias restricts our theoretical frameworks to negative interactions, creating a deeply-rooted theory-empiricism disconnect in mutualism research. Lacking a dynamic theoretical framing, empiricists frequently collect data that cannot be integrated into population models, limiting our capacity to predict ecosystem responses to environmental change. To transform mutualism into a robust component of general ecology, this forum piece distills a recent theoretical synthesis into an accessible framework that generates testable predictions on par with antagonistic interactions. After tracing the historical recognition of positive interactions, I distill the core population dynamics of mutualism to reveal its universal signatures: stable coexistence driven by benefit saturation, and destabilizing thresholds at low and extremely high densities. I then outline a roadmap for testing these theoretical predictions empirically. Ultimately, integrating this framework into the foundational ecological canon will break the pervasive pedagogy-research cycle, establishing the iterative dialogue between models and data necessary to build a general theory of positive interactions.

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Miles Moore @milesalanmoore.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Excited to share my first first-author paper: "Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming" doi.org/10.1088/2752... We examine NDVI data from 1984 - present across the alpine tundra of the Southern Rocky Mountains!

doi.org

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.

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Miles Moore @milesalanmoore.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

doi.org

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.

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David Higgins, MD, MPH @drhigginsmd.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

A hantavirus outbreak is under investigation after cases linked to an expedition cruise ship. This situation is evolving fast, and so is the coverage. Some of it is helpful, some not. I helped put together a rapid evidence brief with The Evidence Collective. open.substack.com/pub/evidence...

open.substack.com

Got hantavirus questions?

Here's a guide to help you stay informed and talk about it

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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

Sunny and warm weather has arrived. Time for my spring wardrobe

Marcy from Adventure Time sitting dressed in all black, wearing sunglasses, with a parasol shading her

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

this wikipedia article has the incredible feature that each graph is more horrific than the last en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_f...

en.wikipedia.org

Gamma function - Wikipedia

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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Giving a short presentation later today to my institute's external advisory board. This slide summarizes the last 3 years of my department's efforts

picture of two firefighters trying to extinguish a very large dumpster fire with a small hose. text on dumpster: INFERENCE IN THE BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES. text on fire fighters: ME AND MY FRIENDS

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Joseph D. Ortiz @earthsciinfo.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

Artemis shows what can be accomplished. The future we should build is the one based on science and cooperation. Not division and violence. 🧪

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George Pearkes @peark.es · 07/04/2026

Gibberish closely related to war crimes

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will. However, now that we have Complete and Total Regime Change, where different, smarter, and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionarily wonderful can happen, WHO KNOWS? We will find out tonight, one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the World. 47 years of extortion, corruption, and death, will finally end. God Bless the Great People of Iran!

4

ReTruths

14

Likes
Apr 07, 2026, 8:06 AM

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Swapna Krishna @swapnakrishna.com · 07/04/2026

Earthset from Artemis II. I am overcome.

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Cornelius Schröder @coschroeder.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

This is a great opportunity to work at the intersection of ML and Biogeoscience! Based within the outstanding research community of Tübingen. Reach out if you are interested!

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Miles Moore @milesalanmoore.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

Doorstopper fantasy and sunshine this weekend

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Mark Histed @markhisted.org · 29/03/2026

The hardest part of science is posing the right question, not answering it.

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Miles Moore @milesalanmoore.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

The Niwot Ridge LTER on the Times! Great to see work my colleagues are doing up on “the Ridge” featured www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/c...

nytimes.com

How Do You Measure Snow From Space? First, Climb a Mountain.

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Blue Heron Farm @blueheronfarm.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

How your email finds me

Sparrow whose mouth is overflowing with seed bits

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Benjamin Rosenbaum @benrosenbaum.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

New postdoc opportunity in our lab!

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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

good morning everyone project your personal imposter syndrome onto this gif ur welcome

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

I'm too depressed to dunk on the constant stream of bad statistics takes on the site. If, however, you're looking to lurk through or engage in productive discussions on (narratively generative) probabilistic modeling then drop by the Discord server I set up, www.patreon.com/posts/genera....

patreon.com

Generative Modeling Discord Server | Michael Betancourt

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molly conger @socialistdogmom.bsky.social · 01/03/2026

world-altering decisions are being made by a cabal of gambling addicts hell bent on self enrichment no matter the cost to humanity, we should look into that.

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