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Martyn Plummer

@martynplummer.bsky.social
645 followers 202 following 110 posts

Statistics. Computing. Cancer Epidemiology. Public health.

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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
JAGS 5.0.0 is now available for macOS This is a guest post by Matt Denwood. After a longer-than-anticipated delay, the macOS installer for JAGS 5.0.0 is now available via SourceForge. There are some big changes for how the official binaries of JAGS 5.x are installed on macOS, which is the topic…
martynplummer.wordpress.com
JAGS 5.0.0 is now available for macOS
This is a guest post by Matt Denwood. After a longer-than-anticipated delay, the macOS installer for JAGS 5.0.0 is now available via SourceForge. There are some big changes for how the official binaries of JAGS 5.x are installed on macOS, which is the topic covered by this news post. Multi-threading and BLAS linkage JAGS now has multi-threading support to allow parallel execution of independent chains, which uses Apple’s Grand Central Dispatch for the macOS binaries.
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The Alternate Historian @althistorian.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Happy Stanislav Petrov Day. Today we celebrate the life of a man who saved billions by not believing a computer. May we all learn this valuable lesson.
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Mr. Joshua @pantspants.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Pen, watercolor, black & white charcoal pencil.

Another featured piece from the Spooky Pants book.

A man in a sweater stands with his hands on his hips looking out of a large window with the curtains open. Things aren’t looking good outside, reader. A massive winged demon is emerging from the clouds as dozens of little ghosts and bone demons rip through the sky. On the ground below we see townsfolk running through the grass. Our man in the window is in no mood for this. He lets us know, “Oh, I am in no mood for this.” His dog looks out the window as well, wagging its tail. 

Fantasia (1940) inspired drawing. I think I could’ve gone a little heavier with the chaos outside but we’ll try again with fresh drawings this October. I like how the clouds turned out. Trying to balance my sloppy lines with more detail can be tricky but I think we achieved a good result.
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Aparna Nair @disabilitystor1.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
if you are reviewing an unpublished manuscript and you have the sheer unmitigated audacity, cheek, gall and laziness to upload it into an LLM to generate a review, let me tell you, you should be shunned and tarred and feathered
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Peter Jukes @peterjukes.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Just a reminder, Professor James Orr, Reform UK head of policy, teaches 'ethics' to undergraduates at Cambridge University youtu.be/aXut3s90rUI
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Warwick Statistics @warwickstats.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
📣 We are recruiting! A 26-month postdoctoral position at Warwick as part of the “Probabilistic Artificial Intelligence” hub on the mathematical foundations of AI. 🔗 Further details available here: warwick-careers.tal.... Closing date: Sunday 6th September 2026 at 11:55pm (UK Time)
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The R Foundation @r-foundation.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
We invite #RStats users to contribute to a fund dedicated to helping the family of Tomáš Kalibera following his untimely death in April. Find out more and donate here: www.r-project.org/foundation/k...
r-project.org
R: Tomáš Kalibera Family Fund
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MꙬse Allain @mooseallain.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Fibonacci Sequins - clusters of sequins forming a fibonacci sequence.
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Come and work with us! If you have a PhD in Statistics (or related subject) and are looking to develop a teaching focused career in academia then please get in touch. We have a very strong teaching team here.
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
What's new in JAGS 5.0.0 part 2: Reproducibility martynplummer.wordpress.com/2026/08/04/w...
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Jeroen Ooms @jeroenooms.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
R-universe now provides binaries and check results for Windows-ARM64 of all CRAN and BIOC packages: contributor.r-project.org/windows-arm64/
contributor.r-project.org
R on ARM64 Windows
R on Windows ARM64
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
JAGS 5.0.0 is released martynplummer.wordpress.com/2026/08/02/j...
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Registration is now open for this workshop! website: sites.google.com/view/newcast... registration: webstore.ncl.ac.uk/conferences-...
webstore.ncl.ac.uk
Non-Equilibrium Sampling: DiffusionsFlowsParticles | Newcastle University WebStore
The Second Sampling Workshop at Newcastle!This three-day workshop will bring together researchers at the forefront of modern sampling techniques and relate
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Emily Wilson showing the world what an academic peer review sounds/reads like. This is pure Reviewer 2 energy. www.theguardian.com/film/2026/ju...
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Jonathan Howard @joho.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Here’s what the guys who “would have” perfectly controlled COVID delivered when given an opportunity to prove their real world mettle and competence.
= Ohe Washington post
Health
Health Care
Medical Mysteries
Science
We
U.S. measles cases hit 35-year record with months left in 2026
Data from Johns Hopkins University's U.S. measles tracker shows the nation reported 2,295 cases as of Tuesday. That count surpasses last year's total of 2,289.
July 21, 2026 at 7:18 p.m. EDT
Yesterday at 7:18 p.m. EDT
& 3 min
贝
口abc NEWS
Q 8
More than 11,500 cyclosporiasis cases
reported in 41 states: CDC
There are about 4,100 laboratory-confirmed cases,
CDC data says.
By Youri Benadjaoud and Mary Kekatos
July 22, 2026, 9:11 AM
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Charles Logan @charleswlogan.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Instead of having students produce academic essays with GenAI and then critique the essays in the name of AI literacy, just have them read Ben’s thread.
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Dirk Eddelbuettel @eddelbuettel.com · 11/07/2026
Norm Matloff (1948-2026) @matloff.bsky.social I was made aware of the post below made by his daughter. We lost another friend and valued long-time contributor the #Rstats community, gone far too soon, and sure to be missed. His memory will be a blessing.
Screenshot of post on X in the account of Norm Matloff in which his daughter announces his passing. Gone too soon, and sure to be missed.
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Maarten van Smeden @maartenvsmeden.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
😂
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Julian Sanchez @normative.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
It is seriously alarming how many of the world’s wealthiest and most powerful people are just screamingly mentally unwell in deeply toxic, dangerous ways.
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Ethan Marcotte @ethanmarcotte.com · 02/07/2026
“I’m here to tell you that there’s something very valuable in struggle. That there’s something very valuable in friction. Friction is good.”
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Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Happy Father's Dad! www.smbc-comics.com/comic/number...
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The R Foundation @r-foundation.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The 2026 laureates are Brian Ripley, Martin Maechler, Kurt Hornik, Peter Dalgaard, and Luke Tierney who have made the longest sustained contribution to #RStats. Half of the $1m prize money is awarded to the laureates and half to the rest of the Core Team.
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The R Foundation @r-foundation.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The 2026 Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics has been awarded to the R Project. #RStats www.rousseeuwprize.org/2026
rousseeuwprize.org
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics is a biennial prize to celebrate outstanding contributions to statistics research.
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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Warwick Statistics is recruiting a Tutor. This is a one year fixed-term role for the academic year 26-27. Closing Deadline: Thursday 9th July 2026 at 11:55pm (UK Time) warwick-careers.tal....
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Richard D. Morey @richarddmorey.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
this flight safety card is all of us
image from a SAS A320 flight safety card showing a figure holding up a module phone that is on fire. The figure is saying “help”
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
With friends at the University of Warwick (in particular, Rocco Caprio and @adriencorenflos.bsky.social), we've recently arXived some work (arxiv.org/abs/2605.30253) on a method for approximate inference known as "Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference", or "CAVI" for short. Let me explain:
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Brian Phillips @brianphillips.lol · 28/05/2026
Here's the serious bit for anyone who'd rather skip the 4000 words of jokes
Because the truth is, tech doesn't have an image problem. It doesn't have a message problem. It has an intention problem. What's wrong with the axe murderer who broke into my house is not that he hasn't successfully persuaded me to buy into his narrative. What's wrong is that he's trying to kill me with an axe. Similarly, when you launch a product that's designed to put millions of people out of work, block access to sources of verifiable truth, replace human creativity with slop, and lower the barriers to every sort of atrocity, the problem isn't that you haven't told the public a good story about those things. The problem is that you are trying to do them. (
There are things in the world that are more important than money. The fact that you seem not to believe this, that you seem to think any motive beyond ruthless acquisitiveness is fake, dishonest, or childish, is the heart of your problem. Your attitude is not by any means unique to tech, but the
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Dr Di Cook @visnut.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Super excited to get this at my door today! Ursula Laa and my book on exploring high-d data and models is in print! Book website is www.routledge.com/Interactivel... if interested I think my 30% discount code might work for you - msg me. Time to update dicook.github.io/mulgar_book/ too! #rstats
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
martynplummer.wordpress.com/2026/05/04/j...
martynplummer.wordpress.com
JAGS 5.0.0-beta is available
JAGS 5.0.0-beta is now available from SourceForge. The beta release is for two groups of people: People who have written software depending on JAGS, in particular authors of R packages that depend …
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Michael Friendly @datavisfriendly.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
And, with error bars, no less
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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
When I started legal blogging I thought it would be a little bit of contract law or libel law, and the occasional judicial review with constitutional implications. Now: a constant stream of constitutional crises, fundamental human rights abuses, and war crimes and other crimes against humanity.
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Physgal ⚛️ @physgal.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Going beyond the spherical cow approximation. The paper we all needed. 🎢 ⚛️ 🧪 ♾️ 🐄
pubs.aip.org
Higher multipoles of the cow
Editor's Note: The spherical cow is a useful approximation familiar to physicists. But what does it leave out? How can you systematically improve on this approx
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Demetri @phdemetri.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Me, when I call a credible interval a confidence interval
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Michael Friendly @datavisfriendly.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
#rstats RIP, John Fox @yihui.org just published this lovely tribute to John Fox and his work yihui.org/en/2026/02/j...
yihui.org
R.I.P., John Fox - Yihui Xie | 谢益辉
Last November, I learned the very sad news from Michael Friendly that John Fox had passed away. That brought my memory back to 2006 when I emailed John for the first time asking for his help on a &hel...
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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
I think there is not enough appreciation to how good this FT visualization is the original is like this 👇
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Mike here, hello @mikecornes.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
We’re living in a constant loop of this cartoon:
“Different”, a three box cartoon. 
Box 1 - person in their home saying “I want things to be different”
Box 2 - person taking a baseball bat to their belongings 
Box 3 - person surrounded by all of their broken things, and saying “oh no” 
Footer: webcomicname.com
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SMBC Comics @smbccomics.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Anything that deviates from normal is a conspiracy, including when things are precisely normal. COMIC ◆ www.smbc-comics.com/comic/curse-2 PATREON ◆ www.patreon.com/ZachWeinersm... STORE ◆ smbc-store.myshopify.com
1-panel SMBC comic update. Three men are startled and afraid, standing around an opened Egyptian sarcophagus, with a mummy sitting up in it. The mummy says "for that you have disturbed my tomb, you shall die at a typical actuarial rate, but perceive it as unusually high!" The caption below the panel reads "my favorite genre it Stats Horror."
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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Next month the Cambridge Philosophical Society is hosting an event to celebrate David MacKay and his work on the tenth anniversary of his passing. The organizers are soliciting notes sharing how his work has impacted people -- you can submit at docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F....
docs.google.com
A tribute to David MacKay
“I didn’t know David personally but was a great admirer of his work.” “David seemed to have infinite patience.” “He treated the audience with respect, trusted them with complexity, and showed that r...
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Joel Morris @gralefrit.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Offering you everything cheaper, or for nothing, costs you SO MUCH. It’s a really expensive deal. You don’t win. Not in the end.
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Joel Morris @gralefrit.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
“We don’t have trustworthy news sources or socially responsible media at all any more. But on the plus side, a machine that lies and makes us all more ignorant and furious saves me up to £3 a week. Bargain.”
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
This has been a long time coming. The first withdrawal, announced in July 2020, was halted by Joe Biden on his first day in office on 20 January 2021. Donald Trump signed an executive order reaffirming the withdrawal on his return to office on 20 January 2025. One year later here we are.
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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
*Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications* Upcoming workshop in Warwick Stats, supported CRiSM, LMS and RSS. We aim to promote the transfer of ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities. go.warwick.ac...
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
This is very sad news. John had an enormous influence over applied statistics through his books and software. It was always a pleasure to interact with him.
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Michael Friendly @datavisfriendly.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
#TodayinHistory #dataviz #OTD 📊 💀Nov 18, 1887 Gustav Theodor Fechner died in Leipzig, Germany 🇩🇪 1850: Fechner's Law: the subjective sensation is proportional to the log of stimulus intensity. This is a core idea behind accuracy of visual encoding of data -- eg, length > angle > area > color
Graph illustrating Fechner's Law, S = k log I. It plots I= intensity of a stimulus on the horizontal axis vs. perceived Stimulus sensation on the vertical.Photo of Gustav Fechner, sitting, holding a book
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Stephen Collins @stephencollins.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Every ad now
[Scene is a kitchen - a middle aged woman called JANET is boiling peas at the stove. A younger more colourfully dressed woman named LIZ approached her.]

JANET:
Ugh...

LIZ:
What's up?

JANET:
I am so bored of cooking peas!

LIZ:
Have you tried...

AI peas?

JANET:
AI peas?

LIZ:
They're peas with AI!

[Liz holds up to us a packet of peas labelled: Pea-i AI - Peas with AI].

LIZ:
Al-powered peas harness the potential of your peas

JANET:
What

LIZ [Now a voiceover as we cut to a whizzy technology diagram of peas all connected by meaningless dotted lines]

Why not take your peas to the next level with Al Peas' new Al tools to power your peas?

[Show a techno diagram of a pea with a label reading 'AI' pointing to a random zone in it]

LIZ:

Each pea has Al in a way we haven't quite worked out yet but it's fine

[Show Janet and Liz now in a Matrix-style world of peas]

LIZ:
With Al peas you can supercharge productivity and make AI work for your peas!

JANET:
What

LIZ:
Shut up

LIZ:
Our game-changing Pea-Al gives you the freedom to unlock the potential of the power of the future of your peas workflow

From opening the bag of peas

to boiling the peas

to eating the peas

To spending millions on adding Al to the peas and then having to work out what that even means.

JANET:
Is it really necessary to-

LIZ [Grabbing Janet by the collar]:
THE PEAS HAVE GOT AI, JANET

[Cut to an advert ending screen, with the bag of peas and the slogan:

AI PEAS: Just 'Peas' for god's sake buy the AI peas.

[Ends]
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
This remake of Kind Hearts and Coronets is a bit dark. www.vanityfair.com/style/story/...
vanityfair.com
Andrew Mountbatten Windsor Isn’t a Prince Anymore, but He Could Still Become King
King Charles’s brother remains eighth in the line of succession even though he no longer has his royal titles and honors.
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tj mahr 🤘 @tjmahr.com · 29/10/2025
student used some AI-assisted code to compute ROC stats with weights and the AI hallucinated pROC::roc(…, weights = weights). (the function doesn’t have a weights argument.) and because the function has a … argument, the fake weights argument was ignored without any warning
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
“All that was once directly lived has become mere representation” - Guy Debord, The Society of the Spectacle (1967)
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Martyn Plummer @martynplummer.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
"The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists." - Hannah Arendt
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