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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

One year Tutor position in Warwick Stats. Closing deadline: 6th September. warwick-careers.tal....

Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Two year Teaching Fellow post at Warwick Stats. CLOSING DEADLINE: Monday 17 August 2026 at 11:55pm (UK Time). warwick-careers.tal....

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

I'm not sure one is supposed to repost praise, but I hope it can be forgiven in this case, since we had a lot indecision as to what this paper should look like before putting it out. In this situation it feels nice to have a vote of confidence!

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

New paper with Jia Le Tan (who is at ISBA!) and Nicola Walker. We tried out Pareto smoothing weight-adjustment in SMC, but found there were only minimal benefits since the variance reduction through using a sequence of targets dominates the impact of the adjustment. arxiv.org/abs...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

Warwick Statistics is recruiting a Tutor. This is a one year fixed-term role for the academic year 26-27. Closing Deadline: Thursday 9th July 2026 at 11:55pm (UK Time) warwick-careers.tal....

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Alongside our paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model", Ian Roberts released the R package StructCoalescent. You can install it using the command devtools::install_github("IanPRoberts/StructCoalescent") github.com/IanPRober...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

To go along with our paper "Bayesian inference of reproduction number from epidemiological and genetic data using particle MCMC", Alicia Gill released an accompanying R package, EpiSky. You can install it using devtools::install_github("alicia-gill/EpiSky") github.com/alicia-gi...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

To go with our Bayesian Analysis paper "Speeding up Inference of Homologous Recombination in Bacteria", we made a version of the ClonalOrigin package that is callable from R, and which contains the improved RJMCMC method for inference. You can find it at github.com/richardge...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

We are currently advertising for two Teaching Fellows and four Tutors in the Department of Statistics. Deadline on Thursday 23rd April. www.jobs.ac.uk/job/D... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/D...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

Felipe Medina Aguayo, Xavier Didelot and I had our work on "Speeding up Inference of Homologous Recombination in Bacteria" published in Bayesian Analysis. We use new parallel annealing-based reversible jump MCMC to obtain more accurate inference for the ClonalOrigin model. projecteuclid.org/jo...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

We still have a few places at our CRiSM and LMS workshop at Warwick on 16-17th April on "Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases", exploring the links between these two fields. The schedule is now finalised and available on the website go.warwick.ac... Visit the website to register.

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

Leonardo Ripoli and I arxived the paper "Sequential Monte Carlo with active subspaces". Within an SMC sampler we adaptively identify directions in which the likelihood is not informative, and use this to improve MCMC efficiency at each iteration of the SMC. arxiv.org/abs/2411.0...

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

what function is the biggest jumpscare to you. i'll go first, clear choice for me at least it's obviously the gamma function.

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

Last year Leonardo Ripoli and I archived the paper "Improved MCMC with active subspaces". We identify directions in the parameter space in which the likelihood is not informative, and explore ways of making MCMC more efficient by focussing on the directions where it is. arxiv.org/abs/2501.0...

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

OWABI⁷, 25 March 2026: Robust Simulation Based Inference (11am UK time) Speaker: Larry Wasserman (Carnegie Mellon University) Title: Robust Simulation Based Inference warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Pretty remarkable that Bethell's first three hundreds as a professional cricketer were in an ODI, a Test and a T20I (I think).

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Andrew Rambaut (🐏🎀) @arambaut.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

So I pleased to announce the conceptual spawn of FigTree: PearTree (acronym still to be finalised). If you want to dive right in it is hosted as a web app here: artic-network.github.io/peartree (click the “Example...” button for immediate candy and then click every button you can find).

artic-network.github.io

PearTree — Phylogenetic Tree Viewer

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

The next OWABI seminar will be given by Shreya Sinha Roy (Warwick), who will talk about "Prequential posteriors" on Thursday the 26th February at 11am UK time. arxiv.org/abs/2511.1... www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi MS Teams link: teams.microsoft.com/...

arxiv.org

Prequential posteriors

Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

In July Shu Huang (with me, Massi Tamborrino and Adam Johansen) posted a paper "Inference for Diffusion Processes via Controlled Sequential Monte Carlo and Splitting Schemes". arxiv.org/abs/2507.1...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

Ian Roberts published his first paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" with me, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot. We describe an efficient reversible jump MCMC method for inference for the structured coalescent. journals.plos.org/pl...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

This year the European Meeting of Statisticians will be in Lugano, Switzerland, 24 - 28 August 2026. The deadline for abstract submission is 31 March 2026. www.ems26.org

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Tomorrow's OWABI seminar by Louis Sharrock (UCL), who will talk about "Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-free inference with conditional score base diffusion models" (29th Jan, 11am UK time). Join: teams.microsoft.com/... Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49 Passcode: f3Dh22XL

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

"Annealing Strategies for Variance Reduction in Balance Heuristic Estimators" by Felipe Medina Aguayo and I is accepted in Stats and Computing. Multiple importance sampling uses multiple proposals to reduce variance. We use annealing to significantly further reduce variance. rdcu.be/eqe8j

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 15/01/2026

Today is the deadline for contributed talks and posters for our event on Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases. Early-career researchers successful in their application to give a talk will be funded up to £200 for their travel costs. go.warwick.ac.uk/env...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Shreya Sinha Roy's first paper (joint with me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta) is on "Generalized Bayesian deep reinforcement learning". We use a neural network as a model in Bayesian reinforcement learning, trained using a generalized prequential scoring rule with SMC arxiv.org/abs/2412.1...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

*Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications* Upcoming workshop in Warwick Stats, supported CRiSM, LMS and RSS. We aim to promote the transfer of ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities. go.warwick.ac...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

New paper accepted in JRSSC with Alicia Gill, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot on "Bayesian Inference of Reproduction Number from Epidemiological and Genetic Data Using Particle MCMC". We supplement case data with a dated phylogeny inferred from sequence data arxiv.org/pdf/2311.0...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

New paper from Shreya Sinha Roy, me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta on "Prequential posteriors". We use a a predictive-sequential loss function to fit deep generative forecasting models for the purpose of data assimilation, with waste-free SMC for fitting the neural network arxiv.org/abs/2511.1...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 17/11/2025

Warwick Statistics is recruiting two Assistant Professors! We are looking for a researcher with a strong track record and outstanding promise in one or more areas of Statistical Methodology and Theory, Computational Statistics and Machine Learning. Closing date: 25th Jan 26 warwick-careers.tal....

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

I'm very much looking forward to speaking at the upcoming workshop on MCMC at Newcastle. Details here: sites.google.com/vie... I will speak about MCMC with active subspaces arxiv.org/abs/2501.0...

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Massimiliano Tamborrino @mtamborrino.bsky.social · 22/07/2025

New work on inference for partially observed (hypoelliptic) SDEs in frequentist/Bayesian regimes. Splitting schemes & controlled SMC (+ bridges) to recover the (pseudo)likelihood of interest arxiv.org/abs/2507.14535 Work led by Shu, with @adamjohansen.bsky.social and @bayesianstats.bsky.social

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

The final OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi of the season will feature two selected talks and will take place live from BayesComp bayescomp2025.sg/! The talks will take place on Thursday the 19th June at 1pm UK time (note the different date and time!), and will be given by

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Warwick Statistics @warwickstats.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

Recently-completed Warwick PhD student Ian Roberts, with Xavier Didelot, Richard Everitt and Jere Koskela, have had the paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" accepted in PLOS Computational Biology journals.plos.org/pl...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

Cricket fans! This is the best Fantasy Cricket site: bsky.app/profile/cric...

bsky.app

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

So excited for the County Championship tomorrow.

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

I will be a supervisor for an upcoming PhD! (with Kirsty Hassall and Jacqueline Stroud) The opportunity is an EPSRC DLA Interdisciplinary Scholarship: "Unravelling the sound underground: Detecting and estimating earthworm abundance using low-frequency vibrations". warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

The next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi is quickly approaching, being scheduled on Thursday the 27th March at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Meïli Baragatti (Université de Montpellier), who will talk about "Approximate Bayesian Computation with Deep Learning and Conformal Prediction".

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

PhD position at Surrey: Reconstructing EVolutionary histories for organisms on EArth and stars in gaLaxies (REVEAL). www.surrey.ac.uk/fee...

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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

I will be one of the supervisors on this. Please pass on to any UK students who may be interested.

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Warwick Statistics @warwickstats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

The programme will be complemented by discussion and exercise sessions so to maximise interaction among participants and speakers. Participants have the chance to present their work in short-talk sessions. To join the school, please register at warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc... (deadline 18 May 2025)

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Warwick Statistics @warwickstats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

It will feature 4 lecture courses, by: Martin Hairer, EPFL (Switzerland) and Imperial (UK) Nina Holden, NYU Courant (US) Hubert Lacoin, IMPA (Brazil) Richard Nickl, Cambridge (UK) who will explore: stochastic PDEs, random planar maps, directed polymers and Bayesian inference for time evolution PDEs

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Warwick Statistics @warwickstats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

The P@W Summer School - Recent Trends in Probability and Statistics will take place at the University of Warwick, 7-11 July 2025. The school will engage PhD students and researchers with cutting-edge topics at the frontiers of current knowledge in Probability and Statistics. warwick.ac.uk...

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

You can also check out out website at warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...

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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Our next talk will be on Thursday the 27th February at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Ayush Bharti (Aalto University), who will talk about "Cost-aware simulation-based inference". To receive the link, sign up here: listserv.csv.warwick...

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Maike Osborne @maosbot.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

Big news: you can now submit your papers to the first ever international conference on probabilistic numerics (1-3 September, Southern France)! Don’t miss the chance to get in on the ground floor of this exciting new field! probnum25.github.io/submissions

probnum25.github.io

ProbNum25 : Submissions

Coming

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Christian A. Naesseth @canaesseth.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Don't forget #AABI, the Symposium on Advances in Approximate Bayesian Inference is coming to Singapore!! Co-located #ICLR2025 Workshop Track: February 7, AoE Proceedings Track: February 7, AoE Fast Track: February 18 / March 14, AoE approximateinference.org/call/ #ML #Bayes #GenAI

approximateinference.org

Call for Papers

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