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Martha Gimbel

@marthagimbel.bsky.social
7.3K followers 235 following 205 posts

Sometimes Econ, sometimes rants, sometimes both. Current Budget Lab at Yale, former CEA, JEC, DOL, SF, Indeed.

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Reposted by Martha Gimbel
Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
@marthagimbel.bsky.social
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mary childs @marychilds.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
want to hang out with me and @marthagimbel.bsky.social for 40m? i know, not long enough www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nQh...
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mary childs @marychilds.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
this week i got to talk to @marthagimbel.bsky.social about our shared favorite topic/disease: US government debt www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nQh...
youtube.com
America Is Living On Borrowed Trust
YouTube video by Mary in America
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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 10/07/2026
In today's Receipts LIVE in a few minutes at 12:30pm ET, join @crampell.bsky.social and special guests Natasha Sarin and @marthagimbel.bsky.social talking the week's biggest economic and financial news:
lnk.thebulwark.com
BREAKING: Trump Shivs GOP Congress, Refuses to Sign Bipartisan Housing Bill | Receipts Live
Join Catherine Rampell and special guests Natasha Sarin and Martha Gimbel as they cover the week's biggest economic and financial stories.
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Stacey Vanek Smith @svaneksmith.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
If the U.S. were a company, would you invest in it? From profits and losses to employee satisfaction, when it come to USA Inc, is it buy, sell, or hold? @bradstone.bsky.social and I talk with @marthagimbel.bsky.social this week on Everybody’s Business from @bloomberg.com #economy #unemployment
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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Is A.I. creating jobs or killing them? Adding to inflation or fixing it? Boosting productivity or doing little? Nobody knows. And our data (public & private) isn't providing clear answers. My latest on the A.I. data gap and the challenge it poses for policymakers: www.nytimes.com/2026/07/02/b...
nytimes.com
A.I. Is Reshaping the Economy. Good Luck Measuring How.
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Rich Prisinzano @richpriz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Carried Interest has been a talking point in tax policy for at least 20 years. It is often viewed as a loophole that if closed would bring in revenue. At the @budgetlab.bsky.social we revisited the revenue implications of carried interest proposals with new tools.
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
NEW POD: What The Iran War Did To The Economy w/ @marthagimbel.bsky.social. When we last checked in on the economy, on Feb 23, we were talking about a soft landing and a well-balanced macroeconomy. Five days later, we went to war with Iran. Here's how things have changed...
gdpolitics.com
What The Iran War Did To The Economy
In February, the economy looked well balanced. Since then, inflation has spiked.
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Sirens: A Bombshell Production @sirenspod.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Do you have a favorite backronym, a rom-com explanation of the Straits of Hormuz crisis, or an obsession with the national debt? This episode, welcoming @marthagimbel.bsky.social, is for you! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
podcasts.apple.com
SAVE Act, VOA, and the Deficit
Podcast Episode · Sirens: A Bombshell production · March 20 · 1h 1m
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 26/03/2026
How to Win a Trade War and....COFFEE? If you too like coffee, @barnesandnoble.com has a special 25% off deal on pre-orders with the code PREORDER25. The deal ends TODAY, so pre-order How to Win a Trade War now! 📚 👉 www.barnesandnoble.com/w/how-to-win... #BNPreorder
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Este Griffith @esteg.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? Learn more TODAY! Join @hamiltonproject.org, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social as they dive into the data: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders...
hamiltonproject.org
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
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Reposted by Martha Gimbel
Este Griffith @esteg.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? On March 10, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social an.bsky.social will dive into the data and what we know: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders...
hamiltonproject.org
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
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The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · 03/03/2026
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? On March 10, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social will dive into the data and what we know:
hamiltonproject.org
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
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Reposted by Martha Gimbel
Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Really looking forward to this event, in which we'll try to tackle one of the most important questions in the economy right now: What does A.I. mean for the labor market, both now and in the near future? Join us next week! www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders... #EconSky
hamiltonproject.org
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Just so the Econ crew is aware - the homeowner here is Leo Feler
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Hi all! We're still waiting on the official posting - but @budgetlab.bsky.social is looking for a new macro hire to add to our team! We're agnostic on level (Recent PhD, decades of experience, MA+ research experience, who knows?) - we care more about flexible thinking and curiosity
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
New from me @mollykinder.bsky.social Josh Kendall and Maddie Lee: how should we be tracking the impact of AI on the labor market? Tldr: no signs of major disruptions yet, but we plan to update our trackers monthly 1/
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
media.tenor.com
elmo from sesame street is standing in front of a wall of fire .
ALT: elmo from sesame street is standing in front of a wall of fire .
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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
3. "Fine, we'll just rely on private data." (This one is @marthagimbel.bsky.social bait) There is lots of private data out there, and we'll be leaning on it heavily during a shutdown. But hardly anyone who has looked closely at these data thinks they can come close to replacing government sources.
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Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
We’re excited to officially welcome‪ @chloergibbs.bsky.social and @moniqueedavis-phd.bsky.social to the Upjohn Institute research team! Chloe brings deep expertise in education policy, while Monique’s research explores systemic inequality in economic outcomes. #EconSky
upjohn.org
Upjohn Institute welcomes two new economists
Chloe Gibbs and Monique Davis join the research team
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Stacey Vanek Smith @svaneksmith.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
Fed Fight: It’s Trump vs Jerome Powell. Why an Independent Fed matters @chafkin.bsky.social and I talk with @marthagimbel.bsky.social this week on Everybody’s Business from @businessweektr.bsky.social @bloomberg.com #jeromepowell #federalreserve #economy
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
cordelia is arguably the first mentally well person in the history of literature
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
If you’re questioning the integrity of BLS statistics “because ADP” I cannot help you
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Jordan Matsudaira @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
House/Senate are set to eliminate Grad PLUS, and put in place loan limits that would dramatically restrict graduate borrowing. Media coverage emphasizes impact this may have on very expensive programs like Medicine and Dentistry, but @peerresearch.bsky.social finds impact will be much(!) broader 1/
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Jason Furman @jasonfurman.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Scratching my head at the CEA estimate that their economic plan will lower debt/GDP by at least 3pp in FY 2025. There are only 3 months left in FY 2025. And tariff revenue < 0.5% of GDP. So would need about 12% annualized GDP growth in Q3 to hit this target.
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
CBO just released a dynamic estimate and the cost of OBBBA goes from $2.4 trillion to $2.8 trillion. But by convention they don’t include the costs of interest on new debt. If they do that - cost goes to $3.4 trillion. @budgetlab.bsky.social comparable estimate was $3.5 trillion. 1/
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Ernie Tedeschi @ernietedeschi.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: if you combine the distributional impact of tariffs so far with CBO's new OBBBA distribution, the bottom 80% of households see a decline in income, and the 9th decile is close to neutral. Only the top 10% see a clear net benefit. 1/3
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Michael Schulman @michaelschulman.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Cynthia Erivo just rhymed “Odenkirk and watch Cole werk.” I’m satisfied!
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
New from @budgetlab.bsky.social: there's been a lot of debate on the macroeconomic impacts of the bill. We find that passing the bill generates SMALL amounts of growth from 2025-2027...but after that it's a drag on growth
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
A reminder that today is Tony’s day so if you don’t want theater tweets all night mute me now
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
I finally got the email I’ve been expecting for weeks: my baby’s diaper brand is throwing in the towel and raising prices due to “global economic factors and rising material costs”
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
USA USA USA www.nytimes.com/2025/05/15/h...
nytimes.com
Baby Is Healed With World’s First Personalized Gene-Editing Treatment
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Everybody stop what you’re doing and read @jasonfurman.bsky.social on why trade is good actually www.nytimes.com/2025/05/12/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Are Trump’s Tariffs Trying to Solve a Problem That Doesn’t Exist?
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Work requirements and price controls - what a Sunday night
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The Budget Lab @budgetlab.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Listen to @budgetlab.bsky.social's @marthagimbel.bsky.social on the @theatlantic.com podcast episode that explores the impact of tariffs and consumer behavior.
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The Budget Lab @budgetlab.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
@budgetlab.bsky.social's @marthagimbel.bsky.social and @ernietedeschi.bsky.social in the @nytimes.com
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Has anyone ever pulled together or done (or seen) a task similarity matrix for the O*Net tasks? Basically - if you have information on a subset of the tasks, has someone done the work to figure out how similar certain tasks are to each other
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David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Video of Hutchins Center conversation on safeguarding the stability of the global banking system and the state of bank supervisinon with ECB’s Claudia Buch, Nicolas Veron, and Michael Silva. @brookings.edu www.brookings.edu/events/safeg...
brookings.edu
Safeguarding the stability of the global banking system: A conversation with ECB’s Claudia Buch
On April 25, Claudia Buch, chair of the ECB’s Supervisory Board, will speak at Brookings, on safeguarding the stability of the global banking system.
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
So I just picked up the phone and got hit with a new scam: someone tried to tell me they were with CBP and I had to give them $100 to get the package I ordered into the country. So now we’re using tariffs for phone scams!
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Gabe Ortíz @tusk81.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
ACLU says another three US citizen children were disappeared from their own country today: www.aclu.org/press-releas...
aclu.org
ICE Deports 3 U.S. Citizen Children Held Incommunicado Prior to the Deportation | American Civil Liberties Union
Families disappeared and isolated without legal access; one child with cancer deported without medication and pregnant mother deported as well
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
media.tenor.com
a man in a white shirt is talking to another man in a hat and the word orphan is visible in the background .
ALT: a man in a white shirt is talking to another man in a hat and the word orphan is visible in the background .
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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Seeing a redacted birth certificate of a two-year-old attached to a habeas petition is what broke me.
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Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
NEW: A federal judge raised alarm Friday that the Trump administration appeared to have deported a 2-year-old U.S. citizen to Honduras with "no meaningful process" — even as her father was fighting to keep her in the country. Details w/ @joshgerstein.bsky.social www.politico.com/news/2025/04...
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Bobby Kogan @bbkogan.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Hello, EconSky! We are hiring a lead economist at CAP. My DMs are open if you want to talk through the position and CAP generally. Crucially, we are right next to a great bubble tea spot. www.americanprogress.org/job/senior-f...
americanprogress.org
Senior Fellow, Inclusive Economy
American Progress has an immediate opening for a Senior Fellow on its Inclusive Economy team. The Senior Fellow will provide thought leadership on economic issues and conduct rigorous economic analysi...
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 20/04/2025
My mother just informed me that when she was a child Easter eggs were real eggs dyed by hand and they didn’t have access to fun plastic eggs with cool toys and candy inside and I refuse to contemplate this type of 1950s future for my child
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
…isn’t this a version of what Matilda’s dad got up to?
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Steve Cicala @stevecicala.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Killing your greatest export is an unusual tactic in the midst of a trade war. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Happy [No] Taco Tuesday!
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Last April @natasharsarin.bsky.social Danny Yagan and I launched @budgetlab.bsky.social. We were excited about our team and what we were planning to produce - but absolutely could not have predicted this wild year 1/
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Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Friends coming back online after having been offline the last few days for Passover
media.tenor.com
bart simpson is giving a speech at a podium while homer simpson is standing in the doorway
ALT: bart simpson is giving a speech at a podium while homer simpson is standing in the doorway
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