iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Marcus Crede

Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Over the past two years, I4R partnered with Psychological Science (@psychscience.bsky.social) on a large reproducibility project. 67 independent teams reproduced 64 articles published in 2024–2025, about 44% of eligible papers. Paper: www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10... Here's what we learned 🧵

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Best case scenario: AI causes immense social upheaval via mass unemployment. Worst case scenario: AI kills us all. Politicians: Let's talk about trans people in sport. Fuck AI.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Just reviewed another psych paper with complex analysis, open data & R code - and appallingly bad variable measurement. I do wish psych PhD programs would spend more time teaching methods (e.g., measurement, design, sampling) and a little less time teaching arcane statistical tools & coding.

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Dana Menard @shufflersunite.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

It's never a bad day to repost this one.

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Bastian Jaeger @bxjaeger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Now out at EJSP: We explored cultural & individual differences in the hierarchy of moral concern across student samples from 41 cultural groups (n >6500). doi.org/10.1002/ejsp...

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Me too and I normally don't get any applications at all so I cannot imagine how many of these e-mails more influential and popular researchers get.

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Raider @iwillnotbesilenced.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Londoners say NO to Ray-Ban pervert glasses

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Looks increasingly like the last contribution of Anthropic and OpenAI will be to have solved the Fermi Paradox.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

My lower back is insisting that I get a tattoo on my forehead that reads "If you see this man at the gym please remind him that he is no longer 22. He tends to forget".

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Reposted by Marcus Crede

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 05/09/2026

This is interesting. You get assigned to being born at a random place and time in history, to see what a typical person's life might have been like then. Unfortunately I was born in 1403 in the valley of Mexico and died at age 4 from dysentery.

anyhumanever.com

Any Human Ever

One life, drawn at random from all who have ever lived.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Dan Ariely has apparently been at Duke since 2008. I hope that the Dean of the B-school there gets someone with data forensics chops to do a complete audit of all the data for papers produced during his tenure there.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

All those Duke MBA students must be thrilled to know that their >$80k annual tuition is being used to pay the salary of a demonstrated fraud.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Have criminal charges ever been filed against a researcher for stuff like this? It strikes me as horrific fraud on other researchers, the public, the employer, and funding agencies - as well as doing great damage to the public's trust in science. How Ariely still has a job is completely beyond me.

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simine vazire @simine.com · 02/09/2026

Psych Science has retracted Ariely & Wertenbroch (2002). The second author requested the retraction. Both authors agreed to it. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.... So grateful to @datacolada.bsky.social for these blog posts and the work behind them: datacolada.org/138 and datacolada.org/139 1/2

journals.sagepub.com

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 31/08/2026

Data Colada strikes again with incredible data forensics work

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Alex Holcombe @alexh.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

The Hugging Face incident apparently involved over 1000 agents collaborating and with some sacrificing themselves to achieve the collective end of cheating and fooling the scorer open.substack.com/pub/plannedo...

open.substack.com

The Hugging Face attack surprised me

It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Has there ever been a dumber and more brand-destructive ad than the Good Good Callaway ad?

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Apparently Tim Curry wanted to go hang out with Dolly. RIP.

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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 25/08/2026

What are some examples of *non-fraudulent* major errors in scientific papers that had major consequences, perhaps after taking a long time to be corrected?

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Jay Joseph @jayjoseph22.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

The "Minnesota Study of Twins Apart" is the #1 most often cited study by IQ hereditarians and race science supporters in favor of high within-group IQ heritability. In this 2022 peer-reviewed article, I explained why the study's conclusions should be rejected. jayjoseph.net/wp-content/u...

jayjoseph.net

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

You know you're getting old when there is a >700 point difference between your bullet chess rating and your rapid chess rating.

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Matteo Carandini @carandinilab.net · 17/08/2026

I am proud of this paper. Since it came out in 2022 it has received 0 citations (yes that's a zero). But multiple young scientists have found it useful! (from other labs, so they were not coerced...). Perhaps you will find it useful too? SOME TIPS FOR WRITING SCIENCE doi.org/10.1523/ENEU...

doi.org

Some Tips for Writing Science

When preparing a scientific paper, we typically write with coauthors who have different backgrounds and styles, and we target readers who have little time and patience. To help both readers and writer...

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Patrick Monahan @pattymo.com · 14/08/2025

This is a masterpiece. Simply excellent www.instagram.com/reel/DMVGMIC...

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

That certainly qualifies as a "significant methodological error". I'd even wager that p<.01.

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Sanjay Srivastava @sanjaysrivastava.com · 13/08/2026

Three ways to get the appearance of merit are actual merit, luck, or fraud. Selection is by necessity on appearance. That means the post selection set will have higher incidence of luck and fraud than the general population. The more prestigious the journal, the more this hits them

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

we have got to put that into a causal inference lecture

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Jennifer Tackett @jnfrltackett.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

I'm excited to announce that I will be reviewing graduate student applications for Fall 2027 admissions! I review applications in both the Personality, Development, and Health and the Clinical Science (Weinberg) programs.

sites.northwestern.edu

Research | Personality Across Development Lab

Current Research Topics Leadership Emergence and Development Tackett, J. L., Reardon, K. W., Fast, N. J., Johnson, L., Kang, S. K., Lang, J....

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Reposted by Marcus Crede

Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 20/07/2026

New paper out now 🥳 When psychologists discuss generalisability, they often refer to vague notions of representativeness. We provide an accessible intro to the total survey error framework as a tool to reason about this more rigorously. w @taymalsalti.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci >

Thinking Clearly About Sampling and Representation With the Total Survey Error Framework

Collecting a sample that represents the population of interest well constitutes a challenge across the social and behavioural sciences. Psychology in particular frequently relies on convenience samples—most notably students and, increasingly, online participants—with a tendency to either (implicitly) assume representativeness without substantive justification, or to acknowledge a lack of it only in passing. In contrast, researchers rarely engage with the actual implications for their inferences, which undermines the generalisability of psychological findings. Critically, representativeness must be defined with respect to variables relevant to the target of inference, rather than superficial demographic diversity. Here we present the Total Survey Error (TSE) framework as a methodological tool that systematically addresses the multifaceted sources of error—particularly those related to representation—that emerge throughout the research cycle. Although TSE originated in survey research, its principles are broadly applicable to any psychological study seeking inference from sample to population. We offer practical strategies for identifying, preventing, and mitigating representation errors to improve the credibility and generalisability of psychological research.

Illustration of the total survey error framework with the representation strand highlighted. It shows how coverage error, sampling error and non-response error arise during the sampling process.

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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 07/08/2026

I find this, 1806 letter from Thomas Jefferson to Edward Jenner, so moving 🥺

To Dr. Edward Jenner Monticello, May 14, 1806
The Letters of Thomas Jefferson

SIR,
-- I have received a copy of the evidence at large respecting the discovery of the vaccine inoculation which you have been pleased to send me, and for which I return you my thanks. Having been among the early converts, in this part of the globe, to its efficiency, I took an early part in recommending it to my countrymen. I avail myself of this occasion of rendering you a portion of the tribute of gratitude due to you from the whole human family. Medicine has never before produced any single improvement of such utility. Harvey's discovery of the circulation of the blood was a beautiful addition to our knowledge of the animal economy, but on a review of the practice of medicine before and since that epoch, I do not see any great amelioration which has been derived from that discovery. You have erased from the calendar of human afflictions one of its greatest. Yours is the comfortable reflection that mankind can never forget that you have lived. Future nations will know by history only that the loathsome small-pox has existed and by you has been extirpated.

Accept my fervent wishes for your health and happiness and assurances of the greatest respect and consideration.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Without peeking how many articles do you think were published in 2014 by the Journal of Business Ethics?

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František Bartoš @fbartos.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

For the revision for our "Meta-Analysis with JASP, Part I: Classical Approaches" tutorial, I recorder a series of YouTube videos walking through the examples in JASP www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbou... First time doing this. Do you find walkthroughs like this useful? Let me know any suggestions!

youtube.com

Meta-Analysis with JASP, Part I: Classical Approaches (Example 1)

YouTube video by JASP Statistics

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United Farm Workers @ufw.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

Yesterday's temperature topped 105° in Fresno. "Carlos" and team were working in the watermelons. "Our team is paid piece rate. The more boxes we fill the more we make. The person closest to the truck has the hardest job so we switch off. This is exhausting work." #WeFeedYou

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

Yesterday, the dew point in Ames, Iowa was 86F (30C), and today is not much better. It is hard to overstate just how awful and dangerous this is. I'm a relatively fit guy but after even 5 minutes outside I was feeling dizzy and nauseous. #Climatechange+cornsweat

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Please stop referring to yourself as a "quantitative psychologist" if you don't understand what odds ratios are.

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United Farm Workers @ufw.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

"Maya" is harvesting squash in Tucson AZ where temps as she labored hit 95°. "We start work at 5:30am, but even so, the heat gets the best of us. By 11am it's very hot. Drinking water doesn't relieve my dizziness and nausea caused by the heat." That day hit 107°. #WeFeedYou

A Tucson AZ squash field where workers were laboring with a hot sun in the top left corner and you could just feel the heat in this picture

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Once again convinced that 50% of psychology "researchers" decide on the story that they want to tell first and then shoehorn their analysis and literature review to fit this narrative. Another 40% decide on the story after they've run all analyses that their data allows them to.

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Michael Inzlicht @minzlicht.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

I p-hacked my early work on prejudice. It never felt like cheating. I now wonder if that's because I believed the cause was good. New essay on why scholar-activism is a dangerous turn for social psychology. If justice comes first, truth is what gets sacrificed. open.substack.com/pub/michaeli...

open.substack.com

My P-Hacking Felt Like Truth

I became a social psychologist because I wanted to make the world a better place.

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George Davey Smith @mendelrandom.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Does the (live) shingles vaccine protect against dementia? Fergus Hamilton and colleagues provide important evidence in a new preprint using hospital data from the whole of England in a regression discontinuity design from which we *don't* show evidence of a meaningful protective effect /cont

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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Comparing registrations to published papers is essential to research integrity - and almost no one does it routinely because it's slow, messy, and time-demanding. RegCheck was built to help make this process easier. Today, we launch RegCheck V2. 🧵 regcheck.app

regcheck.app

RegCheck

RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.

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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

We need to change norms around sexual harassment Yesterday Tessa West spoke up about a sexual harassment complaint she filed against John Jost. Not only is he a senior colleague in the dept of psychology, but he is one of the most prominant figures in the field of social and political psychology.

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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 18/07/2026

Visualized.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

This paper was retracted in 2014 but has been cited almost 1000 times since then.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Aaargh!!!! Another journal decides that it is entirely uninteresting that we are able to show that almost all of the conclusions in a recent, award-winning, and high profile article are incorrect because of staggeringly sloppy work.

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Marcus Crede @marcuscrede.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Overheard at the art supply store today. Person 1: "Oh look, they have 18 x 24 canvases." Person 2: "Yeah, but I'm looking for a 24 x 18 canvas". Person 1: "Oh right. Sorry." Person 1 replaces the canvas they had picked up and they both wander off looking disappointed.

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