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Marieke A. Helmich

@mahelmich.bsky.social
1.1K followers 199 following 17 posts

Postdoc researcher in clinical psychology | Radboudumc Nijmegen, The Netherlands | (she/her) | dynamical systems | individual trajectories of change during treatment | EMA/ESM | emotion dynamics

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Reposted by Marieke A. Helmich
Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 27/08/2026
Psychological Science special issue call 📣 Ever had your research denigrated bc it's "only descriptive", "what's the mechanism though?" and "but what are the theoretical implications?" Now has come your time to shine. Send your best descriptive work! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
Psychological Science invites submissions that advance psychological science through careful description of psychological phenomena. Psychological research often focuses on explaining and predicting phenomena before we have a sufficiently detailed understanding of them. It can be difficult to build strong theories on incomplete empirical foundations of the phenomena themselves. Careful descriptive research helps establish shared empirical reference points developed around well-characterized phenomena. As such, descriptive research contributes to psychological science both by improving our understanding of the phenomena themselves and by providing a stronger foundation for future theory-building, explanation, and prediction.

We are interested in manuscripts that:

Deepen our understanding of psychological phenomena, including what they look like, how they vary, and how they unfold;
Draw on a variety of sources of evidence and methods, including qualitative, quantitative, and mixed-methods approaches; research conducted in naturalistic settings; intensive, longitudinal, or small-sample designs; and open or large-scale datasets; 
Provide necessary context for interpreting what is being described, including who is represented in the data, the settings and circumstances in which phenomena occur, and the broader social contexts in which they are situated; and/or
Make a substantive contribution to psychological science through the quality, depth, or significance of the description provided.
The deadline for submitting regular manuscripts is April 15, 2027. Registered Reports will also be considered. The deadline for submitting Stage 1 Registered Reports is November 15, 2026. Authors should indicate in the “Comments to Editor” box during submission that the manuscript is intended for the “Descriptive Research in Psychological Science” special issue.
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
We're developing alternative ways to shorten questionnaires, given psychology's questionable focus on inter-item correlations. We are looking for datasets: - clinical (mental health) - contains diagnosis - contains long form - contains short form Steep requirements, but maybe someone knows smth?
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Laura Bringmann 🟥 @bringmannlaura.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Mixed methods in ESM? Still very uncommon. 💥 That should change, we think: we should go beyond numbers, and know what people mean with their numbers. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Experience sampling methods require more than numbers - Communications Psychology
The experience sampling method (ESM) collects real-time reports of people’s feelings, actions, and surroundings, and originally included both numerical and open-ended responses. Whereas most studies t...
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Leonie Vogelsmeier @leonievogelsmeier.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Dr. Mihai Constantin, Prof. Dr. Jeroen Vermunt, and I are looking for a motivated PhD candidate for the project: "Dynamic Mixture Modeling for Intensive Longitudinal Data". tiu.nu/23934 Please share this vacancy with anyone who might be interested!
tiu.nu
Job opening: PhD in Methodolgy and Statistics (23934)
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Tim Kaiser @tkaiser.science · 30/04/2026
Most psychological research tells you if a treatment (or any other cause) works on average. But averages hide a lot. Some people benefit, some see no effect and some may actually be harmed. Our new primer in Psychological Methods tackles this head-on. 🧵
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Tom Rodebaugh @drrodebaugh.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Want to contribute to scientific rigor and open science in clinical psychology? Apply to be the senior clinical editor at Collabra! Worried it's too much work or you are too junior? Please ask me about it. You might, in fact, be the ideal person!
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
We’ve created an overview of the current state of theory development in psychological science (doi.org/10.31234/osf...). We're now conducting a survey on the topic to collect your views on the current state of theory development: --> forms.gle/Ct4qq4a4raun...
forms.gle
The current State and Status of Theory in Psychological Science
Welcome and thank you! Thank you for taking part in this survey. We are collecting views from psychological scientists on the current state of theory development in psychology and how this may affect ...
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Communications Psychology @commspsychol.nature.com · 24/02/2026
Perspective: Open-ended responses can improve ESM data by grounding it in real-world experiences and phenomena as they are experienced in everyday life. Handbooks and guidelines on ESM should include sections on collecting and analyzing open-ended text items. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Experience sampling methods require more than numbers - Communications Psychology
The experience sampling method (ESM) collects real-time reports of people’s feelings, actions, and surroundings, and originally included both numerical and open-ended responses. Whereas most studies t...
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Reposted by Marieke A. Helmich
Zachary Cohen @depressionlab.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
1/n Out today in @jamapsychiatry.com: Interpretation Issues With the Patient Health Questionnaire Instructions. We find troubling variability in whether people think they should respond based on the frequency of the Sx or the frequency of being bothered by the Sx. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com
Interpretation Issues With the Patient Health Questionnaire Instructions
This survey study assesses whether responses to the Patient Health Questionnaire reflect symptom frequency and severity.
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Dominique Maciejewski 🟥 @domimaciejewski.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
What a week! After 5 days, the #mitnb workshop has come to an end. We had a keynote on time scales and two workshops on careless responding and reliability. The central part of the workshops were the hackathons. We had super diverse hackathons, all designed to assess measurement in #ESM. (1/4)
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Björn Siepe @bsiepe.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
We built the openESM database: ▶️60 openly available experience sampling datasets (16K+ participants, 740K+ obs.) in one place ▶️Harmonized (meta-)data, fully open-source software ▶️Filter & search all data, simply download via R/Python Find out more: 🌐 openesmdata.org 📝 doi.org/10.31234/osf...
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 25/08/2025
Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients into Clear Quantities

Abstract
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear models, but is more challenging for more complex models with, for example, categorical variables, interactions, non-linearities, and hierarchical structures. Here, we introduce an alternative approach to making sense of statistical models. The central idea is to abstract away from the mechanics of estimation, and to treat models as “counterfactual prediction machines,” which are subsequently queried to estimate quantities and conduct tests that matter substantively. This workflow is model-agnostic; it can be applied in a consistent fashion to draw causal or descriptive inference from a wide range of models. We illustrate how to implement this workflow with the marginaleffects package, which supports over 100 different classes of models in R and Python, and present two worked examples. These examples show how the workflow can be applied across designs (e.g., observational study, randomized experiment) to answer different research questions (e.g., associations, causal effects, effect heterogeneity) while facing various challenges (e.g., controlling for confounders in a flexible manner, modelling ordinal outcomes, and interpreting non-linear models).
Figure illustrating model predictions. On the X-axis the predictor, annual gross income in Euro. On the Y-axis the outcome, predicted life satisfaction. A solid line marks the curve of predictions on which individual data points are marked as model-implied outcomes at incomes of interest. Comparing two such predictions gives us a comparison. We can also fit a tangent to the line of predictions, which illustrates the slope at any given point of the curve.A figure illustrating various ways to include age as a predictor in a model. On the x-axis age (predictor), on the y-axis the outcome (model-implied importance of friends, including confidence intervals).

Illustrated are 
1. age as a categorical predictor, resultings in the predictions bouncing around a lot with wide confidence intervals
2. age as a linear predictor, which forces a straight line through the data points that has a very tight confidence band and
3. age splines, which lies somewhere in between as it smoothly follows the data but has more uncertainty than the straight line.
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Tim Kaiser @tkaiser.science · 11/09/2025
🚨New paper (preprint, accepted at @psychscience.bsky.social journal AMPPS, with @herzog.bsky.social): a tutorial on conformal prediction, a distribution-free method for quantifying the uncertainty of predictions from statistical methods. Short 🧵 below! osf.io/preprints/ps... #PsychSciSky
osf.io
OSF
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Omid V. Ebrahimi @omidvebrahimi.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
How Accurate & Consistent are Self-Report responses via Visual Analogue Scales (VAS) in Ecological Momentary Assessment & Digital Studies? Examined in a massive EMA study (N = 3,761), our new #OpenAccess piece on this is just out: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art... #PsychSciSky #AcademicSky 🧵:
online.ucpress.edu
Accuracy and Consistency of Visual Analog Scales in Ecological Momentary Assessment and Digital Studies
The ubiquity of digital technologies has increased assessments of thoughts, behaviors, and experiences via electronic devices. Surveys on smartphones or laptops often implement Visual Analogue Scales ...
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Daniel P. Moriarity @dpmoriarity.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Cool perspective on depression recurrence >19,000 observations, n=37 discontinuing anti-depressants Recurrence in ~1/3rd preceded by early warning signals in affect journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.... Smit et al. @mahelmich.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @eveliensnippe.bsky.social
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Marie Stadel 🟥 @mariestadel.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
📣New preprint 📣 @leonieschorrlepp.bsky.social, @domimaciejewski.bsky.social, @bringmannlaura.bsky.social, Mithra Hesselink and I wrote a paper illustrating the value of qualitative methods for checking the validity of your ESM data. doi.org/10.31219/osf...
osf.io
OSF
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Clara Miguel @claramiguel.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Our new paper on self-reports vs clinician ratings of efficacies of psychotherapies for depression can be read open-access in Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences! Here is a short summary of our findings🧵 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Self-reports vs clinician ratings of efficacies of psychotherapies for depression: a meta-analysis of randomized trials | Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences | Cambridge Core
Self-reports vs clinician ratings of efficacies of psychotherapies for depression: a meta-analysis of randomized trials - Volume 34
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Egon Dejonckheere @dejonckheeregon.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
New work in @clinpsychrev: "EMA in psychotherapy research" EMA: ✅ most used in clin *research* ✅ often to predict symptom changes ✅ rarely implemented to impact therapeutic processes ✅ research needed on actual EMA benefits in *practice* www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Laura Bringmann 🟥 @bringmannlaura.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
If you do ESM research, please fill out this Short ESM Survey on open-ended items. 🤓 You can fill it out even if you do not use open-ended items in your own ESM research (will be even shorter 😊) rug.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_... .
mitnb.org
Measurement Is The New Black -
We are a group of scientists interested in improving the validity of time-series measurement in social sciences.
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Daniel P. Moriarity @dpmoriarity.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Fascinating study showing affective dynamics as predictors of depression relapse in those discontinuing anti-depressants @ CPS by Smit, @mahelmich.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social Oldehinkel Wichers @eveliensnippe.bsky.social @psychscience.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....
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Omid V. Ebrahimi @omidvebrahimi.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
How Accurate & Consistent are Self-Report responses via Visual Analogue Scales (VAS) in Ecological Momentary Assessment & Digital Studies? Examined in a large EMA study (N = 3,761) w/L. Cloos @bsiepe.bsky.social @marilynpicciri1.bsky.social @eikofried.bsky.social @shirleybwang.bsky.social ... 🧵:
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Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience @kingsioppn.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
King's College London launches the Atlas of Longitudinal Datasets, in partnership with @wellcometrust.bsky.social / @mqmentalhealth.bsky.social, a free platform with over 1,600 datasets, to support mental health research worldwide. 🌍 Read more and learn how to access: www.kcl.ac.uk/news/kings-l...
kcl.ac.uk
King's launches the Atlas of Longitudinal Datasets to support mental health research
Researchers at the Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN) at King’s College London have launched a new free platform to allow people to discover hundreds of longitudinal mental hea...
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Center for Contextual Psychiatry @ccp-kuleuven.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Exciting news! 🎉 Registration for the 2025 SAA Conference is now OPENED!✨ Join us in the historic city of Leuven from May 26–28 for inspiring symposia, talks, workshops and networking! Don’t miss out—secure your Early Bird spot now! www.saa2025.com #SAA2025 #KULeuven @saa2025leuven.bsky.social
saa2025.com
SAA 2025
Web site created using create-react-app
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Viktoria Cologna @colognaviktoria.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Our global study on the state of trust in scientists is now out in Nature Human Behaviour! 🥳 With a team of 241 researchers, we surveyed 71,922 people in 68 countries, providing the largest dataset on trust in scientists post-pandemic 👇🧵https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-02090-5
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Jonas Haslbeck @jmbh.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Emotions are reactions to situations we encounter in daily life. In our new paper in Psych Review (psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...; with @oisinryan.bsky.social and @fdabl.bsky.social), we take a first step towards building a generative model for emotion dynamics based on this simple principle 1/4
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David Baranger @davidbaranger.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Bookmark for all future grants: Use of Promotional Language in Grant Applications and Grant Success: "the percentage of promotional words was positively associated with the probability of receiving funding (NIH grants: odds ratio, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.10-2.11])." jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Tobias Kube @tobikube.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
🍾New article out in @natrevpsych.bsky.social🍾: We review how social expectations form and change in individuals with depression and how they shape the onset, course, and severity of depression. Particular emphasis is on why social expectations persist despite pos info. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Social expectations in depression - Nature Reviews Psychology
Expectations of negative social interactions or low interpersonal self-efficacy are common among people with depression. In this Review, Kirchner et al. integrate the cognitive, social and clinical as...
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Evelien Snippe @eveliensnippe.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
📊 Key finding: Emotional improvements often precede behavioral changes, which may partly be due to smaller and less frequent behavioral changes. Cognitive shifts tend to align closely with mood changes. 📄 Link to the full paper: psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?d...
psycnet.apa.org
APA PsycNet
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Evelien Snippe @eveliensnippe.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
I’m excited to share that @psypost.bsky.social featured our recent study on the timing of emotional, cognitive, and behavioral improvements during treatment for depression. Co-authored with: @mahelmich.bsky.social @timonelmer.bsky.social @arnoutcsmit.bsky.social Wolfgang Lutz & Eva Ceulemans
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Aleksa Kaurin @aleksakaurin.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
🚨New Preprint on Affective Stress Responses in Daily life (N=248) - w/ @vizecolin.bsky.social and @aidangcw.bsky.social! We used high-density sampling after stressful events to closely examine the dynamic affective response following daily hassles by estimating latent microtrajectories. 1/3
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Lesley Norris, PhD @lesleynorris.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Now that I understand starter packs, I've (re)started one for people interested in all things psychotherapy personalization and optimizing treatments to the individual 😊 Anyone welcome! And consider joining our Person-Centered Treatment and Prevention Collaborative group! go.bsky.app/FXmURQf
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Marieke A. Helmich @mahelmich.bsky.social · 09/11/2024
Wowed by the fact that the cover of the new @natrevpsych.bsky.social issue was inspired by our Perspective paper 🤩 read it here: rdcu.be/dWyLO co-1st @schreudermj.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @harrietteriese.bsky.social @eveliensnippe.bsky.social @arnoutcsmit.bsky.social
rdcu.be
Slow down and be critical before using early warning signals in psychopathology
Nature Reviews Psychology - Early warning signals have been proposed to predict symptom changes and to provide timely warnings of mental health risk and recovery. In this Perspective, Helmich et...
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Dominique Maciejewski 🟥 @domimaciejewski.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
I had a blast spending a whole week working on improving the measurement of intensive longitudinal data with so many smart and kind people. Like a nerdy school trip with friends. Thank you 🙏 @eikofried.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @miguelsilan.bsky.social Josip razum #LorMITNB
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Jingmeng Cui @cuijingmeng.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
Hi #LorMITNB forks, this may be useful of you want to follow other participants ; ) go.bsky.app/42Nh8oA
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 04/11/2024
Amazing to see so many early career folks who care deeply about improving measurement of intensive longitudinal data #LorMITNB
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Marieke A. Helmich @mahelmich.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
🚨New paper! 🚨 Very excited to see our Perspective article on the use of early warning signals in psychopathology is now published in @natrevpsych.bsky.social ! Link to the PDF here rdcu.be/dWyLO And 1/5 🧵below 👇 #MentalHealth #ClinPsychSky #PsychSciSky #Psychology #Psychiatry #ClinPsy 🧪
Screenshot of the title and abstract of the article "Slow down and be critical before using early warning signals in psychopathology", linked in the post.
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Omid V. Ebrahimi @omidvebrahimi.bsky.social · 24/10/2024
Starter pack for EMA, ESM, and Intensive Longitudinal Researchers. Feel free to share, follow, and nominate. Suggestions welcome! go.bsky.app/LzqJoUX #ESM #EMA #AA #IntensiveLongitudinalResearch
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Miri Forbes @miriforbes.bsky.social · 22/10/2024
Not sure if I’m doing this right, but I’ve had a go at starting a ‘Reconceptualising psychopathology’ starter pack (e.g., HiTOP, RDoC, dynamic systems, clinical staging). Please do send me suggestions or requests to be added! go.bsky.app/Pek9ycQ
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Tim Kaiser @tkaiser.science · 21/10/2024
I made a clinical psychology/psychotherapy research starter pack thingy. If you are new here and interested in these topics, feel free to follow! go.bsky.app/Qk93DiE
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Marieke A. Helmich @mahelmich.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
🚨New paper! 🚨 Very excited to see our Perspective article on the use of early warning signals in psychopathology is now published in @natrevpsych.bsky.social ! Link to the PDF here rdcu.be/dWyLO And 1/5 🧵below 👇 #MentalHealth #ClinPsychSky #PsychSciSky #Psychology #Psychiatry #ClinPsy 🧪
Screenshot of the title and abstract of the article "Slow down and be critical before using early warning signals in psychopathology", linked in the post.
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Daniel P. Moriarity @dpmoriarity.bsky.social · 01/10/2024
Looking forward to this! Got lots of my favorite ESM all-stars Fritz @marilynpicciri1.bsky.social @depressionlab.bsky.social @maddyfrumkin.bsky.social Kirtley Moeller Neubauer @lesleynorris.bsky.social Schuurmann Snippe @bringmannlaura.bsky.social #PsychSciSky journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
So You Want to Do ESM? 10 Essential Topics for Implementing the Experience-Sampling Method - Jessica Fritz, Marilyn L. Piccirillo, Zachary D. Cohen, Madelyn Frumkin, Olivia Kirtley, Julia Moeller, And...
The experience-sampling method (ESM) captures psychological experiences over time and in everyday contexts, thereby offering exciting potential for collecting m...
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Gudrun Eisele @gudruneisele.bsky.social · 11/06/2024
Happy to share the result of our Delphi study with 40+ international ESM/EMA experts: ESM-Q: A Consensus-Based Quality Assessment Tool for Experience Sampling Method Items osf.io/preprints/ps... Part of the ESM item repository project (www.esmitemrepository.com) co-lead by Anu Hiekkaranta (1/4)
osf.io
OSF
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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 11/06/2024
PSA: All #rstats package on #cran will get an official DOI! This will facilitate bibliometrics and giving credit to R package authors. Registering all 20,000+ packages will still take a few more days. But the first couple of thousand are already live. Example:
Screenshot from https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=exams - the CRAN landing page for R package "exams".

This page now includes the DOI 10.32614/CRAN.package.exams
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 09/06/2024
Should you use Likert or VAS for EMA research? In a new paper led by @jmbh.bsky.social & Alberto Jover, we assigned n~160 in a 2 week study to either 📏1-7 Likert or 🎚️1-100 Visual Analogue Scale and compared results using Bayesian multilevel models. Brief thread with results.🧵 🧪 #psychpsysky
Photos of the two scale options, Likert vs VAS
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Daniel P. Moriarity @dpmoriarity.bsky.social · 07/06/2024
Love me a fun paper on affective instability. Now out @ JoCaPS psycnet.apa.org/record/2024-...
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Laura Bringmann 🟥 @bringmannlaura.bsky.social · 20/05/2024
A new look at networks! With these two new papers published in World Psychiatry (onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....) and Advances.in (advances.in/psychology/1...) I hope we can think about including context, changes in the means, and how the network may be moderated by contextual factors.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The future of dynamic networks in research and clinical practice
Click on the article title to read more.
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Olivia Kirtley @oliviajkirtley.bsky.social · 15/03/2024
The ESM Item Repository now has 1000+ items! Help us celebrate by throwing some virtual confetti over at esmitemrepository.com 🎉 🥳. Thanks to our coding team (Yoram Kunkels, Milla Pihlajamäki, Ben Kunc, & Laura Van Heck) for the confetti! #OpenScience
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Dominique Maciejewski 🟥 @domimaciejewski.bsky.social · 14/03/2024
VACANCY ALERT! We're looking for a project coordinator for the collaborative #ESM Mini Many Labs project! Do you want to help us to create an infrastructure to improve replicability of #ESM studies? #OpenScience Apply: tiu.nu/22193 (deadline April 4) More info⬇️ Meer weergeven
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Tak Tsun (Edmund) Lo @taktsun.bsky.social · 26/02/2024
My first PhD paper on emotion regulation (ER) variability is published in Emotion! doi.org/10.1037/emo0001344 With this, we ask: Within adolescents, does emotion differentiation (ED) increase ER variability? Knowing what one feels informs ways to adjust ER, right?
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