Sign in

Laurence

@laurence1084.bsky.social
618 followers 784 following 1.2K posts

Increase your confidence interval.

PostsRepliesMedia
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
What about a mini-mushroom cloud over Mar-a-Lago instead?
100
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
This is the result when you have a Groyper-occupied Government. Regular national socialist messaging paired with the corruption of a West African junta.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
@gelliottmorris.com Making an (inconsistently updated) table of all the model and prediction market forecasts of the midterms I could find. Here’s the latest update:
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
No notes.
000
Reposted by Laurence
Pride Ott 🦦 🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ @hikoukihikouki9.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
It is funny that for the longest time people insisted there was some mass of apathetic voters that could be mobilized by challenging the neoliberal status quo but it turns out they just wanted neoliberalism that was nicer to grandma and meaner to Abdul
18589116
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Knocked on 100 doors with a friend for the @scottwiener.bsky.social campaign yesterday in SF. Can’t wait to do it again!
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
My bsky38.com ballot, with a shoutout to @gelliottmorris.com in particular.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Was a great time at SF's Sydney Goldstein Theater for Annie Lowery and @ezraklein.bsky.social's wide-ranging discussion on administrative bloat and efficiency this evening. The auditorium was packed — and for such a nerdy subject!
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
The case of the fugitive ICE thug is basically just this meme.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/26/us/ice-christian-castro-extradite-texas-minnesota.html?unlocked_article_code=1.8lA.kSjk.nVFyjdaAa-an
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
One of the most important and informative threads you'll read in months.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
020
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
From yesterday’s exuberant rally for @scottwiener.bsky.social. The poster is a reference to Scott’s nickname among many of his Chinese immigrant supporters, 长颈鹿 (“the giraffe”).
100
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Awesome to see my state senator elected to Congress (albeit in am adjacent district), in spite of a $5.3 million campaign to install a vote for more military aid to the Likud.
000
Reposted by Laurence
Bill McKibben @billmckibben.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Mamdani is succeeding in part by projecting joy Ossoff is succeeding in part by projecting steely ferocity We’re in a moment when attitude is nearly as powerful as ideology, because we all need courage. And these are two ways of summoning it
10271181249
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
This is actually the Korean Central News Agency. Except Ri Chun-hee is fucking Chairman Kim.
001
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Idiocracy (2026)
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
There were 7 battleground states in the last election, which means that citizens of 43 states were simply ignored. This system doesn’t give rural states like Wyoming, North Dakota, or Vermont “a voice.”
010
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
From the Ed Sheeran concert in San Jose last night. Really glad I went. I’ll be withholding the video of my brother and I singing wildly off-key.
100
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Good use of polling.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Putting in a strong recommendation for “A Time to Love and A Time to Die” by Erich Maria Remarque, better known as the author of All Quiet on the Western Front. There are few who can paint as full a portrait of every character they name — no matter how minor — as Remarque can.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
What a game. Of note: based on what I could find, Argentina taking 117 minutes to register a single shot is the longest a team has ever taken to do so in any World Cup match since at least 1966.
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Perfectly stated.
000
Reposted by Laurence
James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
1) Interesting "Dems Not in Disarray" front-page framing. 2) Point Dems need to keep making: -Virtually every Dem leader has now come out publicly against Platner. -Virtually every GOP party leader still all-in for Ken Paxton. (And, of course, for Trump) This is not a "both sides" situation.
NYT headline: Platner's Fall Might Just Help Democrats Win Swing State."
431625432
Reposted by Laurence
Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com · 08/07/2026
absolutely insane story, and yeah, just looking at this chart... with the exception of maybe two people, this entire class was cheating like motherfuckers
25941041220
Reposted by Laurence
Cabel Sasser @cabel.panic.com · 04/07/2026
new metaphor just dropped
1136285078729
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Banger thread.
000
Reposted by Laurence
James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
I think Democrats like Cory Booker should take a hard look in the mirror and consider why Jeff Bezos loves their tax cut proposals so much. Billionaires would love to see a weak state with a gutted fiscal capacity.
803613618
Reposted by Laurence
derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
this is really heartwarming. two men exchanging symbolic tokens of things the other has no interest in (football, peace)
188110541791
Reposted by Laurence
onion person @junlper.beer · 06/05/2026
funniest thing i’ve ever seen
433241365344
Reposted by Laurence
Cameron 🇺🇸🗽🦅 @cameroncorduroy.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
>Tim Pool, Dave Rubin, Benny Johnson were all on Russian payroll >Orban loses in Hungary >Rod Dreher immediately leaves Budapest >The Daily Wire fires half their staff was all the right-wing conspiracy posting about USAID just massive fucking projection?
552912609
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
000
Reposted by Laurence
Matt Baldwin @thisbrokenwheel.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
People will just get on the internet and lie. Like, most of the people listed there have been actively involved in protesting & community engagement. One of them (Stancil) was the subject of months' worth of harassment for "bad opsec" and protesting *too* visibly. Clout is a hell of a drug!
612622
Reposted by Laurence
mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
i didn't realize how literally she was pulling wires without understanding them. manually typing shit into the prompter lmao
844824670
Reposted by Laurence
Zarithya😈💻 | Techubus VTuber @zarithya.online · 22/04/2026
5982743332
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
Hero.
020
Reposted by Laurence
TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 13/04/2026
4 new Senate race ratings changes over at Cook Political, and each one is a doozy in its own right: #NCSen: Toss Up -> Lean D #GASen: Toss Up -> Lean D #OHSen: Lean R -> Toss Up #NESen: Solid R -> Likely R Further evidence that the Senate map is shifting left in real-time.
3378
Reposted by Laurence
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
The University of Michigan has been measuring consumer sentiment since 1952. We just got the first Iran-afflicted measure for April, and it's at the lowest level ever recorded.
10322341025
Reposted by Laurence
trevin @trevinflickinger.com · 09/04/2026
Happy Appomattox Day to all that celebrate
3662701850
Reposted by Laurence
RoBat out of Hellême @rbelleme.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
I have seen one good example of this plate
7174581470
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Kevin Sorbo is 67. He doesn’t get to pretend to be some stupid Groyper born after 9/11 who sincerely believes the country’s biggest city isn’t vastly safer today than it was back then.
Source: https://archive.is/bDXBw
030
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
youtu.be/ljwUlY9WW1I
youtu.be
MANUEL / GAS GAS GAS【Official Lyric Video】【頭文字D/INITIAL D】
YouTube video by avex
000
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
This is the funniest hard news article you’ll ever read. Whichever editor approved this is amazing.
nytimes.com
No One at Waffle House Remembers FEMA Official Who Says He Teleported In
100
Reposted by Laurence
Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
using graduation of US Marines as an opportunity to harvest some of their relatives for deportation
50993362
Reposted by Laurence
Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Also, treating MAGA like it’s a stable political ideology (akin to liberal, moderate, libertarian, etc) leads to conceptual problems. If someone decides that they don’t approve of Trump, they’re much more likely to decide that they’re not MAGA than to be a Trump disapproving MAGA voter.
516329
Reposted by Laurence
Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
The role of the next Attorney General will be the complete annihilation of Trump’s Justice Department, with as many of its current employees as possible rotting in a cell after the conclusion of a four-year term.
28969193
Laurence @laurence1084.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
The @financialtimes.com ran a near-identical version of this story earlier this *month.* I’m voting for the candidate who promises to put heads on fucking pikes.
Source: https://www.ft.com/content/2883d3d4-aea2-4984-b994-4640593eed55
184
Reposted by Laurence
GeorgistSteve 🔰🏗️🌆🪩🗽 @georgiststeve.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
For those paying attention, this new paper out of Auckland (hi mum!) puts Patrick Condon's silly diagram out to pasture. Turns out that housing demand isn't actually perfectly elastic. Who knew?!
1297
Reposted by Laurence
Micah @rincewind.run · 20/03/2026
it's hard not to keep coming back to the fact that they could simply have Not Done This they could have not bombed Iran! the strait would be open! we wouldn't be staring down a massive global economic crisis! none of this had to happen!
4844901005
Reposted by Laurence
Haribo's_Biggest_Hater @jkmcguee.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
A lot of people replying to this in bad faith pretending that the people who don't support stealing for fun are just super pro corporations. But actually it's antisocial behavior and those same people start to feel entitled to a lot of shit that's not theirs and it doesn't end at WF.
117823