iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

How about my parents being proud they still have their glasses from '99...

Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

I want thank all world powers for creating *waves hands* all this, which ultimately led me to have a stopover in london instead of flying directly to conference week.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

I now host all my data on the gesis data site, which is very well maintained, has great admins and is in Europe. Fully recommend!

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review. It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

Would have really thought these kind of citizenship/democracy issues had a political interest or education effect, interesting. Wonder if people support this for different reasons in different subgroups (i.e. what do they think "certain circumstances" are?)

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

Something housing related? Giving home owners incentives for building ther first home?

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Jannik Jansen @jannikjansen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

Today’s Omnibus vote has rolled over an already perforated cordon sanitaire in the European Parliament. For the first time, the EPP sided with far-right groups on a file key to the Commission’s agenda. Make no mistake: this was no accident and it’s unclear whether the centrist coalition can recover🧵

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

These nuanced perceptions hold interesting potential for parties when they try to persuade citizens of a minority government. Stay tuned for more insights on political representation under minority governments from our #MINORITYRULE project!

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

Despite low knowledge levels and general opposition towards minority governments, citizens believe them to work better with the opposition and listen to the demands of all voters. Meanwhile, they see min. governments as less stable, less able to solve conflicts, less legitimate and less reliable.

Figure of perceptions about minority and majority governments

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

Next, we find that citizens dislike minority governments in all countries. In Sweden, only 10% of respondents like them! Especially older voters and government supporters dislike them. Knowledge about minority governments increases opposition towards them.

Figure describing preferences for majority and minority government.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

More likely to answer correctly? Citizens with ⬆️ education, ⬆️ political interest, older voters, and men (although for men likely due to guessing). Small country differences. Most common mistakes: Minority governments defined by getting less than half of votes or by exclusion of the largest party.

Overview of all answers to the knowledge question in the three countries.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

Our survey shows that about 1 in 4 citizens can correctly define a minority government (excluding lucky guesses). This is about the same as the share of people that can correctly define the roles of all parties in parliament.

Estimates of the true knowledge of voters about minority governments and other political information.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

New from @erc.europa.eu project #MINORITYRULE with @sopro.bsky.social: We study voters’ knowledge about and perceptions of minority governments in 🇩🇰, 🇩🇪 and 🇸🇪. Link: doi.org/10.1017/S147... When survey researchers or politicians talk about minority governments, what do voters understand? ⬇️

Screenshot of the start of the paper. Title (Political knowledge and perceptions of minority governments in Europe), authors (Jens Wäckerle and Sven-Oliver Proksch) and journal (European Journal of Political Research)

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

The German data is not great, I collected it from the member's pages of the individual MPs. Once you have all those in a list (which MP was in which committee per term), combining it with the existing dataset is straightforward (just need to check and jnify names and code policy areas).

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

This dataset truly was a monumental team effort, it took more than three years to put together. Thanks to everyone who contributed and gave feedback along the way. If you find any errors or have ideas for extensions, please contact us!

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

As a first application, we show that women across all countries are much more likely to be assigned to low and medium prestige committees (coding from WhoGov by @jacobnyrup) and as members rather than leadership. We are excited to see the many ways other people will use this data!

A plot describing the share of women among low, medium and high prestige committees and among members and leadership across the fourteen countries. In almost all cases, women are more likely to serve in low and medium prestige committees and as members rather than leadership.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Each position is assigned a role according to the table below. Committee members are by far the most common, but there are other types. We also collect executive positions.

A table listing the roles minister, deputy minister, minister of state, parliamentary secretary, committee chair, party spokesperson, deputy committee chair, deputy party spokesperson, committee member, and deputy committee member. The first four roles are in the executive branch, the others in the legislative. The table also lists typical positions for each role.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

The dataset covers European countries plus New Zealand and the US from 1989 to 2024. Overall, there are over 130,000 positions! Each entry is one MP’s position for one party within one legislative term.

A table listing the cases in the 14 countries in the dataset. Overall, there are 134295 positions from 1989-11-21 to 2024-12-31. 96.51% of them have Wikidata IDs connected to them.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️

doi.org

GESIS-Suche

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 18/09/2025

The current consensus in political science is that Nazis hating me and me hating Nazis are both equal parts of the ~polarization problem

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/09/2025

Give Tadej Pogacar French citizenship and we'll avoid the runoff!

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · 08/09/2025

Blog post: github.com/sophieehill/... TL;DR: There are a LOT of errors/inconsistencies in the results reported in this paper (estimates outside CIs, sign errors, duplicates, asymmetric CIs). Even in the abstract itself! This suggests manual editing of results tables. Which is not good... 🧵

Summary
Unfortunately, this example is not an isolated issue.

Across 9 appendix tables with 256 regression coefficients, I find:

5 cases of estimates outside their reported confidence interval
46 duplicates (i.e. estimate/CI combinations with an identical match in the same table)
At least 20 cases of asymmetric confidence intervals, which cannot be explained as rounding errors
17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others to 3 decimal places), indicating manual editing of tables
Over 50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008
It is difficult to diagnose exactly what is going on without access to the underlying data and code.

However, two broad conclusions can be drawn:

There are many errors and inconsistencies in the results which appear to be the result of manual editing.
There are strange patterns in the results which, if genuine, should have been noted and explained by the authors.

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 10/09/2025

The pretty draft is now online. Link to paper (free): www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.... Our replication package starts from the raw data and we put real work into making it readable & setting it up so people could poke at it, so please do explore it: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

The social sciences face a replicability crisis. A key determinant of replication success is statistical power. We assess the
power of political science research by collating over 16,000 hypothesis tests from about 2,000 articles in 46 areas of the
discipline. Under generous assumptions, we show that quantitative research in political science is greatly underpow-
ered: the median analysis has about 10% power, and only about 1 in 10 tests have at least 80% power to detect the
consensus effects reported in the literature. We also find substantial heterogeneity in tests across research areas, with
some being characterized by high power but most having very low power. To contextualize our findings, we survey
political methodologists to assess their expectations about power levels. Most methodologists greatly overestimate the
statistical power of political science research.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

The "somewhat" is just perfect. How many placebo Europes matter more?? HOW MANY?!

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 07/08/2025

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

It tells us so much about the debate around immigration that the first response by journalists and politicians here is not: does this mean they are over- or underrepresented? This bias and ignorance used to be limited to the most lurid and hateful parts of the media. It is now a standard response.

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 21/07/2025

I'm adding to the Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts collection: Comments from Reviewer 2

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

The end. Shout out to Nyunyu wholesale dongdaemun for an excellent collection.

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts. A thread. 1. Quantitative methods

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

Thank you, I'm very happy they are useful!

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 29/06/2025

Blatant power grab! Gone will be the days of "Questions in legislative politics II", what have we become 😕

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

Very excited to be part of this new association, a great future ahead for European political science.

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Need causal insights into how people make decisions? Conjoint survey experiments let you unpack complex choices in realistic settings. Learn to design, implement, and analyze them in our #GESISsummerschool course with @phanxi.bsky.social & Lukas Rudolph. Book Now ➡️ t1p.de/GSS25-C6

GESIS Summer School in Survey Methodolgy
Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments
04 to 08 August | Cologne
Franziska Quoß (GESIS) & Lukas Rudolph (University of Konstanz)

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

If you see this scene, your likelihood of AfD vote adds up to >0.5***

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

Now out in an issue with proper page numbers🎉 Women in parliament, particularly in left parties, adapt their speaking style over the years to fit the male-dominated hierarchies of parties and parliaments With the best coauthors one could ask for @dmpullan.bsky.social @jwaeckerle.bsky.social

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

Women in male-dominated organizations often must adopt more stereotypical masculine traits to advance within those hierarchies. While politics, historically male-dominated, should induce women to ble...

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Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Franziska Quoß @phanxi.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

📢 Our latest research (with L. Rudolph, @uni-konstanz.de) on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, has just been accepted @thejop.bsky.social 🌦️Natural experiments offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy:

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

And if not, you can always get a second bite of the apple and maybe stretch this research agenda a bit

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