iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

What are the best ideas on how to set written anonymous assignments for students in 2026 that addresses the AI problem?

Reposted by Jakob Thomae

Mike Konczal @mtkonczal.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

BLS this morning, with revised 2Q data: "The labor share, which is the percentage of output that accrues to workers in the form of compensation, was 52.8 percent in the second quarter of 2026, the lowest level in the series, which begins in the first quarter of 1947."

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

I use Claude and I think people should know when I do. So I am pro watermark (even if I disclose use in text anyway). And if i am worried people won‘t engage with my thoughts because of it, then hiding it would make it worse, because it would be intentional deceit in an attempt to take away agency

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

It is *already* more sensible for my AI use case to use open weights + home engine and thats now (and I never reach any usage limit ever). The economics or large centralized data centers and US frontier labs are going to be brutal

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Emily Pontecorvo @emilypont.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

I have a long story out today about what’s going down at the Greenhouse Gas Protocol. This org touches everything that’s happening globally on climate change, and is painfully (bc it’s so esoteric) important to climate action. Hope you give it a read. heatmap.news/carbon-remov...

heatmap.news

Leading Climate Standards Group Fraught With Secrecy and Bias, Whistleblowers Say

A new report shared exclusively with Heatmap documents failures of transparency and governance at the Greenhouse Gas Protocol.

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Reposted by Jakob Thomae

Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 20/04/2026

With the latest set of El Niño forecasts, NOAA's CFSv2 model needs to get a larger y-axis scale 😯

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Catherine McKenna @cathmckenna.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Gas tax breaks are bandaids at best. Real solution is to help low & middle-income Cdns get off fossil fuels. Invest in solar, heat pumps, batteries, EVs. Tackle barriers, offer real incentives & fund w/ windfall tax on Big Oil (who are laughing all the way to the bank). Cleaner, cheaper, healthier.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

This debate misses the point. The relative profitability is not what matters for the transition but the economics of demand which have now fundamentally shifted. The reason green stocks are flat are related to cost of capital impact expectations which operate via a different channel

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

I am not an expert and don‘t often post but I just don‘t see any other off ramp to this conflict than the deployment of nuclear weapons for the US government unless magically the Iranian government is replaced or magically Trump accepts a return to what was effectively pre war status quo. Seems bad

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Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

‘Point-of-no-return’: Lock-in of a hellish ‘hothouse Earth’ getting closer, warn scientists - Continued global heating could set an irreversible course by triggering tipping points, but the public and politicians are largely unaware #climatecrisis Story by me www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.com

Point of no return: a hellish ‘hothouse Earth’ getting closer, scientists say

Continued global heating could set irreversible course by triggering climate tipping points, but most people unaware

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

I am always intrigued by this kind of take because what threshold qualifies as “serious”. Would this action described below that would have saved maybe 1 gt of emissions worldwide then all of a sudden make it serious?

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

Nevermind the jobs you had, tell me five classes you took in college Islamic Law Advanced Turkish Mandarin Beginner French Intermediate Quantitative Methods

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

One of the fundamental failures of environmental accounting is that we have figured out how to count emissions, but not measure who is responsible. This post a perfect example where producers of emissions (germany, japan) are compared to facilitators of emissions (saudi arabia)

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

Does anybody in Brussels understand how ridiculous and utterly unprofitable maintaining EU wide petrol station infrastructure would be for 10% petrol vehicle sales? At this point, its all or nothing anyway…

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 29/11/2025

Oh those rich, rich, rich *checks notes* Nepalese in that warm warm flat *checks notes* Himalayan environment

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

The carbon intensity of crypto versus fossil fuels stocks is like 100:1 whats worse, because you’re transacting, each investment involves 100% additional emissions whereas with ff stocks, its secondary markets.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

I am not sure why we choose to interpolate what the future in 75 years will look like based on a policy reference that ends in 10 years. Especially since the equivalent exercise 10 years ago could not have been more wrong (with projections still at +3.5C

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Its one of the mysteries of climate reporting. This confusion is as old as IEA itself. UNEP production gap report makes the same mistake fwiw. It fundamentally distorts public perception of what to expect, for the worse.

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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 02/08/2025

They never seem to think to ask the next question... Without remembering any knowledge how do you know what question to ask AI? How can you sense check it? What are you "thinking critically" about? We went through all this already with Google.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 26/05/2025

The issue @ketanjoshi.co raises is at the heart of the footprinting story: we havent decided what they measure. Services provided? Responsibility? Power? Should the emissions from an oil rig go to the company making the screws? If no, how is that different from AWS? Genuine philosophical/ ethical q.

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Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

According to a Feb. 2025 report from First Street Foundation (firststreet.org/research-lib...), climate migration of over 55 million Americans will occur by 2055: about 15 million from heat, 13 million from wildfires/smoke, 12 million from flood, and 11 million from drought.

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Michael Wara @michaelwara.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

As a result, what is coming, that few want to talk about, is the end of an availability crisis and the beginning of an affordability crisis for homeowners in California. And I'm not talking about underinsurance. I'm talking about just affording enough coverage to keep your mortgage servicer happy.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 25/04/2025

One of the most curious outcomes of the ‘climate doom’ narrative is that 2.5c is probably at this stage worst case scenario this century but nobody has noticed

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Challenge. Explain the current crisis in one chart.

Chart of net international investment position with US building up 20 trillion deficit as other countries oscillate at +/- 3 trillion (G7 + China)

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Reposted by Jakob Thomae

Simon Nixon @nixonsimon.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

The scariest chart in the world right now. Who is selling US treasuries? Via @johnauthers.bsky.social

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

The “Republican Make-up” pod needs a Pt. II please on JD Vance’s eyeliner. Thank you in advance @inbedwiththeright.bsky.social @adriandaub.bsky.social @moiradonegan.bsky.social

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Joe Sonka 😐 @joesonka.lpm.org · 07/04/2025

Having a normal one

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

The problem is if all trade surplus countries tried to liquidate their net international investment position surplus, it goes up in smoke. Insanely worrying

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

Within 1 question, AI just turns the formula around. We are sooo far away from this being useful

Screenshot of copilot responses with wrong conversions of gt into billion tonnes in one answer, and correct in another response

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

Something happened in the past 20 years where a) entire industries can lose money forever; b) they market this as ‚scaling‘ and c) this is so common that this isn‘t considered newsworthy

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 25/03/2025

Brillant! I can imagine why solar storms weren‘t mentioned but this is what keeps me up at night. All this plus a Carrington event frying every transformer say in the Northeast Corridor would represent an unimaginable calamity

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Constanze Bayer @looreen.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

Ich lese gerade viele Berichte über vergangene Hochwasser. Und dass oft Häuser von Betroffenen abgerissen werden mussten, als das Wasser dann weg war. Aber nicht, weil das Wasser selbst die Bausubstanz zerstört hat. Sondern das ausgetretene Öl der Heizung.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Happy publishing day to me! Sure, my book has a dinosaur on the cover. But then you‘re way more likely to read it than a 500 page book on microbes that sounds interesting but languishes on the shelf. Buy my the book, no regret guarantee :-) www.penguin.co.uk/books/468076...

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

I really wish somebody could explain to a non-military expert like me which country would attack the UK? Russia couldnt make it to Kiev. China is on the other side of the world.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 18/03/2025

We will have +90% EV market share in sales by 2035 globally and nobody is ready for it…in what world would a *normal* consumer buy an ICE in 2035? Like buying a horse and cart in 1950

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

Feels like the right day to announce my English-language book is now available for pre-order wherever you get your books. www.waterstones.com/book/the-poc... I had this long post planned about why this book and why you should pre-order it but honestly, just open any news site today….

waterstones.com

The Pocket Guide to Planetary Peril by Jakob Thomä | Waterstones

Buy The Pocket Guide to Planetary Peril by Jakob Thomä from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

waterstones.com

The Pocket Guide to Planetary Peril by Jakob Thomä | Waterstones

Buy The Pocket Guide to Planetary Peril by Jakob Thomä from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

Haven taken rental cars for +15 years. Today 1st time rental company called to double check whether I was ok driving a certain make => Tesla. This wasn‘t an EV issue. I had requested an EV. This is 100% reputation. Unparalleled toxicity. Teslas future looking bleak

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Jens Terhaar @polarocean.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

Has the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weakened over the last decades? In our new study, we combine state-of-the-art CMIP6 models and observation-based estimates of the air-sea heat flux in the North Atlantic to show that the AMOC has not declined since the 1960s! 🌊

nature.com

Atlantic overturning inferred from air-sea heat fluxes indicates no decline since the 1960s - Nature Communications

The AMOC is crucial for the global ocean overturning circulation and controls the climate around the North Atlantic. Here, the authors use 24 Earth System Models from the CMIP6 to demonstrate tha...

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 08/01/2025

Anybody else getting these vibes atm when reading about Canada, Greenland, Gaza, Ukraine, Panama…

Poster from WW I with the title „over by christmas“

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Marie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 20/12/2024

! www.ft.com/content/2262...

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

The hypocrisy boggles the mind, same people in at least a few cases who will have vilified the just stop oil protests. Ridiculous

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 03/12/2024

Newsletter: We're at peak AI - generative AI models have hit the wall where they won’t improve much further thanks to a lack of training data, killer apps or any kind of sustainable business model. The results of a collapse could be catastrophic. wheresyoured.at/godot-isnt-making-it

wheresyoured.at

Godot Isn't Making it

Before we get going — please enjoy my speech from Web Summit, Why Are All Tech Products Now Shit? I didn’t write the title. What if what we're seeing today isn't a glimpse of the future, but the new ...

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Jakob Thomae @jakobthomae.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

Tim Bendzko writing a song in 2011 where „148 unread emails“ was a lot. Thats like listening to a rapper talk about gameboys. You just dated yourself…

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