Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Targeting “foreign-funded” NGOs does little to make restrictions more acceptable, according my survey experiments in Slovakia, Hungary & Türkiye. But repression may still gain political cover when people see it as someone else’s problem, or when it arrives looking like ordinary paperwork. 032
Reposted by Ilker KalinThe Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 04/09/2026📝 Last year, #Slovakia overturned controversial new reporting + disclosure requirements for #NGOs. 📊 Drawing on survey experiments in Slovakia, Hungary + Türkiye, @ilkerkalin.bsky.social shows that targeting 'foreign-funded' organisations does little to legitimise restrictions. 👉 buff.ly/AhAT16cbuff.lyWhen civil society repression looks like ordinary administrationLast year, Slovakia overturned controversial new reporting and disclosure requirements for non-governmental organisations. The country's subsequent turn to administrative scrutiny illustrates a broade... 031
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Can delegating repression to an appointed intermediary make it look less political? My survey experiment suggests the opposite, but there are limits to this finding. In @turkeyrecap.bsky.social, I discuss what this means for Turkey's kayyım practice & for the opposition. 001
Reposted by Ilker KalinTurkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 19/08/2026"Citizens may not reject repression simply because it violates democratic norms. Their response depends rather on their existing political loyalties: Who is being targeted, and how that target has been framed." @ilkerkalin.bsky.social on the Turkey's kayyım system:turkeyrecap.comOp-ed | Exposing repression is only half the battle for Turkey's oppositionTurkey’s system of ‘rule by replacement’ is becoming easier to recognize. My survey experiment suggests how — and why that is still not enough for the opposition. 032
Reposted by Ilker KalinCarla Martinez Machain @carlammm.bsky.social · 21/05/2026Conventional wisdom says that US foreign military training builds influence abroad, but is it true at the individual level? U.S. trained officers **are** more likely to grant a U.S. request, but expect reciprocity. New paper at #JCR with @ilkerkalin.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 173
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 19/05/2026New paper w/ @carlammm.bsky.social in JCR! 🎉 Q: Does U.S. military training actually create influence with foreign officers? (Short answer: Yes!) Using interviews & a survey experiment with Turkish officers, this paper provides an answer: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...journals.sagepub.comFrom Training to Influence: The Role of U.S. Military Training in Turkish Officers’ Decisions - Ilker Kalin, Carla Martínez Machain, 2026How does U.S. military education build influence among foreign officers? This study proposes two theoretical pathways from training to influence. The extrinsic ... 184
Reposted by Ilker KalinAlexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 12/05/2026Early in my PhD, a colleague finishing his (highly rated) dissertation told me he was stuck on the introduction. After years of hard work, he could no longer find an argument for why any of it actually mattered. This stuck with me ever since. A🧵 about this paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comShould social science be more solution-oriented? - Nature Human BehaviourDuncan Watts considers whether many branches of social science could benefit from setting research goals aimed at specific and manageable real-world problems. He gives examples and discusses how more ... 35213
Reposted by Ilker Kalin European Journal of Politics and Gender @ejpgjournal.bsky.social · 05/05/2026We are delighted to present the new editorial team of the @ejpgjournal.bsky.social ! Led by @grahn.bsky.social and @maarja.bsky.social as co-EIC, the six-strong team represents a new generation of gender and politics and LGBTQ+ politics scholars who will take the journal forward from July 2026. 105017
Reposted by Ilker KalinStuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 27/04/2026Does far-right legislative representation change the descriptive make-up of candidate lists among mainstream parties? Using a RDD with registry data from Sweden, this paper led by @grahn.bsky.social provides an answer doi.org/10.1017/psrm...doi.orgDoes far-right legislative entry affect minority candidate diversity? | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge CoreDoes far-right legislative entry affect minority candidate diversity? 14421
Reposted by Ilker KalinHoward Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 23/03/2026My first piece for Stockholm University's Institute for Turkish Studies: The Next Big Middle East Conflict? The Turkish-Israeli Rivalry www.su.se/english/divi... 22215
Reposted by Ilker KalinTurkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 10/12/2025With roles in NATO and the Organization of Turkic States, Hungary and Turkey occupy a unique space in EU security talks. @szerlasz.bsky.social outlines the transactional aspects of bilateral ties, like TurkStream, and the more abstract bonds, like shared heritage. www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiSM... 011
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 21/10/2025Our article wt @laniganamanda.bsky.social is out in Political Research Quarterly! Using a natural experiment & interviews, we find that police recertification reform in Massachusetts prompt a recalibration of officer behavior, though not a full transformation. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...journals.sagepub.comSage Journals: Discover world-class researchSubscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher. 022
Reposted by Ilker KalinCarla Martinez Machain @carlammm.bsky.social · 12/09/2025For those of you at #APSA2025, come check out our panel today at 4 PM. Lots of papers about troop deployments, foreign military training, and other foreign policy tools! @ilkerkalin.bsky.social 032
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 21/07/2025See my latest blog post for @ecprtheloop.bsky.social Based on fieldwork and interviews with activists, I argue that the isolation of LGBTQ+ activists not only undermines solidarity, but also weakens democracy and plays into the hands of repression. Read the full post here: 054
Reposted by Ilker KalinThe Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 21/07/2025🏳️🌈 In Turkey, gender and sexual minorities are increasingly targeted by the state. 🪧 But minorities are also isolated by opposition groups that purport to champion democratic values. ⛓️ @ilkerkalin.bsky.social argues this weakens democracy, and reinforces repression 👇 bit.ly/44RNXeE 041
Reposted by Ilker KalinForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 17/07/2025In the United States and beyond, democratic backsliding threatens to reverse recent gains in LGBTQ rights, writes @arimshaw.bsky.social. To protect marginalized groups, policymakers and activists must “build up institutional safeguards that can withstand this wave of illiberal pressure.”foreignaffairs.comThe Global Threat to LGBTQ RightsThe fate of legal protections is tied to the fate of democracy. 094
Reposted by Ilker KalinAll Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace @allazimuth.bsky.social · 02/07/2025Our latest issue is now available! Check it out👇 www.allazimuth.com/issues/ 043
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 27/06/2025My colleague, Bogdan Ianosev, is conducting a non-commercial psychology study exploring how musical preferences relate to personality, morality, and worldviews. You can take the survey by using the QR code or this link: gsbscognition.limequery.com/412177?lang=en Please participate & share! 010
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 19/06/2025ETC skriver om Institutet för Turkietstudier vid Stockholms universitets gästforskare @ilkerkalin.bsky.social:s forskning. Ilker visar att inte nog med att ickevålds-metoder är två gånger så effektiva som våldsamt motstånd, de når också resultat mycket snabbare. www.etc.se/utrikes/ny-s...etc.seNy studie: Icke-våldsamt motstånd mer effektivt än våldsamtÖver en treårsperiod lyckades 51 procent av de icke-våldsamma kampanjerna. 042
Reposted by Ilker KalinDagens ETC @etc.se · 17/06/2025Icke-våldsamma motståndsrörelser är betydligt mer framgångsrika än våldsamma, enligt en ny internationell studie från Stockholms universitet.etc.seNy studie: Icke-våldsamt motstånd mer effektivt än våldsamtÖver en treårsperiod lyckades 51 procent av de icke-våldsamma kampanjerna. 0235
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 18/06/2025I had an interview wt @etc.se about our new study on the duration of nonviolent vs violent resistance, conducted together wt @firuzesezgin.bsky.social & others. I talk about what factors help accelerate success & what this might mean for ongoing protest movements today. www.etc.se/utrikes/ny-s...etc.seNy studie: Icke-våldsamt motstånd mer effektivt än våldsamtÖver en treårsperiod lyckades 51 procent av de icke-våldsamma kampanjerna. 040
Ilker Kalin @ilkerkalin.bsky.social · 02/06/2025New policy brief from @golafs.bsky.social & me for SUITS: Turkey may be at a turning point. With the PKK disbanded and constitutional reform back in play, the stakes—for both peace and democracy—are high. We look at what’s changed since 2011, and what’s now at risk. www.su.se/institute-fo...su.seThe Peace Process and Constitutional Reforms in Turkey - Institute for Turkish StudiesSUITS Policy Brief 2025:2 (May) examines the likelihood of pro-Kurdish reforms in Turkey and discusses the role that domestic and external actors could play. 0145
Reposted by Ilker KalinErol Saglam @erolsaglam.bsky.social · 07/04/2025CfP is out for the upcoming conference I co-organise with @bilgeyabanci.bsky.social & Sonia Alonso Sáenz de Oger in Bilbao this coming October. Those working on radical right movements, conspiracy theories, and societal violence, send an abstract here 👇 agenda.deusto.es/en/conferenc...agenda.deusto.esConference: Radical Right Narratives, Conspiracy Theories, and Vigilantism in an Age of Democratic DeclineConference: Radical Right Narratives, Conspiracy Theories, and Vigilantism in an Age of Democr... 043
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 10/04/2025In fact, @ilkerkalin.bsky.social, one of my colleagues, JUST published an article comparing the effectiveness of nonviolent & violent movements. It turns out that nonviolence "outperformed violent movements by a 2-to-1 success rate in obtaining objectives."+ onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1... 1105
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 10/04/2025When I argued the other day that nonviolent protests are not the most effective way to protest against democratic backsliding, some people got very angry. Contrary to what many of them argued, I wasn't making stuff up to defend the status quo. I study politics in an autocratic regime: Turkey.+ 3103
Reposted by Ilker KalinGönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 08/04/2025Here’s my piece from last week comparing Le Pen’s political ban and İmamoğlu’s case: Both sides are using each other to justify their actions—Le Pen calls her conviction politically motivated, drawing parallels to Erdoğan’s tactics, while Turkish officials cite her case to argue that prosecuting ++ 2235
Reposted by Ilker KalinWilmar lgI, PhD @wiligl.bsky.social · 08/04/2025Our society needs other platforms for social networking, exchange and debate, such alternative networks and services have emerged (cf Fediverse). They can strengthen our democracy on the basis of open and recognised standards in decentralised structures. savesocial.eu/en/savesocial.eu🇬🇧Saving social mediaas a democratic force Nina George, Schriftstellerin, Ehrenpräsidentin European Writers’ Council (EWC) Foto: Heike Blenck Rocko Schamoni, Schriftsteller, Regisseur, Musiker, Künstler... 021
Reposted by Ilker KalinErica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 03/04/20251 / Going into what’s expected to be a big weekend of protests around the US, my team at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman.bsky.social, Soha Hammam & Chris Shay) has issued our monthly data release. TLDR: protest in the US is growing at an impressive pace. A few key highlights: 628395
Reposted by Ilker KalinErica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 01/04/2025Lately I've seen many references to the 3.5% rule. A few years ago I pulled together this Q&A on potential uses and misuses of this statistic. www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/defaul... 541417541
Reposted by Ilker KalinSinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Elite defection is not a good sign for Ankara: t24.com.tr/haber/akp-li...t24.com.trAKP'li isim "Devletin dini adalettir" diyerek istifa ettiAKP'li isim "Devletin dini adalettir" diyerek istifa etti 081
Reposted by Ilker KalinSinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 22/03/2025When soft power is no longer enough to i) garner popular legitimacy, ii) manufacture consent, and iii) gain loyalty, iron fist is inevitable to remain in power. 1114
Reposted by Ilker KalinMarksist.org @marksist.org · 22/03/2025LGBTİ+ dernekleri: 'Sen, ben, o, biz, siz, Hepimiz Hedefteyiz!' LGBTİ+ dernekleri, aralarında İBB Başkanı Ekrem İmamoğlu’nun da bulunduğu gazeteci, siyasetçi ve sanatçıların gözaltına alınmasına tepki gösterdi. Açıklamanın tamamı şöyle:marksist.orgLGBTİ+ dernekleri: 'Sen, ben, o, biz, siz, Hepimiz Hedefteyiz!'LGBTİ+ dernekleri, aralarında İBB Başkanı Ekrem İmamoğlu’nun da bulunduğu gazeteci, siyasetçi ve sanatçıların gözaltına alınmasına tepki gösterdi. 022
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 21/03/2025An *incomplete* crowdsourced list of cities with protests in Turkey today: Adana Ankara (multiple) Antalya Artvin Bursa Çorum Denizli Elazığ Eskişehir Hatay İstanbul (multiple) İzmir (multiple) İzmit Kırıkkale Konya Manisa Muğla Rize Samsun Şanlıurfa Trabzon Yozgat Feel free to add to it below! 913651
Reposted by Ilker KalinCarla Martinez Machain @carlammm.bsky.social · 21/03/2025Depressing that we have to think like this now, but this is useful. One important takeaway: have a lawyer's number on you www.washingtonpost.com/travel/2025/...washingtonpost.comEntering the U.S.? Here are your rights at airports and border crossings.Amid reports of travelers being questioned, detained or refused entry, here’s what officials can legally do and how to protect yourself. 022
Reposted by Ilker KalinNate Schenkkan @nateschenkkan.bsky.social · 21/03/2025In Nations in Transit 2020, my then-colleague @zecsaky.bsky.social wrote about how leaders were dropping the democratic facade. This is what’s happened in Turkey now—the final dispensing with even nominal efforts to comply with democratic norms. freedomhouse.org/report/natio...freedomhouse.orgDropping the Democratic FacadeDropping the democratic facade in Europe and Eurasia 17224
Reposted by Ilker KalinErica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 19/03/2025@djpressman.bsky.social, Soha Hammam, and I draw on our research through the Crowd Counting Consortium to show that there is far more protest happening in the US than is commonly understood, and that the shift to economic noncooperation shows powerful potential for future collective action.urldefense.proofpoint.comResistance is alive and well in the United StatesProtests of Trump may not look like the mass marches in 2017, but they're far more numerous and frequent — and also becoming more strategic. 521554646
Reposted by Ilker KalinMichal Grahn @grahn.bsky.social · 20/03/2025Happy to find out that my paper Still proud at the polls belongs to #EJPR 's best cited papers of 2023. For those who missed out on the paper, I show that high levels of LGB voter mobilization do not disappear after the enactment of major LGBT+ rights. doi.org/10.1111/1475... 1205
Reposted by Ilker KalinEloquenti 🧪✍️📚 @eloquenti.com · 19/03/2025🚨 With federal funding dwindling, we’ve created a starter pack of funding bodies offering #grants for #research🔬 📣 Repost & 💙 to connect #researchers with #funding 💵 💶 💷 #ResearchFunding #NIH #ERC #AcademicSky #MedSky #AcademicChatter #ECRChat #NewPI #academia #science #StandWithScience #eloquenti 1111251
Reposted by Ilker KalinCarla Martinez Machain @carlammm.bsky.social · 06/03/2025People in Poland 🇵🇱 prefer U.S. military bases to be further from their homes, but contact with U.S. service members moderates NIMBY attitudes. New paper at @intlinteractions.bsky.social w/ @michaelallen.bsky.social @flynnpolsci.bsky.social , and Grzegorz Smułek www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comAt the Edge of War: Frontline Ally Support for the United States Military1How does public messaging affect public support for, or opposition to, a U.S. military presence abroad? This study focuses on Poland as a frontline ally with an exceptionally high external security... 062
Reposted by Ilker KalinCarla Martinez Machain @carlammm.bsky.social · 05/03/2025If anyone will be around for the last day of #ISA2025 at @isanet.bsky.social , @ilkerkalin.bsky.social and I will be presenting brand new research on how military training affects U.S. influence in Turkey during the 4 PM slot 042
Reposted by Ilker KalinNick Ashdown @nickashdown.bsky.social · 02/03/2025"According to KaosGL’s report, the government plans to sentence 'anyone who publicly promotes, praises, or encourages behaviors and attitudes that contradict one’s biological sex at birth and general morality' to one to three years in prison." www.duvarenglish.com/turkish-govt...duvarenglish.comTurkish gov’t plans to criminalize LGBTI+ identities: ReportThe Turkish government has been planning to criminalize public expressions of LGBTI+ identities and restrict legal procedures for gender affirmation processes, according to the draft law proposal obta... 115
Reposted by Ilker KalinBilge Yabancı—Peace & Justice for Palestine 🇵🇸 @bilgeyabanci.bsky.social · 21/02/2025How do authoritarian regimes create societal consent? In this paper, I examine the use of camps and summer schools as strategic sites for politicized leisure. Theorizing leisure as a tool of ideological engineering enhances our understanding of autocratization. www.tandfonline.com/eprint/87IX8...tandfonline.comBuilding an authoritarian regime from below: the practice of youth camps and summer schools in crafting ‘desired’ citizensThis study investigates how authoritarian regimes seek to manufacture societal consent by mobilizing youth through government-oriented civil society organizations. Focusing on Turkey under the AKP,... 0187
Reposted by Ilker KalinErica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 26/01/2025I'm not teaching my grad course 'Civil Resistance: How It Works' this semester. But here is an abridged version of the course schedule, readings, and films I used the last time I taught it (in 2022). Just in case it's useful. drive.google.com/file/d/14RRJ...drive.google.comReadings - Civil Resistance How It Works Fall 2022.pdf 846162705511
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Turkey has become the EU's prime destination for plastic waste exports. In SUITS latest Policy Brief, Dr. Burcu Binboğa explores how EU waste is often not-as promised-recycled, but ends up being dumped or burned in Turkey. Read the brief & policy recommendations here: www.su.se/institute-fo... 0167
Reposted by Ilker KalinPaul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 08/12/2024🧵 My HOT take on what the fall of Assad means for Turkey. Subject to revision in light of new developments (& if I realize I’m wrong...) 🟩 This is the fulfillment of long-standing Turkish policy of regime change in Syria. 🟩 It significantly advances 🇹🇷’s position of influence in Syria & the region.+ 12514
Reposted by Ilker Kalinjenniferhodge.bsky.social @jenniferhodge.bsky.social · 27/11/2024📣 Attention all peace and conflict scholars and practitioners! The call for the Conflict Research Society Annual Conference 2025 is out! Get your paper, panel and workshop submissions in by 17th January 😀 conflictresearchsociety.org/call-for-pap...conflictresearchsociety.orgCall for papers 2025 - CRSCall for papers 2025 CRS 12118
Reposted by Ilker KalinAll Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace @allazimuth.bsky.social · 25/11/2024Publication Alert – A Forum Article, "Fostering Cooperation in Conflict Research Beyond Borders," by @efetokdemir, @ilkerkalin , Kathleen Cunningham, Deniz Aksoy, David Carter, Cyanne E. Loyle, Seden Akcinaroglu, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. www.allazimuth.com/2024/11/25/f... 0115
Reposted by Ilker KalinRubén Campos @rubencampos.eurosky.social · 16/11/2024I have created this starter pack for nonviolent movements and civil resistance experts as I didn't find one. I hope it is useful. Please, feel free to suggest new additions! go.bsky.app/U8AjoRy 145027