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Gönül Tol

@gonultol.bsky.social
3.7K followers 225 following 392 posts

Director of Middle East Institute's Turkish Program / Author of Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria.

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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 16h
Where does Turkey fit in a Middle East transformed by the Iran War, the Saudi-Houthi conflict, and growing doubts about the durability of US security commitments? I spoke with two excellent scholars, Dr. Meliha Benli Altunışık and Dr. Derya Göçer ++
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Yaman Akdeniz @cyber-rights.org · 30/09/2026
Sansür dalgası tsunamiye dönüştü. Bugünkü hedef @t24.com.tr haber sitesi. Haber yapmanın yasak olmadığı bir ülkede, 2009'dan beri yayın yapan haber sitesine erişim engeli getirildi.
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Can Candan @cncndn.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment by @gonultol.bsky.social - the Middle East Institute (MEI) mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Turkey’s already tiny democratic space continues to shrink. Another independent media outlet, T24, has been targeted. its website and social media accounts have been ordered shut down. t24.com.tr/gundem/sosya...
t24.com.tr
Dünyada da referans gösterilen Türkiye'nin en büyük bağımsız haber sitesi T24, sosyal medyada başlatılan iftira kampanyası sonrası kapatıldı! | T24
T24 hakkında bir süredir sosyal medyada iftira ve linç kampanyası yürütülüyordu. Kapatma kararının "Ailem Güvende" soruşturması kapsamında alındığı duyuruldu.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Read our collection of short essays by @MiddleEastInst fellows exploring the many dimensions of the war with Iran, from its regional and geopolitical consequences to its economic and security implications. Find the full collection here: mei.edu/beyond-the-i...
mei.edu
The Middle East Beyond the Iran War - Middle East Institute
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T24 @t24.com.tr · 27/09/2026
Türkiye de listede: İşçiler için en kötü 10 ülke açıklandı t24.com.tr/foto-haber/t...
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
And Turkey, which has invested significantly in Ethiopia.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
All regional autocrats, including Erdoğan, pinned their hopes on Trump, whom they thought was “one of us.” And that was exactly the problem. Almost two years into his presidency, Trump has not only failed to follow through on his promises to these leaders, but his reckless policies have ++
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Turkey’s deepening fund scandal has now reached the upper ranks of the ruling AK Party, with Deputy Chair Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya resigning from her party position amid allegations over stock trades involving her and her husband. t24.com.tr/politika/akp...
t24.com.tr
AKP Sözcüsü Çelik: Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya'nın af talebi kabul edildi, artık MYK ve MKYK üyemiz değil | T24
Adı fon soruşturmasına karışan AKP Genel Başkan Yardımcısı Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya, görevlerinden istifa etmişti.
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Steven Heydemann @stevenhyde.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Debating Syria's economic transition. syrianobserver.com/society/syri...
syrianobserver.com
Syria’s Market Economy: Dismantling Subsidies and Protecting Vulnerable Groups - The Syrian Observer
Syria is navigating a difficult post-conflict transition after the fall of the Assad regime, Syria TV writes.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The governments of Kenya and Norway hosted the launch of our new report on the sidelines of #UNGA yesterday, bringing together high-level officials from across the Horn and the US. A few takeaways on how the Iran and Saudi-Houthi wars are reshaping the Horn:1/5
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JamesInTurkey.com @jamesinturkey.com · 23/09/2026
Ankara’s mayor has made his move. He leaves the CHP – the party that embraced him more than 16 years ago – and vows to sit as an independent, saying his first responsibility is to the voters who elected him.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Excellent piece by @abuaardvark.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/18/h...
foreignpolicy.com
The Houthi Advance Is About More Than Just Iran
The Saudi-Emirati rivalry is driving moves across the region.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📣OUT NOW: The Horn and Middle Powers: Entanglement, Competition, and Perception A new AtrocitiesWatch report examines how Turkey, the UAE, Egypt and other regional powers are reshaping the region’s wars, alliances and politics. Read my chapter on Turkish-Israeli rivalry in the Horn here:.👇
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📣OUT NOW: The Horn and Middle Powers: Entanglement, Competition, and Perception A new AtrocitiesWatch report examines how Turkey, the UAE, Egypt and other regional powers are reshaping the region’s wars, alliances and politics. Read my chapter on Turkish-Israeli rivalry in the Horn here:.👇
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 16/09/2026
Turkish stocks slide in ‘fund run’ as investors withdraw $1bn ft.trib.al/B1k0RvB
ft.trib.al
Turkish stocks slide in ‘fund run’ as investors withdraw $1bn
Index provider MSCI raises prospect of cutting Turkey from emerging market to frontier status amid accusations of ‘co-ordinated trading’ by fund managers
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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Worth watching! @natansachs.bsky.social and @gonultol.bsky.social on Turkish - Israel rivalries in Syria www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYYZ...
youtube.com
Mounting Tensions: Turkish-Israeli Rivalry in Syria
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Important new report from @gonultol.bsky.social at MEI. "Turkey will most likely try to remain within the NPT, seeking to expand its nuclear options without openly crossing the line into weaponization while maintaining strategic ambiguity about its ultimate intentions." mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My new report on Turkey’s changing nuclear calculations amid rapidly changing regional security dynamics is out. You can read it here: x.com/gonultol/sta...
x.com
Gönül Tol (@gonultol) on X
📌My new report on Turkey’s nuclear calculations is finally out. For decades, Turkey has been a strong advocate of nuclear nonproliferation. That is changing. I argue that Turkey is unlikely to build...
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My new report on Turkey’s changing nuclear calculations amid rapidly changing regional security dynamics is out. You can read it here: x.com/gonultol/sta...
x.com
Gönül Tol (@gonultol) on X
📌My new report on Turkey’s nuclear calculations is finally out. For decades, Turkey has been a strong advocate of nuclear nonproliferation. That is changing. I argue that Turkey is unlikely to build...
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Reuters @reuters.com · 30/08/2026
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan to hold first defence pact meeting, source says reut.rs/4614s9c
reut.rs
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan to hold first defence pact meeting, source says
Top officials from Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan will gather in Istanbul on Monday for a first committee meeting under ​the joint defence accord that they signed this month, a ‌Turkish foreign ministry source said.
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 21/08/2026
Politicians’ failures to deliver on promises “not only erode confidence in democracy; they also undercut sovereignty.” Read @pahlkadot.bsky.social and @andrewgreenway.bsky.social on how to fix democracy:
foreignaffairs.com
Democracies Need Creative Destruction
How to make government work again.
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 13/08/2026
Trump has amassed staggering wealth in ‘most openly corrupt’ presidency
theguardian.com
Trump has amassed staggering wealth in ‘most openly corrupt’ presidency
Ethics experts and Democrats express alarm as Trump uses office to grow his personal fortune to ‘unprecedented’ level
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Hediye Levent @hediyelevent.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
📌Amerika-İsrail ilişkisi sarsılıyor mu? 📌Trump'ın İran hesaplarında son durum ne? Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social ile Amerika içindeki durumu ve savaşın seyrini konuştuk. Abone olmayı unutmayın! www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OCf...
youtube.com
İran savaşında yeni cephe mi açılıyor? Amerika, İsrail'e desteğini sürdürecek mi?
YouTube video by Hediye Levent
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Al-MONITOR @almonitor.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
OPEC+ boosts September production by 188,000 barrels/day www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
OPEC+ boosts September production by 188,000 barrels/day
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other key members of OPEC+ agreed in an online meeting Sunday to boost oil production by 188,000 barrels a day from September, against a backdrop of disruption caused by…
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Dr. Albert B. Wolf @abwolf1648.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
New @warontherocks.bsky.social: how do the Iran war, Assad's fall, & the PKK's dissolution reshape Kurdish prospects? Joined @gonultol.bsky.social, @akmckeever.bsky.social, & Mohammed Salih to break it down. My section: KRG's leverage with Baghdad. warontherocks.com/the-shifting...
warontherocks.com
The Shifting Fortunes of the Kurds
The Kurds’ fortunes have ebbed and flowed in recent years, but the fall of the Assad regime in Syria in December 2024, the 2025 decision by the Kurdistan
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
📰 Sunday extras: "From Weak Link to Kingmaker? Turkey's NATO Moment" with Amb. John Bass, Gen. Phil Breedlove and @gonultol.bsky.social. [1/5]
youtube.com
From Weak Link to Kingmaker? Turkey's NATO Moment
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
"Can Turkey’s Opposition Fight Back?" with Ilhan Uzgel and @gonultol.bsky.social. [2/5]
youtube.com
Can Turkey's Opposition Fight Back?
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
My latest in Foreign Affairs 👇 www.foreignaffairs.com/turkey/turke...
foreignaffairs.com
Turkey’s Quiet Realignment
Russia’s loss is NATO’s gain.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 08/06/2026
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “Russia’s decline has given Turkey, after a decade of deference to Moscow, the freedom to pursue its interests. Ukraine is the beneficiary,” Gonul Tol writes.
nyti.ms
Opinion | Erdogan and Putin, the End of an Unlikely Partnership
Russia’s decline has given Turkey the freedom to pursue its interests, and Ukraine is the beneficiary.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Read my latest in the New York Times about how Turkey is helping Ukraine expand its presence in a part of the Middle East where Vladimir Putin once enjoyed considerable influence. www.nytimes.com/2026/06/07/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Erdogan and Putin, the End of an Unlikely Partnership
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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
“Erdogan [controls] media, security services and every state bureaucracy, [yet his rule shows] not a collapse, but a slow erosion, from both regime fatigue and his failure to recover the economy.” My comments, along with @gonultol.bsky.social and Henri Barkey for al Hurra alhurra.com/en/21387
alhurra.com
Erdogan’s Grip Faces Its Toughest Test Yet | Alhurra
Within the span of just a few days, the crisis surrounding Turkey’s main opposition party, the Republican People’s Party (CHP), moved from the courtroom to the streets. On May 22, an appeals court …
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
🎙️Sunday extras! Podcasts only edition: "Will the PKK Really Disarm?" with Aliza Marcus and @gonultol.bsky.social. [1/5]
youtube.com
Will the PKK Really Disarm?
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
"Turkey's outsize influence in Somalia fuels corruption and autocracy, says MEI's @gonultol.bsky.social " hosted by @amberinzaman.bsky.social. [2/5]
al-monitor.com
Turkey's outsize influence in Somalia fuels corruption and autocracy, says MEI's Gonul Tol
Somalia is home to Turkey’s largest overseas military base. It has signed an oil exploration and production deal with Ankara that has sparked protests from the opposition. The Middle East Institute’s ...
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
"Middle Eastern Rivalry in the Horn of Africa" with @mmabrouk.bsky.social, @gonultol.bsky.social, Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj. [3/5]
mei.edu
Middle Eastern Rivalry in the Horn of Africa - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
In 2025, jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan made a historic call for the group to disarm and dissolve, raising hopes of ending a 40-year conflict that has shaped Turkey and the wider region. Months later, the PKK symbolically laid down arms in what many viewed as a breakthrough moment for the ++
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
In 2025, jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan made a historic call for the group to disarm and dissolve, raising hopes of ending a 40-year conflict that has shaped Turkey and the wider region. Months later, the PKK symbolically laid down arms in what many viewed as a breakthrough moment for the ++
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Syria is in the midst of a fragile transition. Many observers see positive momentum but the risks remain serious: regional spillover, deep humanitarian needs, funding shortfalls, Israeli strikes, sectarian tensions, stalled political tracks, and continued reports of abuses by multiple actors.++
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
🗞️ Sunday extras: "The Impact of the Iran War on Turkey" with @serhatg.bsky.social, @jasonhcampbell.bsky.social and @gonultol.bsky.social . [1/5]
youtube.com
The Impact of the Iran War on Turkey
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
My latest on Turkey and the Iran war: The war has posed significant immediate challenges for Turkey but Turkish officials think that Ankara could reap benefits from the war in the long term: mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey Sees Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain in the Iran War - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
My latest on Turkey and the Iran war: The war has posed significant immediate challenges for Turkey but Turkish officials think that Ankara could reap benefits from the war in the long term: mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey Sees Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain in the Iran War - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
When people who haven’t read the book argue with the person who wrote it…
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Just weeks before Trump’s war began, Iran was in the midst of a powerful wave of anti-regime protests spreading across the country. But once the war started, that momentum largely came to a halt. To unpack what this war means for Iran’s democracy movement,++
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Hediye Levent @hediyelevent.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
📌"Sıra Türkiye'de" ne demek? 📌Trump, Hürmüz'ü işgal eder mi? 📌Körfez ülkeleri İran savaşına nasıl bakıyor? Siyaset Bilimci Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social ve Gazeteci Sarkis Kassarjian @sarkiska.bsky.social ile konuştuk. Abone olmayı unutmayın! www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPOL...
youtube.com
Sırada Türkiye mi var? Hürmüz işgal edilir mi? Gönül Tol ve @sarkiskassargian ile konuşuyoruz
YouTube video by Hediye Levent
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Israel’s campaign in Lebanon isn’t getting enough attention in the West but the country is nearing a breaking point.On my podcast, Lebanese MP Mark Daou and I unpack what Iran war and Israeli operations in Lebanon mean for the country. You can watch here www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vmxl...
youtube.com
Lebanon at the Brink: War, Hizballah, and the Fate of Democracy
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Israel’s campaign in Lebanon isn’t getting enough attention in the West but the country is nearing a breaking point.On my podcast, Lebanese MP Mark Daou and I unpack what Iran war and Israeli operations in Lebanon mean for the country. You can watch here www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vmxl...
youtube.com
Lebanon at the Brink: War, Hizballah, and the Fate of Democracy
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
In the latest episode of Rethinking Democracy, I speak with Allan Hassaniyan, author of a book on Iranian Kurds. We discuss the history of Kurdish struggle in Iran, where Kurds stand within the broader Iranian opposition, their ties with Israel and the US, and how Kurdish leaders are responding to++
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Trump’s suggestion that they rise up against the regime. Listen here www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sgw...
youtube.com
The Kurdish Card: Can Iranian Kurds Shape the War’s Endgame?
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
In the latest episode of Rethinking Democracy, I speak with Allan Hassaniyan, author of a book on Iranian Kurds. We discuss the history of Kurdish struggle in Iran, where Kurds stand within the broader Iranian opposition, their ties with Israel and the US, and how Kurdish leaders are responding to++
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