Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 30/09/2026It’s not great that the secretary of defense seems to overwhelmingly base his policy priorities on his insecurities, animosoties, personal prejudices, and cartoonish understanding of the world and the military’s relations to society and foreign policy. 1175
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Even the facilities need to be lethal?! Makes me think back to when substandard construction was leading to people being electrocuted while showering in Iraq. 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 30/09/2026While nothing in this explicitly outlines plans for firing civilian faculty the trend definitely seems to be moving in that direction. The problem is that civilian expertise *is* valuable for the goals Hegseth claims to pursue, and that’s not expertise the military can perfectly replicate in house.thehill.comHegseth freezes hiring of civilian tenured faculty at US military academiesDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth directed departments on Tuesday to halt appointments of civilian staff to tenured positions at U.S. military service academies and develop hiring plans that prioritiz… 110
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The bureaucratic burden of IT security theater is real and the time and money spent on this and other useless bits of IT infrastructure stands in stark contrast to the lack of investment in anything cool and usable. 2173
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Every few episodes Danny Go changes his hat and my immediate reaction is “wait who the fuck is that??” 000
Reposted by Michael FlynnThe Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 29/09/2026As a professor, most of what I do is log in to things 471432196
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 28/09/2026A while back someone compiled a spreadsheet containing the various reasons for the Iran war offered by administration officials. Has anyone updated this or created anything similar that runs through the summer or fall? 000
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 24/09/2026“I don’t know my zip code, my phone number, where I am, or how I got here.” That’s a bold sales pitch. 000
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 20/09/2026We love to spend $75 to fill up the family car don’t we folks? 120
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 14/09/2026It used to be putting your hands on an ominous looking glowing orb with a guy meant something. 052
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 13/09/2026While investigating an epic bark fest in the back yard I ushered the dogs inside, and then I heard a creaking sound and saw a large ball of fur go plummeting to the ground from the roof about three feet in front of me, and proceeded to watch a very frazzled raccoon tear ass towards the street. 130
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 15/08/2026Middle age is listening to Slayer as we paint the living room and dining room a relaxing color called “dainty lace”. 141
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 14/08/2026None of this is exculpatory. It’s an explicit acknowledgement that they’re participating in theater designed to deceive the American public and degrade independent journalism aimed at keeping leaders accountable. In any other context we’d call this behavior duplicitous, deceptive, and abusive. 020
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 12/08/2026This is a really good episode insofar as they condense a lot of material on defense production and strategy into a fairly short podcast episode. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...podcasts.apple.comThe U.S. Missile Stockpile Is Dangerously LowPodcast Episode · The Daily · August 11 · 32m 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 11/08/2026“Let me tell you about my journey from a prestigious Ivy-adjacent research university to a tenure track humanities job at a highly selective small liberal arts college” immediately signals your experience is probably unlike 99% of academics but big publications will treat it as representative. 100
Reposted by Michael FlynnSkip Mark @skipmark.bsky.social · 08/08/2026@royaizadi.bsky.social has a wonderful piece in @goodauth.bsky.social. A few takeaways 1/3 1.) pre war support for the government was higher than most people think (50%), while support for regime change was low (30%). The regime had a lot more support than media coverage would suggest.goodauthority.orgWhy Washington keeps misreading IranWhat history and political science can tell us about the resilience of the Islamic Republic’s government and institutions. 1135
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 08/08/2026It took me too long to discover Perkins restaurants. 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 01/08/2026I often have the urge to do this too but general work demands make it hard to set aside the time when brms usually does 99% of what I need. I’ve tinkered with it, run models, I get the gist, but the incentive to become truly proficient with Stan proper hasn’t become strong enough yet. 260
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 25/07/2026The Odyssey was good. I especially liked how Odysseus asked every host if they had Dunkin’. I thought that added some authenticity to the film. 040
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 23/07/2026To be clearer, I’m especially interested in work that might discuss how we think about potential causal influence of thematically linked groups of variables in cases where policymakers have multiple indicators across different thematic areas that they might use to make decisions. 110
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 22/07/2026I’m looking for recommendations/examples of papers that compare model fit and predictive performance for bundles of different predictor variable groupings rather than focusing on causal effects for individual variables. Preferably from social sciences or medicine. I appreciate suggestions! #rstats 140
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Some good discussion of professional military education in this thread. Some of it might me dispersed a bit throughout other sub threads but this is a good place to start. 130
Reposted by Michael FlynnElle @elleisanisland.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Love how the government's trying to scapegoat Taco Bell but meanwhile everyone's all, "Nah, we've had Taco Bell diarrhea. This one's different." 481814250
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 12/07/2026“Trying to persuade people is bad electoral politics” argues man who writes the same blog post for years in effort to persuade electoral politics people to adopt his anti-persuasion view of electoral politics. 711315
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 11/07/2026Even 2–3 years ago when LLMs were still much worse in terms of the baseline product, documenting two violations and assembling all of the evidence to support my claim took up an enormous amount of time. 240
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 09/07/202630% Research 30% Teaching 10% Service 10% Administration 20% Jealously guarding all of the decent furniture items I’ve acquired over the years, whether through inheritance, theft, or one-on-one combat. 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 08/07/2026I just need to accept that the depression and alcohol screening surveys my doctors office uses for annual physicals are poorly designed surveys and not try to argue with them about it. 010
Reposted by Michael FlynnDr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu.bsky.social · 03/07/2026#statstab #574 When the Mean is Misleading: a Guide to Ordered Regression for Meaningfully Modeling Ordinal Outcomes Thoughts: The "it's fine to analyse likert/ordinal data with t-test" camp is not doing themselves any favours #ordinal #likert #probit #regression link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comWhen the Mean is Misleading: a Guide to Ordered Regression for Meaningfully Modeling Ordinal Outcomes - Journal of Quantitative CriminologyObjectives We demonstrate the utility of ordered regression models for analyzing ordinal outcomes frequently encountered in criminology, comparing their predictive accuracy and estimation against conv... 1378
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 03/07/2026We found a small brood of baby bunnies in the back yard this morning. 030
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 01/07/2026It’s extremely weird that Amazon, a company that kind of built itself around fast two-day shipping, takes over a month to receive and process returns from its own network of return drop sites. I bet the credit card companies love it though. 000
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 01/07/2026I mean, I started mentally priming myself for feeling this way on June 1. 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 28/06/2026I wonder if the rush and overhyping with which AI has been sold to large organizations to help generate capital for tech companies will cause a backlash as it fails to fulfill its most fantastical promises. I also wonder if other organizations like universities will take note.the-independent.comFord hired AI and sacked humans. It backfired badly‘We didn’t pay as much attention as we should have to the experience of our most knowledgeable engineers,’ says automaker 122
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 25/06/2026I’d like to see the originalist argument that manufacturing and agricultural production are distinct from commerce in a country whose very existence was based on the production of agricultural and manufactured goods for commercial exchange. 020
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 21/06/2026Jesus. I had to go look at this. I bought 1TB Samsung T7 just over a year ago for $99 and it’s listed for $274 now. 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 18/06/2026Finance writing is just the absolute worst. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stoc...finance.yahoo.comDonald Trump’s Q1 Portfolio Was Just Revealed. He Just Poured Millions Into These 3 Unstoppable AI Stocks.President Trump’s May 2026 OGE Form 278-T disclosure revealed something genuinely unusual in volume, with more than 3,600 individual stock trades in the first quarter of 2026, with heavy concentration... 000
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 16/06/2026Will save for intro to world politics for why definitions and measurement matter. 110
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 16/06/2026A couple of things that have stood out over the last few weeks: 1. The “deals” reported on have almost all seemed to be precursors to actual negotiations. Mostly focusing on Hormuz it seems? 2. Absolutely no discussion of surveillance regime governing any nuclear production?nytimes.comU.S. and Iran Sign Preliminary Deal, but Its Terms Remain Secret 000
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 15/06/2026He looks like a villain from the Dick Tracey movie. 020
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Ahh yes, universities following the old tried and true “put all your eggs in one basket” investment model. 100
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 09/06/2026I will be unavailable for the rest of 2026 and possibly most of 2027. kotaku.com/the-legend-o...kotaku.comThe Legend of Zelda: Ocarina Of Time Remake Is Real, Out This Year - KotakuThe boy without a fairy 010
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 05/06/2026My podcast consumption tells me that the word “exquisite” has become standard in some natsec/military lexicons and it’s strange. 011
Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 01/06/2026A peak at what's coming to the troopdata package. Data for US states! 000