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International Interactions

@intlinteractions.bsky.social
1.1K followers 37 following 65 posts

The quantitative research journal of the International Studies Association

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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
@ahmed_bulbul_ asks whether participation in UN peacekeeping enhances cooperative relations among the states that contribute personnel... and SPOILER ALERT -- the answer is YES www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Deployment to détente: How UN peacekeeping shapes relations among contributing states
United Nations peacekeeping is usually evaluated by its effects on host-country conflict, yet it also constitutes one of the world’s most extensive institutions of military cooperation. This articl...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Does U.S. pressure on allies push their publics toward the bomb? New survey experiments in Japan, Germany, Poland, and South Korea find that even blunt statements that America wouldn't defend them barely change public support for nuclear weapons. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Do negative alliance signals increase public support for nuclear weapons?
For decades, the United States has sought to prevent its allies from acquiring nuclear weapons. To this end, the United States has attempted to reassure those allies that it is committed to defendi...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
What explains radical land reforms in developing countries? Zeng and Wei link these policies to foreigh aid from the Soviet Union. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Wind from the east: Soviet aid and radical land reform in developing countries
What explains radical land reforms in developing countries? While existing literature primarily attributes land reform to domestic factors, we introduce an international dimension by examining how ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
New article highlights the BLOCS database that combines bilateral trade, investment and agreement data. We find trade agreement provisions influence the effects of trade agreements & that some provisions matter more than others for the creation of trade. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Building BLOCS and stepping stones: Combined data for international economic and policy analysis
The question of whether trade agreements are “stepping stones” or “stumbling blocks” to multilateral trade liberalization is not a new one; however, the empirical methods and the quality of the dat...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
How does political inequality among ethnic groups motivate governments to engage in international conflicts? Ngo explores this question in a new paper -- finding that it might be a motivator for diversionary behavior www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Us versus them: Ethnic inequality, diversionary nationalism, and international conflict
How does political inequality among ethnic groups motivate governments to engage in international conflicts? Previous research suggests that ethnic political inequality leads to internal instabilit...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
New Open Access work by Nadine O'Shea explores when government violence against civilians is most likely to follow mediation and demonstrates how complementary conflict management tools can constrain civilian harm. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Talking when the stakes are high: Mediation, UN peacekeeping, and government violence against civilians
Research suggests that mediation can increase government violence against civilians, but the conditions shaping this effect remain insufficiently specified. Drawing on prospect theory, I argue that...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
New piece by Isgandarov -- Trade agreements do not promote peace through economic integration, instead treaties w/ security cooperation & joint bodies reduce conflict by improving transparency, highlighting the importance of institutional design for peace. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Preferential trade agreements and interstate conflict: Disentangling their institutional effects on peace
The long-standing liberal hypothesis that an increase in trade ties contributes to the promotion of interstate peace is repeatedly supported by much research. I question this finding by arguing tha...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Chen and Chang-Liao find that Beijing’s coercive diplomacy relies on sunk-cost rather than hand-tying signals, suggesting that China’s coercive diplomacy serves to moderate domestic audience, shaping public sentiment and retaining societal approval. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Sunk costs without tying hands: Multiple signaling in China’s coercive diplomacy during the 2022 Taiwan Strait crisis
This paper investigates China’s coercive diplomacy during the 2022 Taiwan Strait Crisis. Using quantitative natural language processing techniques, we unveil the key emotional, operational, and sem...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
How do people perceive female executives around the world and how do those perceptions shape foreign policy preferences? Goldberg and Lai use experimental methods to find out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Leading ladies: Gendered perceptions of chief executives and international threats
How do people perceive women chief executives internationally, and how do those perceptions shape foreign policy preferences? Previous research has focused on the ways in which gender stereotypes s...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Lenz, Saleh, and Haftel explore how organizational overlap affects the delegation of authority to IOs. Using novel data on African IOs, they find greater overlap is associated with stagnating delegation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
IO Overlap and the Allocation of Delegation: Evidence from the African Organizational Complex
How does organizational overlap interact with the delegation of authority to international organizations (IOs)? This paper argues that delegation decisions cannot be understood in isolation from th...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Are insurgencies run by nepo-babies more effective? Kreutz and Hegele say YES!! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Parents of the revolution rebel leaders’ intergenerational social capital and insurgency cohesion
Elite-level social capital facilitates both the mobilization and retention of participants in social movements and insurgencies. Well-connected rebel leaders perceived as credible have advantages i...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Think editing an ISA journal sounds like fun? Calls for new teams for ISR and II are now up. Looking for enthusiastic individuals to start January 2028. Feel free to reach out if you are interested! www.isanet.org/Publications
isanet.org
ISA Publications
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Can you really blame us for wanting to share these great papers from our new special issue? Leal explores how conflicting narratives might shape public opinion regarding cyber attacks? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Blame Games in Cyberspace: How Foreign Cues Shape Public Opinion on Cyber Attribution and Retribution
Conflicting narratives about who is responsible for a cyberattack are often thought to create uncertainty about the aggressor’s identity, which in turn could lead to greater restraint in state resp...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
In his contribution to this special issue on cyber conflict, Shandler suggests that cyber power is altering the nature of domestic audience costs and creating new flexibility in leader's crisis decision-making www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Cyber Conflict & Domestic Audience Costs
Cyber power is altering the nature of domestic audience costs. By exploiting voters’ captivation with cyber conflict, leaders can now de-escalate crises without having to worry about suffering dome...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Got more questions about cyber conflict? Gomez and Winger answer the call by discussing alliance commitments in the age of cyberwarfare. Check out the whole special issue! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Answering the Call: Why Aid Allies in Cyber Conflict?
International alliances have incorporated cybersecurity within their collective security mandates, but would these commitments be honored if invoked? Key characteristics of cyber conflict, includin...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Can't get enough of this special issue on cyber conflict? Check out Nadiya Kostyuk's new article on the military design choices being made in the new era of cyber technology www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Beyond Threats: How Allies and Bureaucratic Competition Shape the Initial Development of Military Cyber Capabilities
The politics of how nations design their militaries when they start developing new technologies is a critical question in international relations as it has implications on military effectiveness, c...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
In another OA paper from the special issue on Cyber Conflict, @JelenaVicic, @Gil_Baram & Erik Gartzke explore the missingness problem in cyber events data: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
What lurks beneath the tip of the iceberg? Exploring the “missingness” problem in cyber events data
With growing interest in and attention to cybersecurity, pundits, media outlets, and policymakers are interested in meaningful insights about the nature of cyber conflict. However, the challenges t...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Check out the introductory essay from our special issue on Cyber Conflict from guest editors Gil Baram, Erik Gartzke, and Jelena Vivic www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict
This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
In another great new paper from our special issue on Cyber Warfare, Christopher Whyte investigates how technological novelty influences decision-makers’ reaction to crisis conditions. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Bolts from the blue: How technological novelty impacts crisis decision-making
In crisis, technological threats often present as unfamiliar to non-specialists. Today, however, emerging AI capabilities introduce distinct uncertainties for the decision-maker that extend beyond ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Check out this cool open access paper on Wargaming Cyber Deterrence by Reddie, Goldblum, Armenta, Booth, Lakkaraju, Letchford, Reinhardt, and Schnell. Lots of authors = lots of insights!! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Observing the unobservable: Wargaming cyber deterrence
As the world becomes increasingly reliant on interconnected digital infrastructure, the urgency to understand and manage cyber conflict increases. Policy-makers have long sought to translate concep...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Did you present amazing new quantitative research at ISA? We hope you will consider submitting it to Intentional Interactions soon!
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Check out the introductory essay for our new special issue on Cyber Warfare, guest edited by @JelenaVicic, @Gil_Baram & Erik Gartzke: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict
This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Don't forget --- the International Interactions Editorial Board meeting is this Sunday afternoon at 2PM at ISA. Can't wait to see you there.
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Global Value Chains, structural theory, and cool methods? This paper by Juan Acevedo-Ossa has it all! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The indirect effects of structural power: Political diffusion in the global value chain network
In the past few years, scholars have focused on how states use Global Value Chains (GVCs) to weaponize economic and political interdependencies. However, the unintended political consequences stemm...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Check out new OPEN ACCESS research from @chrauh regarding perceptions of the EU as political actor: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
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Christian Rauh @chrauh.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
🤔 The #EU 🇪🇺 aspires to be a global actor 🌍 — but do other states recognize it as such? My new study in @intlinteractions.bsky.social develops targeted #NLP / #TextAsData tools to analyze 50 years of foreign policy discourse in the annual #UN General Debate (1970–2020). A thread (1/n)
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Christian Rauh @chrauh.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
➡️ Bottom line: Recognition of EU actorness is hardly global and rather mirrors power and value-based conflicts in the international system. 📖 For more detail & context read the full open-access article here: dx.doi.org/10.1080/0305...
dx.doi.org
International recognition of European Union “actorness”: Language-based evidence from United Nations general debate speeches 1970–2020
The European Union is often portrayed as a global actor that is said to wield ‘economic’ or even ‘normative’ power. Such perspectives presume that states in the international system recognize EU ‘a...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Cool new OPEN ACCESS research on the impact of non-military aid on recipient capabilities by Marco Binetti www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
In this new paper, Youngsang Lee shows how US presidential visits can slow the pursuit of nuclear proliferation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Leader visits and nuclear pursuit
How can nuclear pursuits be effectively reduced? Existing research primarily focuses on traditional policy instruments such as security guarantees and coercion, despite their inherent limitations. ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Love the musical Grease and Sanctions? Well, if so this new paper by @peiyuwei.bsky.social‬ on substitutability and multilateral sanctions will be the ONE that YOU WANT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
You’re the one I want: Substitutability, policy preference divergence, and the cost of multilateral sanctions
Under what conditions do sanction-sending states choose to form coalitions? Do the same determinants that affect military sanction coalition formation affect how coercive economic coalitions are fo...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Sick of all tariffs in the news? Tyler Coleman explores non-tariff barriers in his new paper and asks what impact do domestic politics have on the use of non-tariff barriers? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Over the long horizon: Party institutionalization and antidumping trade remedies
International political economy scholarship has documented that non-traditional barriers to international trade have proliferated since the 1970s. Contemporary explanations attribute these trends t...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Check out cool new work by @tobiasrisse.bsky.social on rivalries and arms control!
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Using a survey experiment in Turkiye, @efetokdemir.bsky.social, Menevis Cilizoglu, Omer Zarpli explore how targeted publics respond to sanctions threats. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
To punish or to reward? The effect of sanction threats on public opinion
How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Under what conditions do the target population demand policy concessions, and when do they rally behind their beleaguered leader? We ...
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Tobias Risse @tobiasrisse.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Out now @intlinteractions.bsky.social: In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394 #armscontrol #conflictsky #polisky 🗺
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Susan Hannah Allen @ladyprofessor.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
@intlinteractions.bsky.social Congrats!!!
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
Can we measure naming and shaming? @ghashiakiyani.bsky.social @yuanzhouir.bsky.social & Charles Crabtree show us how in www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Quantifying women’s rights naming and shaming: A novel text-as-data approach
This research note introduces a novel methodology for quantifying naming and shaming practices in the context of women’s rights, utilizing a corpus of 10,760 human rights reports from the US State ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
How do major geopolitical shocks shape state birth? A new article finds that great power shocks (like WWI, WWII, Cold War’s end) spark secessionist “bubbles”—many new bids for independence, few successes. @KyungwonSuh @RyeGriffiths & @SevaUT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Hegemonic shocks and patterns of secession
Studies of secession typically focus on domestic factors that produce independence movements, such as the role of ethnic divides or the concentration of material resources. But motivations for sece...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
How does a sudden increase in imports affect support for environmental policies? There is some evidence that an increase in import competition can lead to more pro-environmental votes in the US. Why? To find out more, check out new work by @rgpark.bsky.social : www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Is trade the enemy of environment?: Congressional voting on environmental policies after the China shock
How does trade competition affect support for environmental protection? On the one hand, import shocks can dampen support for environmental protection, as international trade can lead to a race to ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
How do we know when terror splinter groups will survive? 🐕‍🦺TOTOS🐕‍🦺 and Wendland have answers! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Introducing the tracking of terrorist organization splintering (totos) dataset
What explains why some splinter groups are highly violent, capable, and durable, while others are not? Although existing scholarship provides important insights into the causes and consequences of ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Do terrorist groups that actively claim credit for their violence thrive? @ilaydaonder.bsky.social and Nazli Avdan and Aaron Hoffman explore this question in a new paper in II! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Credit claims and the survival rates of terrorist organizations
This study investigates the relationship between terrorist credit claims and government counterterrorism efforts, focusing on the impact of claims on group survival. Using data from the Extended Da...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Do female suicide terrorists choose different targets? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Women Suicide Terrorism: The Strategic and Tactical Logic of Civilian Killings
A growing body of research indicates that women are increasingly involved in suicide attacks. These studies suggest that women, due to their seemingly innocent appearance, can more effectively targ...
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Marcelo M. Leal @mleal.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Do allies and adversaries shape U.S. views on cyber attribution? In a new paper at @intlinteractions.bsky.social, I show that allies’ endorsements boost Americans' trust in attribution and support for retribution, while adversary denials produce limited and inconsistent effects.
tandfonline.com
Blame Games in Cyberspace: How Foreign Cues Shape Public Opinion on Cyber Attribution and Retribution
Conflicting narratives about who is responsible for a cyberattack are often thought to create uncertainty about the aggressor’s identity, which in turn could lead to greater restraint in state resp...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Does public demand for economic sanctions exist? If so, what factors shape this demand? Check out this new paper by @claywebb.bsky.social & Cora Caton www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A Public Demand Theory of Economic Sanctions
A number of theories about the effectiveness, design, and targeting of economic sanctions highlight public perceptions of economic sanctions as an important factor influencing foreign policy decisi...
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Emma Elfversson @emmaelfversson.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? Me and @rokon-uddin.bsky.social study this question in a newly published article in @intlinteractions.bsky.social. A key takeaway: Postwar urban violence is not just a continuation of war. doi.org/10.1080/0305... (1/5)
doi.org
Unpacking Urban (Dis)Continuities of Postwar Violence
Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? A growing literature has documented how conflict-related violence often continues after the formal end of armed conflict, and also tha...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
How low can you go?? Do warring countries gain anything from low credibility false flag operations? Dov Levin explores these ideas in a new article in International Interactions. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
How Low Can You Go? The Effects of Low Credibility False Flag Incidents on International and Domestic Approval for Interstate Wars1
What are the international and domestic effects of low credibility false flag incidents? One way in which wars occasionally start (as in the case of the 2022 Ukraine war) is with false flag inciden...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Do leaders get a rally effect bump in public opinion for negotiations? Matthew Fehrs explores the impact of Cold War negotiations for US presidents. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Never fear to negotiate? Talks and rally effects
Research on the concept of “rallying around the flag” has focused on the potential benefits for leaders under certain conditions of conflict. What has gone underexplored is whether leaders receive ...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
Are Foreign Firms Good for the Environment? Ana Carolina Garriga & Muzhou Zhang focus on protected areas to explore how FDI might affect biodiversity. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Are Foreign Firms Good for the Environment? FDI and Protected Areas
Despite the coexistence of three trends—increased economic integration, a dramatic reduction in biodiversity, and the implementation of national policies to reduce extinction risks—we know little a...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Does corruption within the police & military increase the likelihood that government security forces will be associated with sexual violence against civilians?Margaret Adelia Avera says YES! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Corruption Among Government Security Forces and Sexual Violence Against Civilians
Does corruption within the police and military increase the likelihood that government security forces will be associated with sexual violence against civilians? I conduct a cross-national analysis...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Are all rebels equally likely to provide public welfare services? John Ishiyama and Sung Min Sun say perhaps not... www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Not All Stationary Bandits are the Same: Ethnicity, Insurgency Goals, and Welfare Service Provision
Rebels often provide welfare services to civilians to build public support for their cause. However, are some rebels more likely to provide these than others? We argue that ethnicity and insurgency...
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International Interactions @intlinteractions.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Weidong Zhang asks Can money and connections buy international influence and improve a state’s international status? FDI helps predict sponsorship patterns in the UNGA www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Importance of Money and Connections: Explaining International Status from UNGA Draft Sponsorship Networks
Can money and connections buy international influence and improve a state’s international status? This paper argues that outward foreign direct investment (FDI) by a state is associated with the im...
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