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What is happening in Turkey is nothing less than a war of attrition against dissidence (be it political parties, be it organised civil society, be it critical media, be it cultural sector).

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 22h

Our (with Isabelle Werenfells) edited volume on diaspora politics at a time of democratic backsliding and autocratisation is now out. I am particularly happy as it is - for me - the first edited volume experience in German :) www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...

swp-berlin.org

Diasporapolitik im Zeitalter der Autokratisierung

China, Eritrea, Indien, Marokko, Russland und die Türkei im Vergleich

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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 29/09/2026

Autoritäre Staaten instrumentalisieren ihre in Deutschland lebenden Bürger:innen für politische Ziele. Es geht um Machtsicherung, wirtschaftliche, regionale & globale Interessen sowie Nation Branding. Eine neue SWP-Studie analysiert diese Diaspora-Politiken: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...

swp-berlin.org

Diasporapolitik im Zeitalter der Autokratisierung

China, Eritrea, Indien, Marokko, Russland und die Türkei im Vergleich

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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 29/09/2026

Herausgeberinnen der Studie: Isabelle Werenfels und @sinemadar.bsky.social, mit Beiträgen von Carsten Schäfer, @gerritkurtz.bsky.social, David Kipp, Christian Wagner, @sabfis3.bsky.social

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

As wars drag on, their number increases, and as systemic rivalry becomes even more pronounced, Turkey’s so-called balancing efforts reach their limits. A narrow economic margin for manoeuvre&technological dependencies further exacerbate this situation. The result is less balancing, more alignment.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

If I recall correctly, this should be the first time that Erdogan has mentioned antisemitism alongside the usual talking points, that is, Islamophobia and xenophobia. It is also noteworthy how he wove all these different strands together with an anti-gender touch.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

The agreement over Turkey's gradual handover of the base to Iraq is not a sudden incidence. The two countries signed an MoU already at the end of 2024, agreeing on the transformation of Bashiqa camp into a training camp under the full responsibility of Iraqi armed forces.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Turkey revokes operating license of Iran's Mellat Bank two days after deciding to suspend flights by the Iranian carrier Mahan air. This reminded me of Hamidreza Azizi's piece back in Aug presenting different interpretations in Iran about the Mecca Pact:

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

As the political landscape in Turkey moves increasingly away from political representation towards elite pacts, the media landscape is simultaneously transforming into a series of pillarised platforms for manufacturing consent.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

It is striking how frequently Ankara's rhetoric reappears in analyses of Turkey, blurring the distinction between facts and their representation.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Erdogan's statements in Bishkek about Turkey's possible membership in the SCO are directed in the first place at Washington against the backdrop of defence cooperation and sales.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Erdogan's statements in Bishkek about Turkey's possible membership in the SCO are directed in the first place at Washington against the backdrop of defence cooperation and sales.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

As paradoxical as it might sound, particularly in the wake of Israel’s recent attack on the Abu Duhur airbase, I now consider it more likely than before that tensions between Israel and Turkey in Syria will ease. This situation is also linked to the dissolution of the SDF.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

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Nate Schenkkan @nateschenkkan.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

ECHR/the Council of Europe has already survived multiple similar crises with Russia, Belarus, and Azerbaijan--Turkey will not break it

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Ankara understands this well. Presidential Chief Advisor Uçum warns against "the collapse of the ECHR system" if "decisions continue to be made against TR based on political calculations". He noted the possibility of Ankara reconsidering its status as a party to the European Human Rights Convention.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

PKK's disarmament and dissolution process has yielded its first outcome in Syria tonight.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

After the much expected ECHR ruling on Osman Kavala, the real test now lies with Council of Europe. Ankara did not implement the earlier rulings. It is highly doubtful that it would this time.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

After the much expected ECHR ruling on Osman Kavala, the real test now lies with Council of Europe. Ankara did not implement the earlier rulings. It is highly doubtful that it would this time.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

In fact, Tom Barrack repeated yesterday - what he had already noted in his interview with Anadolu Agency back in 2025 - that Turkey and Israel misunderstand their mutual territorial desires and a reconciliation between the two countries is not only possible but also necessary.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

I am not convinced that Israel’s latest attack on Syria was based solely on domestic political considerations. It does provide Ankara a "rally round the flag" effect, though.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

I am not convinced that Israel’s latest attack on Syria was based solely on domestic political considerations. It does provide Ankara a "rally round the flag" effect, though.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Israel hitting the Abu al-Duhur airbase in Idlib yesterday is as much about Turkey-Israel tensions in Syria as it is about the competition over the control of airspace.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Israel hitting the Abu al-Duhur airbase in Idlib yesterday is as much about Turkey-Israel tensions in Syria as it is about the competition over the control of airspace.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Turkey and Israel had the first round of technical talks already back in April 2025 in Baku to set up a deconfliction mechanism in Syria.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

This extends across multiple sectors at once, including cultural, economic, political, and religious. It aims to sustain regime consolidation while also preparing for the upcoming election.

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Euroopan rajalla? @euroopanrajalla.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

In the crackdown on unwanted religious congregations, Turkish police has conducted an operation against the Furkan Foundation. Should be noted that Furkan leader Alparslan Kuytul has faced prior charges during the AKP era but acquitted

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Turkey and Israel had the first round of technical talks already back in April 2025 in Baku to set up a deconfliction mechanism in Syria.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

"Iran-backed Iraqi armed group Kata'ib Hezbollah has set new conditions for handing over its weapons to the Iraqi state, including the withdrawal of Turkish forces from the Kurdistan Region and the dissolution of the Region's Peshmerga forces." www.rudaw.net/english/cate...

rudaw.net

Kata'ib Hezbollah sets new conditions for disarmament: Peshmerga dissolution, Turkish withdrawal

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Nate Schenkkan @nateschenkkan.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

EU should have taken ownership of this position over a decade ago

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

As far as Turkey’s EU membership is concerned, the train has already left the station. No party wanted to say this outright until now, so they kept beating around the bush. Erdoğan’s statement is changing this situation and tries to take ownership of what will happen from here on out.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

I think Erdogan's latest statement about the EU membership no longer being a strategic priority for TR has less to do with Ankara's so-called new allies (keyword here the so-called Mecca Pact)&more to with the urgency to institutionalise defence and security ties with the EU.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

I cannot prove it but I am almost certain that President Erdogan's planned visit to Syria is timed around the PKK's disarmament and relatedly also around the SDF's integration into the central state structures.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Ankara is determined to weaken dissident actors by depleting their financial, social and political resources until they no longer pose a viable threat. Today's police operations against Suleymancilar follow this pattern.

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William Armstrong @williamarmstrong.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Speaking @turkeybooktalk.bsky.social last year, author David Tongue described the Suleymanci order as a "major money-collecting machine that developed a great ability to...impose discipline and privacy" turkeybooktalk.substack.com/p/david-tong...

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William Armstrong @williamarmstrong.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

The head of Turkey's large Suleymanci Islamic order was detained this morning on corruption accusations, along with dozens of others. Suleymancis are among the country's most influential religious orders, but they are rather secretive and have ambiguous politics. www.trthaber.com/haber/gundem...

trthaber.com

Alihan Kuriş suç örgütüne operasyon: 30 gözaltı

Ankara Cumhuriyet Başsavcılığı tarafından Alihan Kuriş suç örgütüne yönelik yürütülen 17 ilde operasyon başlatıldı. Aralarında Alihan Kuriş'in de olduğu 30 şüpheli gözaltına alındı, 3 şüphelinin yurt ...

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Some thoughts on the parliamentary vote on the PKK's decommissioning bill👇

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Euroopan rajalla? @euroopanrajalla.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Great thread about the passing of the "framework" law in the Turkish parliament re. the ongoing peace process and the implications on (party) politics in Turkey

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Some thoughts on the parliamentary vote on the PKK's decommissioning bill👇

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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Sinem has it right. The peace process isn't the game. It is the play.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Erdogan is today closer to changing the constitution and running for another term. Yesterday, the Turkish parliament passed the draft framework law on PKK's dissolution and disarmament. The law approved by 468 votes in the 600-seat parliament. AKP, MHP&DEM supported it with almost no defection.

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Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

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