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Jules Gazeaud

@gazeaud.bsky.social
1.2K followers 514 following 9 posts

Development economist at CERDI julesgazeaud.com

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Reposted by Jules Gazeaud
Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 18/09/2026
"Spain's self-inflicted migration crisis" by the brilliant and trenchant Hein de Haas A concise and exposition of why border crises, a product of policy, happen and will continue to happen —>
heindehaas.substack.com
Spain’s self-inflicted migration crisis
What really drives migration from Morocco
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
“.. after another employee said he was quitting the company over concerns that AI labs are ‘gambling with our lives.’” @cnbc.com www.cnbc.com/2026/09/09/a...
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NBER @nber.org · 04/09/2026
Randomized cash transfers have negative psychological spillovers on non-recipients, targeted transfers don't, from Travis Baseler, @gazeaud.bsky.social, and Erik Snowberg www.nber.org/papers/w35681
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Jules Gazeaud @gazeaud.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
What happens to the non-recipients of cash and asset transfer programs? In a new NBER working paper with Travis Baseler and Erik Snowberg, we find meaningful negative psychological spillovers, mediated by the allocation mechanism (within-village randomization vs. targeting).
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CNRS Rhône Auvergne @cnrs-rhoneauvergne.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
👀 Cette étude implique notamment Jules Gazeaud (@gazeaud.bsky.social), chargé de recherche CNRS au Centre d'études et de recherches sur le développement international @cerdi.bsky.social
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CNRS Sciences humaines & sociales @cnrsshs.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Questions sensibles, réponses biaisées ? 🔎 Consommation de drogues, violence conjugale, fraude fiscale : les #enquêtes s’intéressent souvent à des #comportements que les répondants ont tendance à dissimuler. Une méthode simple et peu coûteuse pour y remédier : le bulletin secret. 👉 urls.fr/dtp57P
inshs.cnrs.fr
Questions sensibles, réponses biaisées ? Le bulletin secret, une méthode innovante pour améliorer la qualité des données d’enquête
Consommation de drogues, violence conjugale, fraude fiscale : les enquêtes s’intéressent souvent à des comportements sensibles que les répondants ont te
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deankarlan.bsky.social @deankarlan.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
New working paper with Amol Singh Raswan and Chris Udry: "The Sisyphean Pursuit of Evidence for Poverty Traps." A central idea in development economics is that poverty can trap people. We went looking for the cleanest evidence. Here's what we found – and didn't.
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Bastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated daily
scilove.app
SciLove — Discover new research on the go
A personalized feed of the latest peer-reviewed papers — swipe to save, skip, and make connections in minutes a day.
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Jules Gazeaud @gazeaud.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Our paper on the measurement of sensitive outcomes is forthcoming in AER: Insights!
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Julia Seither @juliaseither.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Thrilled to share our new paper! A simple info app improved immigrant integration in Portugal AND transmitted democratic norms to Cape Verde with political spillovers strongest in areas with lower far-right support. With the amazing @catiabatista.bsky.social, #LaraBohnet & @gazeaud.bsky.social
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
🆕 Free online course on private enterprise, productivity & economic growth by STEG & PEDL (@cepr.org) Through 14 lectures, you can learn from leading researchers on one of the central questions of economic development, how to increase productivity. Register here: cepr-org.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 06/01/2026
A new paper by George Borjas—who served this past year in the Trump White House designing some of its anti-immigration policies—claims to display evidence of ideological bias among researchers who study immigration. doi.org/10.1126/scia... 🧵 Thread—>
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Joël Machado @joelmachado.eu · 24/11/2025
‪ With @jeromevalette.bsky.social & Jesús Fernández-Huertas Moraga, we are happy to announce the CfPapers for the 4th edition of the Junior Workshop on the Economics of Migration on May 26-27, 2026 @uc3meconomics.bsky.social, Spain. Submit until February 1, 2026 on economig2026.sciencesconf.org
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
🆕 Climate change and rural livelihoods: How extreme heat drives international migration from El Salvador Today on VoxDev w/ Ana María Ibáñez (IDB), Juliana Quigua (UCL), Jimena Romero (Stockholm University) & Andrea Velasquez (CU Denver): ow.ly/zc5S50XqokT
ow.ly
Climate change and rural livelihoods: How extreme heat drives international migration from El Salvador
In El Salvador, extreme heat lowers agricultural productivity and rural incomes, pushing farmers – especially those with strong migrant networks – to use international migration as a climate adaptation strategy.
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
this post inspired me to ask the free GPT model "what are the most important econometrics papers about "weak identification" published since 2000?" i will post the results i got below
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undercoverhist.bsky.social @undercoverhist.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
What does a Nobel Prize on ‘innovation-driven economic growth’ actually reward? A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
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Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
New Substack post: the Nobel Prize goes to an economic historian and two economists of growth trying to answer the question, where do new technologies come from? someunpleasant.substack.com/p/growing-th...
someunpleasant.substack.com
Growing the Field
What is the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics about?
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
Thought about scientific consensus recently? We have a new DP @i4replication.bsky.social that probes into the famous replication debate between Acemoglu, Johnson & Robinson (AJR) and Albouy - and how experts assess this debate. We find that they disagree. 1/8 www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
this wonderful paper uses our R package, baggr, for Bayesian evidence aggregation! Give it a look :) !!
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David McKenzie @dmckenzie.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
In today's blog, I discuss 3 ways for international migration to be part of a structural transformation policy: 1) as an industry itself; 2) training people abroad in the skills to develop a new industry at home; and 3) through immigration (eg Start-up Chile) blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
blogs.worldbank.org
International Migration as a Structural Transformation Policy
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
🆕 Does index insurance work? Insights from eight experiments in agriculture Today on VoxDev, Pauline Castaing (World Bank) & @gazeaud.bsky.social (@cerdi.bsky.social) discuss the impact of index insurance on smallholder productivity in developing countries: voxdev.org/topic/agricu...
voxdev.org
Does index insurance work? Insights from eight experiments in agriculture
Index insurance can help smallholder farmers take on more productive risks, but its impacts remain modest, uncertain, and highly context dependent.
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Jules Gazeaud @gazeaud.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Interested in agricultural insurance, meta-analysis, and external validity? Read my VoxDev blog with Pauline Castaing, based on an article published earlier this year in the JDE. voxdev.org/topic/agricu...
voxdev.org
Does index insurance work? Insights from eight experiments in agriculture
Index insurance can help smallholder farmers take on more productive risks, but its impacts remain modest, uncertain, and highly context dependent.
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Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
I am teaching a PhD seminar this fall which attempts to put a decision-theoretic lens (or lenses) on research design. So e.g., statistical decision theory, eliciting beliefs & preferences, and rational benchmarks. Here's a draft syllabus docs.google.com/document/d/1... What's missing?
docs.google.com
syllabus Research Design PhD 15.838 2025
15.838 RESEARCH SEMINAR IN MARKETING Research Design: Decision-Theoretic Perspectives MIT Sloan School of Management Fall 2025 Tuesdays 9am – 12 noon E62-346 Instructor Dean Eckles eckles@ TA ...
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Jules Gazeaud @gazeaud.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
How to get honest answers to sensitive survey questions? Our WP introduces the ballot-bag, a new method that is both precise and unbiased, improving on existing approaches such as list experiments. Joint work with Bruno Crépon and Ahmed Elsayed. #econsky www.iza.org/publications...
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michaelbarenboim.bsky.social @michaelbarenboim.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Israel has normalised killing journalists, like it normalised killing medical workers, like it normalised destroying hospitals and schools, like it normalised killing the equivalent of a classroom of children per day. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
theguardian.com
Anas al-Sharif, prominent Al Jazeera correspondent, among five journalists killed in Israeli airstrike on Gaza
Israel admits deliberate attack on the journalist, known for frontline coverage, in a strike on a tent outside al-Shifa hospital
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Anita Gohdes @argohdes.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
I have studied the targeting of journalists for many years, but the scale and public display of these killings is truly shocking: “Israel admits deliberate attack on the journalist, known for frontline coverage, in a strike on a tent outside al-Shifa hospital“ www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
theguardian.com
Anas al-Sharif, prominent Al Jazeera correspondent, among five journalists killed in Israeli airstrike on Gaza
Israel admits deliberate attack on the journalist, known for frontline coverage, in a strike on a tent outside al-Shifa hospital
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Christine Binzel @christinebinzel.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
Israeli political scientist Lihi Ben Shitrit: "The more I learn about genocide, the more shocked and embarrassed I am by my own ignorance. Once I actively tried to be better informed about genocide, the picture in Gaza became terrifyingly clear." forward.com/opinion/7598...
forward.com
As an Israeli political scientist, I resisted thinking this war was a genocide. Here's what changed my mind
The incitement for genocide in the Israeli public sphere is undeniable. So why are so many of us liberal Jews so reluctant?
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David McKenzie @dmckenzie.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
My practical tips for designing, implementing, and analyzing powerful experiments. In today's blog I summarize a new paper I've written for a special issue on power calculations. A key message is that it does not make sense to talk of “the” power of an experiment. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
blogs.worldbank.org
My practical tips for designing and analyzing powerful experiments
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on. Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts. 1/
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
A horrifying statement published today by the Editorial Committee of the Agence France-Presse (AFP) news agency. "Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die" Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die
July 21, 2025

AFP has been working with 1 writer, 3 photographers and 6 videographers, all freelance, in the Gaza Strip since its staff journalists left in 2024.

Along with a few others, they are now the only ones left to report what is happening in the Gaza Strip. The international press has been banned from entering the territory for nearly two years.

We refuse to watch them die.

One of them, Bashar, has been working with AFP since 2010, first as a fixer, then freelance photographer, and since 2024, as lead photographer. On July 19th he managed to post a message on Facebook: “I no longer have the strength to work for the media. My body is thin and I can’t work anymore.”

Bashar, 30, works & lives in the same conditions as all Gazans, moving from one refugee camp to another under Israeli bombings. For > a year he’s lived in utter destitution, working at extreme risk to his life. Hygiene is a major issue for him, with recurring bouts of severe intestinal illness.

Since Feb, Bashar’s been living in the ruins of his home in Gaza City with his mother, 4 brothers & sisters and the family of one of his brothers. Their house is devoid of any furnishings, except a few cushions. On Sunday morning, he reported that one of his brothers had “fallen, due to hunger.”

Even though these journalists receive a monthly salary from AFP, it’s no longer enough to buy food, or they have to pay completely exorbitant prices. The banking system has collapsed, and those who exchange money via online bank accounts charge a commission of up to 40%.

AFP no longer has the ability to provide them with a vehicle and there is not enough fuel to allow these journalists to travel for their reporting. Driving a car means becoming a target for Israeli airstrikes. AFP reporters therefore travel on foot or by donkey cart. (alt txt continued in next post)
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Joey Cherdarchuk - Obumbratta @obumbratta.com · 16/07/2025
Since you folks seem to like lengthy threads, let's look at visualizing distributions. I'll visualize one data set 16 ways and give some other examples of each chart type. #dataViz
DISTRIBUTIONS: 16 ways to visualize them
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Alice Evans @draliceevans.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Call me basic, but my theory of fertility can be condensed to 6 bullet points: t.co/uxM6qq4lwx
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Oliver Hanney @olihanney.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Additionality: What it means & why it matters @voxdev.bsky.social Before taking credit for offsetting carbon/reducing emissions, organisations need to ask: Would this have happened anyway? Non-additional projects are common, but economists have offered solutions ⤵️ voxdev.org/topic/energy...
voxdev.org
Additionality: What it means & why it’s crucial in the fight against climate change
Before taking credit for offsetting carbon or reducing emissions, organisations need to ask: Would this have happened anyway?
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Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
🚨 New draft 🚨 Measuring the Emperor's Clothes: Estimating Latent Opposition to Authoritarian Regimes with Randomized Response Qs Want to know how much support a dictator really has? You might have heard of a list experiment... but we've got something *so* much better. Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
our abstract: While many studies of public opinion in authoritarian regimes rely on list experi-
ments to overcome sensitivity bias, we show in this paper that a different technique,
the crosswise variant of the randomized response design, has superior performance
at measuring latent opposition to authoritarian regimes with fewer assumptions.
To show the power of this design, we randomly assigned a panel of 924 Tunisian
survey respondents to receive either a direct question about support for Tunisian
President Kais Saied or a randomized response question. Our results reveal that
between 10% to 30% of Tunisians oppose the president but would not report this
opposition on a direct question. We further employed a Bayesian parameterization
of the randomized response design to decompose the sensitivity bias and model
latent opposition and bias as a function of survey covariates. We find that ideolog-
ical and policy disagreement with the president strongly predicts latent opposition,
but that these same measures are negatively related to sensitivity bias. As a result,
we show that respondents who are ideologically closer to the president–that is, the
moderate opposition–tend to be more afraid of reporting their resistance to the
regime than the more radical opposition.estimated latent support for kais saied from randomized response model -- about 50%
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Oliver Hanney @olihanney.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Unintended consequences: When policy backfires in unforeseen ways I have written on @voxdev.bsky.social about what we can learn from when policies go wrong, from the war on drugs, biodiversity, digitisation, prisons, and more: voxdev.org/topic/uninte...
voxdev.org
Unintended consequences: When policy backfires in unforeseen ways
Evidence on VoxDev has shed light on many examples of unintended consequences in economics. What have we learned from when things go wrong?
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undercoverhist.bsky.social @undercoverhist.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
A splendid 4 episodes series on PhD supervision from the "Ceteris Never Paribus" podcast Produced by @mariabach.bsky.social, based on 2 years of interviews w/ supervisors & students, w/ fun, emotional & deep reflections about intellectual challenges and personal struggles ceterisneverparibus.net
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Antoine Zalc @antoinezalc.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
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Dean Yang @deanyang.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
As cardinals gather to elect a new pope, I found Philip Shenon's new book, "Jesus Wept," to be fascinating reading! A biography of popes and history of Catholic Church from WW2 (Pius XII) to Pope Francis. Highly recommended! @philipshenon.bsky.social #EconSky #Religion
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Rachel Glennerster @rglenner.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
As I meet people from aid agencies around the world this week I will be making the case for a radical simplification in how we do aid: fewer countries, fewer projects, radically simpler programs. It was key takeaway from my time in govt. Read why. www.cgdev.org/blog/radical...
cgdev.org
Radical Simplification: A Practical Way to Get More Out of Limited Foreign Assistance Budgets
With major cuts to foreign assistance announced or anticipated in the US, the UK, and across the EU, and in the World Bank’s subsidized lending program, we must urgently work to get the most out of sh...
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Sebastien Desbureaux @sebadbx.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Hi #econsky and conservation friends, if you need a hopeful story, the RCT we completed in eastern DRC might be for you. It is about a viable path to clean (electric) cooking, human development, and the protection of endangered wildlife, including mountain gorillas 🧵🧪 tinyurl.com/4jccmcaw
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Oliver Hanney @olihanney.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Important null results in development economics Despite the bias against publishing null results, they are important for policy, helping to kill bad ideas. I've highlighted some key examples we have featured on @voxdev.bsky.social: voxdev.org/topic/import...
voxdev.org
Important null results in development economics
Despite the bias against publishing null results, they are important for policy, helping to kill bad ideas.
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CERDI @cerdi.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
📣 𝟔 𝐏𝐡𝐃 𝐟𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐩𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬 The CERDI offers 6 fellowships for a #PhD thesis in #economics 📈 Application deadline: 29 April, 2024. Find all information here 👉 t.ly/6jAuH #research #developmenteconomics #environment #taxation 🏷️ @cnrs-rhoneauvergne.bsky.social @ucauvergne.bsky.social
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Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
We are pleased to announce an experiment intended to stimulate academic discussion and exchange, centered on papers published in Econometrica 1/5
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Stand Up For Science France @standupforscifr.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Nous appelons à signer le manifeste du mouvement #StandUpForScience en France. Ce texte pose les bases de la suite du mouvement, il a déjà été signé par plus de 5500 personnes. Partagez-le et signez-le massivement : standupforscience.fr/tribune/
Logo de stand up for science
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 19/03/2025
Interesting new paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2503.09907 improves on both rdrobust and rdhonest! Quite compelling... 1/n
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Mushfiq Mobarak @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social · 16/03/2025
Just received this from Yale. It would be useful for students to have a tutorial on what they are allowed to say, and what they're not allowed to say.
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
#GDRI_rep Update 4: We have a new report. We reproduced the paper entitled "Parent–teacher meetings and student outcomes" by Islam @ European Economic Review. See below for links to report and author's response.
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Sebastian Gallegos @sebagallegos.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
💥New 💥 IZA Discussion Paper! 🔵 What happens when 140+ teams of economists perform the same research three times, each time with less freedom? ✅ Find out here! www.iza.org/publications... ✅ This is a "Many-Economists" project led by Huntington-Klein & Pörtner. Read Nick's post below to learn more!👇
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Pierre Biscaye @pbiscaye.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Submission deadline for 2025 #EUDN PhD Workshop is Friday March 14 - doctoral students in development economics please apply! Hosted by @cerdi.bsky.social in Clermont-Ferrand from May 15-16, it will be a great opportunity to network and get feedback. #EconSky #EconConf eudn25phd.sciencesconf.org
eudn25phd.sciencesconf.org
2025 EUDN PhD Workshop on Development Economics - Sciencesconf.org
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