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Jörg Ankel-Peters

@jrgptrs.bsky.social
2.2K followers 339 following 358 posts

development & environmental economist. energy access, climate policy, replication & meta-science. RWI & I4R. #FirstGen bit.ly/40e2aQj

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Reposted by Jörg Ankel-Peters
laurentfranckx.bsky.social @laurentfranckx.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Your sense of humor may differ from mine but I find this one of the most hilarious jokes I have seen in recent weeks
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Again, our criticism here is NOT directed at the REStat editors. We thank them for pursuing this and ultimately publishing the relevant record. The concern is at the publisher level (MIT Press). If legal pressure can stop or indefinitely derail a retraction that editors believe is warranted,...
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Our comment on “Raising Health Awareness in Rural Communities” is finally published in REStat (MIT Press). But the retraction we had been told was coming never happened. Can lawyers derail a retraction? This case raises that uncomfortable question. 🧵
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ZBW – Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft @zbw-leibniz.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Heute beginnt die #VfS_Conf2026. Einladung zum morgigen ZBW-Panel mit den Panelisten: @jrgptrs.bsky.social Jörg Ankel-Peters , @apeichl.bsky.social Andreas Peichl, Monika Schnitzer @monika-schnitzer.com Moderation: Marianne Saam @mariannesaam.bsky.social Weitere Infos www.zbw.eu/de/ueber-uns...
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Marianne Saam @mariannesaam.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Über Replizierbarkeit und Politikberatung diskutiere ich mit @monika-schnitzer.com @jrgptrs.bsky.social und @apeichl.bsky.social beim #ZBW Panel der Jahrestagung @vfsecon.bsky.social am 15.9. um 14:00 an der @uniinnsbruck.social.uibk.ac.at.ap.brid.gy. Ich freue mich auf eine spannende Debatte! 2/2
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renebekkers.bsky.social @renebekkers.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
YOUR DATA? If you're working in the social and behavioral sciences in the Netherlands, we want to hear from you in this survey about how you work with data: vuamsterdam.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
vuamsterdam.eu.qualtrics.com
Data Practices in the Social and Behavioral Sciences in the Netherlands
Are you working with data in the social sciences in the Netherlands? Opinions on data practices vary widely. To provide the best possible view on this diversity, we call for your help. Please let us l...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
We have an excellent line-up for our Leibniz Open Science Day on Nov 17 in Berlin - including an exciting keynote by Felix Holzmeister. Come join us and catch up on the latest in meta-scientific research! www.zbw.eu/de/ueber-uns...
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Sachintha Fernando @sachif13.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Looking forward to presenting my research on synthetic controls and replications at the Leibniz Open Science Day 2026.
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
We have an excellent line-up for our Leibniz Open Science Day on Nov 17 in Berlin - including an exciting keynote by Felix Holzmeister. Come join us and catch up on the latest in meta-scientific research! www.zbw.eu/de/ueber-uns...
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
🧵 New DP from I4R co-director Lester Lusher, with Sonia Ale, Md Shafiqui Islam, Huda Osman & Jacob Stenstrom (Pitt): "When Samples Shape Significance." What happens when you re-estimate published results using fresh draws of the same data? Some evidence from Google Trends!
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Marianne Saam @mariannesaam.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Wie kann wissenschaftliche Politikberatung in Krisenzeiten gelingen? Hierzu schreiben @wirtschaftsdienst.bsky.social Christoph M. Schmidt @leibniz-gemeinschaft.de und Kolleg:innen aus @rwi.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @cesifo.org @iwh-halle.bsky.social @safefrankfurt.bsky.social @diw.de @zew.de 1/8
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Sachintha Fernando @sachif13.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
New working paper: I replicate Mideksa (2024) JEEM paper on Finland's 1990 carbon tax. The effect is driven entirely by one donor, Luxembourg, whose emissions are inflated by fuel tourism. Drop it and the effect falls to a third. www.econstor.eu/handle/10419... @i4replication.bsky.social
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Wirtschaftsdienst @wirtschaftsdienst.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
🪄 Die #Wirtschaftsforschung hat sich grundlegend verändert. Wurde die #Politikberatung dadurch besser? Ja, aber. Der Profession fehle die Möglichkeit, Komplexität von Transformationsprozessen abzubilden, meinen Christoph M. Schmidt & @jrgptrs.bsky.social 👇 www.wirtschaftsdienst.eu/inhalt/jahr/...
wirtschaftsdienst.eu
Von der Glaubwürdigkeitsrevolution zur Komplexität
Die „Glaubwürdigkeitsrevolution“ hat die empirische Wirtschaftsforschung durch designbasierte Forschung und den Fokus auf kausale Identifikation …
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Mark Rubin @markrubin.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
"If persuasive devices cannot be clearly distinguished from QRPs, their use may undermine the integrity of scientific communication." New work by @rritabajraktari.bsky.social and Marcus Munafò doi.org/10.36850/b36...
Abstract
Scientific communication is often assumed to prioritize objectivity, yet persuasive strategies may subtly distort research interpretation. While the spread of errors in research is often attributed to methodological or statistical biases (Świątkowski & Dompnier, 2017), rhetorical strategies are less often considered questionable research practices, although they can be (Corneille et al., 2023). This study empirically investigates how authors and external readers perceive persuasiveness across different sections of scientific articles (Abstract, Introduction, Methods, Results, Discussion). Using a mixed-methods approach, we surveyed 15 authors of selected articles and 42 external researchers, asking them to rate paragraphs on persuasiveness and informativeness. No significant differences emerged between authors' and readers' perceptions (two-tailed t-tests), perhaps suggesting a shared awareness of persuasive strategies. However, significant section-based differences were observed: Abstracts and Introductions were rated as more persuasive than Methods, whereas Discussions were perceived as more persuasive than Results and Methods sections (p < .05). Participants also evaluated whether specific devices (e.g., spin, selective reporting, overgeneralization) constituted attempts to persuade. Six of the nine devices were identified as persuasive by over 80% of respondents (“Yes” or “Sometimes”). These findings, along with the overlap between persuasive devices and questionable research practices, raise questions about their ethical implications for research reliability and transparency.
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Alex Sutherland @criminologist.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Jack and Jill ran up the hill to fetch a pail of identifying assumption Jack fell down and broke his crown And Jill failed the exclusion criterion
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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 24/08/2026
interesting paper on instrument hacking, i.e. reporting only the strongest instrument when multiple are available. The results seem to me a consequence of suboptimal reliance of significance tests for modelling choices www.nber.org/papers/w35633
nber.org
Instrument Hacking
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Institut für Sozioökonomie @ifso.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The Economist has revisited the long-running replication debate around Acemoglu, Johnson & Robinson (2001) and Albouy (2012) – referring to findings by Martin Buchner and co-authors on how experts assess the dispute. The study is available as an IFSO Working Paper: 🔗 www.uni-due.de/imperia/md/c...
uni-due.de
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David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
I keep reading how Economics has an advantage over other social science because of its methodological and epistemic consensus…. Hmmm…
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Given the occasion, here is the newest version of our expert survey on the Acemoglu et al. vs. Albouy debate. Key finding is that even now, more than 10 years down the road, there is no consensus in the econ community about who was right in that debate 1/3 www.uni-due.de/imperia/md/c...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
EJMR is dead; here is The Economist: “Why the economics profession doesn’t trust Acemoglu.” Trivia: they cite our expert review of Acemoglu et al. (2001). www.economist.com/finance-and-...
economist.com
The world’s most influential economist is oddly unconvincing
Daron Acemoglu is revered. Why?
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
To be fair to @richardtol.bsky.social - exactly the effects modeled in FUND 20+ years ago
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Jan Marcus @janmarcus.de · 24/07/2026
This year I joined the editorial team of @jcre.bsky.social, the Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics (JCRE) as a Co-Editor. I'm especially happy that the first submission I handled from start to finish has now been published—together with a reply from the original authors.
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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
arXiv📈🤖 Time preference effects in forecasting By Hoga, Lehmann
We study the evaluation of forecasts regarding the timing and occurrence of uncertain future events, such as volcanic eruptions, the start of a war or the beginning of a recession. We show theoretically that a typical approach -- evaluating the forecasts after the event occurred -- incentivizes dishonest predictions if forecasters discount future rewards in favor of more immediate benefits. An empirical application to forecasting tournament data finds strong empirical evidence that forecasters adjust predictions in response to these incentives, implying that existing forecasts of such events are likely systematically overstating the probability of early occurrence. We conclude that rewarding such forecasts in an incentive-compatible way is inherently challenging.
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Randy Ellis @randalljellis.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
The call of metascience - Brian Nosek learned in grad school that science is actually about getting papers and grants, but reading luminaries in the field enlightened him to the solutions to the problems he encountered.
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
We are hiring an assistant professor in Metascience! Join our lovely department of Human-Technology Interaction, with a very active Metascience group, at Eindhoven University of Technology. Apply here before August 14, or share the vacancy in your network! www.tue.nl/en/working-a...
tue.nl
Assistant Professor in Metascience
Personal type: Scientific staff
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Our next Leibniz Open Science Day is coming up on Nov 17 in Berlin! Submit your paper if you do research on science. We welcome submissions across all areas of meta-science. Keynote by @flxhlzmstr.bsky.social! www.zbw.eu/en/about-us/...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Our next Leibniz Open Science Day is coming up on Nov 17 in Berlin! Submit your paper if you do research on science. We welcome submissions across all areas of meta-science. Keynote by @flxhlzmstr.bsky.social! www.zbw.eu/en/about-us/...
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Essi Kujansuu @essieconomist.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
@i4replication.bsky.social is doing a great job facilitating *debates* about methodology and scientific practises. One can read the arguments and make up their minds: much of the argumentation is made public (instead of being discussed among the editors or other small circles).
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
The debate about Borjas/Breznau's paper on ideological bias in migration research is out now @i4replication.bsky.social. With a comment by Katrin Auspurg & Josef Brüderl: hdl.handle.net/10419/341575 And a reply by the original authors: hdl.handle.net/10419/341576
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Jack Fitzgerald @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
An update on our log-like specifications paper! We’ve updated our recommendations and added new commands in Stata and R for one of our recommended alternatives. 1/ osf.io/preprints/me...
osf.io
OSF
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
The debate about Borjas/Breznau's paper on ideological bias in migration research is out now @i4replication.bsky.social. With a comment by Katrin Auspurg & Josef Brüderl: hdl.handle.net/10419/341575 And a reply by the original authors: hdl.handle.net/10419/341576
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Sebastian Karcher @adam42smith.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Maybe we just have to stop calling it Air Conditioning/Klimaanlage. AC is what stupid, wasteful Americans use. In Germany, we use energy efficient Sommerwaermepumpen
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The welfare magnet hypothesis revisited. New discussion paper @i4replication.bsky.social. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The welfare magnet hypothesis revisited. New discussion paper @i4replication.bsky.social. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Johannes Breuer @johannesbreuer.com · 18/06/2026
If you are at the @dvpw.bsky.social #Dreiländertagung getting up early tomorrow is worth it to come to the panel on "Science, Research, and Methods" which I have the pleasure of chairing where @markus-gastinger.eu, @paulbederke.bsky.social, @dielea.bsky.social and others will present exciting work.
Screenshot from the program of the DVPW Dreiländertagung showing the titles of the talks in the panel on Research, Data, and Methods
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
The reply to our comment is now online at AEJ:Applied. The broader takeaway: should we trust an IV if removing coding errors requires a different first stage? www.mollylipscomb.com/_files/ugd/a...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
The reply to our comment is now online at AEJ:Applied. The broader takeaway: should we trust an IV if removing coding errors requires a different first stage? www.mollylipscomb.com/_files/ugd/a...
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Mark Rubin @markrubin.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
"Different science reformers have distinct core hypotheses about what has gone wrong and what is most tractable to fix." By @calebwatney.bsky.social and Jenn Gustetic
open.substack.com
The Six Camps of Metascience
A field guide for policymakers (and everyone who cares about American science).
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
📢 Call for Papers! We are partnering with the Journal of Economic Surveys on a special issue: Reproducibility and Meta-Science in Economics. Submission deadline: 1 March 2027. Details in thread 🧵
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
New DP @i4replication.bsky.social : An Empirical Assessment of Computational Reproducibility in Sociology. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
I suspect there is an ideological bias in how people respond to a potentially ideologically biased coding error in research on ideological bias in the production of research.
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
So we are actually quite happy with the retraction outcome at PLOS One :) We simply want to highlight how mission impossible it is to publish comments. P.S. See also this blog post on the American Economic Review: www.i4replication.org/blog/the-van....
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
Incentives to reproduce and replicate articles are so bad. Even when your comment leads to the retraction of a PLOS One article, the reward is a (10 days late) email with a thank you at the bottom. Retraction notice: journals.plos.org/plosone/arti.... But we are not complaining about PLOS One 🧵
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
New @i4replication.bsky.social DP: We replicated the seminal Lipsomb et al. paper on electrification in Brazil - and found consequential coding errors. Turns out the paper is based on a fragile IV. After many years, the replication is forthcoming in AEJ:Applied. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Replication going macro. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
New paper by @meganstevenson.bsky.social now appearing @i4replication.bsky.social & forthcoming in the JEL. Economics is fundamentally about how incentives affect behavior — yet incentives in our own research practices are largely ignored. Humans in the loop! www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Ten years ago, we published what became my first meta-scientific paper. External validity is mainstream today, but I’m not sure scientific practice has improved much. Perhaps it’s time for a “10 years after” piece, Ziliak/McCloskey style. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Extraordinary application of the Cincelli & Hazlett sensitivity analysis to the case of overcrediting in forest protection projects. The carbon credit industry claimed that overcrediting accusations are due to unobservables. The paper shows this is highly unlikely. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Jörg Ankel-Peters @jrgptrs.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
New paper: climate policy urgency depends strongly on normative assumptions. Discounting, equity weights, risk attitudes & technology optimism can generate radically different policy recommendations. Climate policy urgency is therefore deeply political. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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