Reposted by Erica GroshenErika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 07/05/2026A simple primer for understanding the various jobs releases that come out each month: The jobs report that BLS releases each month is the best and clearest signal we have of labor market health. The ADP and Revelio data that come out before the release are mostly shaping expectations about … 111025
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 05/05/2026An important white paper has just been released which explores the deleterious effect the firing of the BLS Commissioner on Aug 1, 2025 had on the U.S. economy. Reliable statistics matter! @ericagroshen.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135nber.orgThe Value of Reliable StatisticsFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an... 043
Reposted by Erica GroshenJames Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 05/05/2026A new working paper from four researchers, including @ericagroshen.bsky.social, calculates that the "firing of then-BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer...caused a spike in uncertainty associated with a $20 billion loss in industrial production."news.cornell.eduBusinesses, investors ‘flying blind’ when trust in government statistics declines | Cornell ChronicleEven a temporary loss of trust in official data may be costly, with an economic impact many times the budgets of the agencies that report key indicators. 052
Reposted by Erica GroshenOpinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the BLS budget — @nickbloom.bsky.social @ericagroshen.bsky.social Duncan Hobbs @michaelrstrain.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135nber.orgThe Value of Reliable StatisticsFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an... 0159
Reposted by Erica GroshenMichael R Strain @michaelrstrain.bsky.social · 04/05/2026🚨New paper. 🧵Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget. cc: @nickbloom.bsky.social, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #econsky 325689
Reposted by Erica GroshenBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Former BLS commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social tells me she views this budget "with alarm." If the cuts go through, she said, “What you lose there is first of all resilience and modernization" -- both of which are badly needed right now. 1245
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026BLS staffing is down 25% but they are now allowed to hire again. www.usajobs.gov/job/859334800 1184
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026Here's background about Friends of BLS www.friendsofbls.orgfriendsofbls.orgThe Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics 1182
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 10/02/2026On the nomination of Brett Matsumoto as BLS commissioner, #CornellILR senior economics advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social says: "I was happy to see that we’re getting someone who has a strong professional record and knows BLS from the inside."news.bloomberglaw.comTrump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff LossesPresident Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics will go up against critical leadership gaps and staffing shortages that threaten the agency’s role in informing economic policy. 111
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 09/02/2026#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says New York's effort to track AI-related layoffs is a start, but argues employers should be required to share more detailed data on changing skills and occupations so workers can navigate transitions, rather than simply labeling job losses as caused by AI.wired.comNo Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers With AI in New YorkNew York state has required companies to disclose if “technological innovation or automation” was the cause of job loss for nearly a year. So far, none has. 1115
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 07/02/2026Yes, @aaronsojourner.org, exactly right. No one outside BLS sees numbers before they are final. And the Commissioner does not see preliminary numbers. The processes used are decentralized & automated. Fudging would disrupt the system, be noticeable, and staff would talk. 073
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026It is confusing. At BLS, the Consumer Expenditure Survey is usually referred to as the “CE” or “CEX” to avoid just that confusion. 000
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026#labor #labormarket #economics #BLS #BEA #Census #ERS #SOI #NASS #NCSES #ORES #EIA #NCES #NCHS #BJS #BTS @betseystevenson.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nickhartphd.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social 100
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026#statistics #data #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #economicdata #CPI #unemployment #employment #GDP #monetarypolicy #inflation #jobs #jobsday #productivity #markets #infotech #finance 100
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026Bad news today. The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence. www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econskygovexec.comTrump admin moves to finalize return of Schedule FOfficials estimate that around 50,000 federal workers will be stripped of their civil service protections beginning in around a month, as unions, employee associations and good government groups decry... 910675
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 05/02/2026@aaronsojourner.org @betseystevenson.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @c2er.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social #jobs #jobsday #statistics #data #employment #labormarket #labor #economics #finance 121
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 05/02/2026When the #jobsreport is released on Wed. significant shifts in the jobs benchmarks are anticipated. The Friends of BLS has issued a statement outlining what to expect and the reasons why. Don't fall for uninformed overreactions! www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026... #econskyfriendsofbls.orgAnnual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe Friends of BLS have authored an explanation for the causes for the annual revisions of the BLS Jobs Numbers. You can access the document here . 33310
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Erica Groshen (@ericagroshen.bsky.social), senior labor market advisor at #CornellILR, said she supports the selection of Brett Matsumoto as the new commissioner, explaining: “He’s a B.L.S.-er, he’s a data nerd.” Read more via @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/b...nytimes.comTrump Names ‘Data Nerd’ to Lead Labor Statistics Agency 011
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 04/02/20261. On Brett Matsumoto's Nomination for BLS Commissioner www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026... 172
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Seattle is 1 of only 2 places regulating in this space, where you can work on cutting edge data & policy issues to improve working conditions. You will work on groundbreaking data analysis and policy questions with a dynamic team that is mission driven, collaborative, and mutually supportive. 010
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/01/2026JOB OPENING Seattle's Office of Labor Standards is hiring a Data Strategist to lead data and policv work related to “gig economy” and serve on their policy team. Learn more and apply here. www.governmentjobs.com/careers/seat... Position closes on 1/27. #econskygovernmentjobs.comData StrategistThe City of Seattle is a leader on wage, labor, and workforce practices that enhance equity, address wage gaps, and create a fair and healthy economy for workers, businesses, and residents. The Office... 155
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Please join me and my colleagues for this fun session! 041
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 01/01/2026#econbluesky #cpi #inflation #BLS #forecast #TIPS @copafs.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @justinwolfers.bsky.social @steveliesman.bsky.social @jc-econ.bsky.social 030
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 01/01/2026New statement from Friends of BLS: "Some controversy...erupted on Dec. 30 following release of a highly informative Q&A that addressed how [BLS] estimated the Nov. 2025 CPI. We..find no reason to see the hand of politics anywhere in the Bureau’s CPI work..." www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...friendsofbls.orgCo-Chairs of the Friends of BLS Statement on the CPI Estimates for November 2025 — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsMany of the Friends of BLS follow the Bureau’s publications and press statements very closely. So do many who have not yet found the Friends but nevertheless value what BLS does, particularly in the a... 22410
Reposted by Erica GroshenDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 31/12/2025Livestreamed sessions from this weekend's American Economic Association annual gathering will be posted at www.aeaweb.org/conference/l...aeaweb.orgASSA 2026 Live-Streamed Sessions 053
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/2025@apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @nabe-econ.bsky.social @jasonfurman.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social @aeainformation.bsky.social 000
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/2025IMPORTANT: Includes link to a page on how to handle missing data. BLS won't insert the number for you. However, if you follow their advice, your estimate for CPI in October will be consistent with best practice and with what most others will use to fill in the gap. www.bls.gov/cpi/factshee...bls.govApproximating missing data pointsApproximating missing data points 161
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/202512/30/25: New info from #BLS on impact of #shutdown on #CPI data, including: How were Nov. indexes calculated? Why BLS chose carry-forward imputation? How missing Oct data will impact April 2026 rent & OER indexes? Statistical weighting changes made in 11/25? www.bls.gov/cpi/addition... #econsky 1159
Reposted by Erica GroshenEconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 21/11/2025Thank you all experts for explaining "why BLS can't just ask people whether they were unemployed in Oct for the household survey" to me And this one from Erika is a clear and definite one if you like a TLDR 0125
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 21/11/2025Hey, #EconSky! The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social! bsky.app/profile/usbl... 919356
Reposted by Erica GroshenErika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 20/11/2025So great to see BLS back to work measuring and informing us about our large and dynamic economy. It’s a great institution full of dedicated civil servants deeply committed their mission. They have had a tough year, and everyone is covering for someone who left. I thank them all for their service. 316929
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 19/11/2025Revised Release Dates for BLS Data Products. www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...bls.govRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriationsRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations 041
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 20/11/2025Follow this BLS page to see the revised schedule for releases: www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...bls.govRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriationsRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations 010
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 18/11/2025#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says that the unusual length of the government closure means that some data was not collected on schedule, creating potential gaps in the upcoming reports. Each economic series will be affected differently depending on how, when + from whom data was gathered.economictimes.indiatimes.comEconomic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this weekUS economic data 2025: The U.S. government has reopened after its longest shutdown, paving the way for the release of critical economic data such as the September jobs report, CPI, PPI, and PCE. Key c... 032
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025#monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #bls @copafs.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @maryjomitchell.bsky.social @cossa.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social 000
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment 110
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025Please join The Friends of BLS in welcoming BLSers back to their important work with gratitude for their skills and dedication. Link to the message: www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025... #econskyfriendsofbls.orgTo the BLS Staff from the Leadership of the Friends of BLS — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsWelcome back. On behalf of the Friends of BLS, we extend our deepest appreciation to each of you for your work this year. As you return from the recent government shutdown, we want to express this gra... 1238
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 17/11/2025Each economic data series will be affected differently by the shutdown, depending on how, when and from whom the data is collected, said @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economics advisor at #CornellILR. Still, expect the BLS and other agencies to prioritize Principal Federal Economic Indicators.cnn.comThe government is back open. Here’s what that means for economic data | CNN BusinessThe US government has reopened following its longest-ever shutdown, setting the stage for the eventual release of the gold-standard federal data that is crucial in analyzing the health and trajectory ... 323
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 14/11/2025#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economic advisor and former commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), advises against substituting private-sector data for official federal economic reports, underscoring the challenges facing policymakers and investors.fortune.comButchered jobs and inflation data may add fuel to the fire of uncertainty already blazing in the markets | FortuneA worldwide selloff accelerates as patchy U.S. data clouds the Fed’s next move, sending Wall Street tumbling and volatility surging into the end of the week. 162
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025@apduorg.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social 000
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #BLS 120
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Breaking news: The SEPTEMBER JOBS REPORT comes out on THURSDAY., Nov. 20. BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available. #econsky @aaronsojourner.org www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...bls.govRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriationsRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations 2229
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #BLS 010
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025@apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @cossa.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social 100
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025 #labormarket #economics #regionaldata #bigdata #localinflation #localprices #statedata #BLS @copafs.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @nabe-econ.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @betseystevenson.bsky.social @maryjomitchell.bsky.social 120
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #CPI #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #inflation #jobs #jobsday #productivity #markets #infotech #finance #labor 110