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Erica Groshen

@ericagroshen.bsky.social
1.9K followers 115 following 217 posts

Economist, Sr. Econ Advisor at Cornell -ILR. 14th Commissioner of BLS. Formerly at NY & Cleveland Federal Reserve Banks. Now in Seattle!

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Erica Groshen
Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
A simple primer for understanding the various jobs releases that come out each month: The jobs report that BLS releases each month is the best and clearest signal we have of labor market health. The ADP and Revelio data that come out before the release are mostly shaping expectations about …
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
#econsky
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
COPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
An important white paper has just been released which explores the deleterious effect the firing of the BLS Commissioner on Aug 1, 2025 had on the U.S. economy. Reliable statistics matter! @ericagroshen.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135
nber.org
The Value of Reliable Statistics
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
A new working paper from four researchers, including @ericagroshen.bsky.social, calculates that the "firing of then-BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer...caused a spike in uncertainty associated with a $20 billion loss in industrial production."
news.cornell.edu
Businesses, investors ‘flying blind’ when trust in government statistics declines | Cornell Chronicle
Even a temporary loss of trust in official data may be costly, with an economic impact many times the budgets of the agencies that report key indicators.
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the BLS budget — @nickbloom.bsky.social @ericagroshen.bsky.social Duncan Hobbs @michaelrstrain.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135
nber.org
The Value of Reliable Statistics
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Michael R Strain @michaelrstrain.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
🚨New paper. 🧵Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget. cc: @nickbloom.bsky.social, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #econsky
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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Former BLS commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social tells me she views this budget "with alarm." If the cuts go through, she said, “What you lose there is first of all resilience and modernization" -- both of which are badly needed right now.
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026
BLS staffing is down 25% but they are now allowed to hire again. www.usajobs.gov/job/859334800
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026
Here's background about Friends of BLS www.friendsofbls.org
friendsofbls.org
The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
On the nomination of Brett Matsumoto as BLS commissioner, #CornellILR senior economics advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social says: "I was happy to see that we’re getting someone who has a strong professional record and knows BLS from the inside."
news.bloomberglaw.com
Trump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff Losses
President Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics will go up against critical leadership gaps and staffing shortages that threaten the agency’s role in informing economic policy.
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says New York's effort to track AI-related layoffs is a start, but argues employers should be required to share more detailed data on changing skills and occupations so workers can navigate transitions, rather than simply labeling job losses as caused by AI.
wired.com
No Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers With AI in New York
New York state has required companies to disclose if “technological innovation or automation” was the cause of job loss for nearly a year. So far, none has.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Yes, @aaronsojourner.org, exactly right. No one outside BLS sees numbers before they are final. And the Commissioner does not see preliminary numbers. The processes used are decentralized & automated. Fudging would disrupt the system, be noticeable, and staff would talk.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
It is confusing. At BLS, the Consumer Expenditure Survey is usually referred to as the “CE” or “CEX” to avoid just that confusion.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
@crampell.bsky.social @samsutton.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
#labor #labormarket #economics #BLS #BEA #Census #ERS #SOI #NASS #NCSES #ORES #EIA #NCES #NCHS #BJS #BTS @betseystevenson.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nickhartphd.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
#statistics #data #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #economicdata #CPI #unemployment #employment #GDP #monetarypolicy #inflation #jobs #jobsday #productivity #markets #infotech #finance
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Bad news today. The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence. www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky
govexec.com
Trump admin moves to finalize return of Schedule F
Officials estimate that around 50,000 federal workers will be stripped of their civil service protections beginning in around a month, as unions, employee associations and good government groups decry...
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
@aaronsojourner.org @betseystevenson.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @c2er.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social #jobs #jobsday #statistics #data #employment #labormarket #labor #economics #finance
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
When the #jobsreport is released on Wed. significant shifts in the jobs benchmarks are anticipated. The Friends of BLS has issued a statement outlining what to expect and the reasons why. Don't fall for uninformed overreactions! www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026... #econsky
friendsofbls.org
Annual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
The Friends of BLS have authored an explanation for the causes for the annual revisions of the BLS Jobs Numbers. You can access the document here .
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Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Erica Groshen (@ericagroshen.bsky.social), senior labor market advisor at #CornellILR, said she supports the selection of Brett Matsumoto as the new commissioner, explaining: “He’s a B.L.S.-er, he’s a data nerd.” Read more via @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/b...
nytimes.com
Trump Names ‘Data Nerd’ to Lead Labor Statistics Agency
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 04/02/2026
1. On Brett Matsumoto's Nomination for BLS Commissioner www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026...
The next Commissioner must not only manage the difficult responsibilities inherent to the role, but also repair public trust, defend the agency against perceived political interference, and accelerate critical modernization efforts across all programs. 

These unusually fraught circumstances mean that the Senate’s upcoming advice and consent responsibilities could be the most consequential ever for the BLS. We, the Friends of BLS, are working every day for the success of the Bureau’s mission, and that mission depends mightily on the leadership of the Commissioner. Given the unique parameters surrounding this nomination and the crossroads at which the Bureau now stands, the Friends urge the Senate to conduct a thorough and timely review of Dr. Matsumoto’s qualifications, as it has every preceding nominee.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Seattle is 1 of only 2 places regulating in this space, where you can work on cutting edge data & policy issues to improve working conditions. You will work on groundbreaking data analysis and policy questions with a dynamic team that is mission driven, collaborative, and mutually supportive.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
JOB OPENING Seattle's Office of Labor Standards is hiring a Data Strategist to lead data and policv work related to “gig economy” and serve on their policy team. Learn more and apply here. www.governmentjobs.com/careers/seat... Position closes on 1/27. #econsky
governmentjobs.com
Data Strategist
The City of Seattle is a leader on wage, labor, and workforce practices that enhance equity, address wage gaps, and create a fair and healthy economy for workers, businesses, and residents. The Office...
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Please join me and my colleagues for this fun session!
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
#econbluesky #cpi #inflation #BLS #forecast #TIPS @copafs.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @justinwolfers.bsky.social @steveliesman.bsky.social @jc-econ.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
New statement from Friends of BLS: "Some controversy...erupted on Dec. 30 following release of a highly informative Q&A that addressed how [BLS] estimated the Nov. 2025 CPI. We..find no reason to see the hand of politics anywhere in the Bureau’s CPI work..." www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
friendsofbls.org
Co-Chairs of the Friends of BLS Statement on the CPI Estimates for November 2025 — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Many of the Friends of BLS follow the Bureau’s publications and press statements very closely. So do many who have not yet found the Friends but nevertheless value what BLS does, particularly in the a...
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 31/12/2025
Livestreamed sessions from this weekend's American Economic Association annual gathering will be posted at www.aeaweb.org/conference/l...
aeaweb.org
ASSA 2026 Live-Streamed Sessions
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
@apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @nabe-econ.bsky.social @jasonfurman.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social @aeainformation.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
IMPORTANT: Includes link to a page on how to handle missing data. BLS won't insert the number for you. However, if you follow their advice, your estimate for CPI in October will be consistent with best practice and with what most others will use to fill in the gap. www.bls.gov/cpi/factshee...
bls.gov
Approximating missing data points
Approximating missing data points
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
12/30/25: New info from #BLS on impact of #shutdown on #CPI data, including: How were Nov. indexes calculated? Why BLS chose carry-forward imputation? How missing Oct data will impact April 2026 rent & OER indexes? Statistical weighting changes made in 11/25? www.bls.gov/cpi/addition... #econsky
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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Thank you all experts for explaining "why BLS can't just ask people whether they were unemployed in Oct for the household survey" to me And this one from Erika is a clear and definite one if you like a TLDR
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Welcome, my friends!
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 21/11/2025
Hey, #EconSky! The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social! bsky.app/profile/usbl...
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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
So great to see BLS back to work measuring and informing us about our large and dynamic economy. It’s a great institution full of dedicated civil servants deeply committed their mission. They have had a tough year, and everyone is covering for someone who left. I thank them all for their service.
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COPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Revised Release Dates for BLS Data Products. www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
bls.gov
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Follow this BLS page to see the revised schedule for releases: www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
bls.gov
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
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Reposted by Erica Groshen
Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says that the unusual length of the government closure means that some data was not collected on schedule, creating potential gaps in the upcoming reports. Each economic series will be affected differently depending on how, when + from whom data was gathered.
economictimes.indiatimes.com
Economic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this week
US economic data 2025: The U.S. government has reopened after its longest shutdown, paving the way for the release of critical economic data such as the September jobs report, CPI, PPI, and PCE. Key c...
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
#monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #bls @copafs.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @maryjomitchell.bsky.social @cossa.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Please join The Friends of BLS in welcoming BLSers back to their important work with gratitude for their skills and dedication. Link to the message: www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025... #econsky
friendsofbls.org
To the BLS Staff from the Leadership of the Friends of BLS — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Welcome back. On behalf of the Friends of BLS, we extend our deepest appreciation to each of you for your work this year. As you return from the recent government shutdown, we want to express this gra...
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Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Each economic data series will be affected differently by the shutdown, depending on how, when and from whom the data is collected, said @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economics advisor at #CornellILR. Still, expect the BLS and other agencies to prioritize Principal Federal Economic Indicators.
cnn.com
The government is back open. Here’s what that means for economic data | CNN Business
The US government has reopened following its longest-ever shutdown, setting the stage for the eventual release of the gold-standard federal data that is crucial in analyzing the health and trajectory ...
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Cornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economic advisor and former commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), advises against substituting private-sector data for official federal economic reports, underscoring the challenges facing policymakers and investors.
fortune.com
Butchered jobs and inflation data may add fuel to the fire of uncertainty already blazing in the markets | Fortune
A worldwide selloff accelerates as patchy U.S. data clouds the Fed’s next move, sending Wall Street tumbling and volatility surging into the end of the week.
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
@apduorg.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #BLS
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Breaking news: The SEPTEMBER JOBS REPORT comes out on THURSDAY., Nov. 20. BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available. #econsky @aaronsojourner.org www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
bls.gov
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #jobs #jobsday #markets #infotech #finance #labor #labormarket #economics #BLS
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
@apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @cossa.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
@apduorg.bsky.social @cossa.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
#labormarket #economics #regionaldata #bigdata #localinflation #localprices #statedata #BLS @copafs.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @nabe-econ.bsky.social @amstatnews.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @betseystevenson.bsky.social @maryjomitchell.bsky.social
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
#statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure #economicdata #CPI #unemployment #employment #monetarypolicy #inflation #jobs #jobsday #productivity #markets #infotech #finance #labor
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