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Anthony Edwards

@edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social
8.8K followers 1.6K following 4.1K posts

Newsroom Meteorologist at the San Francisco Chronicle Snow lover, Seattle sports fan, University of Washington graduate sfchronicle.com/author/anthony-edwards/

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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 10h
Short video:
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 10h
The low fog over San Francisco tonight is INCREDIBLE #CAwx 🌁
Low fog seen from SF’s Twin Peaks
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 15h
😬😬😬😬
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 15h
What a story! I can’t even comprehend it. But we’ll see it soon surely.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 15h
San Francisco anomalies have entered new territory. Averaged across the month, October tides are running 0.9 feet above normal so far. Today is closer to a foot. If these anomalies persist through November and December, tides will be in top 10 territory, even without a storm.
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Reposted by Anthony Edwards
cira-csu.bsky.social @cira-csu.bsky.social · 20h
Over the Eastern Pacific Ocean, clouds swirl within the large eye of Hurricane Rachel.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 17h
Typically, early October tides would be far from coastal flood thresholds, but an El Niño-spurred coastally trapped Kelvin wave moving up the West Coast is suppressing cold water from rising to the surface of the ocean. Water also rises as it warms, a phenomenon known as thermal expansion.
sfchronicle.com
S.F. Bay high tides will be at flood levels this weekend; El Niño-fueled wave of water may have reached city
El Niño-warmed seas are pushing tides unusually high in California, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a coastal flood advisory for San Francisco Bay and Monterey Bay.
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Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 21h
As you've probably noticed over the years, I've been a big fan and proponent of the Hurricane Threats and Impacts graphics that the NWS has produced for every tropical cyclone near the U.S. since 2015. Here is the suite of graphics from Wednesday afternoon for #Isaias. These will evolve of course.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 23h
Symmetrical warm-core hurricanes can transition to messier “post-tropical” storms over the Southwest U.S. while retaining their tropical moisture. This process, known as extratropical transition, is most common in September and October during El Niño (Wood et al 2014).
Monthly count of all tropical cyclone genesis events (orange) and extratropical transition events (green) over the period 1971–2012.

Citation: Journal of Climate 27, 15; 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00645.1Composite monthly COBE SST (°C; shaded) and JRA-55 500-hPa geopotential height (m; contours) anomalies for (a) five years with June–October Niño-3 anomalies above 1°C (1972, 1976, 1982, 1987, and 1997) and (b) four years with June–October Niño-3 anomalies below −1°C (1973, 1988, 2007, and 2010). Tracks shown are from those TCs that completed ET in the given years. No TCs underwent ET during the years with anomalies below −1°C.

Citation: Journal of Climate 27, 15; 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00645.1
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 23h
There is already a moderate to high risk of rip currents in coastal Southern California from distant hurricane swell: www.sfchronicle.com/weather/arti...
sfchronicle.com
Southern California to be battered by another hurricane swell — raising risk of rip currents, erosion
Southern California is “playing with a similar setup” to Hurricane Marie, which caused destruction in Laguna Beach and Newport Beach in early September.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 23h
San Diego's lowest October sea level pressure on record was measured in 1928, dropping to 1001.4 hPa. Rachel's remnant low pressure could surpass that. h/t @drmetwatch.bsky.social, great website! www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/rot...
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 23h
The National Hurricane Center on Wednesday morning extended the forecast cone of an ongoing tropical cyclone — Hurricane Rachel — into California. The storm won’t be a hurricane by the time it nears CA this weekend, but it could still present hazards characteristic of a tropical cyclone.
sfchronicle.com
The National Hurricane Center just drew a forecast path for Rachel into California. Is the threat legit?
Strong winds, large waves and storm surge are possible in Orange and San Diego counties, with heavy rain and flash flooding possible in Los Angeles, Palm Springs, Las Vegas and Phoenix.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Symmetrical warm-core tropical cyclones can transition to asymmetric cold-core storms while retaining tropical moisture, most commonly in September & October during El Niño. Models are converging onto this possibility with Hurricane Rachel. Main hazards: wind + waves = coastal flooding/erosion
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Sick of the heat? There’s big changes are in store for California’s weather this weekend. Even a hurricane is involved in the complex forecast shift:
sfchronicle.com
California heat wave to give way to sharp cooldown, possible Sierra snow
California’s exceptionally hot start to October will soon give way to a major change. Cooler weather is expected, but beyond that, things are uncertain.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Generally 1cm surge from a 1hPa drop on sea level pressure is a reasonable rule of thumb. Here’s a table of scenarios from the Bay Conservation and Development Commission. I expect baseline king rides to be MHHW+24” to MHHW+30” Will be messy if we get our strongest storm of the year on top
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
@ggweather.bsky.social sent me this. I thought it was a great visual explanation. Do you know another source of a graph like this?
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Have heard great things about Patrick and know many people that work with him. Was this a publicly available recording? I reference his work from 2015-16 often www.usgs.gov/programs/cmh...
usgs.gov
Severe Erosion on U.S. West Coast during 2015–16 El Niño
The 2015–16 El Niño was one of the most powerful of the last 145 years, according to a new coastal-erosion study by USGS scientists and colleagues from universities and state agencies.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
You have an explanation for that? Fascinating
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Chat is this good bsky.app/profile/edwa...
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
This isn’t isolated to San Diego. Tidal anomalies are pushing a foot in San Francisco. A dreaded “perfect storm” — a confluence of El Niño, king tides, along with wind, waves and rain — is feared this winter. It could cause widespread disruptive and destructive coastal flooding.
sfchronicle.com
California may see dreaded ‘perfect storm’ at terrible time: Thanksgiving and Christmas
King tides in California will be extremely high during the Thanksgiving and Christmas weeks. A simultaneous storm could wreak havoc on transportation and push the tides to record territory.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
If these anomalies persist through winter, San Diego will break a tidal record by a half foot.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Bonkers: Sea levels are running 1.2ft above the late-20th century baseline in San Diego as sea surface temperatures are about 7°F warmer than normal. These highly anomalous ocean temperatures and heights will continue through winter along the California coast amid El Niño. #CAwx
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
The past week of record fall heat across the West:
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Based on what I am seeing now, I am officially concerned. And I'm not the only one: One federal scientist recently reflected that in their view we've entered "If you see something, say something" territory. I fully agree, and this month's data provides further evidence.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 06/10/2026
Much higher than typical October temperatures will continue across coastal southern California up through the Bay Area and Central Valley through midweek resulting in result in Major to Extreme HeatRisk. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings. weather.gov
Tuesday, Oct. 6: NWS HeatRisk forecast for the western U.S. showing widespread Minor heat risk, with Moderate risk across much of California’s Central Valley and southern California. Pockets of Major and Extreme heat risk appear along portions of coastal and southern California, including areas near Los Angeles and San Diego.Wednesday, Oct. 7: NWS HeatRisk forecast showing Minor heat risk across much of the West. Moderate risk remains widespread across California’s Central Valley and southern California, with pockets of Major to Extreme heat risk along parts of the coast and near the California-Arizona border.Thursday, Oct. 8: NWS HeatRisk forecast showing continued Moderate heat risk across large portions of California, including the Central Valley and southern California. Areas of Major and locally Extreme heat risk are concentrated across parts of southern California and the lower Colorado River Valley.Friday, Oct. 9: NWS HeatRisk forecast showing heat impacts beginning to ease. Minor risk covers most of the region, with Moderate risk lingering through portions of California’s Central Valley and southern California. Smaller pockets of Major to Extreme heat risk remain near the California-Arizona border.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Seas are already riding so high 😩 bsky.app/profile/edwa...
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
bsky.app/profile/edwa...
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Through the first five days of October, San Francisco's tides are running more than 10 inches higher than the late-20th century baseline. About 3 inches of this anomaly are because of long-term sea level rise, the rest can be explained by short-term effects, likely El Nino related.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Talk about timing 😂
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
From this morning: 🌁
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The marine layer is keeping San Francisco much cooler today. Official high temperature so far is just 71. That follows a 91-degree Saturday and 86-degree Sunday! Look how dense this fog is at Lake Merced! What's it like where you live? Link to webcam: www.ipcamlive.com/688ac8df9037f
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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
⚠️Heat Advisory has been extended through Thursday for the interior due to hazardous heat and limited recovery. Stay hydrated, take breaks in the shade, and never leave people or pets in unattended vehicles! #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/21071482240…
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Ryan Voutilainen @yvrwxwatcher.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Struggling tonight with my #AuroraBorealis shots from @AirCanada flight #AC381 over Steinbach, Manitoba 8:38p CDT #ShareYourWeather #NorthernLights #AuroraWatch #MBwx #MBstorm @vincentledvina.bsky.social @tamithaskov.bsky.social @mbweathercentre.bsky.social
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Forecasting San Francisco heat will forever be a challenge. The sea breeze was just a slight bit more pronounced on Sunday, which has kept temps below forecast. Also, widespread clouds took an edge off heat along the Peninsula and in the North Bay. www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...
sfchronicle.com
Bay Area heat advisory continues, but clouds and breeze keep S.F. cooler
The National Weather Service has expanded a heat advisory across most of the Bay Area, with the weekend’s toasty temperatures expected to increase slightly on Sunday.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
In late September, forecasters feared Hurricane Polo could cause similar damage. Instead, the storm hooked eastward and made landfall in Baja California, sparing the Los Angeles area from significant swell impacts.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
This week, Southern California is “playing with a similar setup” to Hurricane Marie. That storm sent large, destructive waves northward in early September. Laguna & Newport Beach were hit particularly hard. Hurricane Rachel should be squarely in the “swell window“ for SoCal, similar to Marie.
sfchronicle.com
Southern California to be battered by another hurricane swell — raising risk of rip currents, erosion
Southern California is “playing with a similar setup” to Hurricane Marie, which caused destruction in Laguna Beach and Newport Beach in early September.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
For areas with no sea breeze influence (basically anywhere that's not SF and the Eastshore Freeway corridor), it'll be quite hot thru midweek
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
SF heat advisory does end tonight, yes. I do think it could be extended through Monday. The cooling sea breeze is expected to hit earlier tomorrow, which should lower daytime max temps as well as overnight min temps.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The first eight days of October will be the hottest on record across much of California, according to NWS forecast data. October can certainly get hot along the CA coast, but this heat wave is unusual because it is widespread. There aren't strong Santa Ana or Diablo winds only heating up coast.
Forecast average mean temperature from Oct. 1-8, 2026. Generally 5-15 degrees above normal across CA.Forecast average mean temperature ranking from Oct. 1-8, 2026. Generally top-5 warmest start to October on record for most of CA.Forecast average mean temperature percentile from Oct. 1-8, 2026 across California. Generally 95th percentile or above.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 04/10/2026
🌡️ A prolonged, dangerous heat wave is expected to continue for much of Coastal Southern California up through the Bay Area and Central Valley through midweek. Be sure to protect yourself and others by following proper heat safety tips. For an update forecast visit www.weather.gov
Prolonged, Dangerous Heat Wave
Much higher than typical October temperatures will impact Coastal Southern California up through the Bay Area and Central Valley through midweek. The expected temperatures will result in Major to Extreme HeatRisk along with numerous daily high temperature records. Heat of this intensity and duration can endanger anyone without adequate cooling or hydration. 


High Temperatures, Little Night Relief
Temperatures will run 15 to 20 degrees above normal, pushing coastal areas well into the 90s and adjacent urban and some Central Valley areas into the low 100s. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s in the Los Angeles and San Diego urban areas will provide little relief through the heat wave.


Stay Safe in Extreme Heat
Protect yourself and others by staying hydrated, using air conditioning or cooling centers, limiting sun exposure, and checking on vulnerable relatives and neighbors. Never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles, as interior temperatures
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Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
More than 24 hr after it started, a NWS comms issue continues with multiple missing radars and offices providing service backup. These sort of outages seem to be worsening in spite of the fact the vulnerabilities have been known for more than 2 decades. balancedweather.substack.com/p/comms-issu...
balancedweather.substack.com
Comms issue continues to impact eastern Gulf Coast NWS offices
Flash flooding to be a risk here today as well as in south Texas. Record heat continues in California.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Except along the immediate coast, Sunday is running warmer than the same time Saturday. For San Francisco, expect similar peak heat at Hardly Strictly Bluegrass (80s), with 90s east of Twin Peaks. Triple-digit heat possible inland. #CAwx
sfchronicle.com
Sunday will be even warmer as the Bay Area’s heat advisory expands. Here’s how hot it will get
The National Weather Service has expanded a heat advisory across most of the Bay Area, with the weekend’s toasty temperatures expected to increase slightly on Sunday.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The view from the ground:
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Yes! It was pronounced in SF too. 60 at the beach and 70s in the hills.i
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Funky clouds over NorCal today as a weak disturbance in the upper atmosphere spins over the region. #CAwx The view from space 🛰️:
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Common Steph Chambers W
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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
⚠️Latest on the Heat Advisories in place: * Heat Advisory today for the Bay Area and Central Coast. * Heat Advisory continues through Wednesday for the inland regions. Stay hydrated, stay in the shade, and never leave people or pets in unatt... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/21067781517…
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Ryan J Hollister @phaneritic.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
One feature of @everythingwx.bsky.social I really enjoy is the embedded normal and record temps.
Screenshot of the EverythingWeather app for Turlock, California showing a wind forecast for the day on the top going anywhere from 3 to 5 miles an hour but highlighting the today weather section. It says it’s going to be mostly sunny with a high near 97 W. north Northwest wind 1 to 6 miles an hour. Underneath that it says the normal high temperature for the day is 82° and the record high is 105 from 2024
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San Francisco Chronicle @sfchronicle.com · 03/10/2026
Tides much higher than normal, and potentially record-breaking, will occur in San Francisco and other parts of the Bay Area this winter due to the effects of El Niño.
bit.ly
San Francisco could see ‘30 king tides’ this winter as El Niño looms
Tides much higher than normal, and potentially record-breaking, will occur in San Francisco and other parts of the Bay Area this winter due to the effects of El Niño.
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Shel Winkley @shelwinkleywx.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Heat Advisories & Excessive Heat Warnings cover most of California Saturday. 🌡️Highs in the 90s-low 100s running 15°-20° ABOVE average -- some of the top 5 hottest on record for Oct. 3rd. 🔴37.6K folks experiencing unusual October heat made at least 2x more likely by heat trapping pollution #cawx
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