iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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P(aul) Frazee @pfrazee.com · 5h

For people asking for the lyrics (the normal blogpost): pfrazee.leaflet.pub/3mxzv666cxk2e

pfrazee.leaflet.pub

Lyrics to the blogpost about AI and atproto

Just a normal set of lyrics to a normal blogpost

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DuckDuckGo @duckduckgo.com · 14h

A new model just joined the flock: GPT‑6 Luna! Try OpenAI’s most efficient GPT‑6 model on Duck.ai; it’s free, anonymous, and (like all AI on DuckDuckGo) totally optional. No account needed. Find the AI that works for you on Duck.ai.

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Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 19h

🚨 Can't resist the double-tap on CoreWeave's Brannin McBee insurance = "all the money in the world" quote. www.ft.com/content/6b9b...

ft.com

Sizing that ‘unlimited’ insurance capital

Quite big, but still quite far away

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Jonathan Todd @yontodd.substack.com · 16h

Come for the CHF analysis, stay for THREE STRAIGHT FX PUNS

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Sam Ro @tker.co · 15h

Thank you Nasdaq!

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EconomicsInTen @economicsinten.bsky.social · 10h

Interesting evening @bookmarksbookshop.bsky.social listening to @sarahoconnorft.ft.com talk about her new book 'We Are Not Machines'. Some good questions also that introduced some fascinating case studies. Nice to catch up with @busecon.bsky.social. Looking forward to reading it now. #EconSky

The front cover of 'We Are Not Machines' by Sarah O'Connor.

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Karl Schamotta @karl-schamotta.bsky.social · 7h

Sell-side research takes:

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darth™️ @darthbluesky.bsky.social · 5h

“tell cersei it was me”

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HappyProto @happyproto.at · 10h

Hi, we're HappyProto. We help you build on atproto... without the hard parts. You create the app, we'll run the backend: auth, private data, scripting, and an API over 46 million accounts. Welcome to atproto on easy mode. Join the waitlist at happyproto.at. #atproto

happyproto.at

HappyProto: the backend for atproto apps

Build on atproto without the hard parts. HappyProto runs the backend: an API over 46 million atproto accounts, with sign-in, private data and scripting included.

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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 9h

Hmmm, will he try to say SI in the upcoming FOMC presser? And will the next statement and minutes write SI 🤔

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Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 10h

Ukraine's leader explains what happened when Musk's Starlink got throttled: "When the speed was reduced, we were unable to intercept a certain number of jet-powered 'shaheds.' We couldn’t use a tool that helps protect people. That’s very painful and frustrating."

We don’t use Starlink for our responses inside Russia. We use Starlink to intercept jet-powered “shaheds” that attack our civilians and kill families.

Starlink wasn’t turned off – its speed was reduced. And when the speed was reduced, we were unable to intercept a certain number of jet-powered “shaheds.” We couldn’t use a tool that helps protect people. That’s very painful and frustrating.

We also use Starlink for mid-range strikes against enemy military targets in our temporarily occupied territories. We couldn’t do that when the restrictions were in place. And third, what matters most is people. Our warriors, who spend weeks and months on the front line, receive food and water delivered by drones using Starlink.

Has the speed been fully restored to what it was before? No. Is it being restored now? Yes.

From a conversation with media representatives in Brussels. (2/3)

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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 16h

Important paper coming this afternoon (livestream) at NBER Labor Studies Program. "The Child Cost Index," Christina Patterson & Heather Sarsons (Chicago). Find mostly offsetting influences on cost of children, but issue is valuation of leisure time shifted to childcare. www.nber.org/conferences/...

nber.org

Labor Studies Program Meeting, Fall 2026

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Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 10h

An interesting side note: The top comments on this Zelensky post were low follower anti-Ukraine accounts with the blue check mark of shame, Musk's algorithm in action.

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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 10h

As written, the new terms could be used to argue that Meta can scrape content from news sites and use that content to train the company’s AI products, according to three legal experts who reviewed the terms at Nieman Lab’s request.

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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 10h

NiemanLab→ The new terms broadly cover business accounts that manage pages and groups, run advertisements, push marketing messages, and use the platform’s business account dashboard.

niemanlab.org

Meta’s new commercial terms will allow the scraping of news sites, legal experts say

Starting October 30, business accounts will consent to Meta scraping their websites if they continue using Facebook, Instagram, or WhatsApp.

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Aricie | 아리시 🏳️‍⚧️ 🇨🇦 @parisien.cc · 10h

I’d really love to have Claude Max I really need to make myself functional 😭

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Leaflet @leaflet.pub · 10h

Use Leaflet to make your blog, website & more! 👯 web publishing, but make it social 🎨 like a mix of notion + substack + wordpress… 😌 expressive *and* — this is important — EASY TO USE Creators: give it a spin & let us know what you think! Oh & don't forget to try our newly improved *canvas*!

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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 10h

It would take 7.2% growth for a decade to balance the budget without cuts or tax hikes, and per CFRB. So no, AI isn’t going to fix the debt.

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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 10h

We got the original figure today: deficit of $1.99 trillion, estimated 6.2% of GDP. The problem isn’t so much the number as the fact that it’s almost unimaginable that we wouldn’t start to address it before 2029 at the earliest. (And that is very optimistic.)

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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 10h

Colombia / IMF Western Hemisphere Area Dept Director (Nigel Chalk) at launch of regional economic outlook (REO): "As we know, the primary deficit in Colombia is very large. It's 3.5 percent of GDP. Debt is at 60 percent of GDP and rising ..."

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Minneapolis Fed @minneapolisfed.bsky.social · 10h

Self-employment is booming. Is that a sign of a dynamic economy with lots of business opportunities - or something else? @tuuyentran.bsky.social tries to make sense of the stats.

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Leaflet @leaflet.pub · 10h

Would anyone find this interesting? If yes, what prompt(s)?

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Metro North Capital @metronorthcapital.bsky.social · 11h

UMich sentiment was higher than it is now when unemployment was at 10% in 2009…so maybe people would be happier?

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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 10h

EU leaders locked horns over everything from climate rules to migration policy and Ukraine’s long-term financial needs during two days of tense discussions in Brussels.

politico.eu

EU leaders clash over migration, Ukraine and budget in Brussels — but delay big decisions

Leaders left crucial decisions on the bloc’s long-term budget and Ukraine’s financial needs to further gatherings in November and December.

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Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 11h

Federal Reserve research argues Treasury bond safe haven status gets complicated in higher inflation environment, says "if inflationary pressures abate and the frequency of adverse supply shocks declines, bonds' hedging property is likely to improve."

Our analysis shows that government bonds' hedging property depends critically on the inflation environment and the types of economic shocks hitting the economy. When inflationary pressures are limited and inflation expectations are well-anchored, bonds provide reliable hedging because central banks can ease in response to both adverse demand and supply shocks that weigh on stocks. This was the typical experience during the GFC and its aftermath, which solidified bonds' safe-haven role. However, when inflationary pressures build up, such as following the Covid pandemic, the required monetary policy response changes; central banks must balance supporting real activity against their price stability objectives, which breaks the traditional flight-to-quality dynamics. In addition, adverse supply shocks may lead investors to expect tighter monetary policy as central banks seek to keep inflation expectations stable. The result is again a deterioration in bonds' hedging property. Our analysis of historical evolution of stock-bond correlations in relation to inflation regimes and different responses of asset prices to inflation news over time support these conjectures. The post 2021 deterioration in bonds' hedging property largely reflects this shift in the economic environment, not necessarily a fundamental change in bond characteristics. If inflationary pressures abate and the frequency of adverse supply shocks declines, bonds' hedging property is likely to improve.

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Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 11h

the venn diagram of bsky users who get insanely mad when someone mentions using claude and bsky users who fell for this fake is a circle isn't it

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FedResearch @fedresearch.federalreserve.gov · 12h

New #FEDSNote: Government Bonds’ Safe-Haven Property and Inflationary Pressures: www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...

federalreserve.gov

Government Bonds’ Safe-Haven Property and Inflationary Pressures

The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.

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Buffer @buffer.com · 11h

We’re hosting a live walkthrough of Buffer Insights on Monday, October 19 at 12pm ET. Darcy and Kelly from our Customer Advocacy team will show you around and answer your questions live. 🔥 🔗 Register here: buffer.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

Alt text: Graphic for Buffer Live, “Buffer Insights: See What’s Working Across Your Channels,” a feature walkthrough and Q&A on October 19 at 12pm ET with Darcy Peters and Kelly Vass, next to a bar chart from the Insights dashboard.

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AFP News Agency @en.afp.com · 11h

BREAKING White House official confirms Press Secretary Katie Zacharia leaving after only a few days on the job

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eridyn.bsky.social @eridyn.bsky.social · 11h

I keep thinking back to two sets of papers I read for undergraduate research projects, one reviewing the forecast methods actually used in businesses and state and local governments and the other set on the accuracy of different forecasts... I wish my memory was good enough to find those again

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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 12h

Earlier in my career, I spent a lot of time using the latest methods to improve an imputation or forecast, only to run a race between the improved method and the simple model it replaced and find that a simple model is actually pretty hard to beat. What are others' experiences here?

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Samuel @samuel.fm · 11h

it's open source, fork to your heart's delight

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Bluesky @bsky.app · 14h

v1.135 is live! You can now browse quote posts by Top in addition to Latest. And posts keep their thread numbering when quoted. These changes are rolling out now. If you don’t see them yet, try refreshing your browser or visiting the app store to make sure you’ve updated to the latest version.

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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 12h

Higher risk premia account for most of the relatively large rises in yields in Japan and France, as well as most of the smaller rises in yields in Canada and Australia."

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EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 12h

Oxford Economics→ "...expectations of higher policy rates account for most of the rise in bond yields in the US, Germany, UK and New Zealand.

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Nick Timiraos @nicktimiraos.bsky.social · 12h

Several Fed officials this week echoed the view several others expressed two weeks ago that rate increases at consecutive policy meetings needn't be a base case. With expectations thusly lined up for the Fed to hold steady in October, Warsh did not go out of his way to boost them Friday

wsj.com

Warsh Avoids Signal on October Rate Move

“We’re not in that business anymore,” Fed chief says after firm inflation data raised questions about timing of next increase.

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Ian Smith @iankmsmith.ft.com · 13h

is anyone else finding this place increasingly livelier? it's quite fun and useful for a place that constantly gets its last rites

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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 13h

Brent. ⛽️

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dhauge3x @dhauge3x.bsky.social · 13h

FINE I'll tell U

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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 13h

"The [MSCI] warning presents a significant challenge for President Prabowo Subianto and his finance minister, Suahasil Nazara, who took office last month as Indonesia’s third finance minister in two years." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/16/b...

nytimes.com

Indonesian Stocks Plunge as MSCI Threatens to Drop Market from Indexes (Gift Article)

The potential downgrade by MSCI, an influential index provider, adds to a deepening crisis of investor confidence in the economic policies of Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto.

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Ben Winkley @benwinkley.bsky.social · 13h

Ice Brent on course for the highest settlement since mid-May. No clear driver of today's 3pc rise, other than all *the stuff*

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