Sam Ro @tker.co · 15h"We estimate that around $140 trillion in US household wealth will change hands over the next 20 years... Equities account for the largest projected transfer, at about $70 trillion over 20 years..." - Moodys 021
Sam Ro @tker.co · 20h"The Consumer Confidence Index deteriorated notably in September, following two prior months of softening... References to prices, the high cost of goods and services, and oil and gas prices in particular, rose to new heights, reflecting September’s surge in fuel costs." - The Conference Board 092
Sam Ro @tker.co · 21h"The S&P 500 P/E has declined this year alongside rising interest rates" - GS 0216
Sam Ro @tker.co · 27/09/2026The AI earnings headwind and accounting headache that’s set to intensify 🌬️ www.tker.co/p/ai-depreci...tker.coThe AI earnings headwind and accounting headache that’s set to intensify 🌬️Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀 030
Sam Ro @tker.co · 25/09/2026“We know just in this last month alone that 40% of consumers used an AI tool to make a purchase in food." - General Mills COO www.wsj.com/livecoverage...wsj.comGeneral Mills Confronts the AI Grocery EraFood companies are girding for AI to take over grocery shopping. “We know just in this last month alone that 40% of consumers used an AI tool to make a purchase in food,” General Mills Chief Operating... 031
Sam Ro @tker.co · 25/09/2026"..broad agreement across the political spectrum that the outlook for the economy has weakened.. After particularly large declines in sentiment this month, Republican sentiment is now 20% lower than January 2026; Democrats are down 13% over the same period." -UMich sentiment survey sca.isr.umich.edu 031
Sam Ro @tker.co · 24/09/2026Bonds don't get enough credit for how they helped advance the world. Like many of history's great inventions, bonds emerged from the need to solve big problems. But their earliest forms were crude, and their development has been a fascinating process involving many characters and many challenges... 2255
Reposted by Sam RoU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics @usbls.bsky.social · 24/09/202657% of workers have flexible schedules; 34% of workers sometimes work at home www.bls.gov/news.release... #ATUS #BLSdata 123
Sam Ro @tker.co · 24/09/2026That’s about the time many high performers leave for the bigger pay bump 241
Sam Ro @tker.co · 21/09/2026A timely stock market lesson from the 1960s 📖 www.tker.co/p/stock-mark...tker.coA timely stock market lesson from the 1960s 📖An incredibly challenging period that saw stocks go higher 📈 120
Sam Ro @tker.co · 21/09/2026"S&P 500 EPS estimates have been sharply upgraded every quarter over the last year or so" - DB www.dbresearch.com/PROD/IE-PROD... 263
Sam Ro @tker.co · 20/09/2026‘Exposure therapy’ for investors 🕷️ www.tker.co/p/exposure-t...tker.co‘Exposure therapy’ for investors 🕷️Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀 021
Reposted by Sam RoSam Ro @tker.co · 17/09/2026Most stock-picking pros have been underperforming this year's rollercoaster ride higher 🫤 www.tker.co/p/spiva-1h-2...tker.coMost stock-picking pros have been underperforming this year's rollercoaster ride higher 🫤New data confirms this persistent trend 📊 151
Reposted by Sam RoSam Ro @tker.co · 10/09/2026Why the interest rate ‘bark’ has been worse than its ‘bite’ 🐶 www.tker.co/p/interest-r...tker.coWhy the interest rate ‘bark’ has been worse than its ‘bite’ 🐶Borrowers are “well positioned to absorb higher rates” ... for now 💵 021
Reposted by Sam RoSam Ro @tker.co · 02/09/202612 stock market charts that caught my attention 📊📈 www.tker.co/p/stock-mark...tker.co12 stock market charts that caught my attention 📊📈Some bullish. Some less so. 🤔 076
Sam Ro @tker.co · 18/09/2026“Father Time always wins. He has, however, been generous with me.” - Warren Buffett 0156
Sam Ro @tker.co · 17/09/2026Most stock-picking pros have been underperforming this year's rollercoaster ride higher 🫤 www.tker.co/p/spiva-1h-2...tker.coMost stock-picking pros have been underperforming this year's rollercoaster ride higher 🫤New data confirms this persistent trend 📊 151
Sam Ro @tker.co · 16/09/2026“…we are moving our S&P 500 target of 8,400 for year-end to mid-2027. Our new target for the end of 2026 is 7,900. Our end-of-decade target remains at 10,000.” 051
Sam Ro @tker.co · 15/09/2026This is a great crash course for anyone behind on the issue. Gonna send it to my parents 1136
Sam Ro @tker.co · 15/09/2026👀📉 Wells Fargo: “After turning cautious into September, we’re officially trimming our S&P 500 target to 7700 (from 7950).” 031
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/09/2026"...we are entering a seasonally weak period and in our view are overdue for a pullback: we've had one 5% pullback this year (in March) vs. three per year typically; 10%+ corrections happen once per year on average, and the last was Spring '25." - BofA 062
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/09/2026"During periods of above-trend EPS growth (~15% y/y), 10yr yields can continue to rise to ~5% before the equity multiple starts to de-rate... The durability of earnings growth will remain the focal point for equity investors." - JPM 020
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/09/2026"Rising interest rates are a headwind for equity valuations, but earnings are the most important driver of stocks." - Goldman's Snider 030
Sam Ro @tker.co · 13/09/2026Is a higher earnings bar really harder to clear? 📏 www.tker.co/p/earnings-e...tker.coIs a higher earnings bar really harder to clear? 📏Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀 141
Sam Ro @tker.co · 10/09/2026"The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline went up 13 cents since last week to $4.27 as crude oil prices continue climbing. ...the national average is increasing during a season when gas prices typically go down due to lower gasoline demand." - AAA 063
Sam Ro @tker.co · 10/09/2026Why the interest rate ‘bark’ has been worse than its ‘bite’ 🐶 www.tker.co/p/interest-r...tker.coWhy the interest rate ‘bark’ has been worse than its ‘bite’ 🐶Borrowers are “well positioned to absorb higher rates” ... for now 💵 021
Sam Ro @tker.co · 07/09/2026"Corporate net interest payments have fallen to 0.4% of GDP because firms locked in record-low fixed rates during the pandemic..." - Apollo's Slok 130
Sam Ro @tker.co · 07/09/2026The first question to ask when someone tells you where stocks are headed 🙋🏻♂️https://www.tker.co/p/edwin-lefevre-speculators-investors-distinction 131
Sam Ro @tker.co · 04/09/2026Bloom Energy, Illumina, Everpure to join S&P 500. Molson Coors, Trade Desk, Builders FirstSource are out 161
Sam Ro @tker.co · 03/09/2026Oh my goodness “…But ultimately Bartiromo spilled the secret, Status has learned…” 170
Sam Ro @tker.co · 03/09/2026"Labor Day weekend travelers are facing the highest gas prices ever for this time of year. The national average is $4.14, up 4 cents from last week." - AAA 0115
Sam Ro @tker.co · 03/09/2026🤣"Clearly guilt is part of the joy, which says something about the religious nature of American society that is beyond the scope of economics." -Allison Schrager www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti... 030
Sam Ro @tker.co · 03/09/2026With AI adoption, many companies are retraining workers. Few are laying off workers. - @newyorkfed.org survey via Torsten Slok libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/09/busi... 052
Sam Ro @tker.co · 02/09/202612 stock market charts that caught my attention 📊📈 www.tker.co/p/stock-mark...tker.co12 stock market charts that caught my attention 📊📈Some bullish. Some less so. 🤔 076
Sam Ro @tker.co · 31/08/2026Extraordinarily fascinating conversation. I never thought about child labor the way it was discussed here. 164
Sam Ro @tker.co · 31/08/2026The number of S&P 500 stocks with negative beta is unusually high, via Richard Bernstein Advisors www.rbadvisors.com/insights/cha... 084
Sam Ro @tker.co · 28/08/2026It's already been a year since Trump fired the BLS commissioner for negative revisions 0131
Sam Ro @tker.co · 27/08/2026Is it bad when economic data gets revised down?🤔 www.tker.co/p/economic-d...tker.coIs it bad when economic data gets revised down?🤔For stock market investors, it might be a good thing 🤯 183
Sam Ro @tker.co · 25/08/2026"By political affiliation, confidence among Independents and Republicans softened while Democrats were somewhat more positive in August." - @Conferenceboard www.conference-board.org/topics/consu... 021
Sam Ro @tker.co · 18/08/2026A note on the equity risk premium with help from TKer's newsletter archive 🔍 www.tker.co/p/equity-ris...tker.coA note on the equity risk premium with help from TKer's newsletter archive 🔍The shrinking ERP might mean something. It might mean nothing. 🤷🏻♂️ 044
Sam Ro @tker.co · 16/08/202624 quick thoughts on the markets and the economy 📋 www.tker.co/p/thoughts-o...tker.co24 quick thoughts on the markets and the economy 📋Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀 095
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/08/2026The stock market may already be adjusting to a future with slower earnings growth 🤔 www.tker.co/p/stocks-ris...tker.coThe stock market is already adjusting to a future with slower earnings growth 🤔Even as stock prices rally to new highs 📊 1112
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/08/2026"Only 8% of Consumers Expect Income Growth to Outpace Inflation Over the Next Year" - UMich consumer sentiment survey 163
Sam Ro @tker.co · 14/08/2026Retail sales -0.6% in July: -2.2% online -1.8% cars, parts -0.9% gas stations -0.5% electronics -0.1% grocery 0.0% sporting, hobby, music, books +0.1% dept stores +0.3% furniture +0.3% building mats, garden +0.5% restaurants, bars +0.7% health, personal care +1.9% clothes 0187
