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Dmitri Alperovitch

@dmitri.silverado.org
29K followers 871 following 530 posts

Geopolitics, Russia, China, Cyber Chairman @silverado.org Author of WorldOnTheBrink.com Host GeopoliticsDecanted.com podcast Founder Alperovitch Institute for Cybersecurity Studies at Johns Hopkins SAIS Co-Founder CrowdStrike @DAlperovitch elsewhere

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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
The Kennan Institute @kennaninstitute.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
⚪ How do historical memories shape modern security policy? @dmitri.silverado.org explains why Russian leaders have long viewed Ukraine as a critical buffer state. Listen to the full episode: open.spotify.com/episode/1D5iw7oBpj…
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
"Right after I conducted a big investigation into Chinese breaches, I coined this phrase. There are two types of companies: those that know that they've been hacked and those that don't yet know" (8:54). Listen to the full conversation with Dmitri Alperovitch on #ShiftingGround.
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Episode 5 | Cyber is War
Explore the intersection of cybersecurity and international affairs in our latest episode featuring Dmitri Alperovitch discussing cyber threats.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
On the latest episode of #ShiftingGround, Dmitri Alperovitch tells us that "cyber doesn't actually create deterrence—cyber is not a weapons system, it's an enabling capability" (34:55). #OrbisJournal
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Episode 5 | Cyber is War
Explore the intersection of cybersecurity and international affairs in our latest episode featuring Dmitri Alperovitch discussing cyber threats.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
"They started infiltrating networks that had nothing to steal: water utilities, pipelines, electric utilities. The US intelligence community believes they're preparing to cause immense disruption to our critical infrastructure (13:55). Listen to the full episode on #ShiftingGround.
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Episode 5 | Cyber is War
Explore the intersection of cybersecurity and international affairs in our latest episode featuring Dmitri Alperovitch discussing cyber threats.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Really enjoyed this observation from @dmitri.silverado.org in his conversation with Larry Rubin and myself for #ShiftingGround … and its relevance for anticipating the next conflict … #Orbisjournal
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
"Cyber is a canary in a coal mine, it gives you a sense of adversary intentions. It's the first tool they'll pull out of their toolkit because it's covert, deniable, and perceived to have very little cost to it." (7:05) Listen to the latest episode of #ShiftingGround. #OrbisJournal
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Episode 5 | Cyber is War
Explore the intersection of cybersecurity and international affairs in our latest episode featuring Dmitri Alperovitch discussing cyber threats.
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 23/03/2026
How to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz New Geopolitics Decanted episode on how the US military can mitigate against the anti-ship cruise missile, drone, fast-attack boat and mine threat in the Persian Gulf. And the possible timeline for return to normalcy youtu.be/Sjz_zxKOMIk
youtu.be
How to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
c0ast3r 🇺🇸 @c0ast3r.endrun.io · 22/12/2025
@dmitri.silverado.org is right about this.
wsj.com
Opinion | The U.S. Can’t Get Xi Hooked on Nvidia Chips
‘The exports will relinquish our lead in frontier AI models while actively supporting China’s military and economic advancement,’ writes Dmitri Alperovitch.
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 22/12/2025
"During the height of the Cold War, it was unthinkable for the U.S. to sell supercomputers to the Soviet Union, the equivalent of the GPUs today. We’ve never won technological competitions by arming our competitors—we’ve prevailed by preserving a clear advantage." www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
"We are fast approaching a moment when China’s expansionist ambitions may test America’s resolve," @dmitri.silverado.org and Matt Cronin write. wapo.st/3JVhdLd
wapo.st
Opinion | The arsenal of democracy cannot fight like this
The U.S. military’s defense acquisition system is a casualty of bureaucracy.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Olga Belogolova 🌻 @olgs7.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
So far this morning, we’ve had an incredible kickoff with on attribution alphabet soup with the one and only @dmitri.silverado.org and then a fascinating meme-ful talk from @activemeasures.bsky.social and @wylienewmark.bsky.social on SVR cyber espionage and Russian analytic battlefields.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Wulf Sternhammer @tarielcell.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
I found the latest episode of Geopolitics Decanted with @dmitri.silverado.org very informative on the state of the Russian economy. I don’t know whether these new sanctions are enough to be the potential game changers identified by Chris Weafer. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/g...
podcasts.apple.com
Keeping Russian Economy Afloat: Kremlin's Economic High Wire Act
Podcast Episode · Geopolitics Decanted with Dmitri Alperovitch · 22/10/2025 · 44m
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Hidde van der Bijl @hvanderaxe.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
Very interesting podcast by @dmitri.silverado.org why drones are a useful addition to the European military but shouldn't be the main focus for investment in building our military capabilities.
open.spotify.com
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado · Episode
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Jason Davidson @profjwdavidson.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
I found this discussion between @dmitri.silverado.org and @justin-br0nk.bsky.social on the limitations of drones to be very useful. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
podcasts.apple.com
Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado
News Commentary Podcast · Geopolitics Decanted is a podcast featuring geopolitical analysis and in-depth expert interviews on topics ranging from War in Ukraine, Great Power Competition with China, ch...
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Joseph Britt @zathras5.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
Justin Bronk — @justin-br0nk.bsky.social — is a keen observer of military affairs. Talking with @dmitri.silverado.org, he challenges the view that Ukraine’s success with UAVs against Russia is a model for what the US and other western nations should focus on. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
podcasts.apple.com
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
Podcast Episode · Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado · 08/05/2025 · 49m
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 05/08/2025
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower My @GeopolDecanted discussion with @justin-br0nk.bsky.social about his recent provocative @rusi.bsky.social piece on this topic. We also discuss efficacy of Ukrainian F-16s, Operation SpiderWeb and much more. Watch 👇 youtu.be/ykLIH2kY1U8
youtu.be
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 16/07/2025
Chip Security Act (CSA) is a new bipartisan bill in Congress that requires advanced AI chips to have location verification to combat illicit diversion of exports of these chips to banned countries like China. A 🧵 on how this could work to enhance US export control enforcement
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 14/07/2025
Malaysia, one of the top black market transshippers of AI chips to China, has just announced that "effective immediately, all exports, tranships and transits of high-performance AI chips of US origin are subject to a Strategic Trade Permit" www.miti.gov.my/miti/resourc...
miti.gov.my
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 02/07/2025
New Geopolitics Decanted episode about why the US nuclear force posture needs to change Also Iran-Israel war, China’s new tactical nuclear arsenal, debate about counterforce vs countervalue targeting & extended deterrence, and why Pakistan wants ICBMs targeting America youtu.be/tCVtes4dEUU
youtu.be
Why America's Nuclear Deterrence Strategy Needs to Change
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Worth listening to both of these, on Iran’s nuclear program and its future after the Israeli-US attacks 1.) David Albright interviewed by @mdubowitz.bsky.social www.fdd.org/podcasts/202... 2.) @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social interviewed by @dmitri.silverado.org podcast.silverado.org/e/assessing-...
youtube.com
THE IRAN BREAKDOWN | Assessing the U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
YouTube video by FDD
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 25/06/2025
If you want to understand the true extent of the damage done to all aspects of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and how difficult it might be to rebuild it, look no further than this podcast 👇 youtu.be/iCfMfoaUaMA
youtu.be
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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R Phelps @greygosling.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
This is an excellent 0-60mph on Iran's nuclear program, and detailed assessment of the US strikes. And good fun as always with these two despite the unfolding mess.
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Seven Yakima @sevenyakima.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
@dmitri.silverado.org talks to Jeffrey Lewis @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social about whatever now constitutes the Iranian nuclear program and what might be next. Super interesting and discusses various possibilities - but don't expect definitive answers.
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 24/06/2025
Hot off the press: new Geopolitics Decanted episode with @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social where we dive deep into the details of the damage done to the Iranian nuclear program, prospects for reconstitution, as well as have a lively debate about the merits of this war
youtu.be
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Nikolaus von Twickel @niktwick.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
This is very much worth your time!
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 19/06/2025
New @GeopolDecanted episode: The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach I discuss the state of the war with Gen. Amos Yadlin (Ret.), perhaps the world's only person who has participated in the destruction of three(!) nuclear weapons programs youtu.be/eaX6fV632r4
youtu.be
The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 17/06/2025
Vital question no one seems to be asking right now: when does the Pentagon staff start to get sick of consuming pizza day in and day out and move on to Chinese, Indian or name your takeout food?
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 17/06/2025
One thing to ponder: the only military operation likely in all of human history that has been in active planning and preparation for longer than Israel’s war on Iran is China’s planned invasion of Taiwan
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 08/06/2025
Chinese intelligence agents stepped up efforts to recruit Russian officials, experts, journalists and businesspeople close to power in Moscow according to a leaked FSB document
nytimes.com
Secret Russian Intelligence Document Shows Deep Suspicion of China
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Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Patrick Gray @patrick.risky.biz · 01/06/2025
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 31/05/2025
Fascinating interview with a private drone designer for the RU military. His knowledge of UKR & Western drones is limited and should be taken with some skepticism but he still presents a quite candid picture into the current state of unmanned warfare:🧵 www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmfN...
youtube.com
Why This Russian Drone Developer Isn’t Impressed by U.S. Tech
YouTube video by Real Reporter
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 18/05/2025
The story of the aftermath of Prigozhin’s mutiny 2 years ago is finally coming out. As I’d said at the time in @foreignpolicy.com, his death was not a foregone conclusion. If he had agreed to abandon his business empire as Putin demanded, he likely would have been alive today ⬇️
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 16/05/2025
Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul going well today…
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 13/05/2025
"Several American F-16s and an F-35 fighter jet were nearly struck by Houthi air defenses, making real the possibility of American casualties, multiple U.S. officials said.” 👀
nytimes.com
Why Trump Suddenly Declared Victory Over the Houthi Militia
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 10/05/2025
Behind closed doors, Chinese officials have grown increasingly alarmed about tariffs' impact on the economy and the risk of isolation as China's trading partners have started negotiating deals with Washington www.reuters.com/world/inside...
reuters.com
Inside China's decision to come to the table on Trump tariffs
Re-engagement was complicated by the fractious nature of U.S.-China diplomacy.
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Judah Grunstein @judah-grunstein.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
For Dmitri Alperovitch, whose book Sam reviews, the US end goals must be to avoid war with China while ensuring US primacy. As Sam points out, confronting the tension between them would require choices DC elites prefer not to make as they have yet to recruit the American people to their cause.
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Maggie Miller @maggiemiller.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Excited to moderate a keynote panel with @dmitri.silverado.org this morning at RSAC Conference on geopolitics and cybersecurity. Find out more here: path.rsaconference.com/flow/rsac/us...
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 29/04/2025
Virtually all progress China has made in AI in the last 3 years can be directly attributed to loopholes and lax enforcement of chip export controls and the delays by USG in addressing them - from delay in bans on Nvidia H800 and H20 to TSMC manufacturing 3 million dies for Huawei
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 29/04/2025
Terrific writeup by Lennart Heim for ChinaTalk about why chip export controls are ensuring US dominance over China in AI in the coming decade but also why China may match US AI models in benchmarks later this year (and why it’s expected and not a huge deal) www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-mod...
chinatalk.media
Chinese AI Will Match America's
But will it matter?
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 14/04/2025
About this Chinese rare earth ban.. Refining of rare earth minerals is NOT a complex issue to solve. In fact, we have partially solved it already! Story time. Last year I visited the Mountain Pass mine in CA owned by MP Materials, the only operating RE mine in North America 🧵
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Council on Foreign Relations @cfr.org · 09/04/2025
🎧 On this episode of The President's Inbox, Dmitri Alperovitch sits down with James Lindsay to discuss the geopolitical rivalry between China and the United States, its impact on U.S. interests, and how the United States should respond. Listen ⬇️
cfr.org
PODCAST | The President's Inbox: Confronting the China Challenge, With Dmitri Alperovitch
Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, co-founder and former chief technology officer of cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike, and author of World on the Brink: How Ame...
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 10/04/2025
Chinese officials acknowledged in a December meeting with Biden officials in Geneva that Beijing was behind the Volt Typhoon intrusions into U.S. critical infrastructure citing increasing U.S. policy support for Taiwan as an excuse www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
wsj.com
Exclusive | In Secret Meeting, China Acknowledged Role in U.S. Infrastructure Hacks
A senior Chinese official linked intrusions to escalating U.S. support for Taiwan.
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 08/04/2025
Full-on economic decoupling from China may be in progress with additional 104% tariffs going into place and with China reportedly dumping US treasuries Economic integration was the main reason why some have argued against the Cold War II framing. That factor may soon be gone
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 07/04/2025
March was the worst month of the war for the ratio of total UKR to RU equipment losses (source: Oryx). Likely due to the Russian offensive in Kursk and forced Ukrainian withdrawal When looking at heavy weapons only, ratio is a bit better but still 2nd worst month of the war🧵
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 02/04/2025
Perhaps the most underrated story in Chinese politics of the last decade It looks increasingly likely that He Weidong, Vice Chair of the Central Military Commission and one of Xi’s old time loyal colleagues, has been purged. Rumors about his arrest have been floating for the past several weeks 🧵
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 31/03/2025
Taipei seems to be reassured by this action to prioritize US force posture in the Indo-Pacific yet some argue it would somehow simultaneously embolden Xi to initiate aggression against Taiwan. Unlikely that both are true at the same time www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
washingtonpost.com
Taiwan reassured — and surprised — by Pentagon focus on deterring China
An internal Pentagon memo was welcomed by some former officials and analysts in Taiwan, who have watched with concern as Trump suspended U.S. support for Ukraine.
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 29/03/2025
Very good to see this prioritization. As I wrote in #WorldOnTheBrink, deterring a Chinese attempt to forcefully annex Taiwan is of paramount importance to the United States and, unfortunately, has been too neglected over decades
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Trying to keep up with the Indo-Pacific under the new U.S. administration? This must-listen episode covers everything from AUKUS to Taiwan to the U.S.-Japanese relationship. warontherocks.com/2025/03/a-st...
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Dmitri Alperovitch @dmitri.silverado.org · 17/03/2025
I wonder if there would have been such a concerted effort to silence voices advocating for a lab leak COVID origin theory if the pandemic had started in any country other than China… Imagine it didn’t come from Wuhan but say Novosibirsk…
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