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Foreign Policy Research Institute

@fpri.bsky.social
2.9K followers 17 following 2.4K posts

Nonpartisan foreign policy think tank. Join the conversation: fpriinsights.substack.com

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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 12m
Dominic Tierney observes that although Canada calls for middle-power cooperation and expresses a clear desire to reduce its dependence on the US, the UK values its partnership with Washington and collaborates with it even when their positions diverge. buff.ly/CSvGaez
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 1h
This deal reflects the long and likely difficult negotiations that ultimately brought all three parties together. Whether the Greenlandic and Danish parliaments ultimately accept the deal remains to be seen, but at least we know what is at stake.
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What Stands Out in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement - Foreign Policy Research Institute
This whole Greenland saga has elicited all sorts of commentary. Let’s step back. The United States has had a presence on Greenland and permissive basing rules
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 3h
Jessica Liao explains that China's display of a diplomatic thaw with the United States serves its domestic interests. For Chinese leadership, bilateral stabilization is an instrument of statecraft designed to secure the strategic capabilities needed to advance long-term objectives.
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FPRI Experts React | The Trump-Xi Summit - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The much-anticipated summit meeting in Washington between American President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping masked any tensions that the two
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 5h
Russia is squeezing regional budgets as it projects a 2.2 percent deficit for 2027. To address its precarious financial situation, the federal government plans to defer debt repayments to regions and raise further taxes. ⬇️
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Let’s Get Fiscal
New taxes target passive income, e-commerce, and select producers in Russia’s 2027 budget
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 19h
Rebecca Pincus notes three particularities in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement: 1. Those who express concerns over the agreement having no end date should not be alarmed—this has happened before with the 1951 US-Denmark defense agreement. More below ⬇️
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What Stands Out in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement - Foreign Policy Research Institute
This whole Greenland saga has elicited all sorts of commentary. Let’s step back. The United States has had a presence on Greenland and permissive basing rules
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 20h
Ahead of Latvia's 15th round of parliamentary elections this Saturday, October 3, catch up on our virtual event that breaks down the election process, the parties involved, the candidates running, and the recorded impact of the diaspora vote.
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Latvia Goes to the Polls: Watching the Political Winds Blow
On October 3, Latvia holds parliamentary elections for the 15th time. The election follows the resignation of Prime Minister Evika Siliņa in May amid security concerns and features 14 parties seeking…
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22h
The United States does not keep all of its weapons in a state of operational readiness, and in a crisis normally generates more. That may not be a quick enough response in today's landscape with countless emerging technologies. ⬇️
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Episode 9 | Thinking About the Second Nuclear Century
Join us as we discuss the future of nuclear strategy and the impact of technology in the second nuclear century.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23h
A principle in the #Burnham doctrine is a desire to balance interests and values. Burnham promised to invest in the UK armed forces and in sovereign capabilities in shipbuilding and AI. He reiterated that the UK would be guided by values, including support for international law and the UN.
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How UK Foreign Policy Is Changing Under Andy Burnham - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Last week, the Andy Burnham government in the United Kingdom announced sanctions on Israeli settlements in the West Bank, in coordination with Canada and 10
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
⏰️ Last Chance to Register | Japan's Counterstrike Gamble | Tomorrow, 9:00 AM EDT Join FPRI's Asia Program for a virtual event discussing the three pillars needed for Japan to build a counterstrike capability: technical capability, strategic frameworks, and command and control.
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Japan's Counterstrike Gamble: Building Deterrence Under Pressure - FPRI Events
Japan's defense landscape is entering a period of acute strategic pressure. Intensifying military activity from neighboring powers is heightening volatility
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
🆕 House of GUGI: A Historical Imagery Analysis of Olenya Guba by Sam Lair
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House of GUGI: A Historical Imagery Analysis of Olenya Guba - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The special mission submarines and Yantar belong to the Main Directorate for Deep Sea-Research (Glavnoye Upravlenie Glubokovodnikh Issledovanii), more
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In this week's #BearMarketBrief, @minczifra.bsky.social and Lee Block highlight: - increasing federal deficit - a successful push for a relief of sanctions against two oligarchs - the arrest of Alexander Kynev, a political scientist critical of the recent Duma elections
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Let’s Get Fiscal
New taxes target passive income, e-commerce, and select producers in Russia’s 2027 budget
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
🆕 FPRI Experts React | The Trump-Xi Summit. Our experts highlight different dimensions of the summit, all pointing to the same conclusion: both the United States and China were eager to convey strength, prioritizing the status of their partnership over addressing pertinent tensions between them.
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FPRI Experts React | The Trump-Xi Summit - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The much-anticipated summit meeting in Washington between American President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping masked any tensions that the two
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Over time, Inta Mieriņa has accumulated extensive data from her study of the Latvian diaspora, recording language data, diaspora investments, and views on select domestic issues. With a dynamic political landscape at home, the base can serve as a consultation mechanism. #BalticWays
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Diaspora and Migration in the Latvian Context
How European societies received Ukrainian refugees
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Check out Aaron Stein's full report on the continuity between Soviet thought and present-day Russian approaches to war in space. buff.ly/vWt405r
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In the Brussels Morning Newspaper, Maximilian Hess highlights Mongolia as representative of the fallout from the Iran energy crisis. The country relies on Russia to export petrol and fuel, which is no longer a viable solution. Read more for full details ⬇️
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Mongolia’s Fuel Crisis and Energy Dependence Explained
Mongolia’s fuel crisis exposes its dependence on Russian energy, weak reserves and supply risks facing its mining-driven economy.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In his piece for the #OrbisJournal, Paul Bracken highlights the many applications of militarized AI, including integrating weapons used to destroy a target into the tracking process, powering cyberattacks, and encoding and decoding cryptographic messages.
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An AI-Driven Second Nuclear Age
Explore the impact of AI on global security and warfare in this new age of technological threats and challenges.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
🗓️ Japan's Counterstrike Gamble| Wednesday, September 30 | 9:00 AM EDT Register for our virtual panel discussion addressing the question: Can Japan build a credible counterstrike capability fast enough and coherently enough to function as a genuine regional deterrent?
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Japan's Counterstrike Gamble: Building Deterrence Under Pressure - FPRI Events
Japan's defense landscape is entering a period of acute strategic pressure. Intensifying military activity from neighboring powers is heightening volatility
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Phil Wasielewski highlights that the state of Russia's banking, railway, and oil refining systems will lead to heightened economic instability. ⬇️
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In a conversation with Aaron Stein, Rebecca Pincus notes that she is bearish on the likelihood of significantly increased US military presence in Greenland anytime soon, hihglighting that the FY27 Pentagon budget does not mention Greenland and is facing incredible strain on multiple fronts.
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What Stands Out in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement - Foreign Policy Research Institute
This whole Greenland saga has elicited all sorts of commentary. Let’s step back. The United States has had a presence on Greenland and permissive basing rules
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
FPRI and the Latvian Society of Philadelphia co-hosted a virtual event where Indra Ekmanis discussed the upcoming Saeima elections. Watch her full presentation for a breakdown of the election process, a profile of each party, and resources to vote if you are part of the Latvian diaspora.
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Latvia Goes to the Polls: Watching the Political Winds Blow
On October 3, Latvia holds parliamentary elections for the 15th time. The election follows the resignation of Prime Minister Evika Siliņa in May amid security concerns and features 14 parties seeking…
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
US sanctions against Russia's shadow fleet were ineffective due to their tempo and lack of enforcement. The Graham Act lowers the evidentiary burden for the US to designate sanctions targets within Russia's shadow fleet, mitigating previous issues of speed and enforcement. #BearMarketBrief.
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Power Ballot
United Russia secures supermajority as Putin frames election to support continued military campaign
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
In wars of attrition, when military operations reach a deadlock the conflict moves into other areas to try to break it. The war has evolved from a clash of armies across a battlefield into a conflict aimed at Russian and Ukrainian societies with kinetic operations targeting each other’s economies.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The gap between China’s words and behavior within the UN is likely more a result of ambivalence than cynicism. The recent slowing of Chinese growth and ingrained discomfort with hegemony explain its reluctance to supplant the United States as first among equals across international institutions.
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Words Without Money: China as the Ambivalent UN Power - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Over the past year, China has been quietly shifting its stance within the international system. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) is casting itself as an
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🗓️ Member Briefing | Iran Rebuilds its Missile Arsenal In this members-only briefing, Aaron Stein and Sam Lair will discuss how FPRI's IDAC team is leveraging open-source satellite imagery to track and assess Iran's missile capabilities and stockpiles.
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Iran Rebuilds its Missile Arsenal: An Open Source Assessment - FPRI Events
In September, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Iranian regime has begun to rebuild its missile stockpiles, leveraging spare parts on hand and working
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🧵By the Numbers: Highlights from the latest #BearMarketBrief 1) 4.8 trillion rubles - the planned deficit of the federal budget in 2027, according to Vladimir Putin. This would be an estimated 2 percent of GDP. More below👇️
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
We should be willing to look beyond old concepts and assumptions in regard to the new technologies. To label military AI, cyber, and space as “conventional weapons,” and anything with a nuclear warhead on it as a “nuclear weapon” overlooks what the weapons in combination mean.
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An AI-Driven Second Nuclear Age
Explore the impact of AI on global security and warfare in this new age of technological threats and challenges.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Check out what FPRI worked on this week!
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Weekly Insights | September 25, 2026
Russia and Ukraine’s war of endurance, Latvia’s upcoming elections, and more
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
If you missed today's virtual event breaking down why Latvia is holding its 15th parliamentary elections, how the election process works, and the candidates for the upcoming October 3rd race, check out the full presentation on our YouTube channel!
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Latvia Goes to the Polls: Watching the Political Winds Blow
On October 3, Latvia holds parliamentary elections for the 15th time. The election follows the resignation of Prime Minister Evika Siliņa in May amid security concerns and features 14 parties seeking…
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
In a piece for The New Region, Mohammed Salih details the logic behind the Houthi takeover of Bab al-Mandab and how it represents a crucial strategic gain for Iran, granting Iran increased leverage over international shipping and countering Washington's Economic D-Day strategy.
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The Houthi takeover of Bab al-Mandab and Iran’s counter-economic strategy
Unless the Houthis are dislodged militarily, there is also little reason for them to voluntarily relinquish such a strategic gain. Control over territory around Bab al-Mandab gives them enormous…
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🆕 What Stands Out in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement with Rebeca Pincus and @aaronstein1.bsky.social. buff.ly/V0dMDxe
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What Stands Out in the US-Greenland-Denmark Agreement - Foreign Policy Research Institute
This whole Greenland saga has elicited all sorts of commentary. Let’s step back. The United States has had a presence on Greenland and permissive basing rules
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Promising an ethical foreign policy is easier in theory than practice. Burnham managed to build a middle power coalition and keep Washington on board with sanctions on Israeli settlements, but this task may be more difficult on issues where the United States is skeptical of the middle power push.
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How UK Foreign Policy Is Changing Under Andy Burnham - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Last week, the Andy Burnham government in the United Kingdom announced sanctions on Israeli settlements in the West Bank, in coordination with Canada and 10
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Everyone who said, "China is all about the minimum means of reprisal," wasn't wrong for about 50 years, but at some point that changed in the minds of China's leadership, and no one saw it coming. China's transformation of its nuclear force was a discontinuous change (31:25). #ShiftingGround
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Episode 9 | Thinking About the Second Nuclear Century
Join us as we discuss the future of nuclear strategy and the impact of technology in the second nuclear century.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
China continues to provide military equipment, increase trade relations, and increase foreign investment in the Sahel States following France's retreat from the region. ⬇️
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
As a result of economic pressures from the war being offloaded onto regional budgets, Russia's healthcare spending declined by 6%, and 19 regions are planning 10% reductions. These drops further compound existing shortages in the healthcare system. More in the #BearMarketBrief.
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Power Ballot
United Russia secures supermajority as Putin frames election to support continued military campaign
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In his latest analysis, Philip Wasielewski denotes a crucial shift in the Russo-Ukrainian war: both sides have shifted their focus to breaking the will of the other's society, creating profound effects across economic and political life.
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The War of Endurance: Russia, Ukraine, and the Struggle Behind the Front Lines - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The Russo-Ukrainian War, if dated to Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea, is the longest running conflict in Europe since the French Revolutionary and
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
⏰️ Today at 11:30 AM | Latvia Goes to the Polls FPRI Baltic Sea Fellow Dr. Indra Ekmanis and Janis Chakars break down Latvia's upcoming parliamentary election, highlighting the process, candidates, and what is at stake. Register for the discussion co-hosted with the Latvian Society of Philadelphia.
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Latvia Goes to the Polls: Watching the Political Winds Blow - FPRI Events
On October 3, Latvia holds parliamentary elections for the 15th time. The election follows the resignation of Prime Minister Evika Siliņa in May amid security
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
As the public primarily expresses concern over a nuclear arms race and militarized AI, Paul Bracken raises the issue of a concurrent arms race across multiple evolving technologies—cyberwar, space, militarized AI, stealth, and nuclear weapons. buff.ly/aqb91Nz
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In an era marked by the end of traditional arms control, emerging technologies, and evolving geopolitical rivalries, one question looms large: What does nuclear stability look like in the second nuclear century? buff.ly/Tsg8MRu
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The 123 Agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia is facing backlash as it undergoes review. Check out Michael Duitsman's analysis explaining how it poses significant proliferation risks and could influence the norms other countries follow.
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The US-Saudi Nuclear Deal: Abandoning the Gold Standard - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Donald Trump is famous for his love of gold. His agreement with Saudi Arabia, however, has undermined the so-called “Gold Standard” for nuclear
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
In 2025, China introduced the Global Governance Initiative (GGI), a national vision of global joint cooperation. The GGI was unique in elevating the UN's purposes, principles, and authority. However, China’s bold rhetoric papers over its muddy approach to the functioning of the UN system.
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Words Without Money: China as the Ambivalent UN Power - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Over the past year, China has been quietly shifting its stance within the international system. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) is casting itself as an
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The nuclear context of international affairs is “thickening.” China's nuclear breakout is the most prominent example of this "thicker" context, but India, North Korea, Pakistan, the United Kingdom, and France are also contributing.
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An AI-Driven Second Nuclear Age
Explore the impact of AI on global security and warfare in this new age of technological threats and challenges.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
For multiple reasons, the Russian Duma election results cannot be taken at face value. Opposition candidates were systemically disqualified, reports of coerced voting and ballot stuffing ran high, and restrictions on discussing the war were placed leading up to the elections. #BearMarketBrief.
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Power Ballot
United Russia secures supermajority as Putin frames election to support continued military campaign
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
🆕 Russia, Ukraine, and the Struggle Behind the Front Lines by Philip Wasielewski buff.ly/lDlqCW0
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The War of Endurance: Russia, Ukraine, and the Struggle Behind the Front Lines - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The Russo-Ukrainian War, if dated to Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea, is the longest running conflict in Europe since the French Revolutionary and
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
⏰️ Tomorrow, September 24 | Latvia Goes to the Polls | 11:30 AM EDT Register for our virtual discussion highlighting the election process, candidates, and stakes for Latvia's upcoming 15th parliamentary election.
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Latvia Goes to the Polls: Watching the Political Winds Blow - FPRI Events
On October 3, Latvia holds parliamentary elections for the 15th time. The election follows the resignation of Prime Minister Evika Siliņa in May amid security
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Dominic Tierney details how London created a coalition of states introducing sanctions against Israeli settlements without antagonizing the US. American officials declined to criticize the sanctions decision as the UK kept its partner informed of the plans ahead of time.
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How UK Foreign Policy Is Changing Under Andy Burnham - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Last week, the Andy Burnham government in the United Kingdom announced sanctions on Israeli settlements in the West Bank, in coordination with Canada and 10
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
As the US government recently confirmed the deployment of weapons in space, check out FPRI's report on the cost of employing anti-missile satellite interceptors to "defend the Joint Force against space-enabled attacks." ⬇️
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Nothing New Under the Golden Dome: Space-Based Interceptors in the Trump Administration - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Golden Dome has quickly become the signature defense program of President Trump’s second term. The most contentious element of this ambitious missile defense
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🧵By the Numbers: Highlights from the latest #BearMarketBrief 1) 400 billion rubles - the projected losses to Russian online marketplaces from drone strikes, according to an analysis by Data Insight. More below👇️
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In the latest episode of #ShiftingGround, Austin Long and @rachelwhitlark.bsky.social discuss the application of historical lessons to the second nuclear century, highlighting both the dangers in misusing them and the cases were analogizing can be useful to navigate present-day conflicts. (26:00)
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Episode 9 | Thinking About the Second Nuclear Century
Join us as we discuss the future of nuclear strategy and the impact of technology in the second nuclear century.
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In this week's #BearMarketBrief, András Tóth-Czifra and Lee Block highlight manipulation in the Russian #DumaElections, the US Graham Act and its notable Section 113, and the effects of regional budget pressures on health and social care.
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Power Ballot
United Russia secures supermajority as Putin frames election to support continued military campaign
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Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🗓️ Virtual Event | Wednesday, September 30 | 9:00 AM EDT Join us for a panel discussion on Japan's defense posture and deterrence capabilities amid acute strategic pressure. Can Japan build a credible counterstrike capability to function as a regional deterrent? Register to find out.
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Japan's Counterstrike Gamble: Building Deterrence Under Pressure - FPRI Events
Japan's defense landscape is entering a period of acute strategic pressure. Intensifying military activity from neighboring powers is heightening volatility
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