iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 18h

Update: The remnants of Hurricane Rachel, likely as a post-tropical (perhaps still tropical) storm, now appears likely to bring significant impacts to northern Baja CA, far S. California, AZ, and UT--mainly Sunday into Monday. [Brief thread]

Map of currently projected track or Rachel and its remnants from NOAA's National Hurricane Center.

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WeatherMatrix @weathermatrix.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Those storms on the Great Lakes are really trucking at 40-50 knots!

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Veronica aka Jane Doe @aintbeehaven.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

There is a silver alert in West Central NM. It has gone statewide. Please share if you are in #NewMexico or #Arizona. He has wandered off before, but never this long. It's hot and sunny in the desert today. This is quite urgent. #silveralert

Silver Alert
Age: 82
Height: 5'4"
Weight: 160 lbs
Hair: white
Eyes: blue

The Cibola County Sheriff's Office is asking for the public's assistance locating this individual. Ken was last seen October 5, 2026, at 9:50am, on Timberlake Road in Ramah, NM. He was wearing a grey and red plaid shirt and blue jeans. Anyone with information on the whereabouts is asked to call the Cibola Sheriff at (505) 287-9476.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I will be keeping a close eye on things over the next few days, and if conditions warrant may try to have a pop-up YouTube livestream or blog post (I will be traveling, so logistics are tricker, but I'll do it if needed!). Stay tuned.

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I think it may be very handy to have so many of them in one place! M************ Another UK billionaire moves to Monaco, joining a growing billionaire community that includes Nigeria’s Otedola | Business Insider Africa share.google/Zb8XIYb61nzZ...

share.google

Another UK billionaire moves to Monaco, joining a growing billionaire community that includes Nigeria’s Otedola

British billionaire, David Reuben has moved to Monaco, adding to a growing community of wealthy Britons who have relocated to the tax-friendly Mediterranean principality

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 06/10/2026

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 6, 2026 ~ Edible hat alert! "I'm on the record saying I'll eat my hat if this doesn't materialize, which again, stay tuned on that one." www.youtube.com/watch?v=41XT...

youtube.com

Prolonged & locally record-breaking Southern California heatwaves continues; more tropical moisture?

YouTube video by Weather West

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altNOAA 🇺🇸 @altnoaa.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

A friend has a theory why Tucker Carlson is suddenly anti-Trump: He sees the end and understands that the first person who was hanged at Nuremberg was a publicist who shot or killed nobody, but published extreme-right propaganda that created the conditions for it to happen. Julius Streicher.

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Unbiased Science @unbiasedscipod.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

We're getting a lot of questions about the reported plague case in Russia, and we understand why headlines about "the plague" are scary. Let's go through what we know, and what we don't. This deserves close attention, but the chance of it becoming a wider outbreak, let alone a pandemic, is very low.

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Did you watch Nate Hagan's interview of Zeke Hausfather ? I am still stunned by how intelligent people who are in the know about one aspect of our collapsing world tend to get tunnel vision on that one thing. What we really need are people who are looking at the big broad picture. Doomers.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

No surprises for anyone living in SoCal, but the last couple of days have been very hot for Oct in most areas, with widespread 100F+ today even pretty close to coast. Quite a few daily records, and maybe a monthly record or two, broken--with scattered records elsewhere in West.

Map from coolwx.org showing current record-breaking temperatures across the CONUS. There are numerous locations near or at record levels across SoCal, mostly daily vs monthly, with scattered locations widely distributed across the West.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

The East Pacific has been supercharged this #hurricane season, and is now in record ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy) territory. It is expected to stay busy the next couple of weeks. If it accumulates another 50-60 units, it will break the record set in 2018. My guess is it probably will. #elnino

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I spent the full hour on NPR/@wbur.org's "On Point" in conversation with Meghna Chakrabarti on this year's very strong El Niño event--which is expected reach record intensity by Nov--and the broader context surrounding it, as well as local-to-global impacts.

wbur.org

How the 'super' El Niño will shape the global climate

El Niño has become an annual global climate phenomenon. But this year, scientists are warning of a record-setting 'super' El Niño. What that could mean for the weather everywhere on planet earth.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

It’s official: It’s now the hottest El Niño ever recorded and we are still 2 months away from peak, with nowhere to go but UP! So what does it mean for winter across Florida & the southern US? Here’s the details… (records go back 170+ years) #elnino

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Recorded live and available below, in case you missed it!

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WeatherMatrix @weathermatrix.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Streaming AccuWeather on YouTube Live from the home office, covering the Nor'easter: www.youtube.com/watch?v=EK4X...

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Major Nor’easter! Also, Cat 5 Hurricane #Polo in context. And “Cool” #Florida weekend! It’s all packed into this short video. #noreaster

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

"But as David Wallace-Wells and I note in today's NYT, we are not out of the woods yet, and climate uncertainty is not our friend:" Not out of the woods??? I am just gobsmacked by that Hopium laden, gross level of optimism bias from such an esteemed climate scientist. Unbelievable nonsense.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Tropical Storm Polo has formed in eastern tropical Pacific. Conditions are very favorable for strengthening due to record-warm ocean temperatures & low wind shear, and Polo may threaten some portion of western coast of Mexico/Baja as a major (Cat 3+) storm in coming days.

Map from polarwx.com showing the "superensemble" of potential trajectories for Polo from all major global models, superimposed atop a sea surface temperature anomaly map. Each black line is a separate simulated trajectory, and each colored line is the ensemble average for a specific model.

Map of ocean surface temperature anomalies across the Northeastern Pacific Ocean. The ocean is *extremely* warm--far above average, and in most cases record warm--along the entire simulated trajectory of TS/Hurricane Polo in the coming days.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 17/09/2026

Living in the southern U.S. means being ready for intense heat & sudden extreme weather like heavy flooding. Don’t let a breakdown or storm catch you off guard! Customize your car emergency kit for the southern climate. #HeatSafety #CarEmergencyKit #NationalPreparednessMonth

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James Hansen @drjamesehansen.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

An aerosol meeting with our Chinese friends and colleagues in Xi’an, with a tribute to enthusiastic, inspiration, Michael Mishchenko. See China – mailchi.mp/caa/working-... Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/working-wi...

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

How short-sighted displaying remarkable limited thinking skills and awareness were people who thought I can't vote for or support Kamala because of Gaza. Just a stunning example of human stupidity. From which society as we know it will never recover. Let that sink in.

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Would those who follow me please take a moment and subscribe to Weather West by Dr Daniel Swain? He is an excellent climate scientist, meteorologist and climate communicator. On the west coast of the US his analysis of El Nino are Vital. www.youtube.com/live/2v4k0nb...

youtube.com

September 2026 update: Extremely strong El Niño event remains on track for autumn-winter

YouTube video by Weather West

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Really excellent presentation of the impacts to California and the southern us of El niño and the coming winter /spring lots of excellent data presented. Thank you Daniel for all your work!

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

More destruction, damage along the California coast due to remnants of a hurricanes waves slamming Southern California with massive rain waves. Remarkable how few people seem to understand that this entire coastal area won't exist in its current form by the spring of 2027 youtu.be/VrVIoOyG0vA?...

youtu.be

🚨 Southern California Coastal Disaster: 75 Yards of Beach Lost, 14 Homes Damaged & Roads Flooded

YouTube video by Severe Weather USA

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

With widespread temperatures in 95-105F range, plus very high humidity (dew points mostly 65-70F), heat index/apparent temperatures are now 105-110F across most of SoCal, with pockets of 110-115F. Peak may be a bit higher still later this PM. This humid heatwave is no joke! #CAwx

Snapshot of current observed heat index values across SoCal from a NWS map.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Recorded and now available, in case you missed it. Since this session ended, the NWS has now issued an Extreme Heat Warning for most or all of coastal SoCal for Wednesday (yes, tomorrow will be even worse) for the genuinely dangerous combination of extreme humidity plus heat.

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Ryan Hall, Y’all @rhyall.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Honored to keynote the Kentucky Emergency Services Conference today. My message was about closing the “confirmation gap” between getting a warning and believing it enough to act. Really grateful KESC gave me the room to make that case. Then I signed a bunch of Y’all-O-Meters 😂

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

The ECMWF seasonal ensemble has just updated for September, and it continues to suggest that a soon record-strength El Niño will exert a very strong tilt in the odds toward wet conditions across the U.S. southern tier, including all of California, the Lower Colorado, and SE U.S.

Plot showing data from ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal model September update. It depicts the most likely "tercile" of precipitation during Jan-Mar 2027, and California is painted as "upper tercile" with 70-100% confidence.

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

The California coast is going to be remodeled this winter. Sea level rise, cyclical increase in King tides, El Nino forecast with multiple atmospheric Rivers. These simpletons along the wealthy Coast seem to have no idea what's coming their way! Interesting video though! youtu.be/gGKr9kvw4IY?...

youtu.be

The Hurricane Missed California Its Waves Didn’t

YouTube video by Jonathan Petramala

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Ryan Hall, Y’all @rhyall.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Indianapolis severe thunderstorm from the air

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Prof Antifa @postcarbonsteve.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Jesus fucking Christ those white men are animals

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Leon Simons @leonsimons.com · 04/09/2026

🚨The most important NASA graph in the world has another 6 months of data, and it looks even worse. 🚨 NASA CERES satellites measure how much sunlight Earth absorbs and how much heat is radiated back to space. The difference is heat accumulation, which has more than tripled over the past 26 years!

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Ryan Hall, Y’all @rhyall.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

1 million views in less than 4 hours on the winter forecast 😳

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Decoding Fox News @decodingfoxnews.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Last week the folks on Fox News laid it on thick. It's the MOST important midterm of our lifetimes. Trump is best of what will ever be. He waved a flag! The most consequential president. Trump moves golf stakes! He NEVER brags about himself! This is North Korea level nonsense.

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Ryan Hall, Y’all @rhyall.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

I just finished my winter outlook. There is one part of the country that I think could get absolutely ROBBED this winter. And another that could massively overperform for snow. You’ll see the whole map very soon.

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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

* CARNEY SAYS U.S. TERMS IN TRADE TALKS MEANT CANADIAN INDUSTRIES EITHER WOULD BECOME U.S. SUBSIDIARIES OR BE WOUND DOWN * CANADA SAYS WE CAN START HAVING TRADE DISCUSSIONS WITH THE U.S. WHEN "AMERICANS STOP DOING MEMES, STOP THROWING SHADE, STOP TRYING TO BE TOUGH AND START BEING SERIOUS"

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Given the very high level of interest, this turned into a 90-minute super-session on the wide range of potential outcomes (currently ranging from benign to quite high-impact) regarding a tropical storm near California this weekend. The recording is now available!

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 30/08/2026

Pathetic -- Google is now referring to Lake Ontario as "Lake America"

screencap of Google Maps showing "Lake America"

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 27/08/2026

Earlier this week I was on the "Jay Shapiro - Dilemma Podcast", and the conversation was a deep dive into doomerism and where we're headed. Please like, share, comment and enjoy! www.youtube.com/watch?v=QgnZ...

youtube.com

It Ain't Gonna Happen: How to Find Meaning in a World Headed Over The Cliff w/ Eliot Jacobson

YouTube video by Jay Shapiro - Dilemma Podcast

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Temperatures in the area of the #Glacier Collapse have been increasing at about 2X the average global warming rate… about 5°F since 1940. While we need further investigation on this particular event, it’s clear glaciers around the World are becoming less stable. 1/

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Remnants of Tropical Storm Iselle will send considerable mid- and upper-level moisture, and some marginal mid-level instability, toward CA over the next 48 hours. Expect "tropical skies," continued elevated humidity, & isolated light showers/very slight chance of t-storms. #CAwx

Satellite snapshot depicting swirling remnants of former TS Iselle approaching California coast from the southwest.

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Reuters @reuters.com · 26/08/2026

GRAPHIC WARNING: This video contains sensitive footage that may disturb some viewers. A massive flash flood in the Himalayan border areas of Nepal and ‌China's Tibet washed away villages while damaging roads, bridges and power projects in a region bordering Tibet, authorities said

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God @thegodshow.com · 26/08/2026

“If you’re gay, you’re gay. If you’re straight, you’re straight. We are who we are. I don’t believe that we should criticize and judge other people. I think we should be accepting and loving. We are all God’s children.” - Dolly

thegodshow.com

Send This to Your Bigoted Christian Family Member Right Now

Do it.

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BeWell Antifa @collapsewatch3.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

He's saying because the El nino region further west is cooling down that this might not be as strong or long of an El niño as predicted. He walks it back in the video pretty well but this really annoys me I don't know why youtu.be/FtCjdwBTnAY?...

youtu.be

El Niño NEW Data Drop Today

YouTube video by Weather With Travis

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Bill Madden @maddenifico.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Trump's unhinged Lake America meltdown is all because the insecure piece of shit got butthurt over Ontario Premier Doug Ford calling him a "dictator," "bully," "loser," and "the king of bankruptcies."

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

In case you missed it, this session was recorded (as always!) and is now available at the same link below. In addition to my primary focus on the long-duration humid heat in coastal SoCal, I also threw in a bit of wildfire, tropical storm, and ENSO discussion.

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