iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 01/07/2026

Also, from me and @profsob.bsky.social : new article at @electoralstudies.bsky.social is out! We argue that the material (safety/security) v postmaterial distinction between sets of values falls differently for women & minorities. We use the example of women to demonstrate how this skews measurement

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Although Reform UK hold an 11pt lead among men, their support is much lower among women, among whom just 7pts separate first and fifth place Women Con: 21% Ref: 21% Lab: 18% Grn: 18% LD: 14% Rst: 3% Men Ref: 29% Lab: 18% Con: 18% Grn: 13% LD: 12% Rst: 5% yougov.com/en-gb/articl...

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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Labour is losing far more voters to the left than to the right

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Really cool to see the first piece of research outside of my PhD I was a research assistant and co-author on highlighted here (with @drorlysiow.bsky.social & @drashleec.bsky.social ). Findings: white male ministers engage least with equalities organisations, and minoritised women engage most.

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Maria Sobolewska @profsob.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

This defo wins today’s ’best worst take’ game

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Joanna Everitt @joannaeveritt.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Please share the announcement that the 2026 F&M LGBTQI+ Global Batometer Perception Index Survey is now open. It measures perceptions of acceptance and discrimination of LGBTQI+ folk around the world. The more people who complete it, the better able we are to compare experiences across countries.

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Thanks Charlotte! We found it challenging to find the right data to test our ideas here but we think there will be other measurement cases where this is important!

Chris Terry-Enescu @cjterry.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Note: I do also think these issues can be important to, and move, men’s vote choices too. But for women it’s a direct threat to their safety/security; for men it’s not. we can see this both in, I think, gender gaps in attitude preference but also perhaps prioritisation.

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Will say that, anecdotally, it felt to me that Goodwin's history of misogynistic comments cut through in Gorton and Denton too. I remember hearing that there was a surprising amount of anti Goodwin content coming from usually non political personal Instagram accounts of young women.

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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

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Some vg on the ground reporting of Makerfield, which tended to find Burnham outpolling Labour significantly, and especially with women (as polls, before inaccurate reweighted, showed). Overall, national media had skewed perceptions/expectations. Not realising X is a distorting mirror key to that

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At the General Election the Greens got 1776 votes and the Lib Dems got 2735 votes in the constituency. Yesterday at the by-election they got 308 and 163 respectively.

Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Makerfield really looks like a story of the left (Greens, Lib Dems) consolidating behind Labour/Burnham. If he does become PM, the challenge is whether he can do that sufficiently in seats where Reform are less of a threat, and where he isn’t the candidate.

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Had an amzing time at ECPG! @ecpr.bsky.social @ecprgender.bsky.social Lots of amazing panels in our section on Gender and Elections, fun discussing new papers on the youth gender gap, and presenting work on Gender and Non-Response. If you enjoyed the section check out @genelectnet.bsky.social !

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Lotte Hargrave @lottehargrave.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

If you’re at #ECPG26, then come along and watch my wonderful coauthors present our ongoing work on: (1) reviewing where we’re at with studying gender bias in candidate evaluations, (2) better understanding who says “don’t know” to survey questions 📈👭👩‍💻⁉️

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Lotte Hargrave @lottehargrave.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

Then @cerifowler.bsky.social is presenting our ongoing work on how survey non-response varies by what is being asked about, how we ask it, and who answers We find that who says DK, and to what/when, is very much non-random, which matters given we all tend to just drop the DKs from our analyses

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A bit more from me on this here, especially the latter point! theconversation.com/could-womens... @theconversation.com

theconversation.com

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Thanks Rose!! Hope you're doing well :)

I'll also be presenting work from the WhoREPS project (lots of you will know it from our work on Gender and Don't Know survey responses) with @jess-smith.bsky.social @lottehargrave.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social and @annasanders.bsky.social . osf.io/xv9e7/files/...

osf.io

OSF

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Elections, Parties and Voters

Very excited to be at #ECPG until Wednesday! If you're also here, do check out the incredible Elections, Parties, and Voters section I'm co-chairing with @gefjonoff.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social and @jess-smith.bsky.social ! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

ecpr.eu

European Consortium for Political Research

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Louise Luxton @louiseluxton.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

I'm delighted to be co-editing a Research Topic in Frontiers in Political Science with Zoe Lefkofridi and Vera Beloshitzkaya on gender backlash, public opinion, and institutional responses in Europe. We're now inviting abstracts. Deadline: September 6. bit.ly/4uZeDGh

bit.ly

Frontiers | Contemporary attacks on democracy and gender equality in public opinion and institutional agendas in Europe

Attacks on gender equality and democracy have intensified in recent years in Europe and the U.S. This anti-gender backlash has shaped democratic politics. De...

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

...but Labour hold onto a high proportion of women in their 30s and 40s 3) Lots of these voters are strategic - they will vote for the best option to keep Reform out. This is probably especially true in Makerfield, where the controversy around the candidate is about sexism/misogyny.

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Three (gendered!) things I think are important to understanding Labour support. 1) Their "core voter" for the last few elections is female, young, has a degree 2) Especially in seats where the Greens/other left options are viable, this vote is splitting, with the youngest women going Green...

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Louise Luxton @louiseluxton.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

Some v. interesting patterns in our pre-2026 locals data e.g., the share of younger women saying they would vote Green appears considerably higher than the share reporting a Green vote in 2024. Lots more to dig into, but it's one of several changing dynamics on the left that we explore here 👇

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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

The media & political classes (left + right) tend to guess wrong about the public - who have a *much* stronger common sense consensus on civic "inclusive nativism" than most of the commentariat seem to realise

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

New from me and @louiseluxton.bsky.social : a little taste of our new project/paper in development looking at splits on the left & gender. Big thanks to @psaepop.bsky.social for giving us the opportunity to collect some new data! @theconversation.com theconversation.com/the-leftwing...

theconversation.com

The leftwing vote is splitting – we looked at who is moving to the Greens and what they care about

The findings could have serious consequences for Labour.

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

Key point! Senedd elections under the new system did not give a more proportional result.

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James David Griffiths @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 New Blog 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 A short piece on how the new Senedd voting system worked! How many votes did it take to win a seat? Was it proportional? Who benefitted? Where did parties win support? And what would it take to win one more seat? If you're interested: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal... 🧵👇

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

All change! The 2026 Senedd Election

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

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Lotte Hargrave @lottehargrave.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

New piece from w/ @hannahbunting.bsky.social & @jess-smith.bsky.social on the Gorton & Denton byelection, and what it might tell us about British politics. We cover turnout, late-deciding voters, gender gaps & the continuing fragmentation of the party system 🧵 theconversation.com/late-decider...

theconversation.com

Late deciders, higher turnout: what the Gorton and Denton byelection taught us about voters

High numbers of undecideds may partially explain the late swing to the Greens.

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Lotte Hargrave @lottehargrave.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

Check out the post below by @philipjcowley.bsky.social, who’s written a great summary of ongoing work by me, @hannahbunting.bsky.social, @cerifowler.bsky.social, @jess-smith.bsky.social, and @annasanders.bsky.social on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses👇

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Lotte Hargrave @lottehargrave.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

🧵 Thread on new research on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses Some of you will know that my stellar coauthors @hannahbunting.bsky.social @cerifowler.bsky.social @jess-smith.bsky.social @annasanders.bsky.social & I have been working on a large-scale project on “don’t know” responses in surveys.

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

A reminder to get your abstracts in by December 5th. Any aspect of gender, elections, public opinion, parties, candidates etc. very welcome! @uompols.bsky.social @psaepop.bsky.social

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

📣 Call for Papers: GenElect Annual Workshop on the Study of Gender and Elections University of Manchester, Jan 12th-13th 26 Deadline: 5th Dec 25 Send us your papers on gender and elections, public opinion, parties, representation! @psaepop.bsky.social Abstract submission here: lnkd.in/d2AQFYxN

lnkd.in

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

A reminder to submit your abstracts! We'd love your papers on gender + candidates, vote choices, turnout, the role of feminist + LGBT issues, gender gaps etc.!

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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 04/10/2025

Is partner partisanship associated with vote choice? @cerifowler.bsky.social finds that it was for the 2016 Brexit Referendum & subsequent elections in the UK & argues that this can help us understand gender gaps in vote choice. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/eRDc16d @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

Thanks Ralph! I think the one after will be of even more interest as I spend a lot of time looking at within-person changes!

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

This one took a while, and fell victim to reviewer 2, 3,4, and 5 at multiple journals, but I am grateful to them as it has inspired a follow up where I look across Europe/test the different potential causal mechanisms. If you've seen me presenting about partners recently this is the predecessor!