Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 02/10/2026An interesting article by The Guardian about Israeli voters and the upcoming election. They also cite my findings about the generational divide over the two state solution, showing the low support among Israeli Jews www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o... 020
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEuropean Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 26/08/202665:3 🐟️ Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to leadbuff.lyThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis - Volume 65 Issue 3 098
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Join our terrific panels on the Elections, Parties, and Voters section at the #ECPG conference, Newcastle! 020
Reposted by Liran HarsgorCeri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Very excited to be at #ECPG until Wednesday! If you're also here, do check out the incredible Elections, Parties, and Voters section I'm co-chairing with @gefjonoff.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social and @jess-smith.bsky.social ! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...ecpr.euElections, Parties and VotersEuropean Consortium for Political Research 293
Reposted by Liran HarsgorArndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 30/04/2026📢 We're hiring for my project RESPOL on residential mobility & electoral realignment 📍 University of Hamburg 📅 4y, 75% FTE 🔍 pol behavior, comp politics, regional inequalities 📊 quant, administrative & survey data Please share with talented MA students! 🔗 www.uni-hamburg.de/en/stellenan...uni-hamburg.deJob advertisement 04946
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/03/2026Share your nomination with us for this year’s Lawrence Longley Award, awarded by the Representation and Electoral Systems section at APSA. The Award is for the best article on representation and electoral systems published in the previous year. Deadline: May 1, 2026 www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/j75dh...dropbox.com 020
Reposted by Liran HarsgorGESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 27/03/20262026 David Howell Award for Best Conference Paper Using #CSES Data The Award ($250 honorarium) recognizes the outstanding conference paper presented during 2025 that makes substantial use of CSES data. The award is named in honor of David Howell, former CSES Director of Studies. 143
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 18/02/2026Happy to be part of the national leading team supporting this important infrastructure! Thank you @jenny-oser.bsky.social for you efforts :-) 041
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/02/202615 שנים ללכתו של פרופ' הרסגור. זה זמן לעילאי להיות דווקא אופטימי 040
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 06/02/2026Had a great time presenting my project with @ayakter.bsky.social on public opinion, voting behavior and party positions in Israel at @vanderbilt.edu. Thanks to @noamlupu.bsky.social and the department of political science for hosting me this week! 090
Reposted by Liran HarsgorPolitical Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 03/12/2025The year 2024 confirmed a global environment defined by: ↔️ pronounced political fragmentation 🗳️ heightened electoral activity 📈 + a deepening wave of autocratisation that continued a 25-year trajectory. ⬇️ Read the 2025 yearbook now! buff.ly/lSheCuB 267
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEuropean Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 20/10/2025🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead. 📖buff.lyThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis 077
Reposted by Liran HarsgorPolitical Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 20/10/2025💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow? 📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social. ➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v 033
Reposted by Liran HarsgorRoi Litvak-Zur @roizur.bsky.social · 17/10/2025Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.comIsrael: Political Developments and Data in 2024In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie... 084
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/10/2025Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator. We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.comIsrael: Political Developments and Data in 2024In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie... 093
Reposted by Liran HarsgorOr Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 02/10/2025🚨New #polisky publication 🚨 In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party? The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty 1/4cambridge.orgThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis 1144
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister? In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do! Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur @ortuttnauer.com doi.org/10.1017/S147... 0115
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26. Deadline: November 7 💪 142
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 22/09/2025#OpenAccess from July 2025 - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV - @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social 042
Reposted by Liran HarsgorCeri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 10/09/2025Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social 02310
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 17/08/2025My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her. 060
Reposted by Liran HarsgorAvishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social 0144
Reposted by Liran HarsgorAlon Yakter @ayakter.bsky.social · 08/08/2025The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10 1184
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 31/07/2025NEW - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV "...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise" - @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social #OpenAccess 084
Reposted by Liran HarsgorMatthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 06/08/2025I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032... 36931
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/06/2025Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid. Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around. See you next year at EPSS! 140
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/06/2025🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵 4374208
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/06/2025Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings. ecpr.eu/Events/Event...ecpr.euYouth and Populism in Europe: Understanding Generational TrendsEuropean Consortium for Political Research 0157
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 23/05/2025Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...) Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓 #ecprjs25 @ecpr.bsky.social 0121
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 07/05/2025Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉 0110
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 25/04/2025Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward... @roizur.bsky.social 040
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 22/04/2025Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman). Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review. www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal... 062
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית? 121
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 11/03/2025מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל. אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראלtandfonline.comSpecial votes and voter turnout in Israel’s 2022 electionsThis article analyzes special voting arrangements, known in Israel as ‘double envelope votes’, in the 2022 Knesset elections. The share of Israeli voters casting their ballots through special votin... 030
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 10/03/2025My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school. I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️ 070
Reposted by Liran HarsgorResearch & Politics @respol.bsky.social · 11/01/2025The editorial team of Research & Politics is excited to share the editors' collection of 2024: 173
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/01/2025זה היה מטופש להעלות את אחוז החסימה. @razeiz.bsky.social ואני כתבנו על זה ב2013: העלאה של אחוז חסימה יוצרת תמריץ ליצירה מלאכותית של גושי ומערכי מפלגות בינוניות... לאחר הבחירות מפלגות אלו יכולות לחזור ולהתפצל, להיעלם בבחירות עוקבות >> 110
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/01/2025Thank you to the editors of Research & Politics for selecting my article for your 2024 collection! This paper has inspired much of my current research and has significant implications for the region’s future. It’s nice to see it acknowledged in this way. 0120
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Four review requests in three days. Are editors clearing their desks before holidays?🤔 020
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 16/12/2024On my way back from Oxford... I had a great time participating in the @genelectnet.bsky.social conference. I heard about very inspiring research today. Thank you 🙏 040
Reposted by Liran HarsgorJavier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 02/12/2024We (@lisazanottiphd.bsky.social & Noam Titelman) are organising a workshop on polarisation and democratic decline in March/April at @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social. Please share and apply! www.qmul.ac.uk/politics/res... @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social @qmulhss.bsky.socialqmul.ac.ukWorkshop on Polarization, Democratic Backsliding, and the Expanding Gap Between Democratic Expectations and Outcomes: Latin America and Beyond 13223
Reposted by Liran HarsgorJennifer Oser @jenny-oser.bsky.social · 27/11/2024📢Excited to invite you to our new interactive ERC webinar series on Participation & Representation! 1st up: Anne Rasmussen @annerasmussen.bsky.social Wed Dec 4 (16:30 Israel, 15:30 CET, 14:30 London, 9:30 ET), an in-press APSR article✨ Zoom link & additional info: prd-erc.eu/events 0178
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 27/11/2024#OpenAccess - The Weight on Her Shoulders: Marginalization of Women Legislators in Parliaments and Substantive Representation of Women - cup.org/4eNXRky - Reut Itzkovitch-Malka & Odelia Oshri #FirstView 076
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/11/2024With attention on Gaza and the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, don’t forget: the future of the region lies in the West Bank. Extreme religious right-wing groups push for settlement expansion, while Israeli politicians and the public largely avoid confronting them. This is where the focus must be. 143
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 26/11/2024מה הבעיה בשיח הציבורי בישראל? הסכמים תמיד נתפסים כבחירה של ישראל. יש דיון, בעד ונגד, צריך לשכנע במטרות ובנחיצות, צריך להעביר בכנסת ובממשלה (נניח). מלחמה? היא תמיד מלחמת אין ברירה. היא נכפית עלינו. לא צריך לשכנע את הציבור שצריך לצאת למלחמה. לא צריך לשכנע שצריך להמשיך בה. 010
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 22/11/2024🔔New paper on party surrogation! What does it mean to feel represented by a party you didn’t vote for? In Party Politics with Liron Lavi, we explore the concept of Party Surrogation through a cross-country and individual-level analysis using @cses.bsky.social doi.org/10.1177/1354... 175
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 18/11/2024Four days to go! We’re looking for research on gender gaps in political behaviour with a focus on temporal perspectives. Whether your work examines changes or trends over time, across the lifecycle, between generations—or all of the above—we’d love to see it. Please submit! 032
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 05/11/2024📣Cfp: Gender Gaps in Political Behaviour: Unravelling Age, Period, and Cohort Dynamics ECPR Joint Sessions | 20-23 May 2025 | Prague Workshop directors: Maria Grasso & myself We’re looking forward to your submission on this important topic! ecpr.eu/Events/Event... Deadline: November 21ecpr.euGender Gaps in Political Behaviour: Unravelling Age, Period, and Cohort DynamicsEuropean Consortium for Political Research 052
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 29/10/2024Where not #OpenAccess, the articles in our April 2023 issue are free to read until the end of 2024 - cup.org/4eP06Vm With papers by @lottehargrave.bsky.social, @jdoucette.bsky.social, @philipjcowley.bsky.social, @resulumit.bsky.social, @liranharsgor.bsky.social, @austinsmatthews.bsky.social & more 013