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Casey Breen

@caseybreen.bsky.social
1.9K followers 101 following 54 posts

Demographer. Assistant Professor @ UT-Austin. caseybreen.com

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Reposted by Casey Breen
Luca Maria Pesando @lucampesando.bsky.social · 18h
📢 Job: I am hiring *TWO* 3-year Postdocs to join us at #NYUAD to work on household demography in Africa and school segregation in the Global South. More information below. Great research and family benefits. Deadline: Jan 15, 2027. To apply: apply.interfolio.com/193571 apply.interfolio.com/193489
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Jeffrey Swindle @jeffreyswindle.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My department at UC Irvine is hiring at the Associate/Full Professor level. Our department is called Criminology, Law & Society, and we have faculty from every social science field (soc, anthro, econ, poli sci). So, our search is broad. (1/3) recruit.ap.uci.edu/JPF10413
recruit.ap.uci.edu
Associate Professor/ Full Professor
University of California, Irvine is hiring. Apply now!
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
We're hosting our 2nd annual CenSoc Users Conference on December 4th, remotely. Please consider joining us! docs.google.com/document/d/1...
docs.google.com
CenSoc Users Conference 2026
2026 CenSoc Users Conference Hosted by the CenSoc Project Organizer: Casey Breen We invite submissions for our second annual CenSoc Users Conference. The conference will be held remotely on Decem...
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Pat Hastings @ophastings.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
How well can we predict which children will end up poor adults or rich adults? Or how much education they'll earn? In a new working paper, @zparolin.bsky.social and I show the predictability of life outcomes depends on the country and outcome. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications... Highlights below! 🧵👇
Title: Rags or Riches? Predicting Life Outcomes from the Birth Lottery Across Five High-Income Countries

Authors: Orestes P. Hastings and Zach Parolin

Abstract: The stratification of life outcomes is a central concern of sociology, but to what extent can adult outcomes be predicted from childhood circumstances? Although decades of research have identified important family and socioeconomic factors associated with mobility and attainment, these models explain only a modest share of individual variation in outcomes. Using harmonized longitudinal data from the Cross-National Equivalent Files (CNEF) and an ensemble of machine-learning models, we estimate the predictability of adult outcomes in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Australia, and South Korea. Predictability varies substantially across outcomes and national contexts: educational attainment is more predictable than economic outcomes, poverty is far more predictable in the U.S., and income mobility is substantially less predictable than overall attainment outcomes. Additional U.S. analyses show that adding race, wealth, parental incarceration, and other variables improves predictions only slightly. We further show that predictability captures a distinct dimension of stratification not fully captured in other traditional measures of mobility, inequality, and opportunity. Together, these findings provide new insights into where and how the birth lottery most strongly shapes life chances.
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Mark Hayward @mdhayward.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Mateo Farina and I are excited to share a Perspective recently published in Milbank Quarterly. We argue that the "race between education and technology" plays an especially important role in the growing educational divide in US mortality. 🧪 @Milbank Memorial Fund www.milbank.org/quarterly/ar...
milbank.org
Public Policies in Historical Context and the Association Between Education and US Older Adults’ Health | Milbank Quarterly
In this perspective, we have reviewed the historical evidence on the association between education and health in the United States, arguing that attention to public policies related to both education ...
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Matt Hall @fertmortmig.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
📣📣📣Cornell Population Center is hiring for its next Rhodes Postdoctoral Fellow The fellowship is competitive and provides ample time for pursuing independent and collaborative research. Welcome applications from all scholars interested in population research. Please share widely!
academicjobsonline.org
Cornell University, Cornell Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy
Job #AJO32452, WDR-00060532 Frank H.T. Rhodes Postdoctoral Fellowship, Cornell Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, US
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Frank Edwards @frankalready.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
new paper: we update risk estimates for child welfare system outcomes (investigation, confirmed, foster care, termination of rights) by race/ethnicity using 2016-2023 data. Black and AIAN kids still most likely to have system contact, but rates are down across the board compared to mid 2010s
A two panel plot showing estimates of lifetime risks of investigation and confirmed maltreatment for seven racial and ethnic groups. There is a slight downward trend over timeA two panel plot showing risk estimates for foster care and termination of parental rights. Foster care rates have a noticeable downward slope. Termination rates have a smaller negative change over time.
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IUSSP @iussp.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
N-IUSSP: Can we really predict individual-level longevity? by Casey F. Breen and Nathan Seltzer www.niussp.org/health-and-m... #demography #populationstudies
niussp.org
Can we really predict individual-level longevity? - N-IUSSP
Disparities in life expectancy across sociodemographic groups are large in the U.S. Still, using linked Census and mortality records for men born in 1910, Casey Breen and Nathan Seltzer find ... Read ...
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Mathew Kiang @mathewkiang.com · 24/06/2026
Looking for a postdoc? Interested in infectious disease modeling? Love causal inference? Want to work with @mlipsitch.bsky.social? Come do a postdoc with us at Stanford! postdocs.stanford.edu/prospective/...
postdocs.stanford.edu
Open Postdoctoral position, faculty mentor Marc Lipsitch | Office of Postdoctoral Affairs
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Nico Pinchak @pinchak.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
New in @sfjournal.bsky.social, just in time for summer reading 📚☀️ Cohesive schools are widely thought to curb youth offending, but the evidence is quite mixed. I find that popular boys in such schools may experience more leeway to offend—what I call a "code of cohesion." doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...
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Jenn Dowd @drjenndowd.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
I’m late, but want to Blue Sky celebrate the amazing @ridhikashyap.bsky.social & her Early Career Award from the @popassocamerica.bsky.social!! 🎉🏆👏🙌. Sometimes good things *do* happen to good people :). #demography @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
Ridhi Kashyap holding award plaque and Jenn Dowd holding champagne
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
New in PDR! Happy to see this one out. Structured Inequality, Uncertain Lifespans: Demographic Perspectives on Predicting Individual-Level Longevity onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
<em>Population and Development Review</em> | Population Council Journal | Wiley Online Library
There are striking disparities in life expectancy across sociodemographic groups in the United States, shaped by structural forces such as racism, class inequality, and policy environments. To what e...
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Pat Hastings @ophastings.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Looking forward to talking tomorrow at UPenn and sharing some new work I’m really excited about! www.pop.upenn.edu/events/2026/...
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Zack Almquist @zalmquist.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
New paper with @ihsankahveci.bsky.social, Amy Hagopian and others at Social Networks - www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... check it out!
sciencedirect.com
Understanding the personal networks of people experiencing homelessness in King County, WA with aggregate relational data
Personal networks among people experiencing homelessness are vital but often overlooked. Drawing on a unique three-year data set (2022–2024) from over…
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BK Lee @letitbk.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Happy to share our new paper published in PNAS! Using epigenetic clocks and egocentric network data, we find each additional "hassler" in your close social network is associated with ~9 months of extra biological age and 1.5% faster pace of aging.
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Academia teaches you critical thinking, mostly about your own life choices
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Highly recommend blocking off some time today to read this fantastic paper!
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Ramina Sotoudeh @ramina-sotoudeh.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Our paper with Ginevra Floridi out in Sociological Science now! We use sequence analysis, LCA & survival models to map how parental financial and co-residential support unfolds across young adulthood. We find 3 distinct pathways & a gendered relationship between marriage and independence. 🏡🧑‍🧑‍🧒‍🧒💸
sociologicalscience.com
Pathways to Independence: The Dynamics of Parental Support in the Transition to Adulthood
Article: Pathways to Independence: The Dynamics of Parental Support in the Transition to Adulthood | Sociological Science | Posted November 25, 2025
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Stéphane Helleringer @shelleringer.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
I’m recruiting a postdoctoral associate at NYU Abu Dhabi. Position is for 3 years with excellent salary, housing and benefits. Please share widely. For more information and application, link ⬇️ apply.interfolio.com/177935
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Favorite books on *undergraduate* teaching?
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Thelonious Goerz @theloniousgoerz.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
New working paper up on SocArxiv! osf.io/preprints/so.... I use the 1940 Census and linked mortality records in combination with an IV-design to study the causal effects of racial segregation on longevity. I show that segregation reduces both Black and White longevity.
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Our new paper develops and tests a network-based method for estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies. Joint w/ @dennisfeehan.bsky.social and team from Geneva-based NGO @impact-initiatives.bsky.social academic.oup.com/aje/advance-...
academic.oup.com
Estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies using the network survival method
Abstract. Reliable estimates of death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies are critical for assessing the severity of a crisis and for effectively all
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Valerie Mueller @valmuellerasu.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Our new pub finds flooding impacts on fertility differ in Bangladesh: “We detect…flood-related increases in childbearing among less-educated and higher parity women but find flood-related fertility declines among childless women and those in urban areas.”
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dldmagnuson.bsky.social @dldmagnuson.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Pleased to be part of the history making "IPUMS USA Full Count Census Data" special issue in Historical Methods 58(4). @ipums.bsky.social @stevenruggles.bsky.social @mattanelson.bsky.social @juliariveradrew.bsky.social @evanrobertsnz.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/toc/vhim20/5...
tandfonline.com
Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History
IPUMS USA Full Count Census Data Collection. Volume 58, Issue 4 of Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History
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Trish Homan @pahoman.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
New publication with @susanshort.bsky.social in @lancetrh-americ.bsky.social. We analyzed 2025 revisions to womenshealth[dot]gov under the Trump administration -documenting how credible health content was replaced with ideology: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Rewriting women's health: a content analysis of the Trump administration's revisions to womenshealth.gov
In 2025, the Trump administration instituted rapid changes to the data and information available on US government websites. We conducted a content ana…
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Elaine Hernandez @emhernandez.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
Oh hey, little update. Indiana University Department of Sociology is hiring this fall. Keeping you on your toes deadline is 11/16. We’re looking for an assistant professor specializing in sociology of medicine, health, and/or well-being broadly defined. indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/30984
	IU Bloomington Sociology
Location	Bloomington
Position Summary	
The Department of Sociology (https://sociology.indiana.edu/index.html) at Indiana University, Bloomington, invites applications for a tenure-track position at the level of Assistant Professor to begin in the fall of 2026 in the general area of sociology of medicine, health, and/or well-being broadly defined. We encourage applicants whose research in medicine, health, and/or well-being would complement department strengths in the areas of education, social psychology, political sociology, sociology of the family, sociology of inequality, stratification, and population.
 
The tenure home for this position will be in the Department of Sociology. Ph.D. in Sociology is required at time of appointment. Applicants should apply online at https://indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/30984 including a cover letter; CV; statements on research and/or teaching; up to three writing samples; and contact information for three letters of reference. Applications must be complete by November 16, 2025, to receive full consideration. Applications will be considered until the position is filled. Queries can be sent to Fabio Rojas (frojas@iu.edu), Department of Sociology Chair, or Jennifer Barber (jenbarb@iu.edu), Chair of the Search Committee.  
 
Indiana University is an equal opportunity employer and provider of ADA services and prohibits discrimination in hiring. See Indiana University Notice of Non-Discrimination here which includes contact information.
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Sociology at Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Women are 19% less likely to use the internet and 8% less likely to own a mobile phone than men. That’s 320 million fewer women online and 190 million fewer with phones globally 🌍
Quote from Ridhi Kashyap: "This paper underscores the importance of sub-national data for a more complete understanding of inequality in digital adoption, especially in countries with the lowest overall levels of human development.

Our estimates provide a valuable lens for researchers and policymakers through which to assess areas that stand to benefit from the increasing rollout of digital programmes within global development policies, as well as those at risk of being left behind."
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Amazing postdoc opportunity!
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Adrian Raftery @adrianraftery.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Our article “Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth” www.nature.com/articles/s43..., w Jitong Jiang & Skylar Shi just published. See also the @uwnews.uw.edu release www.washington.edu/news/2025/10...
nature.com
Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth - Communications Earth & Environment
Global carbon dioxide intensity declined from 2015 to 2024 following the Paris Agreement, but total emissions still increased due to economic growth, according to a global analysis of population, gros...
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Jasmin Abdel Ghany @jasminabdelghany.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Heart full of joy and gratitude for my depicted, literal superhero team 🦸🦸🦸🦸🦸🦸of incredible supervisors Josh Wilde, @ridhikashyap.bsky.social, @melindacmills.bsky.social, and excellent examiners @drjenndowd.bsky.social & @ftorche.bsky.social, as well as my terrific mentors, peers, & friends!!!
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
New @pnas.org paper constructing subnational estimates of internet and mobile adoption by gender, including gender gaps, for 117 low- and middle- income countries from 2015 through 2025. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data | PNAS
The digital revolution has ushered in many societal and economic benefits. Yet access to digital technologies such as mobile phones and internet re...
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Leigh Senderowicz @lsenderowicz.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
WE'RE HIRING! The Gender & Women's Studies Dept at the University of Wisconsin-Madison is hiring a TT professor of GENDER AND AGING I'm on the search committee and happy to answer questions Please share widely!
jobs.wisc.edu
Assistant/Associate Professor of Gender and Women’s Studies (RISE - THRIVE) - Madison, Wisconsin, United States
Current Employees: If you are currently employed at any of the Universities of Wisconsin, log in to Workday to apply through the internal application process.Job Category:FacultyEmployment Type:Regula...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
New article out in @sociusjournal.bsky.social. It shows how closely linked motherhood penalties 🤰📉 and gender inequalities 👨‍💼💰👩‍💼 are by studying many local labour markets. Thread 👇 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Pat Hastings @ophastings.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
The GSS asked the same people about their childhood income rank three different times. 56% changed their answer, even though what was trying to be measured couldn’t change! We dig into this in a new article at @socialindicators.bsky.social. 

 doi.org/10.1007/s112... 🧵👇 (1/5)
doi.org
Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank - Social Indicators Research
How we remember our past can be shaped by the realities of our present. This study examines how changes to present circumstances influence retrospective reports of family income rank at age 16. While retrospective survey data can be used to assess the long-term effects of childhood conditions, present-day circumstances may “anchor” memories, causing shifts in how individuals recall and report past experiences. Using panel data from the 2006–2014 General Social Surveys (8,602 observations from 2,883 individuals in the United States), we analyze how changes in objective and subjective indicators of current social status—income, financial satisfaction, and perceived income relative to others—are associated with changes in reports of childhood income rank, and how this varies by sex and race/ethnicity. Fixed-effects models reveal no significant association between changes in income and in childhood income rank. However, changes in subjective measures of social status show contrasting effects, as increases in current financial satisfaction are associated with decreases in childhood income rank, but increases in current perceived relative income are associated with increases in childhood income rank. We argue these opposing effects follow from theories of anchoring in recall bias. We further find these effects are stronger among males but are consistent across racial/ethnic groups. This demographic heterogeneity suggests that recall bias is not evenly distributed across the population and has important implications for how different groups perceive their own pasts. Our findings further highlight the malleability of retrospective perceptions and their sensitivity to current social conditions, offering methodological insights into survey reliability and recall bias.
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NBER @nber.org · 08/10/2025
Characterizing the potential and limits of using satellite imagery and machine learning technology to measure ground conditions, from Proctor, Carleton, Chong, Fransen, Greenhill, Katz, Murayama, Sherman, Tseng, Druckenmiller, and Hsiang www.nber.org/papers/w34315
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Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Our Brown Bag talk next week will feature @drjenndowd.bsky.social presenting, “Temporary Shock or Lasting Scar? Life Expectancy Deficits Since COVID.” Join us in-person at 310 Social Sciences Building or via Zoom (Meeting ID: 985 2901 0198 Password: DEMOG_BB). Wednesday, October 8th at 12pm PST.
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Mark Hayward @mdhayward.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
New evidence showing that educational attainment has a dose-response association with dementia risk throughout the entire distribution of education. 🧪 read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
read.dukeupress.edu
How Does the Risk of Dementia Change With Each Additional Year of Education? | Demography | Duke University Press
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Eleanor Power @eapower.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
📣 Job alert! *Assistant Prof in Computational Social Science*. We're a friendly department, with sharp students, at a great institution, in a lovely city. We have real strengths in computational social science & are looking for a colleague to build this further. Share and reach out with quesions!
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Adrian Raftery @adrianraftery.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
Our paper, “Optimal pandemic control strategies …” bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.... w @nickirons.bsky.social, just published.Takeaway: U.S. COVID-19 school closures were not cost-effective, but other measures were. medicalxpress.com/news/2025-09...
bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com
Optimal pandemic control strategies and cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions in the United States - BMC Global and Public Health
Background Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in response to the COVID-19 pandemic necessitated a trade-off between the health impacts of viral spread and the social and economic costs of restric...
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Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
The BERKELEY POPULATION SCIENCES BROWNBAG SERIES returns! Our first three talks feature: Ian Lundberg - UCLA @nathanlo.bsky.social - Stanford University @mpbitler.bsky.social‬ - UC Davis Join us Wednesdays, 12 - 1PM at 310 Social Sciences Building, or via Zoom ID: 985 2901 0198 Passcode: DEMOG_BB
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Monica Alexander @monjalexander.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
The wonderful Niamh Cahill is recruiting a PhD student (co-supervised by me!) to work on estimating and projecting population exposure to extreme sea levels. Please contact me if interested!
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Sociology at Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
🎉 Congrats to @francescorampazzo.com, winner of an @socsci.ox.ac.uk Teaching Excellence Award for his innovative and inclusive teaching! His approach includes using creative data sources like digital trace data to enrich student learning 🧑‍🎓 Read more ➡️ socsci.web.ox.ac.uk/article/winn...
Image of Francesco Rampazzo and quote: 'I'm honoured to receive this Teaching Excellence Award. As a researcher, I view teaching as integral to my academic role. Integrating my research into the classroom not only enriches students' learning experiences but also invigorates my own research, fostering a dynamic exchange of ideas that benefits both teaching and scholarship.'
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Ridhi Kashyap @ridhikashyap.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Are you attending the International Population Conference in Brisbane? The IUSSP Panel on Digital and Computational Demography is organising *3* pre-conference workshops on digital gender inequalities, kinship and microsimulation, and migration and digital trace data iussp.org/en/digital-a...
iussp.org
Digital and Computational Demography | International Union for the Scientific Study of Population
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Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
During the 1st week of June we held our 11th Annual Berkeley Workshop in Formal Demography. We had a terrific workshop & are already looking forward to next year! TY to NIH & to instructors @ayesha-mahmud.bsky.social @rchung.bsky.social Josh Goldstein @dennisfeehan.bsky.social @jnobles.bsky.social!
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Danya Lagos @danyalagos.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
Had a blast working on this paper with Christina Pao, @chrisajulian.bsky.social, @drcompton.bsky.social, and Lawrence Stacey, in which we combed through the HPS to identify demographic differences between groups based on gender identity question responses. sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...
sociologicalscience.com
Demographic Differences in Responses to a Two-Step Gender Identity Measure
Article: Demographic Differences in Responses to a Two-Step Gender Identity Measure | Sociological Science | Posted May 6, 2025
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Jenn Dowd @drjenndowd.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
While we at @oxforddemsci.bsky.social & @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social will miss seeing @polizzan.bsky.social daily, we are happy for the good fortune of our friends at @mpidr.bsky.social in landing this superstar! #demography
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Casey Breen @caseybreen.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
I’ve loved my time here — highly recommend applying! Just a few days left...
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This skeet will self destruct @pardoguerra.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
$500 million is… less than 1.25% of the NIH’s 2024 budget. When I say there is no capacity to absorb the shock, I mean it.
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