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Sander Wagner

@sanderwagner.bsky.social
3K followers 2.5K following 1.2K posts
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Some of the best concerts I've seen were at metal bars. Glad that Nature magazine finally recognizes their importance. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Fascinating account of a startup trying to build different kinds of sensors into every aspect of labwork to let the AI learn how to run succesful experiments. I don't know how succesful this will be, but suspect versions of it will come to more workplaces over time. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/27/s...
nytimes.com
Some Scientists Have ‘Magic Hands’ in the Lab. This A.I. Is Learning Why.
Even the most adept researchers may not know exactly what they do to get successful results. An A.I. model is trying to figure it out by watching every move.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
prediction markets are mostly repackaged sports gambling plus some crypto stuff at this point www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Just out of curiosity, what is the 115th charge that they are not guilty of?
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
so glad spurs didnt go down last season so we all got to experience this season with them!
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Prevalence of causal overclaiming across time in articles in the social sciences: While the graph is depressing overall, part of me is also a little proud that sociology managed to become the least bad over time. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
One for stata users and DID nerds: xtswitchdid now implements the de Chaisemartin and D’Haultfœuille (2026) estimator for dynamic treatment effects. If you are estimating treatment effects in a panel and want to see how they chage over time. This one is for you. www.stata.com/manuals/caus...
stata.com
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
“The science is ahead of the money.” Michael J. Fox writing a JAMA perspective on his journey and experiences in funding Parkison research. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com
We Set Out to Break the Mold in Science Philanthropy—It’s Still Not Enough
2026 Lasker-Bloomberg Public Service Award winner Michael J. Fox discusses his personal experience with and contribution to Parkinson disease research.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Sounds like a fun exploration of eurovision precursor events, but actually is some very serious historical botanic genetics *sigh* www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Parenthood penalties in football.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
This is both an interesting experiment and a sign of a tsunami coming for academia. AIs retroactively reading the research and finding both opportunities and issues with published papers, then sharing those judgements publicly. d3jhl7jsny6f2h.cloudfront.net
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
"In 2025, Americans placed roughly $166 billion in bets on sporting events... more than the entire U.S. movie, music, book, and museum industries generated in revenue combined." ... "Roughly 95% of total losses are absorbed by just 5% of bettors" fortune.com/2026/07/26/g...
fortune.com
Gambling becomes America's favorite pastime as Americans spend more on sports bets than movies, arts, museums, and music combined | Fortune
Americans wagered $166 billion on sports last year, more than Hollywood, the music industry, books, and museums combined.
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Daily Cannon @dailycannon.com · 06/09/2026
LISA BAUM AMAZING!
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Lisa Baum is the Arsenal signing I was most thrilled about this year and boy does she live up to it already.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
I am so into this seasons' spurs storyline that I am actually tempted to try to get tickets to watch it all play out live and pay my part to subsidize this glorious "spend millions on players for nothing" stunt.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
WSL is back!! Fascinated enough by this lcl galacticos project to support them tonight.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This article captures one side of a very complicated and multi-faceted discussion to be had about the evolution of our societal relation to mental health and there is much that remains to be added. But it contains valid points & I would definitely reccomend reading. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/26/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Stop Pathologizing Ordinary Life
We need to support psychological well-being without fixating on it.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Literally incapable to read this title without my brain starting to play the first line of "Sound of Silence" *smh* www.nytimes.com/2026/09/01/s...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
While there is uncertainty about the link between climate change and the strength of El Niño, historic data points in the direction of strong El Niño events happening more frequently than in the 1,000 years before human-generated greenhouse-gas warming the planet. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Why are El Niños getting stronger? 1,000-year-coral record points to climate change
A reconstruction of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures adds to the evidence that human-caused warming is boosting El Niño events.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
#Populationbsky
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Imagine drug trial data being manipulated because somebody working at the trial told a family member or friend to bet on its outcome. Very weary of this prediction market for drug trials development. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/28/b...
nytimes.com
Should You Be Able to Bet on Drug Trials?
Prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket now let people wager money on drug approvals. Kalshi also plans to allow bets on clinical trial results.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Very excited about developments at Union Berlin women. The new headcoach Marie-Louise Eta took over the men's team last season and became the first female headcoach in a European top mens' league by doing so. Great portrait of her and of Unions' "Eiserne Ladies". www.nytimes.com/athletic/752...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
An update on how ONS is trying to implement increased AI use to stay productive amidst funding cuts www.ft.com/content/b153...
ft.com
UK statistics agency turns to AI to cut costs and improve data
ONS says technology will help save thousands of hours a year as it seeks to strengthen core output
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
🚕
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 22/08/2026
Just to be clear, I wrote this before Trump threatened to use the military to bring the market in to line 😂 but the situation was already pretty wild 300 free clicks: Bossing the bond market around never works - as.ft.com/r/6091bc24-8...
as.ft.com
Bossing the bond market around never works
Despite Scott Bessent’s efforts, investors worry something is up
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The United States is an outlier among rich countries in that road injury deaths are not falling over time. The map shows changes in age-standardised mortality rates attributable to road injuries 2010-23. From www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
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Fabian Kalleitner @kalf.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The Austrian socio economic panel takes shape! now with two waves available as easy to access scientific use files.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Some recent research I found interesting. 👇
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Finally watched the oddyssey. My take is that it's a pretty decent film overall, but that Barbie remains the better Nolan film.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Not even one setpiece goal. This is not the football I learned to love last season.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Ecclesiastes 1:9
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Glad that science is starting to fill in the gaps on how Circe's magic worked.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
I guess this is why Lancelot and Guinevere were so keen to find that grail. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
xabi alonso's ambition 🤝 snoop dogg's ambition
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
More evidence in favour of my "never celebrate birthdays" stance. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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mr. TIM @timkellogg.me · 23/07/2026
the Dinitz-Garg-Goemans conjecture, a graph theory problem that’s gone unsolved for 30 years, was solved with this prompt
Construct a counterexample to general (non-planar) case of Dinitz Garg Goemans conjecture. You should do a breakthrough and find a structured counterexample.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Interesting take on Palantir NHS contracts arguing: 1. Federated data platform is what the NHS needs to realise benefits of AI 2. contracting to Palantir creates UK health data ownership contradictions because US CLOUD act allows US to demand data from any US company www.bmj.com/content/394/...
bmj.com
The CLOUD Act: NHS data must be safeguarded from US interests
The potential for foreign access to NHS data reminds us why sovereignty must underpin the federated data platform, writes David Strain The NHS is on the brink of something important. The federated d...
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Pat Hastings @ophastings.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Feeling deprived of academic talks over the summer? This Thursday I'm presenting new work with @zparolin.bsky.social for the Oxford Metrics & Models seminar. Online talk and all are welcome! 2pm Oxford time, 7am Colorado time. Happy to share the MS Teams link with you. metrics-and-models.github.io
Talk Title: Rags or Riches? Predicting Life Outcomes from the Birth Lottery Across Five High-Income Countries

Abstract: Stratification in life outcomes is a central concern of sociology, but to what extent can adult outcomes be predicted from childhood circumstances? Although decades of research have identified important family and socioeconomic factors associated with mobility and attainment, these models explain only a modest share of individual variation in outcomes. Using harmonized longitudinal data from the Cross-National Equivalent Files (CNEF) and an ensemble of machine-learning models applied to a common set of childhood characteristics, we estimate the predictability of adult outcomes in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Australia, and South Korea. Predictability varies substantially across outcomes and national contexts: educational attainment is the most predictable in general, poverty is far more predictable in the U.S. than other countries, and income mobility is substantially less predictable than overall attainment outcomes. In additional analyses with the U.S., adding more variables including race, wealth, and parental incarceration improves predictions only slightly. We further show that predictability captures a distinct dimension of stratification that is not fully captured in other traditional measures of mobility, inequality, and opportunity. Together, these findings provide new insights into where and how the birth lottery most strongly shapes life chances.

Bio: Pat Hastings is an Associate Professor of Sociology at Colorado State University. He studies parenting, childhood, inequality, and social mobility with quantitative and computational methods.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Messi and lamine are going to reenact that bathing photo for the halftime show, right?
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
I cannot look at pickford without seeing spongebobs pineapple house.
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Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Pronatalist policies are rising as birth rates fall. In The Lancet, LCDS researcher @sanderwagner.bsky.social says support should focus on autonomy, fertility care, childcare and parental leave — not pressure. Read: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
thelancet.com
Concerns over reproductive rights as pronatalism increases
“It is time to reflect on whether or not to have a child.” That will be the opening line of a government letter being sent to 29-year-olds in France in June, 2026. Aiming to address infertility, the l...
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Danielle Blake @abradacabla.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
This. Is. England.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
I think Trump should have just called Gianni and asked him to hand the cup to the US team for the fourth of july celebrations. Asking for Balogun to be unsuspended is such a weak start to the negotiations. Whatever happened to "the art of the deal"?
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Pickford always reminds me of spongebob.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
This is such a bad game. Both teams should lose, ideally.
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
AI models exhibit a stronger pro-government valence in the languages of countries with lower media freedom, due to biases in training data www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
State media control influences large language models - Nature
Government-controlled media influences the output of large language models via their training data, and models queried in the languages of countries with lower media freedom show a stronger ...
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Nuffield College Library @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Harmonising French and German administrative DADS-EDP and SIAB data: A practical guide on how to create comparable data sets on maternal employment doi.org/10.1186/s126... Paper in Journal for Labour Market Research by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Research Fellow @sanderwagner.bsky.social et al.
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Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Next week we are co-hosting the Gender, Family and Work Inequalities workshop together with @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Check out the full program and write yourself in if you want to follow sessions in hybrid format. sandapanda.github.io/gender-famil...
sandapanda.github.io
Gender, Family, and Work Inequalities — Nuffield College, Oxford, 23–24 June 2026
A two-day workshop on gender, family, and work inequalities at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. 23–24 June 2026. Organised by Juliana de Castro Galvão and Sander Wagner.
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
So, when will the portuguese messi score?
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Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
In the three body problem there is a civilization with these long historical periods were everybody dehydrates to then rehydrate and continue history after some hundred years again. This is what gianni infantino has turned football into.
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