brr @brr.bsky.social · 04/10/2026in places this might not happen like Texas (tbd) it might just be candidate quality. and I do think hispanic voters will shift left but polls right now show they're not voting like pre-2020 yet 100
Reposted by brrOpinion Haver @asinmarx.bsky.social · 04/10/2026This is actually a pretty disappointing poll, ngl. NBC/Telemundo's 2024 GCB poll was D+12 and their presidential poll was D+14. If this poll is right, it suggests that Latinos aren't swinging more strongly against Trump. The 2020-2024 realignment "stuck" in other words. 7154
brr @brr.bsky.social · 04/10/2026according to nate cohn, who runs the nyt polling, democrats are apparently strong with low propensity voters right now 2577
Reposted by brrBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 03/10/2026And it’s quite something Trump’s approval sinking in GOP internals has happened in the last two weeks. That doesnt seem like late breaking undecided voters are going GOP 310318
brr @brr.bsky.social · 03/10/2026If Talarico does win by 6 he probably would've beat Cornyn too. I think he will win by 1-2 040
Reposted by brrElectionCord @electioncord.com · 28/09/2026All the State Senate seats in the US that voted for Trump, but by under 10%. Obviously Democrats hold some of these seats, but these are the big targets for Democrats in 2026. Both in defending them, and flipping them. LINK: electioncord.com/suffragium/ 041
brr @brr.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I just cannot imagine a 2028 primary without someone credible from the left. it would just be hard to fathom after the last 2 years. 000
Reposted by brrBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Texas Lt. Gov told GOP donors at a fundraiser today multiple state senators are in trouble, him and Abbott are locked in tight races, and he Senate race is tied 1112322
Reposted by brrPoll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Texas Statewide Poll (Marist) Senate 🔵James Talarico 50% 🔴Ken Paxton 44% Governor 🔵Gina Hinojosa 49% 🔴Greg Abbott 46% 9/17-9/20 Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/u... 1019432
brr @brr.bsky.social · 21/09/2026the early vote was useful in both VA elections in the last year so I think you can read a little into this 110
Reposted by brrDj @djsoke.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Fairfax was 99% of Day 1 2025 on Friday but did 104% of its Sat number to now also be ahead of 2025 It’s very very early but def an enthusiastic start from VA Ds 1463
Reposted by brrDj @djsoke.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Don't have time to dig into this rn, but VA EV Day 1: Turnout overall down from last year's day 1, but it seems like Harris-won localities held up better Harris won 38 of the 112 localities w/ proper data here But she won 17 of the 29 that exceeded 2025's day 1 1264
brr @brr.bsky.social · 19/09/2026spending is a concern but a lot of this is from super pacs who get worse rates for tv ads than candidates 000
brr @brr.bsky.social · 17/09/2026republican in trump+15 south florida district breaking with trump on immigration 010
Reposted by brrPoll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Texas Statewide Poll (Siena) Senate 🔵James Talarico 49% 🔴Ken Paxton 43% Governor 🔵Gina Hinojosa 49% 🔴Greg Abbott 45% 9/8-9/11 Link: reconmr.com/wp-content/u... 2228768
Reposted by brrHunter Dunn @hunterisntdunn.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Current Republican Senator John Cornyn (Texas) is now vagueposting about a possible endorsement of James Talarico, instead of Ken Paxton (who gave a pedophile a plea deal to escape jail time). Be prepared for a truly nuclear October Surprise in the Texas Midterms 31868157
brr @brr.bsky.social · 11/09/2026a little crazy how much of twitter now is just kalshi and polymarket promotion accounts farming engagement 010
Reposted by brrUncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 11/09/2026I gotta say, the whole "Charlie Kirk Effect" was the biggest nothingburger I've ever seen in my years of following elections. This was from a special election in Minnesota about a week after it happened where the Democrats underperformed by 5 points. They then proceeded to belt the GOP in November. 59613
Reposted by brrSahil Kapur @sahilkapur.bsky.social · 30/08/2026James Clyburn says on @meetthepress.com that he supports adding four seats to the Supreme Court: “A baker’s dozen would be a good number to have on the court.” 1102258325
Reposted by brrMatt Ford @mford.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Ninth Circuit panel says 3-0 that Kalshi’s “sports events contracts” are not swaps under the CEA and Nevada gambling laws aren’t pre-empted by CFTC rules for prediction markets. A massive blow to the industry: cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/op... 23811193
brr @brr.bsky.social · 27/08/2026value of a dem senate is not minimal. winning the senate and blocking supreme court appointments might be more important than anything else the next two years 040
Reposted by brrNathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Good gut check from @fiftyplusone.news: Despite all the handwringing about shadowy new pollsters this year, there are no more of them than in past years. 2357
Reposted by brrG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 25/08/2026Aug. Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.io poll coming out tomorrow at 7:00 ET. In it: — Trump slips underwater on his last positive issue — Dems lead the generic ballot for a 15th straight poll, with bigger lead among likely voters — And: subscriber questions on savings, gov program cuts, + more 311021
Reposted by brrNick Field @nickfield.bsky.social · 25/08/2026“I bet you that Chuck Schumer thinks that Zohran Mamdani is more toxic to the Democratic brand than he is. That is the problem.” nymag.com/intelligence...nymag.comRebecca Katz’s Risky Formula for Winning ElectionsThe political consultant has an uncanny gift for finding charismatic progressives. Why do so many of them implode? 032
brr @brr.bsky.social · 24/08/2026I mean it's clearly because people trust Zohran more than Jeffries 110
brr @brr.bsky.social · 20/08/2026agree. i think lots of people still have 2019 version of aoc in their head. that's why she needs to lock in now and start fixing that 120
brr @brr.bsky.social · 20/08/2026these kind of polls are going to scare away primary voters from voting for her. if she's actually going to run she needs to start working to change that perception like right now 200
Reposted by brrJames Hell Brooks @kleinman.bsky.social · 20/08/2026$200M IE doors program for Ken Paxton in Texas, sure! www.wired.com/story/elon-m...wired.comElon Musk Is Expected to Point His Money Machine at Texas PoliticsSources tell WIRED that Elon Musk is expected to spend up to $200 million in the midterms. It could be a big boost for GOP Senate candidate Ken Paxton, who’s struggled to raise cash. 54410
brr @brr.bsky.social · 19/08/2026Nixon is DSA while Vindman had the money advantage. Would be a pretty shocking result 000
Reposted by brrNolan Hicks @ndhapple.bsky.social · 14/08/2026New York Mag updates/corrects *67* Ross Barkan columns for failing to provide “proper attribution”, per @maxtani.bsky.social — x.com/maxwelltani/... 5358
Reposted by brrBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Another article this time by CNN that Paxton is worrying Republicans he can actually win www.cnn.com/2026/08/14/p...cnn.comKen Paxton tries to tamp down growing Republican concerns about his Senate campaign | CNN PoliticsAfter years of battling fellow Republicans and helping lead the culture wars in Texas, Ken Paxton is campaigning on tax deductions, appearing with state lawmakers who once voted to impeach him, and op... 2329
Reposted by brrPoll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Michigan Senate Race (Fox News): 🔴Mike Rogers (R) 51% 🔵Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47% Aug 6-10, 2026 3176
brr @brr.bsky.social · 13/08/2026why ? www.bangordailynews.com/2026/08/13/p...bangordailynews.comGraham Platner will headline Ellsworth Labor Day rallyGraham Platner will headline a Labor Day rally in Ellsworth on Sept. 7, months after being replaced in the U.S. Senate race. 210
Reposted by brrJames Hell Brooks @kleinman.bsky.social · 13/08/2026This has been Paxton's best poll in a while, and I'm guessing the fact that it was only conducted in English could play a role emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-p...emersoncollegepolling.comTexas 2026 Poll: Paxton and Talarico Deadlocked in U.S. Senate Race; Abbott Leads Hinojosa by Four Points - Emerson PollingEconomy, immigration top issues among Texas voters A new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey of…Full Release & Results 2333
Reposted by brrDave Shutton @daveshuttonpbs.bsky.social · 13/08/2026COLLINS: I mean, I have to ask, where do you stand on Thanksgiving? CROWLEY: (Chuckles) I like Thanksgiving, my favorite dish is dressing. 021
Reposted by brrPoll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Maine Senate Race (Fox News): 🔵Jackson 48% 🔴Collins 46% Aug 6-10, 2026 1122934
brr @brr.bsky.social · 12/08/2026there are definitely dems who want a more left party but scared to vote for candidates on electability. have to find a way to stop scaring voters without changing too much on policy 010
brr @brr.bsky.social · 12/08/2026it might just be better to see how these states voted in past primaries and how a certain type of candidate will perform 110
brr @brr.bsky.social · 12/08/2026those Hong interviews really scared voters into voting for Crowley 110
Reposted by brrWorld’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 12/08/202620% in from Dane and Hong is only up 1%, that is insane 2211
Reposted by brrWorld’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 11/08/2026So, one thing I'm interested to see in tmrw's primaries is if buying ads in rural areas continues to be a hack to winning votes. Because Raja Krishnamoorthi did nothing in rural Illinois and still managed to win all of them bc he carpet-bombed the airwaves. 3212
Reposted by brrPoll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 10/08/2026Texas Governor poll (Cygnal) 🔴Greg Abbott 49% 🔵Gina Hinojosa 46% 7/29-7/31 www.cygn.al/wp-content/u... 1236
Reposted by brrJustin Baragona @justinbaragona.bsky.social · 10/08/2026John Fetterman's appearance on WaPo's Make It Make Sense podcast—in which he spends a good portion of it trashing Abdul El-Sayed—has generated only 3,600 views in two days, despite getting a lot of play on Fox. Also, he'll apparently wear a suit for a podcast nobody watches -- but not for his job. 1142613254
