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Bernie Bastien-Olvera

@bbastien.bsky.social
223 followers 161 following 31 posts

Interdisciplinary climate change scientist and communicator • National Geographic Explorer ⛰️ • Assistant Professor at UNAM 🇲🇽

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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
The final paper from a fantastic interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and economists to better understand climate change impacts on natural capital and implications for policy. Also produced bangers from @bbastien.bsky.social's dissertation, such as: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital - Nature
Country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits show unequal impacts on the global values of natural capital resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Paper @science.org today led by Junna Wang and my @ucdavis.bsky.social colleague Xiaoli Dong. 7-16% of plants at risk of extinction under climate change, largely from vanishing climates, not slow dispersal. But plants will move, reshaping local species composition www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
Climate-induced range shifts support local plant diversity but don’t reduce extinction risk
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Vivek Srikrishnan @vsrikrish.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
In which @madisoncondon.bsky.social and I expand on our argument that "extreme" climate scenarios, such as RCP 8.5, are actually useful and we should use them as part of climate risk analyses. Thanks to @progressivereform.bsky.social for encouraging us and giving us space!
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Dana Nuccitelli @dananuccitelli.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
A new paper led by @bbastien.bsky.social estimates that accounting for climate pollution's impact on the oceans via the one-two punch of warming & acidification nearly doubles the social cost of carbon (which the Trump EPA thinks is $0). My new @climateconnections.bsky.social article & 🧵 (1/8):
yaleclimateconnections.org
Fossil fuel pollution’s effect on oceans comes with huge costs » Yale Climate Connections
A new study details the vast price society is paying for burning coal, oil, and gas.
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Dana Nuccitelli @dananuccitelli.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
As @bbastien.bsky.social told me, improved estimates of the social cost of carbon are still valuable to other countries, and even state governments. And at some point, a future evidence-based administration will be able to make use of it too. Hopefully before the damages become too great (8/8)
yaleclimateconnections.org
Fossil fuel pollution’s effect on oceans comes with huge costs » Yale Climate Connections
A new study details the vast price society is paying for burning coal, oil, and gas.
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
That’s how we officially kick off the semester in my research lab—with ambitious goals, beautiful human beings and delicious tamales! Check out our new lab page here: climaysociedad.atmosfera.unam.mx/hub-ecosiste...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
New paper with Francisco Estrada! This is a paper on termination shock risk and the governance challenge of deploying solar geoengineering when international coordination is so hard to achieve. Paper: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... New Scientist: www.newscientist.com/article/2513...
newscientist.com
Termination shock could make the cost of climate damage even higher
Solar geoengineering could halve the economic cost of climate change, but stopping it would cause temperatures to rebound sharply, leading to greater damage than unabated global warming
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Johannes Emmerling @johannesemm.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Climate change has an impact on the oceans, which in turn affects humanity, including our economy. In this recent paper, we quantify these impacts www.nature.com/articles/s41..., led by @bbastien.bsky.social with @francescogranella.bsky.social @maxtav.bsky.social within @sparccle.bsky.social project
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Humanities & Social Sciences @hss.springernature.com · 21/01/2026
🔍 Behind the Paper: 'My Neighbor, the Ocean.' 🌊 The system that regulates the planet’s climate barely appeared in climate policy calculations. Not because it had been “wrong” before, but because it had been incomplete.🔗 Read more here: bit.ly/49NXSo4. @bbastien.bsky.social #ClimateChange
My Neighbor, the Ocean
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Charles Thistlethwaite @charlest.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
The social cost of carbon (SCC), a crucial indicator for #climatechange policy, has largely overlooked the significant economic and societal benefits provided by oceans, often referred to as 'blue capital'. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
UBC Oceans @ubcoceans.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
RESEARCH: Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon. Co-authored by Dr. William Cheung @ubccoru.bsky.social @solvingfcb.org www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
🌊 Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon By factoring in impacts on corals, mangroves, fisheries, & ports, the 2020 blue social cost of carbon jumps to $48/ton CO2-almost doubling traditional estimates. Protecting “blue capital” matters www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Cameron Thrash @jcamthrash.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon www.nature.com/articles/s41... #jcampubs 🌊
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
The Social Cost of Carbon for the Oceans is out today in Nature Climate Change. www.nature.com/articles/s41... Until now, ocean damages have been largely missing from SCC estimates used in climate policy.
nature.com
Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Solar radiation management looks most attractive precisely when governance is weakest — and that’s exactly when it’s most likely to fail. Check out our new paper in Environmental Research: Climate iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Science X / Phys.org @sciencex.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Projections indicate that rising ocean temperatures could offset anticipated gains in global mangrove restoration by 2100, resulting in significant ecosystem and economic losses, especially in Asia. doi.org/g92dsh
phys.org
Ocean warming projected to stall expected mangrove recovery
Increasing ocean temperatures will erase mangrove restoration gains expected to occur due to economic development and conservation, according to a new study from researchers at UC San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Charles Thistlethwaite @charlest.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
About 150,000 hectares (580 sq. mi.) of mangrove ecosystems, vital for coastal protection, habitat creation, carbon storage, and water quality, will be lost by the end of the century due to #climatechange, with Asia bearing nearly two-thirds of these losses. oceanographicmagazine.com/news/warming...
oceanographicmagazine.com
Warming ocean will cost $28bn a year in mangrove losses alone - Oceanographic
Continued increase in ocean temperatures is projected to stall the advances made in mangrove recovery and restoration, a new study has warned.
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
New paper out! We looked at how warming oceans & socioeconomic change shape the future of mangroves worldwide. @ioppublishing.bsky.social TLDR: Climate change could stall restoration efforts & deepen global inequalities. Paper: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
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Rodrigo Muñoz @rodrigo-munoz.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
I'm pleased to announce our newest paper published at Scientific Data, where we establish a framework for generating fast, custom SRM scenarios. This will allow us to develop probabilístic regional and global impact studies of geoengineering interventions. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
GeoMIP-Pattern – a pattern scaling dataset for efficient generation of custom geoengineering scenarios - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - GeoMIP-Pattern – a pattern scaling dataset for efficient generation of custom geoengineering scenarios
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
After months held up in customs, @paulkelleher.net 's book finally made it to me. Now riding along with me on the Mexico City metro.
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Kate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Claim: "Water vapor is a greenhouse gas!" Reality: Yes, and there's more of it in a warmer atmosphere -"CO2 is plant food!" -pretty hard to eat when you're on fire -"Climate has changed before!" -We know, we told you that -"Scientists don't know everything!" - doesn't mean we know *nothing*
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
New paper! Polycrisis isn’t a series of mistakes — it’s a tangled web of crises we navigate through increasingly rough terrain. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Polycrisis isn’t a series of mistakes — it’s a tangled web of crises we navigate through increasingly rough terrain. In this study, we compile a global database and analyze the co-occurrence of shocks, the building blocks of crisis, from 1970 to today. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Dynamics of the polycrisis: temporal trends, spatial distribution, and co-occurrences of national shocks (1970–2019) | Global Sustainability | Cambridge Core
Dynamics of the polycrisis: temporal trends, spatial distribution, and co-occurrences of national shocks (1970–2019) - Volume 8
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Very happy to be an AERE Scholar this year! I'm looking forward to contributing meaningfully to the field.
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Giorgio Dini @giorgiodini.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
Call for abstracts! The Beijer Young Scholars are convening a session at #AGU25: "Advances in Modeling and Governing Interacting Shocks in the Anthropocene". Submit by July 30! 🌍⚡ 📍New Orleans, Dec 15–19 🔗 agu.confex.com/agu/agu25/pr...
agu.confex.com
Advances in Modeling and Governing Interacting Shocks in the Anthropocene
Our collective well-being depends on interconnected socio-ecological systems. In the Anthropocene, these systems increasingly face unanticipated variability in key inputs (i.e., shocks), and nonlinear...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
What a view of the Sandia mountains last week in Albuquerque. So happy to join the @aereorg.bsky.social scholars cohort, an amazing group of supportive and brilliant people!
Outside deck of a brewery with a mountain at the back
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Copernicus ECMWF @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
📈 Daily global temperature between 1940 to 2025 – @hausfath.bsky.social 2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
A weather system over Houston keeps delaying my connecting flight, but still hopeful I'll make it on time for the first session!
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
What an amazing week at the Beijer Institute, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences! Sharing ideas, methods and good moments with this talented group of scholars studying socioecological impacts.
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today! Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
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Naomi Klein @naomiaklein.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Fossil fuel companies should be forced to pay the public trillions in damages for the costs of their planetary arson. Instead they are trying to shut down one of the most important and storied environmental groups in the world. It's shameless - and it's not over. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
theguardian.com
Greenpeace must pay hundreds of millions over Dakota pipeline protests, says jury
Non-profit said in statement lawsuits like this aimed at ‘destroying the right to peaceful protest’
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Very cool episode on the environmental effects of increased US exports of natural gas @danielraimi.bsky.social ! I would add the effect of the transportation itself. LNG tankers shipping US gas in the Gulf of California could severely disrupt marine ecosystems. open.spotify.com/episode/0W47...
open.spotify.com
Economic and Environmental Effects of Natural Gas Exports, with Brian Prest
Resources Radio · Episode
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AGU (American Geophysical Union) @agu.org · 05/03/2025
AGU has joined a lawsuit challenging the firing of probationary employees at federal agencies. These actions weaken science, harm public health & the environment, and threaten national security. 🧵 #StandWithScience
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Kicking off AGU council meeting with an inspiring quote and new horizons for my taste buds
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
In an activity of naming ocean-based values that I've been doing for a while in some classes, the top words historically have been 'food' and 'recreation' 🌊 I was happy to see a new word emerging today: 'peace'. Naming what we value is the first step to including it in environmental policy
Word cloud containing three big words: peace, recreation and food
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Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Ben Groom @bengroom.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
New paper out. Nice and short! Answers the question: how should policy makers handle the new information on uncertainty in climate change severity? With @frikknesje.bsky.social @gwagner.com and Mark Freeman. (Top coauthors!) papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
Updating climate beliefs based on latest IPCC report points to increased willingness to act
We assess how changes in the scientific consensus around equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), as captured by the IPCC's Fifth (AR5) and Sixth (AR6) Assessment
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Max Tavoni @maxtav.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Post doc opportunities in energy and water system modeling in Milan, Italy! Come join a newly established research division on Technologies for Climate Transition at eiee.org cmccfoundation.applytojob.com/apply/25Rqvm... #IntegratedAssessment #MacroEnergySystems #Climate
cmccfoundation.applytojob.com
12652 - Senior Postdoctoral Researcher Environmental and Energy Systems Engineering - CMCC Foundation - Career Page
Apply to 12652 - Senior Postdoctoral Researcher Environmental and Energy Systems Engineering at CMCC Foundation in Milano, Italy.
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Hannah Ritchie @hannahritchie.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
In my latest article, I look at the bet on material prices between Julian Simon and Paul Ehrlich, and ask who would have won over different decades of the 20th and early 21st century. Also discuss why their bet wasn't a good test of either of their worldviews. ourworldindata.org/simon-ehrlic...
ourworldindata.org
Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich bet over different decades, and what do long-term prices tell us about resource scarcity?
In the 1980s, economist Julian Simon won his bet with biologist Paul Ehrlich on mineral prices. But what does the long-term data tell us about supply and demand for resources?
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Laura Dee @lauradee.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Foundations and future directions for causal inference in ecological research, forthcoming w/ @katherinesiegel.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4mm57zzd. We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students 1/n
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
Vicious cycle
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Excited to announce a new @pnas.org publication on the Social Cost of Carbon. We integrate evidence from the literature and expert survey to provide an SCC distribution inclusive of both parametric and structural uncertainties. Our mean 2020 value is $283 per ton CO2 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties | PNAS
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of CO2—termed the social cost of carbon (SCC)—requires connecting a model of the climate system with a re...
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Veronika Meduna @veronikameduna.bsky.social · 25/10/2024
For my latest for Eos, I talked to @davidho.bsky.social et al about what happens to the ocean's carbon uptake when it rains, and why it's been so hard to figure this out (story features pink kids' pools) 🌊🌎🧪 eos.org/articles/rai...
eos.org
Rainfall Makes the Ocean a Greater Carbon Sink - Eos
Rain has so far been ignored in calculations of the ocean’s capacity to take up carbon, but a new estimate shows it enhances the ocean sink by 5%–7%.
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Daniel Raimi @danielraimi.bsky.social · 09/01/2024
This was a really fun conversation about a fascinating topic with the excellent @bbastien.bsky.social. Check it out!
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 09/01/2024
Check out @bbastien.bsky.social talking to @danielraimi.bsky.social on this Resources Radio podcast about his recent Nature paper quantifying changes in the natural capital stock from climate change effects on terrestrial biomes www.resources.org/resources-ra...
resources.org
The Benefits of Biomes in a Changing Climate, with Bernie Bastien-Olvera
Bernie Bastien-Olvera discusses the benefits of ecosystems for humans, how climate change is shifting ecosystems geographically, and the implications of these shifts for different regions of the world...
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 22/12/2023
So stoked about artists illustrating our recent paper on climate-driven ecosystem range shift and economic impacts. This is from Maria Fernanda Goldblatt 🤩
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 19/12/2023
We had a great conversation and can't wait to see it live. Thanks a lot!
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Bernie Bastien-Olvera @bbastien.bsky.social · 19/12/2023
What unfolds when ecosystems shift across national borders due to climate change? Thrilled to share our latest paper in Nature, which delves into the consequences of these climate-driven biome migrations on human well-being. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital - Nature
Country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits show unequal impacts on the global values of natural capital resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in...
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