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Annaliese Paulson

@annaliesep.bsky.social
997 followers 1.7K following 137 posts

Present: Postdoc @annenberginstitute.bsky.social‬ & computational social scientist studying higher ed. Past: Marsal School of Education & Ford School of Public Policy; 2024 Spencer Dissertation Fellow; Most Fashionable Boy 2010, Kaukauna High School 🏳️‍⚧️

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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 2h
More evidence generative AI may undermine learning from Jing Liu et al. at the University of Maryland. They randomizes access to a generative AI tutor in courses. Just 15% of students use the tutor, but students in treated courses score 0.37 SDs lower on grades. Paper: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1598
Picture of first page of Annenberg EdWorking Paper No. 26-1598:

Title: The Effects of Course-Integrated AI Tutoring on Student Performance and Engagement: A Randomized University Trial

Abstract: We evaluate access to a course-integrated generative AI (GenAI) tutor in a randomized controlled trial involving 2,379 undergraduate students and 30 instructors across multiple disciplines in a large U.S. public university. Among sections of the same course, tutor access reduced final grades by 0.37 standard deviations and learning management system participation by 0.90 standard deviations. Participation declines were similarly large in the full sample, and estimated academic losses were greater among
first-generation students. These findings suggest that introducing an AI tutor may displace engagement
with existing learning activities without improving academic performance, with potentially differential
impact across student groups.
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Austin Slaughter @austinslaughter.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
So the federal fiscal year ended three days ago Anyone looking into whether ED/OMB broke the law by not spending all of IES's funding?
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Cam Arnzen @camarnzen.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
📢 For all my fellow education politics and policy people: Josh Almes and I now have an @annenberginstitute.bsky.social working paper out detailing our new dataset of school district partisanship for all 13,000+ districts for the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections. edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1600
edworkingpapers.com
A National Measure of School District Partisanship for the 2016 to 2024 Presidential Elections
Scholars increasingly interested in the governance of local school districts, which invites curiosity about the partisanship of their voting constituencies. Presently, researchers have to translate pr...
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Omg how shocking! (Looking forward to reviewing some awesome work)
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Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
When minimum wage goes up, 2-year college enrollment goes down. Little change in degree receipt though. In the September issue, by Diane Schanzenbach, Julia Turner, and Sarah Turner. zurl.co/Qic3g
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
Open call for paper submissions: The Economics of Community Colleges conference April 6-7, 2028 in Cambridge, MA. Full information www.nber.org/economics-co...
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aizatnurshat.bsky.social @aizatnurshat.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Join us on Oct 1 at 1pm ET at @annenberginstitute.bsky.social's Ed Policy Workshop! I'm co-presenting with Silvia Robles, Anjali Pai & @annaliesep.bsky.social on how colleges use MacKenzie Scott's unrestricted gifts, a rare natural experiment in philanthropy. events.brown.edu/event/338077...
events.brown.edu
Events | Brown University
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Matthew A Kraft @matthewakraft.com · 22/09/2026
🔥 We've got a banger of a lineup for this year's #SustainableED virtual seminar series. Free & open to the public. Join us and spread the word! Past seminars are available on our YouTube channel. Great teaching resources: www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
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jess reia • 何杰茜 @jhereia.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
We are hiring! ✨ Come work with me at @uvadatascience.bsky.social! We are recruiting an Open Rank Tenured/Tenure Track Prof of Data Science with a background in social science, legal, policy, STEM or humanities disciplines to join our Data and Society area. Apply here: apply.interfolio.com/191214
This is a screenshot of the UVA School of Data Science website portraying the school building in the background against a blue sky and trees. The texts reads: Jobs at the School of Data Science. Join Our Team.
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Well the Iowa General Assembly broke me
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Brian Holzman @brianholzman.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
It appears the IES Restricted Use Data License program is continuing. But the annual cost is now $3500--nearly 9X costlier than the $400 I paid before. I've been operating under the assumption the whole program would end, and have adjusted my research around that. This just solidifies my decision.
We are writing to ask whether you wish to continue your use of your IES Restricted Use Data License.

 

IF YES, the virtual workspace materials associated with your Restricted Use Data License will be made available to you in the coming weeks once the enclave has been established and payment has been received. This fee is $2000 for six months’ access to the enclave or $3500 for a year of access to the enclave. Note, no payments are due at this time and will only become due once your workspace is restored in the new enclave.

 

IF NO, your virtual workspaces will be wiped and IES will close your RUD License. Please note that following termination of the License, no materials may be recovered, nor shall any further Disclosure Risk Review occur for this License.

 

To continue your use in the new virtual data enclave, you MUST RESPOND BY OCTOBER 15, 2026. At that time, IES will wipe existing virtual workspaces and terminate Restricted Use Data Licenses not confirmed for continuing use.

 

Thank you,

IES Data Security
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Sam Thau @samthau.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
In a new @siepr.bsky.social WP, @gideonmoore.bsky.social, @jdlight.bsky.social and I document a small but broad shift towards more political, more liberal courses across nearly 1,000 US colleges 2000-present. We then study how students + faculty shape political content. A thread (1/N)...
Abstract: We measure two dimensions of politics in college courses --- the amount of political content and its partisan orientation --- using course descriptions from nearly 1,000 U.S. colleges and universities over the past 25 years. Using a novel text-as-data method, we separate the amount of ``political content,'' the extent to which a course engages with topics salient to politics and public policy, from ``slant,'' the partisan direction of that content. Since 2000, the average course has 0.15 SD more political content and 0.13 SD more liberal slant. Changes are most pronounced in the tails of the distribution, particularly for slant, and are modest relative to persistent cross-field differences. Following instructors who move between institutions, we find that instructors account for 60-65\% of cross-sectional differences in course political content and slant. Using enrollment data, we find students show no preference for liberal content before the 2010s; demand for liberal content rises over the following decade, peaks in 2020, and falls slightly thereafter.
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Beth Schueler @bethschueler.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Join our upcoming webinar on submitting conference proposals! To be held 9/21 1pm PT / 4pm ET. Sponsored by the @aefpweb.bsky.social Doctoral Student Community Group and conveniently in advance of the AEFP Oct. proposal deadline. Register here: upenn.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
"ultimate danger remains that, when institutions comply with authoritarian wishes, the govt will just ask for greater and greater concessions. After all, if you give a mouse a cookie, he’s going to ask for a glass of milk." The anatomy of a coup d’université www.insidehighered.com/opinion/colu...
insidehighered.com
That Same Ol’ Authoritarian Playbook
Throughout history, autocrats have gone after higher ed finances to control institutions’ culture.
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Annenberg Institute @annenberginstitute.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
📢 #EdWorkingPapers: @micahybaum.bsky.social, @jendara.bsky.social, & @annaliesep.bsky.social find that despite fears of political indoctrination, Democratic college professors have no causal effect on their students' partisan identity. 📄 edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1538
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Appreciate David giving me the chance to muse. These ideas come from work on a larger project (I've read A LOT on this, from how the field of economics developed to histories of universities under dictatorship to sociology on metrics to polisci on democracies and backsliding to so much philosophy).
Screenshot of article which reads: “In general,” Baker said, conservative states have a vision for colleges and universities “around job creation and indoctrination.” And they have become savvier, learning how institutions are really organized and “how to hit higher ed where it hurts.”

At the same time, she said, “you can’t work at indoctrinating other people and not indoctrinate [yourself]. I really do think they were shocked at how few people signed up for their civic centers. They genuinely believe students hate the class options available to them and are dying for these new revisionist versions of history,” and they don’t know what to do when only a handful of students show up.Screenshot of article which reads: Instead, Baker told me, “the blue-state vision for higher ed right now, in general, [is] job creation only. At its most fundamental, most Democratic administrations of states are thinking that the No. 1 priority of college is around the labor market.” That’s good for what Baker calls their “bipartisanship fetish,” because if both sides agree it’s all about jobs, it feels like there’s a chance for collaboration.
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Riley Acton @riacton.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Delighted to be chairing the postsecondary access, choice, and affordability section of the #AEFP2027 program. Send us your best papers & join us in San Diego! ☀️
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Harry Anthony Patrinos @hpatrinos.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
We’re hiring! The University of Arkansas Department of Education Reform is seeking a tenure-track Assistant Professor of Education Policy. Join a dynamic research community committed to rigorous education policy research and doctoral training. Apply: shorturl.at/DlpHI Please share widely!
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
I long for the days people would tell me general education policies were boring.
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Anna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
@zbleemer.bsky.social & @jrothstein.bsky.social : the most selective US universities spend much more per student, and this gap has massively risen over time. They call this the "Meritocratic Consensus" in US higher education...
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Cannot say I'm particularly thrilled to that Michigan took a look at Vanderbilt's actions and thought that was the direction they should be going...
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Walt Ecton @waltecton.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
The Center for the Study of Higher and Postsecondary Education @ Michigan is hiring for an associate or full professor of higher education policy, with expertise in quantitative methods! careers.umich.edu/job_detail/2...
careers.umich.edu
Associate or Full Professor of Higher Education with Tenure | U-M Careers
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Plenty to reflect about re: the Arday affair, but I'm going to repeat this one thing. The playbook the right used here is effective even though it's not especially sophisticated, as it relies on the audience to do the dirty work. I've been calling it "Trojan horse propaganda", let's go with that. 1/
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
I wish conversations on leaving the country were not so common and necessary among trans Americans.
nytimes.com
Opinion | What’s Happening in Kansas Should Alarm Us All (Gift Article)
Is Kansas just the beginning?
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
For the past six months @mariaa.bsky.social and I have been working on creating an improved research experience on atproto. It's now live! Check out: lea.ac
leaflet.pub
Lea: research-oriented social media
Introducing a beta-version of our new research-focused social media platform
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
We just published an official working paper of this work! Baum, Micah, Joaquín Endara, and Annaliese Paulson. (2026). Do Faculty Affect Student Partisanship?. (EdWorkingPaper: 26-1538). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: doi.org/10.26300/8ej...
doi.org
Do Faculty Affect Student Partisanship?
We study whether Democratic college professors make their students more liberal. We link voter data to salary records from 33 state flagships and show that faculty skew Democratic, especially in the h...
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
I certainly did not expect to learn IES grant competitions are alive today, given the state of the world. ies.ed.gov/learn/blog/a...
ies.ed.gov
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International Conference on Computational Social Science @ic2s2.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
That's a wrap on IC2S2 2026... we'll see you next year in Milan! 😍
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Matthew A Kraft @matthewakraft.com · 06/08/2026
Brown just opened a cluster hire for two tenure-track positions in Education Policy. Come join our vibrant community of scholars at @brownedudept.bsky.social & @annenberginstitute.bsky.social! apply.interfolio.com/190527 Please help spread the word.
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Riley Acton @riacton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
What @abigailrd.bsky.social said! Come to Maine! (not involved in the search, but will be excited to meet whoever lands this great gig! 😊)
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This is a really interesting read paired with that AEJ paper I shared at some point this week. Both show no clear evidence that faculty affect students' partisanship. Again, no priors will be updated. (I'll find my post with the other paper and reply with it below)
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This is now an official working paper! Paper here: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1538
edworkingpapers.com
Do Faculty Affect Student Partisanship?
We study whether Democratic college professors make their students more liberal. We link voter data to salary records from 33 state flagships and show that faculty skew Democratic, especially in the h...
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
New Working Paper with Micah Baum and Joaquin Endara: Students tend to become more liberal during college. We study whether individual faculty make their students more liberal. We find no evidence that faculty affect student partisanship. Working Paper: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1538 1/
edworkingpapers.com
Do Faculty Affect Student Partisanship?
We study whether Democratic college professors make their students more liberal. We link voter data to salary records from 33 state flagships and show that faculty skew Democratic, especially in the h...
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics: "Education and Partisanship" by Daniel Firoozi.
aeaweb.org
Education and Partisanship
(Forthcoming Article) - Education weakens the historical link between income and partisanship across democracies, challenging classical models of political economy. Using administrative data on millions of voters exposed to discontinuities in compulsory schooling laws and college admissions in Florida and California, I show that both the extensive margin of years of high school education and the intensive margin of college selectivity can reduce Republican Party affiliation. Effects generalize across generations (1969 to present), settings, and institutions. Results are consistent with peer socialization shaping sociocultural attitudes alongside career-path mechanisms, rather than deliberate instructor-driven persuasion.
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Rajeev Darolia @rajdarolia.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
We are hosting the MidSouth Education Policy Workshop again this year on Oct 8-9 at UK! The goal is to bring researchers and policy professionals together to share work, get feedback, and network. Call for papers (due Aug 21) and more information here: martin.uky.edu/2026-midsout....
martin.uky.edu
2026 MidSouth Education Public Policy Workshop | Martin School of Public Policy and Administration
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
your apartment, the sport of basketball, and the Republic of Korea are all social constructs. mere recognition of this fact does not actually make the question of whether you are standing in your own apartment, playing basketball, or a Korean national up in the air until settled by op ed editors
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Maria Antoniak @mariaa.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
I curated some readings for class on "data tensions" and the list felt worth sharing. Come on a tour of datasets, books, the web, and AI with me... We'll start with this piece on the Google Books project: the hopes, dreams, disasters, and aftermath of building a public library on the internet. 1/n
theatlantic.com
Torching the Modern-Day Library of Alexandria
“Somewhere at Google there is a database containing 25 million books and nobody is allowed to read them.”
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Betsy Wolf @betsyjwolf.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
This is really not a fight you want to pick with DC residents right now.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 21/07/2026
A very sensible point from @susanathey.bsky.social @guidoimbens.bsky.social & Zoe Ji. #EconSky arxiv.org/pdf/2607.05792
Estimating Causal Effects from Data
Generated by Stochastic Algorithms
Susan Athey, Guido Imbens, and Zoe Ji
July 2026
Abstract
Recommendation systems and chatbots present content to users, typically using stochastic algorithms that select the content based on user characteristics or
context. Examples of content include chat responses, videos, or items available
for purchase. Scientists and application developers are often interested in whether
characteristics of content increase outcomes such as user engagement. Estimates of
such causal effects may guide content providers to generate content that emphasize
desirable features. However, in settings with a large content library or where content is generated uniquely for a given user, it can be difficult to use observational
data to learn the causal effect of content features, because the content a user sees
is tailored to that user, and because content varies in many dimensions. The basic
observation that motivates this paper is that because modern AI systems select
and generate content stochastically, routine interactions between users and these
systems continuously produce micro experiments, and logging two additional elements of each interaction turns those micro experiments into data that identify
causal effects of content features. This paper proposes a new method for identifying
and estimating the impact of content features using observational data, when the
algorithm that determines user exposure incorporates some randomization, and
when two additional data elements are logged for each user: (i) the identity of at
least one item that could have been exposed to the user, but was not (the unexposed
item); (ii) an estimate of the ratio of the probability that the unexposed item would
have been shown to the probability that the exposed item was shown.
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Andrew Bacher-Hicks @abacherhicks.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Today, @arnoldventures.bsky.social reopened two RFPs: 1️⃣The Strengthening Evidence RFP supports RCTs across a broad range of social policy issues. 2️⃣The Building Evidence RFP supports quasi-experiments in key policy areas. (1/4)
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
There is a small section that mentions how none of the neutrality stuff is real but this feels like an ad. Uncritically touts rankings while also ignoring when ol boy publicly broke down over how low they were because us news pretended to care about the poor for a moment. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
How Vandy Bested the Ivies
With the opening of its NYC campus, the school’s ascent to elite status seems complete.
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
New paper on HAIL Scholarship! Students going to UM bc of HAIL just as likely to graduate & earn a STEM degree as peers, & more likely to graduate within four years Expected lifetime earnings gains of 25% due to increased degree quality and faster graduation www.susandynarski.com/assets/paper...
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NBER @nber.org · 13/07/2026
Course-embedded, AI-enabled chatbots can improve course performance and support take-up, from @katharinemeyer.bsky.social, Page, Mata, Smith, Tyler Walsh, Fifield, Tyson, Eremionkhale, Evans, Frost, and Eoun Jung www.nber.org/papers/w35397
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Cara Jackson @carajackson.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Comments due tomorrow! You want scientific review panels deciding what studies to fund with taxpayer dollars, or political appointees?
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Dallas Card @dallascard.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
As some may have heard me talk about at #ACL2026, I'm excited to share a new preprint on approaches to validation when using LLMs to measure concepts in social science, led by @madesai.bsky.social and @azjacobs.bsky.social !! Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2607.07915
Title page from "Validating LLMs in social science: Epistemic threats and emerging norms" by Meera Desai, Dallas Card, and Abigail Z. Jacobs
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
EPI is a wonderful community looking for a data scientist to work on education policy! In my deeply biased opinion, Michigan is a great environment to combine data science and education policy.
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Julia Turner @julia-turner.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
🚨 New NBER WP out from this dream team of coauthors! @riacton.bsky.social, @loismiller.bsky.social, @camilantmorales.bsky.social, Kalena Cortes, and I are excited to share results from our pilot resume audit study of community college bachelor’s degrees (CCBs). www.nber.org/papers/w35404
nber.org
The Labor Market Value of Community College Bachelor’s Degrees: Initial Evidence from a Resume Audit Study in Early Childhood Education
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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A.S. Paglayan @aspaglayan.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Brief pause from Messi's magic to share my new piece in the Annual Review of Political Science: "Education as a Political Institution" which explains why we should stop treating education as just another public service Open access here: tinyurl.com/yezzkam5
tinyurl.com
Education as a Political Institution
Education institutions are fundamentally political. They mold political values, shape inequality, create opportunities for patronage through teaching jobs, and can even be used for political surveilla...
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Annaliese Paulson @annaliesep.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Now that the US has banned two (2) trans girls from participating in high school sports, I'm sure NAEP scores will start rising any second now. Thank goodness policymakers are laser-focused on the most important questions in education policy.
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