iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Thomas Zeitzoff

U.S. Soccer Men's National Team @usmnt.ussoccer.com · 04/10/2026

CAVAN SULLIVAN THAT IS PREPOSTEROUS! #USMNT x VW

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

This game is starting to get really CONCACAFY 🇺🇸 🇲🇽 #USMNT

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Omar García-Ponce @garciaponce.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

1/8 🧵 New paper with @isabellatingley.bsky.social, now out open access in the @bjpols.bsky.social “The Legacy of Mexico’s Drug War on Youth Political Attitudes” Our paper examines how growing up amid criminal violence and militarized security shapes political attitudes later in life.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Got great feedback at @belfercenter.bsky.social yesterday for a new project on how people think about the political future. 2 highlights from the survey data:* 1) Ds, Rs, & independents are all worried about AI 2) Strong support for reining in Big Tech/AI *Forthright/Bovitz, N=1,405, Aug-Sep 2026

Title slide: "The Coming Storm: Do Future Threats Lead to Support Illiberal Policies?"

Plot showing that among Americans, AI (along with economic collapse, and political violence) is seen as a top-threat.

Horizontal bar chart of support for seven technology policies. Three restriction policies, in blue, poll highest: legal limits on AI job replacement at 79%, breaking up big tech at 61%, and banning AI smarter than humans at 60%. Four acceleration policies, in gold, poll far lower: government manipulating weather at 32%, genetic engineering at 23%, hospitals using AI over doctors at 23%, and government fast-tracking new technology at 19%. Americans are much more willing to restrain technology than to deploy more of it.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

This is the season I picked to introduce my son to Tottenham 🫠

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Also here's a plug for my conditionally accepted @ajpseditor.bsky.social paper with @janzilinsky.bsky.social "Artificial Intelligence, Social Media, and the Politics of Anti-Technology." osf.io/preprints/so...

Artificial Intelligence, Social Media, and the
Politics of Anti-Technology
Jan Zilinsky
T
echnical
U
niversity of
M
unich
I
nstitute of
E
xperimental
P
sychology at the
S
lovak
A
cademy of
S
ciences
Thomas Zeitzoff
A
merican
U
niversity
Abstract
The growth of new digital technology, in particular new forms of communication and ar-
tificial intelligence, has raised questions about technology’s role in society. Critics argue that
it has increased hate speech, polarized the electorate, reduced deliberation, and coarsened
the discourse. Others have emphasized the democratizing potential of tools facilitating col-
lective action and enabling broader exchange of ideas. To better understand citizens’ general
orientation towards technology, we develop a new anti-technology scale and test it on two
diverse samples of Americans. Our scale measures three distinct areas of anti-technology
attitudes: 1) attitudes towards social media, 2) attitudes towards artificial intelligence, and 3)
concerns about modernity. We show that these areas form a general latent anti-technology
orientation. We then show that this general anti-tech orientation predicts attitudes towards
technology policies and support for contentious actions against tech companies. Finally, we
use a pairwise comparison experiment to understand which pro- and anti-AI arguments are
most persuasive.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Why are Americans more skeptical of AI than those in other countries? I don't think there's a uniquely Americans strain of technophobia. My sense is that many Americans have a rational fear/loathing of the people (CEOs) who will benefit $$ in an AI future.

2025 Pew survey on rise of AI in daily life...U.S. is most concerned country https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/10/15/how-people-around-the-world-view-ai/

Stanford AI Index Report on Opinions about AI across countries. https://hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/2026-ai-index-report/public-opinion

NYT: Steve Bannon and Bernie Sanders Condemn Tech ‘Oligarchs’ and Demand A.I. Reforms

At an event in Washington, partisanship took a back seat as elected officials, religious leaders, parents and artists called for reining in artificial intelligence. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/15/us/steve-bannon-bernie-sanders-ai.html

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Reposted by Thomas Zeitzoff

Matthew Doyle @mattdoyle.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

1. This is the platonic ideal of a Union goal. While the results have changed under Richter, the game model has not. 2. Just holy shit, Cavan Sullivan. Running out of superlatives.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

L’shana tova. Wishing for a more peaceful new year.

Round challah, apples, honey, candles and shofar.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Where does democracy in the U.S. and around the world currently stand? New from @adamprz.bsky.social, one to the smartest thinkers on the subject. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Are Our Expectations Too High for Democracy? Adam Przeworski Thinks So. (Gift Article)

What is democracy, and is it in crisis?

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Yes, @benlauderdale.bsky.social kindly shared it a few years ago :) It's great!

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

1) I wish there was more of a focus on measurement in poli sci. 2) Also, what I wouldn't give for a Mostly Harmless Econometrics book on measurement.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

I loved my PhD methods training at NYU (a lot of causal inference + design). But I do find myself teaching myself and reading a lot up on measurement (it's a fascinating topic).

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

I tried to make some sense of how we can think about Trump's increasingly chaotic and erratic foreign policy and what it means for those of us who study leader psychology. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/its-a-mad-...

zeitzoff.substack.com

It’s a Mad World: Trump, Rationality, and IR Theories

Trump doesn’t break our IR theories—he just shows our measurement problems

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Yeah, Trump is like Zaller (1992) “voters say what’s on the top of their mind”—but he’s the president 😬

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

*Side note, I had to edit the piece after the Lake Ontario/Lake America announcement yesterday 🙄

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

I’ve got a new post. Trump's erratic foreign policy chaos doesn't break our models of leader behavior. It just shows us where we need better measurement.* zeitzoff.substack.com/p/its-a-mad-...

zeitzoff.substack.com

It’s a Mad World: Trump, Rationality, and IR Theories

Trump doesn’t break our IR theories—he just shows our measurement problems

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Many folks are replying to lament the loss of the paper. I agree we shouldn't give up on it! Google Docs version history + Pangram + submissions of multiple iterations of the paper + giving an exam on the paper is quite effective - see this syllabus, for example bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/sites.dartmo...

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Interested in the public’s skepticism towards new technology like AI? @janzilinsky.bsky.social and I’ve got a paper for you. We built a scale and found that worries about social media, AI, and modernity form a coherent anti-tech disposition. Conditionally accepted at @ajpseditor.bsky.social

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

So it’s not surprising that some candidates closely associated with the party establishment are struggling with Democratic voters.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

People are conflating the success of left-leaning, progressive candidates with a broader leftward shift among Democratic voters. My read is that it’s driven more by deep anger among Democratic voters who think party leaders haven’t used the power they have to fight Trump II aggressively enough.

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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.

data4democracy.substack.com

With Fear and Favor

Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.

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Reposted by Thomas Zeitzoff

EM Simpson @emsetc.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

while this post is about launch systems on aircraft carriers, it basically applies to almost all of Trump's policies. reversion to some previous era based on the most bizarre, deliberate misreading of available facts and evidence

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Very cool article by @rossandersen.bsky.social on the new archaeological and DNA evidence changing our understanding of human history. www.theatlantic.com/science/2026...

theatlantic.com

The Human-Origin Story Is Being Radically Revised

New secrets from our past have been coming out in droves.

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Reposted by Thomas Zeitzoff

Kathleen Bachynski @bachynski.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

This is a great day for public health. “In a move that seemed out of reach just six months ago, the Food and Drug Administration approved Moderna’s influenza vaccine for older adults on Wednesday, the first licensed flu shot made using messenger RNA technology.” @jackiantonovich.bsky.social

statnews.com

FDA approves Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine, the first to use the technology

The FDA has approved Moderna’s influenza vaccine, the first licensed flu shot made using messenger RNA technology.

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Reposted by Thomas Zeitzoff

Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

His #1 near-term recommendation: convene committee leaders and use the DNC's authority to draft a fundraising code of conduct for candidates and committees. Not in the DNC release.

Near-Term Recommendations
As leaders and stakeholders consider next steps, and as court cases and advisory opinions reshape the way money moves across the electoral ecosystem, there are a few near-term recommendations.
1. Democrats can improve fundraising returns and the donor experience – convene committee leaders to explore optimization strategies and use the DNC’s authority to draft a campaign fundraising code for adoption by candidates and committees.
2. Time is irreplaceable. Invest earlier to scale earlier to identify and turn out supporters earlier.
3. Define what effective organizing will be in 2026 and 2027 as a prelude to 2028 and the 2030 Census and the next round of redistricting. The waves of right-wing spending are coming – and organizing will make the difference....

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Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

For a congressman to violently assault his ex-spouse is not a private/family matter.

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Dan Silverman @dmsilverman.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Somehow missed this one. Seems like a pretty relevant and well-done paper!

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Omar García-Ponce @garciaponce.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

This may have been one of the most statistically one-sided World Cup finals in history, particularly in terms of shot production: Spain outshot Argentina 22–3, while Argentina failed to register a single shot on target over 120 minutes.

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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

Political scientists do not have a good account of where political issues come from. Why does tangling with the medical system make us think of universal healthcare, while wildfire smoke registers as just a thing to get through? What forges the links between our daily experiences & 'politics?'

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Leah Stokes @leahstokes.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

Democrats have stopped talking about climate. Strategists say that's smart—but they're wrong. Making climate a top priority wins votes, and barely 1 in 10 voters will vote against climate action. Read all about it in my newsletter, "Notes from the Electric Era." electricnotes.news/p/yes-democr...

electricnotes.news

Yes, Democrats Should Talk About Climate.

Talking about Climate Change is a Political Winner.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

But at the same time, political elites, underestimate how worried the public is about climate change and its appetite for politicians to do something about the problem. More here: zeitzoff.substack.com/p/let-us-coo...

zeitzoff.substack.com

Let Us Cook? Sweltering Heatwaves, No Climate Policy—Because the Public Doesn’t Care? Not So Fast.

Thanks for reading Peace & Violence!

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

The uncomfortable answer: is probably not. One of the most regular findings from climate change + poli sci research is that floods, wildfires, and hurricanes don’t seem to durably change climate attitudes.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

800+ wildfires in Canada. Wildfire smoke is choking large parts of the U.S. and Canada right now. In my book I ask whether the increasing negative effects of climate change like this will be a tipping point that mobilizes people. www.bbc.com/news/article...

bbc.com

More than 800 Canadian wildfires burning as air quality alerts extend to US

The air quality in large parts of Michigan, Minneapolis and Minnesota is deemed "hazardous" by authorities.

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Kori Schake 🎃 @kschake.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

This is a misleading argument, based as it is on a single case — the canonical case — of a partisan military leader, and the system worked to remove him. The historical reality is that in the last 100 years, MacArthur is the only real case.

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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

Oh boy. Argentinean cardiologists are doing brisk business.

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

To clarify, U.S. men’s national team. The women are fantastic. ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

Welcome to the joys of being a USMNT fan. 🙃 U.S. is the national team of the future and always will be. 🇺🇸⚽️

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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

U.S. chasing shadows out there 😬 🇺🇸⚽️

U.S. vs. Belgium first half https://www.fotmob.com/matches/usa-vs-belgium/1urw5j#4653845:tab=stats

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