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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 23h

Had Illinois kicked the field goal, it would have been a one score game. Instead, it was a two score game and this allowed Purdue to run the clock for most of the 4th quarter.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Late in the 3rd quarter, Illinois makes a very questionable decision to go on 4th down behind 16-7. The conversion failed. I would have kicked the field goal.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Bird's eye view today. Go Illini!

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Beautiful day for the homecoming football game!

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Reposted by Jeff Frame

Clark Evans @clarkevanswx.github.io · 03/10/2026

There was a problem in one run of one member of the RRFS ensemble. That has since been addressed, but NCEP Central Operations policy is that means the 30-day pre-implementation cycle has to start over.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Penn State is losing to Northwestern 31-7 early in the 4th quarter. James Franklin wasn't the only problem at PSU. #PSUvsNW

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

I'm happy about the delay, but extending the lifetime of the NAM and HREF by only a few weeks implies a reason other than the utility of these models. Is there a problem with the RRFS/REFS or GFS update?

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daryl herzmann @akrherz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

RRFS/REFS moved back to 3 Nov now. The NAM still can be saved if Mike Pence has the courage... mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.ph...

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

As a Michigan alum, I say good riddance.

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Johnny K @stormchaser4850.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

( #NWSSaltLakeCity): The preliminary damage survey results are available for the Davis / Morgan County #tornado that occurred on 9/18/2026. The tornado reached a peak intensity of EF-2, tracked nearly 6 miles, and reached a peak width of 1.1 miles thru steep terrain. www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProd...

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Of 60 F/EF-5 tornadoes in the US since 1950, the only with no fatalities are: Oakfield, WI (SW of Fond Du Lac), 7/18/96 Speer, OK (N of Hugo), 4/2/82 Jordan, IA (W of Ames), 6/13/76 Brownwood, TX, 4/19/76 Valley Mills, TX (W of Waco), 5/6/73 Tripp County, SD (S of Winner), 5/8/65

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

I analyzed convergence lines on the radar image.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Outflow from leading precipitation can sometimes mask a cold front. Tonight, outflow from precipitation veered winds to northwesterly ahead of the cold front. The cold front is father NW and exhibits a wind shift to NNE and a significant decrease in temperatures and dewpoints.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

I practiced the pronunciation of Papahānaumokuākea about 20 times before my synoptic weather briefing today and I still botched it in class (pah-pah-hah-nah-oo-moh-koo-ah-KAY-ah).

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IEMBot Central Illinois @ilx.weather.im · 01/10/2026

#WPC issues MPD 1424 concerning HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE: ILLINOIS Link

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Johnny K @stormchaser4850.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

( #NWSOmaha): WHAT A NIGHT! The rain may be over, but the #FLOODING is NOT! Be safe around #FLOOD waters and enjoy the drier weather to come. #Nebraska #NEwx #Iowa #IAwx #wx #wxsky

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Tim Supinie @plustssn.autumnsky.us · 01/10/2026

I've made a few tweaks and bug fixes in the last week, and SPC REFS Viewer v1.0 is live! www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/refs/v...

spc.noaa.gov

SPC REFS Ensemble Viewer

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Up to 88F in Champaign-Urbana. A real #Octoaster to begin the month!

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Johnny K @stormchaser4850.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

( #NWSDesMoines): ***#Des Moines records its WETTEST CALENDAR MONTH IN 112 YEARS*** The official site at the Des Moines airport recorded 14.50" OF RAIN in September. That is the WETTEST MONTH IN 112 YEARS and 3rd-wettest on record (only behind 15.79" in Jun 1881 and 14.81" in Sep 1914). #Iowa #IAwx

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Johnny K @stormchaser4850.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

A #tornado was spotted on the southwest side of #Amarillo #Texas ( #TXwx ) Tuesday night (September 29) (ABC7Amarillo )-TV: "You can see that nice rope extending from the cloud base all the way down" "You can see we did have a tornado on the ground" #wx #wxsky

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Currently 5 tornado warnings in the Texas Panhandle

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Dr. Stephen Bieda III @drwildcatwx.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Yep, definitely spinny. #TXWx (Timestamped 7:12 PM CDT, 9/29 from 806 Stormchasers).

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Matt Lanza @mattlanza.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Tropical Storm Fay's 39 advisories and ~4 ACE units has to be a record for futility, right?

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Great to welcome back three-time alum Dr. Troy Zaremba for a visit!

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Kim Wood @drkimwood.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I did a double-take when I opened the NHC forecast map for newly-minted Tropical Depression 19-E. Yes, it's expected to move almost due eastward. That's weird. I appreciate Eric Blake taking the time to point out what's affecting its track (see highlighted text in the discussion screenshot).

Map showing the TD 19-E NHC forecast cone from advisory 1 as of 8am PDT 29 September 2026. The expected track is eastward, an unusual direction at lower latitudes in this basin.

Text from the advisory 1 NHC forecast on Tropical Depression 19-E:

"Although the system has become a tropical depression, the center is
mostly exposed with moderate shear. There is a slight chance of the
system reaching tropical storm intensity later today before it feels
the cold wake of former Hurricane Odalys by tomorrow. The
environment is expected to further dry out during the next couple of
days with an increase in shear. These factors should cause the
depression to weaken by late Wednesday and degenerate into a post-
tropical cyclone by late Thursday. The NHC forecast is just above
the model consensus.

The depression is moving eastward at 8 kt. This general motion is
expected for the next few days until dissipation while the cyclone
remains embedded in westerly flow due to a northward-displaced
near-equatorial trough, enhanced by both the strong El Nino event
and western Hemisphere Madden-Julian Oscillation. The track is
close to a blend of the ECMWF and GFS models and leans toward the
HCCA corrected-consensus model."

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Reposted by Jeff Frame

National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 28/09/2026

With the nor'easter winding down over New England, we have compiled some preliminary rainfall reports. Several locations saw in excess of six inches of rain. Storm summary: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc5.html

September Nor'easter Rainfall Reports
Preliminary rainfall estimates and observations from Friday (9/25) to Monday (9/28)

Selected Rain Reports:

Neptune City, NJ: 8.25"

Wall Township, NJ: 7.44"

Holmdel, NJ: 7.05"

Wareham, MA: 6.94"

Plymouth, MA: 6.73"

Norton, MA: 6.67"

Howell, NJ: 6.66"

Centereach, NY: 5.83"

Providence, RI (T.F. Green Airport): 4.12"

Durham, CT: 4.22"

Scarborough, ME: 4.00"

Boston, MA (Logan Airport): 3.16"

Map Description:
Rainfall total map of the Northeast U.S. covering preliminary data from 8AM EDT Friday Sept. 25 through 8AM Monday Sept. 28. Highest rainfall amounts (orange/red, 6 to 10+ inches) are concentrated along coastal New Jersey, Long Island, and southeastern Massachusetts. Inland areas across Pennsylvania, New York, and northern New England received lower amounts ranging from 0.5 to 4 inches (light to dark green).

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Opening day of the #WxChallenge! Good luck everyone!

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IEMBot Central Illinois @ilx.weather.im · 28/09/2026

ILX issues Dense Fog Advisory for Champaign, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion [IL] till Sep 28, 10:00 AM CDT Link

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Tomer Burg @burgwx.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Now that the nor'easter completed its phase with a tropopause vortex and is decidedly non-tropical, let's look back at its structural evolution over the last day and a half, and why despite attempting to start the tropical transition process, it fell short of classification:

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daryl herzmann @akrherz.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Yes, radarscope recently added a bunch of independent radars.

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Barry Butler Photography @barrybutler9.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Glass, Like Glass. Sunday's sunrise at the entrance to the Chicago River.

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Strong surface frontogensis analyzed on the north side of the nor'easter, typical of an extratropical cyclone.

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Brian Cook, the mgoblog guy @mgoblog.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

this guy should be kicked out of the Big Ten but also BAN BASEBALL SLIDES

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Jeff Frame @vortexjeff.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Congrats on the win! Classic Iowa and I mean that as a compliment.

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Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Amazingly, the hurricane drought continues with nothing in the foreseeable future. No hurricane season has gotten this far along without a hurricane in the past century, and during the more reliable satellite era (mid-1970s), the previous record latest first hurricane formation was September 11.