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Teal

@tealemery.bsky.social
1.2K followers 3.3K following 577 posts

I turn complex information & messy data into actionable insights. Trying to make the world a little bit better. * Views solely my own, RTs not endorsements.

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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Companion book available here: teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_tra...
teal-insights.github.io
AI for the Skeptical Scholar: Practical Strategies for Using LLMs in Research
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Presentation slides available here: teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_tra...
teal-insights.github.io
AI for the Skeptical Scholar
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Just uploaded my "AI for the Skeptical Scholar" workshop to YouTube - 2 hours of practical guidance for researchers who want substance over hype. These tools can help small teams tackle ambitious policy research that used to require massive resources. youtu.be/mIStv_pCEZQ
youtu.be
AI for the Skeptical Scholar
YouTube video by Teal Emery
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Crystal Lewis @cghlewis.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Issue 6 of RDM Weekly is out! 📫 - AI for the Skeptic from @tealemery.bsky.social - Data Management for Educators from @ekholme.bsky.social - Managing Longitudinal Data from @ukdataservice.bsky.social - Regular Expressions #rstats from @liomys.mx and more! rdmweekly.substack.com/p/rdm-weekly...
rdmweekly.substack.com
RDM Weekly - Issue 006
A weekly roundup of Research Data Management resources.
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
@emollick.bsky.social Found a perfect example of your "jagged frontier" concept: Current AI image generation can paint a gorgeous dumpster fire in Monet's style in seconds, but completely fails when I ask it to create a helpful diagram explaining the jagged frontier itself. Meta! 🎨📊
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Just delivered "AI for the Skeptical Scholar" to 50+ SOAS researchers. Put all materials online for free - hoping it gives folks allergic to AI hype a realistic resource for learning actually useful skills. 📖 teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_training
AI for the Skeptical Scholar online book
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Iraq / IMF Article IV staff report. Always read the footnotes in IMF staff reports! www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
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Connor Ewing @cmewing.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
I’m old enough to remember when “Presidential Advisor Calls for Ethnic Cleansing” would have been a bigger story.
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Ben Goggin @bengoggin.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
ICEblock, which allows users to alert others to the geographical location of ICE officers, is the top social networking app in the App Store right now after Karoline Leavitt condemned it from the podium yesterday.
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Cuomo to Katonah Town Board
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Joseph Cotterill @jsphctrl.ft.com · 25/06/2025
We've all been there. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Jane Street Boss Says He Was Duped Into Funding AK-47s for Coup
The indictment reads like a cinematic plot: A Harvard Fellow and another activist allegedly wanted to buy AK-47s, Stinger missiles and grenades to topple South Sudan’s government. What they lacked was...
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
They should have given you a fancy wine opener set
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
New World Bank report "Radical Debt Transparency" being discussed tomorrow in Tokyo (11am), tonight US East Coast (10pm) with registration form here (tip: put the same information in both boxes for each question). www.worldbank.org/en/events/20...
worldbank.org
Seminar on World Bank’s New Radical Debt Transparency Report
The launch of the Radical Debt Transparency report, featuring Pablo Saavedra, Vice President for Prosperity and Manuela Francisco, Global Director for Economic Policy.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Tesla on the hunt for space to park its overflowing inventory. @electrek.co $TSLA electrek.co/2025/06/17/t...
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
"Emerging market local currency government bonds have enjoyed returns of more than 10% since the start of the year - more than double the around 4% delivered by the hard-currency peers, according to JPMorgan indexes." ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/analysi...
ca.finance.yahoo.com
Analysis-Emerging market local currency debt could end decade-long drought as dollar wanes
LONDON (Reuters) -A weakening U.S. dollar is lifting a long-neglected asset class - emerging market local currency debt - after a more than decade-long drought. Emerging market local​-​currency bond ...
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 16/06/2025
Absolute insanity. The US President is ordering deployment of armed agents specifically into “Democrat power centers”. There aren’t any more warnings left to make. Our house is on fire now. This is not a partisan issue. Our Congress must act immediately to protect our democracy.
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Loren Fox @lorenfox.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
You can see it in his eyes: Schumer is going to unleash one heck of a sternly worded letter
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Tom Olino @olinotom.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
I hope there was a large layer cake to celebrate, too.
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James Feigenbaum @jamesfeigenbaum.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Help, my libertarian stateless fantasy currency requires the resources and legitimacy of the state to protect me! sherwood.news/crypto/the-a...
sherwood.news
The alarming surge of “wrench attacks” in crypto puts owners on edge
“The main problem is that cryptocurrency turns every holder into a walking bank vault. And being your own bank means accepting that you can be...
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
WB Chief Economist: "The current [debt sustainability framework] system is too quick to decide that countries merely need loans to tide them over, when most low-income countries today are in fact insolvent and will need debt write-offs ..."
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Edward Luce @edwardluce.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
"Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” has $185bn for ICE, which is more than the annual military budgets of the UK and France combined. Wherever ICE raids trigger protests, Trump can send in the troops." My column. www.ft.com/content/3d6c...
ft.com
Trump is coming for the ‘enemy within’
Sending the National Guard into LA is the administration’s clearest step yet towards authoritarianism
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Really Cool how nobody wanted to take this shit seriously
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The Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 09/06/2025
UFO myths gripped America for decades, and the Pentagon finally figured out where a lot of them came from. It was the Pentagon. 🔗: on.wsj.com/4kz4Cdq
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
"Indeed, changes in exchange rates and net international investment positions have shown no correlation over the past decade outside of the U.S. either, according to cross-country data from the International Monetary Fund." www.wsj.com/finance/curr...
wsj.com
Will America’s Unbalanced Trade Doom the Dollar?
Concerns that the U.S. trade deficit will drag down the dollar are overdone.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 09/06/2025
i personally do not think the administration is actually prepared for what happens if they are facing mass protests in every major city in the country
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Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Boss move for Ramaphosa would be to offer Musk political asylum.
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🎃GHOULLIKEHELLMACHINE🎃 @golikehellmachine.com · 05/06/2025
big distinction here between “does the USG need space x?” (Y) and “does space x need elon musk?” (N), and USG has many, many ways to make that second question excruciating for space x if they choose to
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Christopher Smith @chriscarrollsmith.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
If you want to open a Github issue on one of my projects just to tell me how great it is, I fully support that, btw 🥹
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The China-Global South Project @chinagsproject.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
As G7 nations decry Chinese solar overcapacity, Pakistan’s middle class is using it to power homes, decarbonize, and reshape energy access—one rooftop at a time.
chinaglobalsouth.com
Why China’s “Overcapacity” Looks Very Different in the Global South
A new Financial Times article about rapid changes in Pakistan’s electricity mix highlights how the large-scale production of solar panels and batteries in China, criticized as overcapacity by G7 gover...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
$ORCL $MS $MCD @mediaitenews.bsky.social @wsj.com www.mediaite.com/politics/tru...
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Fatih Kansoy @fatih.ai · 02/06/2025
📢 [New Research] 📢 We tracked EVERY S&P 500 company's reaction to Fed announcements for 20 years The Paris Climate Agreement didn't just change environmental policy—it completely flipped how Wall Street prices sustainability during rate hikes. From -28.5bp penalty to +64.5bp protection 📈🧵
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
unorthodox monetary policy www.ft.com/content/22a7...
ft.com
Nigeria cracks down on ‘spraying’ money at parties to defend currency
Authorities are jailing people for throwing cash at parties after 70% fall in naira’s value over two years
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JW Mason @jwmason.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
The kids are all right. Even at Harvard. www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...
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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
This guy stole $10 million from the employees of his nursing home to buy himself a luxury yacht and Cartier watches. He PLED GUILTY. And because his Mom gave Trump $1 million, he just got a pardon. And this story barely makes the news today. WTF. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/27/u...
nytimes.com
Trump Pardoned Tax Cheat After Mother Attended $1 Million Dinner
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
I’d say roughly 80% of the masters students I’ve taught at SAIS are international students. Tim’s comment about the economics of this is completely correct.
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Tim Longman 🏳️‍🌈 @timlongman.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
If you’re not in higher education, let me clarify that this is a five alarm fire. If this continues, it will be an unmitigated disaster for US universities. In economic terms, undergrads and masters students mostly pay full tuition that subsidizes American students.
forbes.com
Rubio Reportedly Pauses New International Student Visa Interviews
More than 1.1 million international students were enrolled at U.S. colleges and universities in the 2023-2024 school year.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Once again, @xkcd.com got it right.
XKCD 2-panel comic.

Panel 1: "A crypto nerd's imagination:" Character 1: "His laptop's encrypted. Let's build a million-dollar cluster to crack it." Character 2: "No good! It's 4096-bit RSA." Character 1: "Blast! Our evil plan is foiled!"

Panel 2: "What would actually happen:" Character 1: "His laptop's encrypted. Drug him and hit him with this $5 wrench until he tells us the password." Character 2: "Got it."
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 24/05/2025
In one dramatic example, Gambian officials said the State Department issued a veiled threat of cutting funds to their fragile democracy if they didn’t approve a license for Musk’s Starlink.
propublica.org
The Trump Administration Leaned on African Countries. The Goal: Get Business for Elon Musk.
The State Department has intervened on behalf of Musk’s satellite internet company in five developing nations. In Gambia, U.S. diplomats have lobbied and browbeat at least seven government ministers…
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
This is the thoughtful, in-depth MAGA-Mao conversation I've been looking for. Highly recommend. open.spotify.com/episode/6L2b...
open.spotify.com
MAGA-Mao Connections with Orville Schell
ChinaTalk · Episode
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Dani Rodrik @drodrik.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Japan Could Ask State-Owned Firms to Buy Bonds, Barclays Says
Japan may consider asking government-owned entities to support the nation’s bond market if the selloff in longer-dated debt doesn’t abate, according to Barclays Plc’s global chair of research.
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
There comes a time in one's life when you realize you actually have to learn about SDMX. Wish me luck.
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
I wrote about the risks of a "sudden stop" if investors lose faith in America. The bond market is amplifying those risks minute by minute as yields shoot higher after the budget monstrosity paulkrugman.substack.com/p/gaming-out...
paulkrugman.substack.com
Gaming Out a Sudden Stop
What happens if investors lose faith in America?
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
1/3 In my latest piece for China Reform Imperative, I argue that it is meaningless for banks to provide GDP growth forecasts for China and to vary these forecasts over the year as economic conditions change. This is not how China's economy works. carnegieendowment.org/posts/2025/0...
carnegieendowment.org
How to Predict China’s Economic Performance for 2025: A Sectoral Approach
GDP growth means something fundamentally different in China than in most countries.
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JP Koning @jpkoning.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
The risk that Trump suddenly cuts off Europe's access to the Visa and MasterCard networks as a "pressure tactic" is something that Finland's central bank is preparing for: www.reuters.com/business/fin...
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Teal @tealemery.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
on.ft.com/3FnqHMI
on.ft.com
Total’s risky bet on a natural gas megaproject in southern Africa
The French energy giant was forced to pause a huge LNG scheme in Mozambique after Islamist militants launched a deadly attack. Is the region safe enough for it to restart?
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Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 18/05/2025
✨Use llms from #rstats with ellmer ✨Version 0.2.0 is on CRAN now. No blog post yet because I'm about to go on vacation, but in the meantime you can check out the release notes: github.com/tidyverse/el....
github.com
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 17/05/2025
Wow. Bukele’s approval rating has dropped to 55%, with people specifically citing the CECOT deal with the United States as a reason for disapproval. This is why I’ve said that Bukele is playing with fire with this. It’s hurting him internationally and now domestically as well.
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