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Takayuki Hiraoka

@takayukihir.bsky.social
161 followers 225 following 81 posts

Studying complex systems and network science, being curious about many other things. Postdoc at Aalto University. I oppose any violence against civilians and devastation of their lives. 🌐 sites.google.com/view/takayukihirao…

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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Transactions on Machine Learning Research @tmlrorg.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
TMLR has faced a deluge of submissions, necessitating stricter desk rejection policies due to limited reviewer capacity Co-EiC Nihar Shah reached out to authors of 10 papers slated for desk reject. Could they answer questions about their *own* submission? medium.com/@TmlrOrg/ask...
medium.com
Asking Authors About Their Own Papers
By Nihar B. Shah
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Hiroki Sayama @hirokisayama.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
#CCS2026 's detailed conference program is now available online! easychair.org/smart-progra... Check out what is going on in today's complex systems research Get registered: ccs26.cssociety.org/registration...
easychair.org
Program
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Paper Skygest Team @paper-feed.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
**Please repost** If you're enjoying Paper Skygest -- our personalized feed of academic content on Bluesky -- we'd appreciate you reposting this! We’ve found that the most effective way for us to reach new users and communities is through users sharing it with their network
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Ted Underwood @tedunderwood.com · 02/08/2026
whole thread is very much worth reading, to get a sense of the human texture of what we’re going through, including the difference between proof and explanation
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Zsófia Simon @zsofia-simon.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
My first first-author paper is now published in APS Physical Review E! 🎉 Huge thanks to my supervisor, @jsaramak.bsky.social, with whom I introduced the new framework of spatiotemporal activity-driven networks. PS: My Erdős-number is now 4️⃣ journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
journals.aps.org
Spatiotemporal activity-driven networks
Temporal-network models have provided key insights into how time-varying connectivity shapes dynamical processes such as spreading. Among them, the activity-driven model is a widely used, analytically...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Clément Canonne @ccanonne.github.io · 11/07/2026
Pedestrian in the Age of Planes: a (cope?) 🧵. I grew up walking and biking to go places. My whole training, and later professional life, was done accordingly: I don't go really far, nor really fast, but I have a good sense of direction, and developed very specific muscles. Now we have planes. 1/
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Rafael Prieto-Curiel @rafaelprietocuriel.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Is it fair to ask a researcher based in the UK to pay the same membership fee for a scientific society as a researcher based in Bangladesh? Until now, they did! @css-conference.bsky.social has introduced a special membership fee of €1 per year. Here are more details: cssociety.org/membership/ 🗺️
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
elizabethginexi.bsky.social @elizabethginexi.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Summary of Key Changes in OMB’s Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule. Russell Vought is going destroy American Science. elizabethginexi.substack.com/p/summary-of...
elizabethginexi.substack.com
Summary of Key Changes in OMB’s Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule
Russell Vought is going destroy American Science
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Sebastian Walther @waltherseb.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Excited about our new paper: Social interactions in isolated, confined, and extreme environments: A study of Antarctic winter teams using wearable sensors | PNAS www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... @andrea cantisani @jan schmutz team performance drops while loneliness or paranoia increase over time
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
David Lazer @davidlazer.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
Very pleased to announce Who Follows Whom, a bargain, free to download for the next 2 weeks, looking at patterns of following on Twitter. www.cambridge.org/core/element... The dominant driver of patterns of online attention, with no spatial constraints on who you can connect to, is...
cambridge.org
Who Follows Whom?
Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Who Follows Whom?
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Vittoria Colizza @vcolizza.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
As discussions on Ebola and border controls intensify, it is important to go back to what available scientific evidence actually shows. In @lefigaro.fr, I discuss what we learned from past Ebola epidemics and travel restrictions. www.lefigaro.fr/sciences/pas...
lefigaro.fr
«Passoire», «bombe sanitaire»... Mayotte doit-elle verrouiller ses frontières face au risque d’épidémie d’Ebola ?
DÉCRYPTAGE - Estelle Youssouffa, députée de l’archipel, reproche à l’État son «impuissance» et sa «passivité» en matière de lutte contre l’immigration clandestine. Le Figaro fait le point sur le risqu...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Timothy Gowers @wtgowers.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
OpenAI's claim that this is a central conjecture in discrete geometry is not an exaggeration. This will I think be looked back on as the first time that AI solved a major mathematics problem (defined as a problem that all experts in some subfield had thought about). openai.com/index/model-...
openai.com
An OpenAI model has disproved a central conjecture in discrete geometry
An OpenAI model solved the 80-year-old unit distance problem, disproving a major conjecture in discrete geometry and marking a milestone in AI-driven mathematics.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
There’s a LOT going on as researchers and public health experts race to respond to the Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak in DRC and Uganda before it grows bigger. Some really important questions still open, but also a few answers coming into view🧪 My overview in @science.org is here (and thread coming):
science.org
Scientists play catch-up to startling Ebola outbreak
Testing, sequencing, and clinical trial efforts spring to life as Bundibugyo virus spreads
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Congratulations to the data wizards at @ourworldindata.org who created this elegant tool so you can adjust fertility, mortality & migration rates for any country to see the impact on population sizes & age structures. This is really, really great!! Check it out!! Excellent tool, terrific write up.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Johan Ugander @jugander.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
A post from @wtgowers.bsky.social on math research with reasoning LLMs (e.g., ChatGPT 5.5-Pro). Having similar experiences and agree with his reflections. gowers.wordpress.com/2026/05/08/a...
gowers.wordpress.com
A recent experience with ChatGPT 5.5 Pro
We are all having to keep revising upwards our assessments of the mathematical capabilities of large language models. I have just made a fairly large revision as a result of ChatGPT 5.5 Pro, to whi…
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Rana Shojaei @ranashj.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Very excited to share that our paper with @thilogross.bsky.social , “Counting Chemical Isomers with Multivariate Generating Functions,” has been published in Network Science. doi.org/10.1017/nws.... #network_structure #multivariate_generating_function #Pólya’s_theorem #symmetry #moleculardiversity
doi.org
Counting chemical isomers with multivariate generating functions | Network Science | Cambridge Core
Counting chemical isomers with multivariate generating functions - Volume 14
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Science Magazine @science.org · 09/04/2026
In a decades-long study, researchers have documented what appears to be the first observed “civil war” in wild chimpanzees. The findings demonstrate that shifting social ties alone can fracture a once unified group and ignite sustained, deadly conflict among former allies. scim.ag/47QE8Qw
Prior to the permanent fission, chimpanzees from different social clusters interacted
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
New preprint on arXiv: “Message passing and cyclicity transition” arxiv.org/abs/2604.01201 I argue that message passing for percolation isn’t looking for the giant component; it’s just counting cycles. Comments and feedback welcome!
arxiv.org
Message passing and cyclicity transition
Message passing, also known as belief propagation, is a versatile framework for analyzing models defined on graphs. Its most prototypical application is percolation; yet, the interpretation of the mes...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Ronaldo Menezes 🦋 @ronaldomenezes.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
rpmenezes.github.io/blog/posts/2...
rpmenezes.github.io
On Scooping, Silence, and What We Owe Each Other — Ronaldo Menezes
On scooping, citation failures, and the many quiet ways intellectual credit fails to reach the people who earned it — by Ronaldo Menezes.
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
This peer review actually offers, in the guise of sarcasm, genuine advice that is not specific to this paper: If you've done your science right, be open and honest about it. No need to oversell. Have faith in fellow scientists to recognize the value of your work.
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
arxiv.org/abs/2603.22150 In our new preprint, we critically examine the usefulness of epidemic reproduction numbers in spatially structured populations. When contacts are constrained by space, R_0 is smaller, and R_eff initially declines rapidly towards one...
arxiv.org
Epidemic reproduction numbers in spatial networks
The basic and effective reproduction numbers are widely used metrics for characterizing the dynamics of infectious disease epidemics. However, the interpretation of these numbers is based on the assum...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Carl Zimmer @carlzimmer.com · 23/02/2026
The origin of our eyes over half a billion years ago is looking more and more weird--from a cyclops to four eyes to two. Here's my story (gift link): nyti.ms/4rzisQP
"The Cyclops," painted by Odilon Redon, 1914. Via Wikipedia
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
SocArXiv @socarxiv.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
From @philipncohen.com, a case for discussing our policy on AI-generated research.
socopen.org
Where should SocArXiv draw the AI line?
A case that helps sort out the questions for an AI policy at SocArXiv.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions Reshape Network Immunization Outcomes arxiv.org/abs/2602.17360
arxiv.org
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions Reshape Network Immunization Outcomes
Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire ...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Stuart Neil @tetherin.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
This is finally out. Very short take home. All the variation in spike that produced the immune escape characteristics of Omicron can occur in one single persistently infected individual over the period of a year. This is why persistent infections matter www.cell.com/cell-reports...
cell.com
Antibody escape drives emergence of diverse spike haplotypes resembling variants of concern in persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections
Snell et al. develop sequencing methodology to identify full-length spike haplotypes and show that persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections drive divergent haplotype emergence, accelerating viral evolution an...
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
We had two very successful defences in our group this January. Huge congratulations to Dr Yan Xia @yanxxia.bsky.social and Dr Silja Sormunen!
In Yan Xia's defence, the opponent Prof. Taha Yasseri makes observations on her thesis. Yan and the custos Mikko Kivelä listen. The list of publications included in Yan's thesis "Understanding the (de)polarized social media" is shown on the screen.From left to right: the custos Prof. Mikko Kivelä, the advisor Prof. Barbara Keller, the doctoral student Yan Xia, and the opponent Prof. Taha Yasseri, right after the defence.Silja Sormunen presents her thesis "Beyond critical points: Critical manifolds in self-organizing systems" in front of the opponent Prof. Anna Levina and the custos Prof. Jari Saramäki. Visualization of a critical manifold is shown on the screen.Silja Sormunen and the opponent Prof. Anna Levina have a discussion in front of the audience.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Luca Maria Aiello @lajello.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Computational Social Scientists in the Nordics, unite! 🇩🇰🇫🇮🇳🇴🇸🇪🇮🇸 The brand new Nordic Society for CSS welcomes all researchers and practitioners based in the Nordics. The Society will promote student mobility, events, and education initiatives. Join for free: nosocss.org/join.html.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Abbas K. Rizi @abbasrizi.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
What if birds of a feather flock together, but only at specific group sizes? www.nature.com/articles/s41... This is the focus of our new paper, now published in Nature Communications. We introduce a new network model and show how to model and measure homophily to incorporate group variations.
nature.com
Homophily within and across groups - Nature Communications
People tend to connect with similar others in different groups, shaping how ideas and diseases spread. The authors introduce a data-validated model that captures homophily across group sizes and show ...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Chiara Poletto @chpoletto.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
Late advertisement of our new pre-print: Contact structure and population immunity shape the selective advantage of emerging variants www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
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Alex Gates @complexgates.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
🧵1/ A bit late to the party, but I want to introduce a pet project of mine—and my first single-author paper! 🎉 It tackles something that has quietly frustrated me for years: how we measure the similarity of two clusterings/community structures.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Spatiotemporal Activity-Driven Networks arxiv.org/abs/2511.15533
arxiv.org
Spatiotemporal Activity-Driven Networks
Temporal-network models have provided key insights into how time-varying connectivity shapes dynamical processes such as spreading. Among them, the activity-driven model is a widely used, analytically...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Latest out: Fairness in infectious disease modeling. Great collaboration with Yuhan Li, @ngozzi.bsky.social @mtizzoni.bsky.social www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
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Hang-Hyun Jo @socph.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
published pubs.aip.org/aip/cha/arti...
pubs.aip.org
Hierarchical organization of bursty trains in event sequences
Temporal sequences of discrete events that describe natural and social processes are often driven by non-Poisson dynamics. In addition to a heavy-tailed interev
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
A semi-regular reminder: My colleagues and I are running an interdisciplinary online seminar series called Complex Systems Research Exchange (CREx🦖). sites.google.com/view/cxrex
Home page of the Complex Systems Research Exchange website. It reads:

Complex Systems Research Exchange (CREx) is an online seminar series aimed at building an international research community in the interdisciplinary field of complex systems, very broadly defined. Our focus is on creating opportunities to hear from early to mid-career researchers about their research, while also serving as a platform for networking and collaboration. We are open to a wide range of research areas including network science, nonlinear dynamics, dynamical systems, computational social science, science of science, machine learning and AI, data science, urban science and human mobility, mathematical biology and ecology, neuroscience, and more. 

Please subscribe to the mailing list to receive announcements of upcoming seminars. The Zoom link for each seminar will be sent to the mailing list shortly before the seminar. 

Please reach out to organizers if you are interested in giving a presentation yourself or know someone who would be interested. This seminar series is run on a volunteer basis and is currently organized without funding.

Organizers: Jeehye Choi, Takayuki Hiraoka, Inho Hong, Hyewon Kim, Kazuki Nakajima, Ayumi Ozawa, Taekho You
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Vincent Traag @vtraag.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
📢 New reviewed preprint, published by @elife.bsky.social at doi.org/10.7554/eLif.... We study two effects in science funding across 14 different funding programmes from 6 research funders across Europe and North America: (1) The Matthew effect; and (2) and the early-career setback effect. 🧵1/8
Illustration of the Matthew effect and the early-career setback effect. An academic, say Alice, first applies for early-career funding in 2015. She received early-career funding, and goes on to reapply for later-career funding in 2020. According to the Matthew effect, the chances of Alice receiving later-career funding is higher when she received early-career funding. Alice showed a high Mean Field Citation Rate (MFCR) before receiving her early-career funding, and similarly a high MFCR in between the early-career and later-career applications. According to the early-career setback effect, had she instead not received funding, her "Between" MFCR would have been higher. We not only study the "Between" MFCR, we also study the MFCR after the early-career application ("Post (early)") and after the later-career application ("Post (later)").
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Mikko Kivelä @bolozna.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Reminder: Last chance to apply for our postdoc positions in polarisation + mental well-being: www.aalto.fi/en/open-posi...
aalto.fi
Open postdoctoral and doctoral positions to work on polarization and mental health | Aalto University
You will be working in the research group of one of the PIs of the projects, but in collaboration with the others. The PIs are Talayeh Aledavood, Juhi Kulshrestha, and Mikko Kivelä.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Nature @nature.com · 16/09/2025
Science isn’t really moving towards equity; institutions are just perfecting the appearance of equity. We need to build an alternative system, says Dolors Armenteras go.nature.com/4nzGhp9
go.nature.com
Equity in science is a beautiful lie — and I’m done pretending
Science isn’t really moving towards equity; institutions are just perfecting the appearance of equity. We need to build an alternative system.
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Juhi Kulshrestha @juhi153.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
We are hiring multiple PhD and postdocs for two newly funded projects at the intersection of mental health and political polarization at the CS Dept at Aalto, Finland. The PIs are Juhi Kulshrestha, Talayeh Aledavood, and Mikko Kivelä. Full call text and link to apply: www.aalto.fi/en/open-posi...
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Greg Albery @gfalbery.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Celebrating the publication of our big collaborative spatial-social meta-analysis of density-dependent transmission effects, out now in Nature Eco Evo! doi.org/10.1038/s415... (or rdcu.be/eD6eB)
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
A world map showing the locations of cities that hosted/will host international scientific conferences in 2025 and 2026. NetSci 2025 Maastricht, IC2S2 2025 Norkköping, and CCS 2025 Siena are on the left-hand side, while NetSci 2026 Boston, IC2S2 2026 Burlington, and CCS 2026 Binghamton are close together on the right-hand side.
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Minsuk Kim @danielhankim.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Q: How are resources consumed in transportation networks, and how does this shape the overall functioning of the system? We introduce the minimum-cost percolation framework and apply it to the U.S. air transportation system using publicly available data. 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Modeling resource consumption in the US air transportation system via minimum-cost percolation - Nature Communications
Percolation frameworks have been used to characterize the robustness of infrastructural networks. Here, authors introduce a percolation-based framework to study resource consumption and network effect...
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Our paper about discounting the influence of node attributes from detected communities in networks is out in Physical Review E! journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
journals.aps.org
Block-corrected modularity for community detection
Unknown node attributes in complex networks may introduce community structures that are important to distinguish from those driven by known attributes. We propose a block-corrected modularity that dis...
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Happy to share this long-overdue project! We found that many real-world event sequences follow a surprisingly similar hierarchically structured pattern, and that multi-timescale memory mechanisms can explain this pattern. Feedback welcome! arxiv.org/abs/2508.18281
arxiv.org
Hierarchical organization of bursty trains in event sequences
Temporal sequences of discrete events that describe natural and social processes are often driven by non-Poisson dynamics. In addition to a heavy-tailed interevent time distribution, which primarily c...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
Hang-Hyun Jo @socph.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Our new preprint with @takayukihir.bsky.social is out in arXiv: Takayuki Hiraoka‬ and Hang-Hyun Jo, Hierarchical organization of bursty trains in event sequences, arxiv.org/abs/2508.18281
arxiv.org
Hierarchical organization of bursty trains in event sequences
Temporal sequences of discrete events that describe natural and social processes are often driven by non-Poisson dynamics. In addition to a heavy-tailed interevent time distribution, which primarily c...
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Reposted by Takayuki Hiraoka
New papers in Network Science @networkspapers.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
PNAS: Strength and weakness of disease-induced herd immunity in networks www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2…
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Nature @nature.com · 05/08/2025
Eighty years after the atomic bomb was dropped on Japan, we hear from one of the survivors go.nature.com/45pj3e1
go.nature.com
‘The Sun had fallen to Earth’ — a survivor’s recollection of the Hiroshima bombing
Eighty years after the atomic bomb was dropped on Japan, it is crucial that witness accounts are saved. Here is what one man told me.
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
This is a huge news to me—that Mendeley Desktop is not going to be discontinued—yet nobody in my timeline seems to be talking about it? blog.mendeley.com/2025/07/09/m...
blog.mendeley.com
Mendeley Desktop is Here to Stay.
We previously announced that Mendeley Desktop would no longer be available for new downloads and installations (more details here). Many of you told us how much you love Mendeley Desktop …
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
New paper in PNAS!🎉 doi.org/10.1073/pnas... Is herd immunity to infectious diseases effective when induced by natural infection? Earlier studies have suggested that population heterogeneity makes disease-induced herd immunity more effective than previously thought. Our work challenges this notion.
doi.org
Strength and weakness of disease-induced herd immunity in networks | PNAS
When a fraction of a population becomes immune to an infectious disease, the population-wide infection risk decreases nonlinearly due to collective...
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Spatial cognition is vital for all animals. Humans, in particular, use cartographic knowledge and language to understand the environment beyond what we directly experience. Place names (toponyms) play a key role in this cognitive process as they reflect how we mentally structure geographical space.
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Takayuki Hiraoka @takayukihir.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
On Tuesday, Tarmo Nurmi successfully defended his thesis on multilayer networks. Congratulations, Tarmo!
Tarmo Nurmi presents his thesis in front of the opponent, custos, and audience in a lecture room.From left to right: the custos Prof. Mikko Kivelä, the doctoral student Tarmo Nurmi, and the opponent Prof. Nataša Pržulj, after the defence.
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