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Michele Tizzoni

@mtizzoni.bsky.social
1.4K followers 416 following 161 posts

Associate professor at Uni Trento. Infectious disease modeling | computational social science.

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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
New paper out! We combine anonymized mobility data from 11 US metropolitan areas with precinct-level electoral results to study what political environments people encounter in their daily routines. In collaboration with @marcotonin.bsky.social @estebanmoro.bsky.social and Bruno Lepri
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The hierarchical organization of urban social overlap: How shared social spaces diverge from physical mobility arxiv.org/abs/2609.12888
arxiv.org
The hierarchical organization of urban social overlap: How shared social spaces diverge from physical mobility
Cities are commonly characterized through population density, infrastructure, and mobility flows. These quantities describe where people are and how they move, but movement does not uniquely determine...
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Max Falkenberg @maxfalken.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Is the world getting more polarized? The polarization of the U.S. is worrying. But is polarization similarly bad elsewhere? What drives polarization globally, what role does social media play, and will AI make things worse? New review in @nature.com communications: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Behavioral calibration of mobile-phone GPS data for population-representative analyses arxiv.org/abs/2609.01042
arxiv.org
Behavioral calibration of mobile-phone GPS data for population-representative analyses
Mobile phone mobility data have transformed the study of human behavior, but demographic and behavioral biases can compromise their representativeness and distort population-level inference. Existing ...
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ArXiv Paper Poster (cs.SI & ph-soc) @soc-net-bot.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The scales of urban mobility shape socioeconomic mixing arxiv.org/abs/2608.28734 Urban daily mobility determines how far we travel and whom we encounter through the city. As local-living and polycentric planning gain popularity, a key question is whether more localised mobility can pr...📈🤖
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Integrating adaptive human behavior into epidemic models with large language models arxiv.org/abs/2608.29535
arxiv.org
Integrating adaptive human behavior into epidemic models with large language models
Infectious disease transmission is shaped by patterns of human interaction, which adapt as epidemic conditions change. Capturing these context-dependent behaviors remains a fundamental challenge for e...
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Quantifying the prevalence and impact of overreaching causal claims in social science idp.nature.com/authorize?re...
idp.nature.com
Quantifying the prevalence and impact of overreaching causal claims in social science - Nature Human Behaviour
An analysis of 194,631 social science articles found causal overclaiming in 46% of cases, increasing over time. This language shaped reader interpretations; AI-generated summaries often amplified over...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Quantifying the rate and amplitude of cultural change in populations of AI agents osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
OSF
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Alessia Melegaro @alemelegaro.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Very excited that @bocconi.bsky.social will host IC2S2 next year in Milan. Stay tuned!!! Thanks to the organizing committee already very active @mtizzoni.bsky.social @duiliobalsamo.bsky.social @lorenzolucchini.bsky.social @deboranozza.bsky.social @Raya Muttarak @BrunoLepri
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Kristina Gligoric @IC2S2 @gligoric.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Attending #IC2S2!! Will be co-organizing a tutorial on Simulating Human Survey Responses with Large Language Models, today at 1.15PM, and presenting on Friday in the Understanding Large Language Models session, 10.45AM. Looking forward to catching up with old friends and meeting new ones!!
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Nicholas A. Christakis @nachristakis.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
We have done many field experiments documenting the policy relevance of social contagion and I wholly agree that “diffusion should be part of behavioural policy making.” This paper is a valuable exploration of mechanisms involved.
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Eric Topol @erictopol.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
you didn't need AI to predict this..... www.nytimes.com/2026/07/24/w...
nytimes.com
Measles Cases Hit New Record in U.S., as Vaccination Rates Wane (Gift Article)
The Trump administration has sent mixed messages on vaccinations against measles as cases have continued to climb.
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Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Another massive jump in Ebola cases in DRC (reflecting new cases as well as "data harmonization"). Now 2,905 cases including 1,269 deaths. I find it harder every day to square the size and speed of spread of this outbreak with the lack of attention it is getting. insp.cd/sitrep-n069-...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
📣 There's an open PhD position in Trento/Florence under my supervision. Contact me if you want to know more!
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Stochastic models indicate rapid smallpox spread and mass mortality of Indigenous Australians after colonial exposure idp.nature.com/authorize?re...
idp.nature.com
Stochastic models indicate rapid smallpox spread and mass mortality of Indigenous Australians after colonial exposure - Nature Human Behaviour
Nitschke and colleagues use historical data and epidemiological modelling to examine evidence for the 1789 smallpox epidemic in Australia. Their results indicate a likely southeastern origin, high mor...
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Quantifying institutional gender inequality in contemporary visual art www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Quantifying institutional gender inequality in contemporary visual art - Nature Communications
Here, by analyzing the exhibition history and auction sales of over 65,000 contemporary artists across numerous institutions, the authors show gender disparities in visual artist exhibition opportunit...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
An important and insightful perspective led by @gcampedelli.bsky.social on computational approaches to crime research: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Computational approaches and the future of urban crime research - Nature
This Review examines the opportunities and challenges introduced by new datasets and computational techniques in urban crime research, and outlines future directions for leveraging these advances effe...
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Kristian G. Andersen @kgandersen.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
This is really starting to pick up steam and that is not a good thing. Devastating that the US is so absent in all of this - we have a duty to help, firstly because we care to help others, secondly to help limit more widespread dissemination, including, but not limited to, the U.S.
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
The limits of visitation entropy as a summary of mobility patterns arxiv.org/abs/2607.03443
arxiv.org
The limits of visitation entropy as a summary of mobility patterns
Visitation entropy, the Shannon entropy of an individual's distribution of visits across locations, is a widely used metric in the human mobility literature. Yet, its widespread use rests on assumptio...
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Giulia Pullano @giuliapullano.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
My first PhD project is finally a paper! 🎉🥹 In 2020, we paused this work to respond to COVID-19. But as mobile phone data became largely available and key to disease modeling, that detour provided the perfect context for this paper. @bansallab.bsky.social @stefania Rubrichi @vcolizza.bsky.social
journals.plos.org
Mobility data resolution needed to inform predictive models of spatial epidemic spread from mobile phone data
Author summary Human mobility patterns play a crucial role in the spatial spread of infectious diseases, as pathogens move between communities through the movements of infected individuals. During the...
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Redefining and estimating the early-phase reproduction ratio for epidemic outbreaks in spatially structured populations journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol...
journals.plos.org
Redefining and estimating the early-phase reproduction ratio for epidemic outbreaks in spatially structured populations
Author summary Early risk assessment for infectious disease epidemics requires estimating what happens when a pathogen emerges, or is introduced, in a population. The most common risk indicator is the...
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Fil Menczer @fil.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Ricercatori italiani in US/CA: applicate per ISSNAF Young Investigator Awards - in particolare MARIO GERLA AWARD FOR COMP SCI RESEARCH These prestigious awards recognize outstanding early-career Italian researchers (within 8 years of PhD completion) in USA/Canada 🧪 www.issnaf.org/2026-young-i...
issnaf.org
YOUNG INVESTIGATOR 2026 | ISSNAF
Discover the extraordinary talents of young investigators recognized through the ISSNAF Young Investigator Awards 2026. Explore their groundbreaking research and innovative contributions across diverse scientific disciplines.
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
AI Persuasive Framing in Collective Dilemmas arxiv.org/abs/2606.27951
arxiv.org
AI Persuasive Framing in Collective Dilemmas
AI agents are promising tools that can act as flexible behavioral nudges to enhance human cooperation in addressing large-scale societal problems. However, evidence on whether AI agents can effectivel...
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CERN @cern.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
So long #LHC and thank you for all the collisions 👋 Today, the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), the world’s most powerful particle accelerator, comes to the end of an extraordinary chapter in its scientific journey. Find out more: home.cern/cern-bids-fa...
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Vittoria Colizza @vcolizza.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The first Ebola case has been reported today in France. Our rapid risk assessment last month showed that France consistently ranked among the European countries at highest risk of importation if an Ebola case were to arrive in Europe from the ongoing Bundibugyo outbreak.
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Latest out: A systematic review of COVID-19 epidemic models with endogenous human behaviour. What's next? Great collaboration with Elena D'Agnese, @alemelegaro.bsky.social , Vittoria Offeddu, Alberto d'Onofrio, Chris T. Bauch, and Piero Manfredi. arxiv.org/abs/2606.12465
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Stefan Feuerriegel @sfeuerriegel.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
📣 New paper @nathumbehav.nature.com: A reporting checklist for large language models in behavioural science www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
📣 Post-doc position available! We are recruiting a post-doc to join NEXT-UP, a project investigating the long-term effects of the COVID-19 crisis on young people’s transition from education to employment. For more info and to apply, see here: lavoraconnoi.unitn.it/en/research-...
lavoraconnoi.unitn.it
Department of Sociology and Social Research - Call For The Selection For The Awarding of No. 1 Research Contract art. 22 della L. 240/2010 (Decr. 143 DSRS/2026) | Lavora con noi
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
The Economic Impact of the USAID Shutdown by @fabiosabatini.bsky.social and M. Nicolini papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
The Economic Impact of the USAID Shutdown
On 28 January 2025 the second Trump administration issued a blanket stop-work order on the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), abruptly
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Christopher Barrie @cbarrie.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
📄 New paper: people choose AI models partly on political grounds This is joint work with @pettertornberg.com @chrisbail.bsky.social @michelleschimmel.bsky.social and led by @michaelheseltine.bsky.social
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Kristian G. Andersen @kgandersen.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Thanks to funding from the Gates Foundation - and all the great work led by Josh and Karthik in the lab - we have an opening for a postdoc position in AI and Data Science. Come join us here in San Diego and do some great science! ☀️🏄‍♂️🧗‍♂️🏜️🌵⛰️🌊. Learn more: andersen-lab.com/about/
andersen-lab.com
About | Andersen Lab
Learn more about the Andersen Lab, as well as jobs and career opportunities.
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ArXiv Paper Poster (cs.SI & ph-soc) @soc-net-bot.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
The Effect of Mobility Trajectory Sparsity on Epidemic Modeling Outcomes arxiv.org/abs/2605.31282 GPS mobility data are increasingly used in epidemic modeling, allowing the construction of co-location networks or population flows. These trajectories typically exhibit high temporal spa...📈🤖
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
The healing power of nature reduces stress, anxiety and depression idp.nature.com/authorize?re...
idp.nature.com
The healing power of nature reduces stress, anxiety and depression - Nature Human Behaviour
A global analysis of more than 3,800 studies that involved over 10 million people shows that contact with nature reduces symptoms of anxiety and depression while promoting relaxation. The findings str...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
IDOBE: Infectious Disease Outbreak forecasting Benchmark Ecosystem arxiv.org/abs/2604.18521
arxiv.org
IDOBE: Infectious Disease Outbreak forecasting Benchmark Ecosystem
Epidemic forecasting has become an integral part of real-time infectious disease outbreak response. While collaborative ensembles composed of statistical and machine learning models have become the no...
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Alberto Acerbi @acerbialberto.com · 25/05/2026
Today is Technopanic publication day! I have many things to say about it (and I will in the next weeks) but for now: the Kindle edition costs as much as a coffee (or two espresso in Italy…), so no excuse not to grab a copy and judge for yourself. -->
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Vittoria Colizza @vcolizza.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Our recent analyses on the international dissemination risk associated with the current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in eastern DRC are discussed in @lemonde.fr today: www.lemonde.fr/planete/arti... #SUMOC @inserm.fr @fac-sante-sorbonne.bsky.social
lemonde.fr
Ebola : quel est le risque de propagation du virus au-delà de la RDC ?
L’estimation de la taille réelle de l’étendue de l’épidémie, tout comme le risque de dispersion dans la région et au-delà, met les chercheurs au défi d’une flambée épidémique aux multiples inconnues.
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Stop Drawing Scientific Claims from LLM Social Simulations Without Robustness Audits arxiv.org/abs/2605.18890
arxiv.org
Stop Drawing Scientific Claims from LLM Social Simulations Without Robustness Audits
The scientific claims drawn from LLM social simulations should be no stronger than the robustness audits that support them. Generative agents bring new expressive power to agent-based modeling, enabli...
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Global approaches to infectious disease surveillance and modeling idp.nature.com/authorize?re...
idp.nature.com
Global approaches to infectious disease surveillance and modeling - Nature Medicine
This Review discusses global approaches to infectious disease analysis and modeling, focusing on federated methods and addressing long-standing challenges in data interoperability, equity and trust.
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CS2Italy @cs2italy.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🔈 CS2Italy has been officially opened by @ccattuto.bsky.social at OGR Torino 🔹 AI and human behavior 🔹 Social and information networks 🔹 Urban science and mobility 🔹 Misinformation and digital platforms 🔹 Inequality, cooperation, and collective behavior 🔹 Science and society in the age of AI
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
A method for including socio-demographic factors in social contact matrices for compartment-based epidemic models arxiv.org/abs/2605.13870
arxiv.org
A method for including socio-demographic factors in social contact matrices for compartment-based epidemic models
Socio-demographic factors influence social contact patterns and play a fundamental role in shaping the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. However, compartment-based models of infectious dis...
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Climate change and social health idp.nature.com/authorize?re...
idp.nature.com
Climate change and social health - Nature Human Behaviour
Climate change and social health are deeply interconnected: climate impacts erode social conditions, while social disconnection weakens collective climate action. Strengthening social health is essent...
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Billy Quilty @bquilty.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
How have UK social contact patterns changed post-pandemic? How assortative are they by age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status? Pleased to share our new @plosmedicine.org paper, jointly led by @lucygoodfellow.bsky.social and myself, with @kevinvzandvoort.bsky.social and John Edmunds. #IDSky
Seven heatmaps displaying social contact matrices, stratified by age, setting, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status. Colour gradients indicate the mean number of contacts, with lighter yellows and greens representing higher values and dark purples representing lower values.

Panel A shows total contacts by participant and contact age group, highlighting strong mixing between similar ages along the diagonal, and secondary parallel bands representing parent-child interactions.

Panels B through E break down these age contacts by setting. Home displays distinct family and intergenerational patterns, Work shows mixing primarily among working-age adults, School shows highly intense mixing restricted to school-age children, and Other settings display general age assortativity.

Panel F illustrates total contacts by ethnic group. It reveals strong assortative mixing, with the highest mean contact numbers occurring between individuals of the same ethnicity, specifically within White, Black, and Asian demographic groups.

Panel G displays total contacts by NS-SEC socioeconomic classification and life stage. This matrix demonstrates assortative mixing within similar occupational classes, alongside a notably high concentration of contacts among participants and contacts classified as under 17.
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Sam Scarpino @scarpino.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
1/ Yesterday I was more worried about #hantavirus than I am today. Why? Flight attendant who was exposed - Tested negative Viral genome - No concerning mutations Two Singaporean's exposed - Tested negative Data situation - We're tracking at Global.health (h/t @mugkraemer.bsky.social)
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Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
So that's the science before all this. Does the outbreak change any of that? Has the virus learnt to spread better? No reason to think so. 1. Still not clear how much it actually spread on the ship. 2. A cruise ship is exactly where you'd expect a virus to spread that is not great at spreading.
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Alasdair Munro @apsmunro.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
My update on the hantavirus cruise ship outbreak The news has developed at pace, with significant case and genomic updates in the past few days What we know for sure: - This is not the next pandemic - Hantavirus is under researched - We need investment in public health agencies to keep us safe
alasdairmunro.substack.com
Hantavirus Cruise Ship Update: This is not the next pandemic
Significant and reassuring updates in the outbreak investigation
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Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
After 15 years of reporting on infectious disease outbreaks, what continues to fascinate me about them is the challenge of making high-stakes decisions under uncertainty. The hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius is a perfect example My story in @science.org is here (and a thread to come): 🧪 #IDsky
science.org
What to do with the passengers on the cruise ship hit by hantavirus?
Past studies of Andes virus offer scant evidence on transmission risks, and have sparked debate
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Informal connections outweigh coauthorship ties in academic impact www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...
pnas.org
Informal connections outweigh coauthorship ties in academic impact | PNAS
Past work has documented the importance of formal collaboration, particularly coauthorship, in increasing research productivity and innovation. How...
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Kristian G. Andersen @kgandersen.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Since there's taboo around this, suggesting that cases of Andes virus may be caused by human-to-human transmission on a cruise ship is entirely uncontroversial: 1️⃣ We already know it's able to. 2️⃣ Conditions are "optimal". 3️⃣ This doesn't change the fact that a larger outbreak is extremely unlikely.
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NetScience @netscience.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Urban Science Beyond Samples: Up-to-Date Street Network Models and Indicators for Every Urban Area in the World arxiv.org/abs/2605.00108
arxiv.org
Urban Science Beyond Samples: Up-to-Date Street Network Models and Indicators for Every Urban Area in the World
Urban planners need up-to-date, global, and consistent street network models and indicators to measure resilience and performance, model accessibility, and target local quality-of-life interventions. ...
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Michele Tizzoni @mtizzoni.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Ethnic inequalities in respiratory virus epidemics in England: a mathematical modelling study www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
medrxiv.org
Ethnic inequalities in respiratory virus epidemics in England: a mathematical modelling study
Background In England, the burden of respiratory infections varies by ethnicity, contributing to health inequalities, but the role of additional demographic factors remains underexplored. We quantifie...
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