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Dominik Stecuła

@stecula.bsky.social
3.2K followers 1.6K following 302 posts

COYG *Not really active on here anymore.*

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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
A real tragedy that it has come to that. US could not ask for a better ally and neighbor than Canada. To throw it all away because a fading, deranged emperor-wannabe is grasping for relevance makes it even sadder. The ultimate sadness is how quiet American elites and American public are about this
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.
data4democracy.substack.com
With Fear and Favor
Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.
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Alex B. Rivard @alexbrivard.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
New article published at the International Journal of Political Science with @ericmerkley.bsky.social and @stecula.bsky.social academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
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Stan Oklobdzija @stano.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Here's a figure from a survey question I ran with @stecula.bsky.social and Alex Rivard last year. We asked people how home prices in their metro area compared to the national average and then binned those respondents into actual housing price quintiles.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Getting to work with Danna, Mike, and Dhavan was so fun and the research, imho, is pretty good too. Check it out. Hopefully first of a few from this team!
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Dannagal Goldthwaite Young @dannagal.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Thrilled to report our study of Rogan’s audience is published! 2 datasets. 2 different years w range of socio-demog, political, trust-oriented, & epistemic predictors. (Also: Working w @stecula.bsky.social @prowag.bsky.social & @dvshah.bsky.social was stupid fun) www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Joe Rogan Experience: Epistemic Style Over Ideological Extremity in the Manosphere
Despite increasing prominence in the contemporary media ecosystem, podcasts have attracted limited scholarly attention. This study examines audience characteristics of the most popular podcast in t...
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
new WP (w/ @stecula.bsky.social): we infer show-level metadata for a large sample of popular politics and politics-adjacent podcasts, then merge it with survey data to characterize political information exposure for their audiences link: osf.io/ycujf/files/...
title: A Framework for Studying Podcasts and their Audiences at Scale
authors: Jon Green and Dominik Stecula
abstract: A large and increasing share of media consumption in the United States takes place on podcasts. However, two of the most theoretically interesting features of this development also make it difficult to study empirically: the boundary between political and non-political shows is porous, and the audience is highly fragmented in ways that frustrate standard survey research. We address these challenges by first inferring political discussion frequency, relative left/right
orientation, and network cluster in a sample of roughly 7,600 popular shows that are either categorized as political or share at least one guest with a show categorized as political. We then demonstrate how these show-level metadata can be incorporated into survey research to
dramatically broaden and deepen our understanding of the political information consumption in this developing ecosystem.Figure 2. Hierarchical stochastic block model results. Colors reflect terminal (lowest-level) block pairs.Figure 4: Audience profiles for show blocks with at least 100 listeners. All values for show blocks reflect averages across respondents who listen to at least one show in the given block unless otherwise noted. Respondents can list up to three shows.Figure 7: Left/Right distributions of shows, overall (a) and weighted by audience (b). Both distributions are limited to shows with at least ten episodes classified as likely to feature political discussion.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
COYG
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
new WP (w/ @ntd.bsky.social): we use the case of Christian nationalism to make a broader point about "niche ideologies" in mass opinion research, and why you shouldn't scale them the same way you'd scale more general attitudes Link: osf.io/wbdut/files/...
Title: Niche Ideologies in the Mass Public: The Case of
Christian Nationalism
Authors: Jon Green, Nick Davis
Abstract: It is common in survey research to measure political attitudes by inferring latent dimensions along which all respondents can be scored. We argue that this approach is ill-suited for the study of “niche ideologies” that organize the beliefs of concentrated minorities within specific political domains. We support this argument with the case of Christian nationalism, which is theorized as an ideology but typically measured as an attitude. Across two survey samples, we show that response patterns are better explained by a process in which individuals endorse, reject, or are unfamiliar with clusters of beliefs associated with Christian nationalism than by processes in which responses are dimensional. We then demonstrate that measuring Christian
nationalism as an attitude can distort its relationship with theoretically relevant policy preferences. Our results clarify distinctions between attitudes and ideologies and offer suggestions for how to investigate other niche ideologies in mass opinion research.Figure 1. Distributions of Posterior Probabilities by DGP. Group-based is strongly preferred (higher probabilities for vast majority of respondents) in both BRS and PRRI samples.Figure 3: Ideological identification by DGP. The Rejecter group is majority liberal across both samples with few conservatives; the Adherent group is majority conservative across both samples with few liberals.Figure 6: Comparing group- versus dimensional-based estimates of the relationship between Christian nationalism and abortion attitudes (PRRI 2022). All models control for age, education, race, gender, party identification, and ideological identification.

When Christian nationalism is measured as a single dimension factor, it has positive relationships with both support for overturning Roe v. Wade and for more restrictive abortion policy. But when Christian nationalism is measured via a group-based mixture, being in the Adherent (vs. Innocent) group is only positively associated with more restrictive abortion policy, but not with support for overturning Roe v. Wade.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Turning kids orange will obviously cure the children of autism, but the elites don't want you to know this
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
The best predictor of scientific impact isn't gender, seniority, methodology, or geography, it is the informal network of colleagues and mentors who provide guidance and feedback. We are often ignore the most important source of success--our social support network. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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Stuart Soroka @snsoroka.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
I am excited about this new paper, Negativity & Misinformation, just out with @cbwlezien.bsky.social in @polcommjournal.bsky.social: "durable biases in information processing, by media organizations and humans more generally, can produce misinformation and misperceptions..." doi.org/10.1080/1058...
doi.org
Negativity and Misinformation
There are large and growing bodies of research highlighting inaccuracies in news coverage. In this paper, we suggest that negativity biases account for a substantial portion of longstanding inaccur...
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Neil Stenhouse @nstenhouse.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
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Alan Elrod @aselrod.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Attendance is free, and our speakers are generously donating their time and energy. But if you want to help us do more events like this, consider donating to Pulaski's 2026 fundraiser: www.zeffy.com/en-US/donati...
zeffy.com
Pulaski Institution Project 26/250
At The Pulaski Institution, we want to defend and promote liberal democracy by focusing on heartland areas. But for us, heartland isn’t a narrow or geographically limited thing. It’s not rural vs. urb...
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 31/01/2026
straight up Gestapo shit
DHS: Want affordable housing? Help report illegal aliens in your area. Call 866-DHS-2-ICE.

If you are an illegal alien, you can take control of your departure using DHS.GOV/CBPHOME.
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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 31/01/2026
This incident alone would have triggered hearings and probably a senior-level resignation in another administration.
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Kyle Saunders @kylesaunders.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Our BPP paper on government shutdowns, need for chaos, and prospect theory (w/ Erin Fitz, @stecula.bsky.social, Matt Hitt, and me). Here's the abstract and link for "Mindset to Gain? Framing Effects, Need for Chaos, and the Limits of 'Burning It All Down'." www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Alan Elrod @aselrod.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
If you like the writing I do, know that the same spirit and analysis animates my org. We think we’ve got a lot to offer in the fight for democracy. Please consider supporting us today.
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Alan Elrod @aselrod.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
2026 is the year we level up The Pulaski Institution in our mission to promote democracy in the heartlands. I’m so proud of what we’ve done so far on an almost non-existent budget, and I know we have a unique vision that is more relevant than ever. Won’t you join us? www.zeffy.com/en-US/donati...
PULASKI'S PROJECT 26/250
HELP US RAISE $250,000.00 BY JULY 4, 2026
WHAT YOU'LL BE HELPING US DO
CONFERENCES
RESEARCH
CIVIC EVENTS
MEDIA &
OUTREACH
If you believe in our work, please donate whatever you feel is appropriate. You can make individual or recurring gifts.
pulaskiinstitution.org
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FactCheck.org @factcheck.org · 06/01/2026
On Jan. 5, Acting Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Jim O’Neill signed a memorandum that reduced the number of diseases targeted in the childhood vaccine schedule for all children to 11, just one more than Denmark's schedule.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
There was simply no way to predict that the guy who renamed the Department of Defense the Department of War will start a war
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
The dream of back to back FIFA Peace Prizes is fading away
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Unfortunately, now is the time to circle back
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Pure, unmitigated hate.
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Drew Harwell @drewharwell.com · 02/12/2025
George Will: "Pete Hegseth seems to be a war criminal. Without a war. An interesting achievement. ... The killing of the survivors by this moral slum of an administration should nauseate Americans. A nation incapable of shame is dangerous, not least to itself" www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | A sickening moral slum of an administration
Regarding Venezuela, Ukraine and much more, Trump and his acolytes are worse than simply incompetent.
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Max Fawcett @maxfawcett.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Oh please just fuck off
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Dolores Albarracin @dalbarra.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Postdoctoral Researcher Positions!
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Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Republicans increasingly oppose requiring healthy kids to get MMR vaccines to attend public schools 2016 19% 2019 20% 2023 42% 2025 47% www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
Chart showing that since 2016, a vast majority of U.S. adults have said healthy children should be required to get the vaccine to attend public school because of the potential risks for others when children are not vaccinated. But support for school MMR requirements dropped from 82% in 2019 to 69% in 2025.

This decline is largely because of a steep slide in support among Republicans. In 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic, 79% of Republicans said healthy children should be required to get the MMR vaccine to attend school. This share sunk to 57% in 2023, then to 52% in 2025. In contrast, Democrats’ views on school MMR requirements have remained stable, with solid majority support.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
More than twice as many Republicans report getting news regularly from the Joe Rogan Experience podcast than from Tucker Carlson. Also more Republicans get news on JRE than on Newsmax, Daily Wire, or Breitbart
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Josh McCrain @joshmccrain.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
new paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
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Stan Oklobdzija @stano.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
I just ran a survey (with @stecula.bsky.social and Alex Rivard) and we found that people have no idea what housing prices are like in their community. People simultaneously underestimate what homes cost in their metros and think that where they live is much more expensive than the rest of the US.
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Our universities are truly a US superpower. Most states have at least one world class research university that is an engine of the local economy and a magnet for top talent from all over the world. Policies like this are not like stepping on a rake, its like blowing your own head off with a cannon.
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Kyle Saunders @kylesaunders.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
in case you missed it when I posted the preprint on acceptance, here's the more aesthetically pleasing, actually formatted (and unfortunately timely) article for your reading pleasure! (cc: Fitz, @stecula.bsky.social, @matthewhitt.bsky.social): www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Mindset to gain? Framing effects, Need for Chaos, and the limits of ‘Burning It All Down’ | Behavioural Public Policy | Cambridge Core
Mindset to gain? Framing effects, Need for Chaos, and the limits of ‘Burning It All Down’
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Michael Ian Black @michaelianblack.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Old enough to remember when scenes like this would have been unthinkable in America. (It was 9 months ago)
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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 08/10/2025
ICE is not only chasing down every random brown person in Chicago, they have a cameraman following them to film this for social media. Cruelty and inhumanity as content.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Not happening somewhere else. Here. In America. Right now.
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APSA & ICA Political Communication Divisions @polcomm.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Throwback Thursday! Let’s take a moment to look back at the 2025 Political Communication APSA Preconference! The many smiling faces in the selection of pictures show just how amazing the preconference was. You can find more pictures at this link: shorturl.at/EJj3v
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Kyle Saunders @kylesaunders.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
New (very timely!) paper with Erin Fitz, @stecula.bsky.social, @matthewhitt.bsky.social & myself, accepted at Behavioural Public Policy entitled "Mindset to Gain? Framing Effects, Need for Chaos, and the Limits of 'Burning It All Down'"--a thread and a link: osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
OSF
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Senator Ron Wyden @wyden.senate.gov · 18/09/2025
Trump is launching a full blown attack on free speech while his harem of billionaires buys up every media platform. This is no coincidence. It’s a coordinated attack on your fundamental right to speak freely without worrying if you’ll lose your job or worse.
nytimes.com
ABC Pulls Jimmy Kimmel Off Air for Charlie Kirk Comments After F.C.C. Pressure
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
APSA in Vancouver was a blast, so great to see old friends. See you all next year in Boston.
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Matt Motta @mattmotta.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Today's ACIP meeting may use VAERS data to make false claims about vaccine injury. To help sort out what's true from what's false, @stecula.bsky.social and I updated an explainer we wrote several years ago for @us.theconversation.com. theconversation.com/vaccine-deat...
theconversation.com
Vaccine death and side effects database relies on unverified reports – and Trump officials and right-wing media are applying it out of context
Anti-vaccine activists are using the side effect reporting system to spread fear and misinformation about the COVID-19 vaccines. But the database could also be used as a gauge for public concerns.
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David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
What are we doing here, @nytimes.com? You were obviously not built for covering authoritarianism.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
New job ad: Assistant Professor of Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College apply.interfolio.com/172357 Please share with your networks. I am the search chair and happy to answer questions!
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Gordon Pennycook @gordpennycook.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
Interested in doing a postdoc with me & @dgrand.bsky.social? Consider applying to Cornell's Klarman Fellowship: as.cornell.edu/research/kla... It involves a competitive internal application process, but it's 3 years of funding @$80k/year Please email me/Dave if you're interested! Oct 15th deadline
as.cornell.edu
Klarman Fellowships
The Klarman Fellowships in the College of Arts & Sciences provide postdoctoral opportunities to early-career scholars of outstanding talent, initiative and promise. Among the most selective of its kin...
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Matt Motta @mattmotta.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Few Americans actively support the Trump admin's attacks on higher ed. But, our data show that many seem to have no problem with it. @stecula.bsky.social ‬and I discuss why Americans should *demand* that our elected officials stand up for higher ed. www.scientificamerican.com/article/atta...
scientificamerican.com
Apathy Over Attacks on Higher Education Needs to Change
If Americans don’t fight back against efforts to dismantle higher education, the U.S. will lose lifesaving medical research, innovation that spurs our economy and the ability to freely study science a...
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Patricia Rossini @patyrossini.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
🚨🚨 Only a few days left to submit a paper for the Political Communication Preconference at APSA! 🚨🚨 @ashleymuddiman.bsky.social @stecula.bsky.social and I are looking forward to your submissions! DEADLINE: May 25th, 11.59pm PDT (GMT-7). CFP here: u.osu.edu/apsa2025/
u.osu.edu
2025 Political Communication APSA Preconference
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Dominik Stecuła @stecula.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
3 more days! Get your applications in and share widely!
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