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Sean Yom

@seanyom.bsky.social
1.5K followers 581 following 63 posts

Poli-sci prof @ Temple, Senior Fellow @ DAWN, and luckiest dad outside Türkiye. I write on Mideast politics, authoritarianism, & US foreign policy. More: seanyom.com. ***Slowly moving here from Twitter/X...

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Reposted by Sean Yom
Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 27/09/2026
Google finally updated some of its satellite images of Gaza and my god, it's horrific. The entirety of Rafah has been demolished. The majority of Khan Younis is in ruins. Entire towns completely leveled and erased of the map.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
I write in @foreignpolicy.com: Jordan's true external threat isn't Iranian missiles. It's Israeli formal annexation of the West Bank and the ethnic cleansing / population transfer that follows. To help Jordan, the US must *restrain* Israel. Stop annexation. foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/31/j...
foreignpolicy.com
Jordan Sees Bigger Threat From Israel Than Iran
For Amman, Israeli annexation of the West Bank looms as an existential risk.
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8 Matts in a Duffel Bag @scratchbomb.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
i’m never gonna be able to fire a cruise missile yet the question of using my tax dollars for them has never been up for debate
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kyleayers.bsky.social @kyleayers.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Not saying that game was stolen from Egypt but it is now on display at museum in London.
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Drop Site @dropsitenews.com · 13/06/2026
🚨 Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi told State TV the emerging US-Iran memorandum of understanding is a roughly 1.5-2 page, 14-point doc that has been negotiated for more than 2 months & reviewed line by line by Iran’s Supreme Nat'l Security Council & military leadership. 🔸According to Araghchi, the 1st...
🔸According to Araghchi, the first stage includes:
➤ A formal end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon
➤ A commitment that neither side will initiate a new war or use threats and force
➤ The lifting of the U.S. naval blockade
➤ A framework for the release of Iran’s frozen assets
➤ The Strait of Hormuz is addressed in the memorandum, with Araghchi saying Iran’s future management of the waterway “will be different from the past” and that services there “will no longer be free.” The arrangement for the 60-day period will be settled by the MoU itself, but other details may be finalized during the follow-on negotiations.
➤ Sanctions relief and reconstruction are raised as part of a reconstruction and economic development plan, but Araghchi says the full mechanisms on the matter will be agreed during later negotiations.

🔸 The Second Stage:
➤ Would consist of 60 days of negotiations toward a final agreement, with the possibility of extension by mutual consent.
➤ Araghchi says those talks will aim to resolve the nuclear file, including uranium enrichment and Iran’s stockpile of 60% enriched uranium.
➤ He says the negotiations will also address the broader issues raised in the memorandum, including sanctions relief, the reconstruction and economic development plan, arrangements related to the Strait of Hormuz, and other technical details🔸 On Hormuz (and Oman and China):
➤ He says Iran and Oman, as the two sovereign states bordering the strait, will continue to oversee its security and administration.
➤ Araghchi suggested that services in the Strait of Hormuz that have historically been provided free of charge, including maritime security and safe passage, the designation and maintenance of shipping lanes, environmental protection, and search-and-rescue services, would under a future framework carry fees.
➤ Araghchi says Iran has held close consultations with Oman, which he described as its principal partner on the issue, and that the two sides have reached “good results.” He said joint plans and a joint statement will be announced in the near future.  
➤ He also says Iran has held expert-level consultations with other stakeholder nations, including China, noting that roughly 40% of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is linked to China because of its economic interests.  

🔸Araghchi said the memorandum will be signed remotely in a “digital” format, with each side signing separately before a joint announcement, adding that an agreement could be finalized “within the next day or two, or within the next several days.”

🔗 Araghchi’s full remarks on Friday, translated into English by Drop Site News, are below ⬇️
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Ken Jennings @kenjennings.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
I’m just afraid that now I won’t get to hear what religion everyone’s mayor and bagels are anymore.
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The New Arab @thenewarab.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
As US-Iran diplomacy hangs in the balance, Lebanon risks becoming collateral damage in a bargain shaped by outside powers:
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Hesham Sallam @wazirelkif.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
The Journal of Democracy lives at CDDRL now! Excited to see this partnership grow and flourish. @jodemocracy.bsky.social @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
"Cold War coups generated insider trading profits for a tiny corporate elite. In 1954, you had to be a board member with a CIA contact; in 2026 you just need a phone and a friend in the squadron...." So this is disturbing: hegemon.substack.com/p/polymarket...
hegemon.substack.com
Priced to Kill
prediction markets and the new politics of conflict
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Jordan--where the most existential threat to national security comes from a peace partner (Israel) and where US military forces invite, not deter, foreign attacks My words in Arab Reform Initiative: arab-reform.net/publication/... via @ArabReform_ARI
arab-reform.net
Jordan’s New Security Dilemma
Geography is Jordan’s cruel master. Wedged between Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia, the Hashemite Kingdom has long weathered regional conflicts that brought refugee influx…
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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
We're in the Ranking Pedophiles phase of rationalization.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
MERIP's new issue is on campus politics & Palestine which @makrevis.bsky.social @lisahajjar.bsky.social Stephen Gasteyer and I oversaw! Incredible essays on campus surveillance, activism, & crackdowns in US, MENA, & Germany, and sobering roundtables w/ faculty & students on advocacy under duress.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
So the CIA is fighting and dying in Mexico now, got it www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
washingtonpost.com
Two CIA officers die in Mexico accident after counternarcotics operation
The U.S. spy agency has significantly expanded its international antidrug work under President Trump and CIA Director Ratcliffe.
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Fred Guttenberg @fredguttenberg.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
If you were horrified watching elected leaders run & scramble because of gun violence, just imagine how my daughter Jaime felt in school running from an active shooter before she was killed. Now, become a part of the solution & only vote for people determined to address gun violence in America.
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Joyce Karam @joycekaram.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
UPDATE • Trump: US to Blockade Hormuz • Pakistan talks failed • Trump: All or nothing • US, Iran delegations left Islamabad • UAE: Hormuz’s “not Iran’s to close” • Israel prepares for war to resume • Israel strikes Lebanon, raid in South • Ceasefire expires04/22
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Sky Marchini @sky.skymarchini.net · 07/04/2026
in persian culture, telling someone "we're going to kill you all" is considered deeply offensive
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
This is the president of the United States of America.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
theatlantic.com
Maybe Trump Should Not Have Given This Speech
His address raised more questions than it answered about the war in Iran.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
US director of national intelligence whose job is to assess imminent threats tells Congress that it's not her job to assess imminent threats IE we couldn't invent intel that Iran was about to attack the US so... we just let DJT do his thing www.middleeasteye.net/news/top-us-...
middleeasteye.net
Top US intelligence official says it's not her job to determine imminent threats
Tulsi Gabbard, a longtime anti-war voice, avoided undermining the president's claims in a public hearing
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Nick Brumfield @nickjbrumfield.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
You can see which lobbying meetings he is taking in real-time
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Some words, as usual, on Jordan! More words soon, in other places, on the Iran war
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Wendy Pearlman @wendy-pearlman.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Thank you, @merip.bsky.social, for this excellent podcast, filled with insightful interventions from Ida Nikou, @keshavarziana.bsky.social, and @seanyom.bsky.social
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James Ryan @jdryan08.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Ida, @keshavarziana.bsky.social and @seanyom.bsky.social brought their A stuff to this conversation. Equal parts enlightening and sobering. Check it out and let us know what you think.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Our US policy of non-interventionism is so non-interventionist that we'd like to determine how a theocracy selects its next theocrat while bombing it and arming rebels against it www.axios.com/2026/03/05/i...
axios.com
Exclusive: Trump says he must be involved in picking Iran's next leader
"Khamenei's son is unacceptable to me. We want someone that will bring harmony and peace to Iran."
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
It's like he wants to land troops everywhere except Iran www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
theguardian.com
US military launches operation in Ecuador to combat drug trafficking
US Southern Command said joint mission with Ecuador involves ‘decisive action’ against illicit drug trafficking
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
The GCC states shot down 5 warplanes today 3 were American 2 were Iranian Trump just clarified he may order "boots on the ground" Yep, war's going exactly as planned! www.jpost.com/internationa...
jpost.com
Donald Trump won't ro=ule out boots on ground in Iran | The Jerusalem Post
Speaking on Monday, Trump said he “didn’t care about polling,” argued that leaders sometimes must act without clear public backing, and claimed the operation was “way ahead of schedule.”
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
"This is not a so-called regime change war" Sorry what now, your boss said the precise opposite about 500 missiles ago www.npr.org/2026/03/02/n...
npr.org
Hegseth: 'We didn't start this war but under President Trump we're finishing it'
The remarks are the first to reporters since the U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran began Saturday despite weeks of talks designed to stave off a conflict.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Winning!
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Kevin Rothrock @kevinrothrock.me · 02/03/2026
"Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first." www.reuters.com/world/us/pen...
reuters.com
Pentagon tells Congress no sign that Iran was going to attack US first, sources say
Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first, two people f...
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
1.5 days after the war for "regime change" in Iran started... Trump says he'll talk to its leaders to end the conflict. He refused to promise help for a popular uprising (that hasn't happened) This is the demonic baby of a neocon-populist shotgun wedding www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
theguardian.com
Trump says Iran leadership agrees to talks after US and Israel strike Tehran
‘They should have done it sooner, they waited too long,’ says Trump but he doesn’t say when talks would take place
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Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
Folks, the munitions may be running out for the Iran operation, and it will affect plans for the Pacific theatre. Some of us have been warning about this repeatedly. www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
U.S. Races to Accomplish Iran Mission Before Munitions Run Out
President Trump says the Iran campaign might last a week or longer, but dwindling stockpiles could limit his options.
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Ryan Grim @ryangrim.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
The SAVE Act is so petty it tries to block students and Native Americans from voting. Many tribal IDs do NOT have an expiration date (because why would they? Tribal status doesn't expire). And student IDs, even issued by the state, specifically don't count
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digby @digby56.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
I realize that "Orwellian" is over used but come on.
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Schooley @schooley.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
I remember when trying to forgive student loans was massive overreach of Presidential power.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
The ones in Washington who clamor hardest for war are the ones with the least to lose. They're not fighting or dying. For them it's abstract strategy and ideological signaling and media pandering. It's always lions being led by lambs. www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-top-s...
thedailybeast.com
Trump’s Top Suck-Up Thirsts Over Americans Dying in Iran
The MAGA senator acknowledged there could be U.S. casualties.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
That's right, the son of the last deposed Iranian dictator (overthrown by a popular revolution that needed no foreign intervention to succeed) and who's been exiled from Iran for 50 years is actually the only logical choice Ahmad Chalabi syndrome www.axios.com/2026/02/28/u...
axios.com
What to know about Reza Pahlavi, a potential successor to lead Iran
Pahlavi called the U.S. strikes "a humanitarian intervention, and its target is the Islamic Republic."
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Yes, that's right. This is how you show democratic solidarity with the Iranian people and, to the world, justify the latest "this time is different" war of regime change in the Middle East. By bombing schools. www.france24.com/en/asia-paci...
france24.com
US-Israeli strike on girls' school kills at least 85 students, Iran's judiciary says
At least 85 students have been killed in US-Israeli strikes that hit an Iranian girls' school in Hormozgan province, Iran's judiciary said on Saturday. Washington has not commented on the reported str...
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Vali Nasr @valinasr.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so: ecfr.eu/article/trum...
ecfr.eu
Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so – European Council on Foreign Relations
As the conflict threatens to escalate, European governments must make an assertive case for diplomacy and prepare for humanitarian catastrophe
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
"We may have casualties... that often happens in war." FTFY: "Hope is my strategy" truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...
truthsocial.com
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump)
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Of the many theoretical explanations and rational debates of this US/Israeli strike on Iran, has anyone considered the possibility that nobody knows what the f*** they're doing www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblo...
aljazeera.com
ISRAEL ATTACKS IRAN; US OFFICIAL SAYS US TOOK PART IN STRIKES
Multiple explosions heard in Tehran, elsewhere, as Israel launches attacks on Iran with US help.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
Preamble to every US military intervention: "I understand concerns about major military operations in the Middle East given past entanglements. However, the voices who counsel against getting entangled seem to ignore the consequences of letting evil go unchecked" www.axios.com/2026/02/22/g...
axios.com
Lindsey Graham frets that Trump's advisers oppose Iran strike
Graham urged Trump to ignore them and pull the trigger.
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Can't wait to hear him talk about how this One Big Beautiful War justifies getting the Nobel Peace Prize theintercept.com/2026/02/19/t...
theintercept.com
Trump Menaces Iran With Massive Armada Capable of Prolonged War
The amount of military forces gathering near Iran dwarfs even the monthslong build-up before the U.S. coup in Venezuela.
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Abu Aardvark @abuaardvark.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
“Yom insists on seeing Jordan for itself, not as a function of American interests or of Israeli concerns..based on deep field research and an encylopedic knowledge of the political science literature.. will likely productively annoy certain audiences.” abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/this-must-be...
abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io
This Must Be The Podcast: Sean Yom
It is difficult to not worry about the stability and even survival of Jordan these days. Escalating Israeli aggression in the West Bank and political momentum towards annexation puts the Kingdom squar...
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 05/01/2026
Q: Rodriguez called it a 'kidnapping' of Maduro TRUMP: That's alright. That's not a bad term.
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
head of chiquita banana wanting to ask the forbidden question now that trump is overthrowing governments for oil companies
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Sean Yom @seanyom.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
According to the current administration, none of the following counts as "war" requiring Congressional authorization: 1) Bombing the Middle East, Africa, and/or Latin America 2) Bombing nuclear facilities 3) Kidnapping foreign leaders
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Frederick Deknatel @freddydeknatel.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Can’t believe the winner of the FIFA Peace Prize would launch a war like this.
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Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
One of my favorite presents ever—my dad found and framed this pic of my mother @sunminkimes.bsky.social at a Seattle courthouse after she passed her US citizenship test in 1981. Like so many of the people who come here to start a new life, she is the best of us—the bravest, strongest person I know.
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Frederick Deknatel @freddydeknatel.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
Bashar al-Assad's daughter has been living and studying in the UAE since the regime fell, at the Sorbonne in Abu Dhabi, where it looks like Emirati authorities are her enforcers, kicking out another Syrian student who dared to criticize her in a group chat. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/22/w...
Just weeks after the fall of the regime, Zein al-Assad returned to her studies at the Abu Dhabi branch of the Sorbonne, a renowned French university, according to family friends and a classmate. She was accompanied on campus, the classmate said, by large and imposing bodyguards.

Not all Syrian students embraced her return. In a group chat, one student told Ms. al-Assad she was “not welcome,” according to two people who said they had seen the exchange.

Shortly afterward, they said, the entire chat was shut down, and the student was no longer seen on campus. A relative of the student said he had been questioned by the Emirati authorities and later left the university in part because of this incident.The Sorbonne Abu Dhabi said the student’s dismissal was a “purely academic matter” and cited three infractions, including cheating. The acrimony in the chat group with Zein al-Assad had “no connection” to the dismissal, the university said.

The classmate said that Ms. al-Assad had not attended classes for part of her last term. But she did pick up a diploma in June at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, where she was also enrolled. Photographs of the graduation showed her brothers and mother in attendance.
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Frederick Deknatel @freddydeknatel.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
“Jordan cannot be reduced to the banalities of orientalist folklore, much less the other tropes that have long garbled how the Western media describe the kingdom.” @seanyom.bsky.social in Hidden Cities on what Jordan’s history reveals about the Middle East: www.hidden-cities.com/p/why-tiny-j...
hidden-cities.com
Why Tiny Jordan Is a Microcosm for Understanding the Entire Middle East
However accidental its historical genesis, Jordan has become a crucible of knowledge about how power and geopolitics operate in the region.
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