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Scottish Election Study

@scotvoting.bsky.social
1.6K followers 154 following 62 posts

An ESRC-funded academic study of voting in Scotland 👩🏻‍💻 scottishelections.ac.uk

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
As always, we reserve space in SES surveys for researchers to ask their own questions. If you would like to shape the next SES survey, or include questions in our Feb, June or Oct SCOOP surveys please do get in touch END
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
and satisfaction with gov't performance on the economy, health and education You can identify predictors of vote choice for both the constituency and regional list vote, including vote switching since the 2021 and 2024 elections You can identify predictors of voter turnout and of non-voting 4/
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
What can you do with the SES? You can track variation across demographic, socio-economic, political and geographic groups in campaign engagement, support for different constitutional options, trust in political institutions and party leaders, ... 3/
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
SES data have been collected to benefit a range of data users. The release includes the merged dataset, questionnaires and three user guides (for researchers; journalists & practitioners; teachers & pupils) 2/
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
🚨Scottish Election Study Data Release 🚨 SES is today releasing its 2026 campaign wave and post-election data. github.com/ScottishElec... The SES is the independent ESRC-funded study of voter attitudes and behaviour in Scotland 1/
github.com
GitHub - ScottishElectionStudy/Scottish_Election_Study_2026: This repository holds the data, codebook, user guides and original questionnaires for the 2026 Scottish Election Study. Data are available ...
This repository holds the data, codebook, user guides and original questionnaires for the 2026 Scottish Election Study. Data are available in .dta and .sav format. - ScottishElectionStudy/Scottish_...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
New rapid response blog by our PI @ailsahenderson.bsky.social with early indications on how and whether Burnham can shift public opinion in Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🚪 First analysis of data from our most recent Scoop poll, the first one post-election! scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/07/22/c...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Change or More of the Same? How Scots are reacting to Andy Burnham
SES Principal Investigator Prof Ailsa Henderson provides a rapid-response analysis of our most recent data to make sense of the new Prime Minister's challenges and opportunities north of the border.Wi...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The post-election talks continue with roadshow dates next week featuring @ailsahenderson.bsky.social and @cjcarman.bsky.social! ⛴️ Oban - Monday 8th June 🎻 Ullapool - Tuesday 9th June 🏰 Inverness - Wednesday 10th June More details and registration ⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/06/05/s...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Scottish Election Study Roadshow Part 1
SES Principal Investigator Prof Ailsa Henderon and Co-Investigator Prof Christopher Carman are hitting the road the week beginning 8th June 2026 to discuss the findings from our surveys at venues in A...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
📅 BACK AT IT TONIGHT 6PM IN GLASGOW 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 A nation votes: What the 2026 election reveals about Scotland 📍Senate Room, Main Building, University of Glasgow 💻 Also available via livestream www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/a-nation-v...
eventbrite.co.uk
A Nation Votes: What the 2026 Election Reveals About Scotland
The Stevenson Trust hosts a discussion on the recent Scottish Election.
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
📅 SES EVENT TODAY 2PM 📊 What happened in the 2026 Scottish Elections? 📍 Edinburgh Futures Institute, Room 2.35 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/what-happe...
eventbrite.co.uk
What happened in the 2026 Scottish elections?
What happened in the 2026 Scottish elections and what does it mean for Scotland?: Evidence from the Scottish Election Study
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
🆕 A rapid response blog on Scots' views about the mandate for an independence referendum and the political realities facing the SNP from @ailsahenderson.bsky.social scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/05/28/d...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
aye sorry!
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
🚨 SES Annual Lecture 2026 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 @richardwynjones.bsky.social 🥀 The Decline and Fall of Welsh Labour 🕗 6PM, 23rd of May 📍 Usha Kasera Lecture Theatre, University of Edinburgh Sign up edin.ac/4mHfPKZ
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
In this week's blog, @cjcarman.bsky.social discusses our data on Scottish voter awareness and concern surrounding the digital information environment 📱🗞️ Are Scots worried about fake news? Find out below on our well-trusted blog ⤵️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/30/f...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Fake News, Real Concern: Deepfakes, AI and Scotland’s Election
With Scotland's Holyrood election just a week away, SES Co-Investigator Professor Christopher Carman asks whether Scottish voters are ready to navigate an information environment that is increasingly ...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Highlights 🔦 - Folk are quite pessimistic about the state of the country - The SNP's core support base is losing faith - But the party's continued dominance of that camp is boosting their chances - Independence attitudes remain strongly polarised by age cohort
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
New blog 📰🗳️ What's the mood of the country going into the election? Which issues do voters have in mind? Why are the SNP still favourites to win? And what about independence? @frasmcm.bsky.social's new long read reviews trends in public opinion since 2021 🍦 scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/16/f...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Fit’s the Scoop? Trends in Scottish Public Opinion Since 2021
The SES’s Scottish Opinion Monitor polling series has run three times annually since December 2021, starting six months after the last Scottish Parliament election. Known affectionately as the Scoop, ...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Four weeks to go! 🗳️ We'll be publishing analysis on our blog every Thurs + Tues, looking at data beyond the immediate horse-race 🏇📊 First up, @cjcarman.bsky.social on what Scots think about changes to voting rights in recent years! scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/09/e...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
We're all very proud of our friend and former SES researcher Dr Marta Miori 🤩 🥳
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Devolved Election Projections @devolvedelections.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Our projection on the final Scoop/YouGov poll by @scotvoting.bsky.social 🎗️ SNP — 57 🌹 Lab — 15 🌳 Con — 9 🌱 GP — 16 🐤 LD — 9 ➡️ Ref — 23 ⚪ Other — 0 devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland/
Table showig the stated results
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 FINAL SCOOP POLL BEFORE MAY IS OUT Crosstabs here: scottishelections.ac.uk/wp-content/u... Trends since 2021 with our final numbers 👇🏻 More on our Public Opinion Dashboard: scottishelections.ac.uk/dashboard/
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
NEW - Political Scandals and Vertical Contagion in Multilevel Systems - cup.org/47wHeJB - @jaclarner.bsky.social, Robert Johns, @ailsahenderson.bsky.social, @frasmcm.bsky.social & @cjcarman.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of political scandals on perceptions of leaders, focusing on the UK and Scotland. The study explores themes like containment and contrast in institutional reactions to such scandals.
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
New blog on indyref mandate 🗳️ By our PI @ailsahenderson.bsky.social, this blog investigates attitudes to #indyref2 timing and whether there is a middle ground on the "mandate" question 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧 Particularly relevant given the FM has set out @snp.org's stall scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/09/03/i...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Is there a constitutional middle ground in Scotland? Attitudes to indyref mandates
Constitutional preferences (Yes or No to independence) in Scotland invoke polarisation far more than they do consensus. Identifying a middle ground on preferences might be difficult, but more than a d...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Older voters became more pro-union post-2014/16 and younger voters became more pro-indy and the elderly are a bigger cohort so it all came out in the wash!
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Finally, while the salience of independence continues to fall, #indyref2 views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧 Opinions are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @teamlabouruk.bsky.social govt. in London 👀
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Vote intention is stabilising ahead of 2026 🗳️ @reformukscotland.bsky.social's rapid increase has plateaued and @snp.org remain on ~30% 🤷🏻 But @scottishlabour.bsky.social need to close the gap again if they hope to make @anassarwar.bsky.social FM 🌹 @scottories.bsky.social struggles persist 🤒
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
On issues, the constitutional question has substantially declined in relevance in the last couple of years 🪧 Scots remain overwhelmingly preoccupied with the state of the economy, the health service, education and increasingly immigration and housing 🏗️
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Government performance evaluations are similar. First Minister @johnswinney.bsky.social seems to have arrested but not reversed the decline 🫷🏻 Meanwhile, views of the newish @10dowingstreet.bsky.social have only improved marginally over its predecessor 🚪
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Scots have become significantly more pessimistic about the country's direction since covid, but attitudes seem to have stabilised over the past year 🥱
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
🍦Big Scoop tracker update 📊 We've fully updated our handy page of time series public opinion measures, added new visualisations and made it much easier to find. And we've renamed it the SES Opinion Dashboard 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧑🏽‍🤝‍🧑🏻 Summary 🧵 scottishelections.ac.uk/dashboard/
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
As Trump jets over to Scotland, take a look at @cjcarman.bsky.social's excellent blog on Scottish attitudes the mercurial US President 👇🏻
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
🇺🇸 New blog! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 @cjcarman.bsky.social takes a closer look at our data on Trump support in Scotland ahead of the US President's visit. How popular is DJT? Are Reform UK supporters MAGA? And does the support of young men travel across the pond? Find out below! scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/07/18/t...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Trump in Scotland: The US President’s support in a cold climate
The Scottish Election Study's own expert on US politics, Prof. Christopher Carman (christopher.carman@glasgow.ac.uk), takes a closer look at Donald Trump's support in Scotland using SES data.With the ...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Essay Prize 2025 📝 🧑🏻‍🎓 Undergraduate and school pupil competitions 📆 Deadline 6th July Fantastic judging panel of @simeonkerr.bsky.social, @yougov.co.uk's Abigail Axe-Browne and @edinburghpir.bsky.social's own Alan Convery! scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/06/09/e...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Essay Prize 2025 – Deadline 5th July
We are delighted to announce the 2025 edition of our annual essay prize. We run parallel prizes for secondary school pupils and undergraduate university students, both of which are judged by a prestig...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Our postdoc @eoghanly.bsky.social has co-developed @devolvedelections.bsky.social, a seat projection tool for devolved elections 🤓🧮 You can select from some preset scenarios or plug in your own vote share numbers to generate precise estimates. More info ⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/05/22/a...
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Rob Johns @robjohns75.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Today's lecture will not only be packed with information and insight but is also very timely (since it's a day on which the long-term potential of economic insecurity to divide -- or to be used to divide -- the electorate has been on graphic display). See you there.
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
A warm welcome to all colleagues arriving from around the UK and Europe 🥃
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Scottish Election Study Bonanza Week continues this afternoon with the start of our two-day Scottish politics academic conference in Edinburgh, co-hosted by @ccc-research.bsky.social SES Annual Lecture by @profjanegreen.bsky.social follows this evening! Sign up 👇🏻 t.ly/xKW3b
eventbrite.co.uk
Scottish Election Study annual lecture 2025
We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study
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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
I’m in Edinburgh for this on Monday. Really looking forward to seeing colleagues and sharing our work on volatility, age, and economic insecurity. @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social @britishelectionstudy.com
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Christopher Carman @cjcarman.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Seen the headlines in today's Scottish papers? Join @scotvoting.bsky.social team TONIGHT 6pm @uofglasgow.bsky.social for an analysis of the the state Scottish electoral politics One Year Out from the 2026 Holyrood elections. Boyd Orr Bldg in-person and on-line www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...
eventbrite.co.uk
One Year Out: The outlook for the 2026 Holyrood election
Join us on Thursday 8 May for this Stevenson Lecture with the Scottish Election Study Team.
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Our annual SES Bonanza Week kicks off this Thursday with The Stevenson Trust for Citizenship at @uofglasgow.bsky.social ! Join us for our take on next year's Scottish Parliament election 🤠🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 ⏰ 1800-1930 📍 203 Boyd Orr Building, Glasgow Sign up 👇🏼 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫 Details and sign up below 🔽 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...
eventbrite.co.uk
Scottish Election Study annual lecture 2025
We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Massive congrats to all the other prize winners, particularly our @edinburghpir.bsky.social colleagues, and thank you to the PSA and the judges for this recognition. We had a great time in Brum and look forward to seeing everyone in Oxford next year!
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
@ailsahenderson.bsky.social and @frasmcm.bsky.social were delighted to receive the 2025 @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social Pippa Norris Prize on behalf of the whole SES team for a research group's "outstanding contribution to advancing knowledge in Political Studies" earlier this week at #PSA25 🥳
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Today's the deadline for abstracts for our Scottish politics conference to be held a year out from the next election! There's no registration fee and full papers aren't required. Submit here 👇🏻 www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/news-and-opi...
centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk
Call for Papers: Scotland in Transition
We invite contributions that analyse Scotland’s political institutions, policies, and political identities - both in isolation and in comparative perspective - to enhance academic understanding of the...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
💻 NEW DATA The Scottish political landscape has evolved greatly in recent months and a lot has been said about support for @reformukscotland.bsky.social with little available analysis. @frasmcm.bsky.social and @ailsahenderson.bsky.social took a look at the party's support on our blog t.ly/PjCxX
t.ly
Is it the Scunner Factor? Reform UK Support in Scotland
Two big stories look set to define the Scottish Parliament election in May 2026. The first is whether the SNP can do well enough following a drubbing at the 2024 general election to remain in power fo...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
We find that Reform are, unsurprisingly, attracting anti-immigration and anti-establishment voters in Scotland. They pose a big threat to the @scottories.bsky.social but could be held back by a limited pool of prospective voters and Farage's personal ratings.
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
💻 NEW DATA The Scottish political landscape has evolved greatly in recent months and a lot has been said about support for @reformukscotland.bsky.social with little available analysis. @frasmcm.bsky.social and @ailsahenderson.bsky.social took a look at the party's support on our blog t.ly/PjCxX
t.ly
Is it the Scunner Factor? Reform UK Support in Scotland
Two big stories look set to define the Scottish Parliament election in May 2026. The first is whether the SNP can do well enough following a drubbing at the 2024 general election to remain in power fo...
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Centre on Constitutional Change @ccc-research.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
New blog! Read Fraser McMillan of @scotvoting.bsky.social on why Starmer's Labour government could prove decisive for Scotland's constitutional future. Read more: edin.ac/3Fba9XZ @uoe-sps.bsky.social @edinburghpir.bsky.social
edin.ac
Why Starmer's Labour government could prove decisive for Scotland's constitutional future
In some quarters, last year’s general election result in Scotland was considered the death knell for the independence movement. However, while the political winds finally turned against the nationalis...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
More info and submission link below 👇🏻 scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/02/26/c...
scottishelections.ac.uk
Call for Papers – Scottish Politics Conference May 2025
Scotland in Transition: Perspectives on Politics and Policy Ahead of the 2026 Election 12-13 May 2025, University of Edinburgh Promoted by the Scottish Election Study, co-organised with the Centre on ...
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
⏰ CALL FOR PAPERS Scottish politics conference co-organised by the SES, @ccc-research.bsky.social and hosted at @edinburghpir.bsky.social 12-13 May 2025 We look forward to welcoming researchers working on anything and everything related to Scottish politics a year out from the 2026 election 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
We'll be at @scottishlabour.bsky.social conf next Friday 21st at 1730 for our Fringe with @michaeljmarra.bsky.social and @libbybrooks.bsky.social 🌹📰 @ailsahenderson.bsky.social @cjcarman.bsky.social and Fraser McMillan will discuss GE2024 findings and look ahead to 2026 - tea and shorties included!
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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Thank you to our excellent (and v patient) judging panels @kezdugdale.bsky.social @emasabljak.bsky.social @markdiffley1.bsky.social @conormatchett.bsky.social Coree Brown Swan and Lord Purvis of Tweed
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