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Ailsa Henderson

@ailsahenderson.bsky.social
2.1K followers 580 following 129 posts

PoliSci Prof at Edinburgh - run Scottish Election Study, co-run Union survey/Future of England survey Voting, polling, attitudes to the union @scotvoting.bsky.social @theunionsurvey.bsky.social

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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Hydronym search trends The @mark-carney.bsky.social effect
Graph showing spike in Google searches for hydronymMap showing search interest in hydronym is highest in CanadaMark Carney's 'let's just stick with calling it Lake Ontario' post
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Excited about our event as part of RSE's Festival of Knowledge 5 Sept 5pm, free hybrid event with me, @cjcarman.bsky.social and Prof John Curtice Tickets bookable on link below. Bring your questions! rse.org.uk/event/scotla...
rse.org.uk
Scotland's 2026 election explained
What does the recent Scottish election tell us about the future of Scottish democracy?
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
We're recruiting a new member to join the excellent team at Boundaries Scotland. Fair electoral boundaries are essential to the democratic process so this is an important and rewarding role. @boundaries-scot.bsky.social Ad is here: fa-evxn-saasfaukgovprod1.fa.ocs.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
fa-evxn-saasfaukgovprod1.fa.ocs.oraclecloud.com
Appointment of Member to the Board of Boundaries Scotland
The Minister for Parliamentary Business and Veterans is seeking to appoint a Commissioner to Boundaries Scotland.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Excellent news from the social-media-free Professor Tierney. Richly deserved, though I would say that! @uoelawschool.bsky.social www.law.ed.ac.uk/news-events/...
law.ed.ac.uk
Professor Stephen Tierney elected Fellow of the British Academy | Edinburgh Law School
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
TODAY SES Annual Lecture. Professor Richard Wyn Jones, The Decline and Fall of Welsh Labour 6pm, Usha Kasera Lecture theatre, Old college, University of Edinburgh Eventbrite: edin.ac/4mHfPKZ
edin.ac
The decline and fall of Welsh Labour
The annual SES lecture 2026 will look at Wales. Join us for an insight into the future of Welsh politics.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Folks in Scotland waiting for a referendum bill might find this collection of reactions to Alberta referendum prospects interesting.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
Fascinating stuff. Only thing I'd add is that ability of list to compensate for disproportionality in const depends on limited split ticket voting. Prelim SES data suggest *split tickets at an all time high* this election, thus further weakening Lab and Con chances esp Quebec proposed a model of ...
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
All elections are exciting, but the 2026 Senedd election could be the election of a century in Wales. To hear more about it, join us 25 May for the 2026 SES annual lecture, delivered by @walesgovernance.bsky.social 's @richardwynjones.bsky.social Will probably contain Venn diagrams
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The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Join David Phillips, @ailsahenderson.bsky.social and Sean Smith from 6pm tonight at @edinburgh-uni.bsky.social for our joint event on tax, spending and the economy ahead of next week's Scottish elections. ➡️ Find out more and register to attend here: ifs.org.uk/events/scott...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...
jobs.ac.uk
Assistant Professor in Political Science at University of Nottingham
Recruiting now: Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
SES scoop out @scotvoting.bsky.social
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Andrew Learmonth @andrewlearmonth.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Scottish Labour trailing in fourth behind a resurgent Scottish Greens, according to new poll. Story by @hannahmargbrown.bsky.social www.heraldscotland.com/news/2589383...
heraldscotland.com
Fractured Scottish poll bodes ill for Labour and Conservatives this May
Scottish Labour trails in fourth on the regional list as the SNP lead on 34 and Reform UK hold second place, the final Scottish Election Study poll…
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Calls to mind Parizeau's rx to 1995 Quebec referendum defeat
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Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Trafodir ymchwil @theunionsurvey.bsky.social gan @richardwynjones.bsky.social ac @ailsahenderson.bsky.social yn yr erthygl hon 👇 / This article discusses our research about Englishness from The Union Survey 👇 www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
So what does it mean to be properly English?
There’s nothing wrong in anybody taking pride in being English, of course, but as Orwell said, there’s something very un-English in shouting about it.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
The underlying study: "Experimental evidence of the effects of large language models versus web search on depth of learning" academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar... "participants reported developing shallower knowledge from LLM summaries even when the results were augmented by...web links" vs. search
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
"I am willing to accept slower economic growth in Canada if it means greater economic independence from the United States" 🟢 Agree: 70% 🔴 Disagree: 19% Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/budget-wee...
canadianpolling.substack.com
Budget Week Opens with Rising Public Skepticism
Canadians remain split on Carney's ability to deliver results, while dissatisfaction with Ottawa ticks upward
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Newly out from James Mitchell and me, explaining the 2024 UKGE in Scotland @edinburghpir.bsky.social academic.oup.com/pa/article-a... Email me if you want access and can't get it via your institution
academic.oup.com
Shifting sands: Sources of voter volatility in the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland
Abstract. In one sense, the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland provided a significant departure from what we have come to expect from elections in the af
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
New SES methodology incoming. Flawless.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Indeed. While often ignoring the devolved elections in May, which *will* lead to government formation Both UK Lab and UK Cons making life difficult for their devolved parties by fighting the next UKGE 4 years early
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
Advice for the age
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Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
153. Gallup/CNN/USA Today, 1998: "For the next question, assume that the Seinfeld characters were real people. Aside from how funny you think they are, would you generally consider them to be likeable people or annoying people?"
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The British Academy @britishacademy.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Humanities, arts and social sciences degrees are disappearing in many UK regions. With more young people than ever studying close to home, course cuts are narrowing their choices at university. @timeshighered.bsky.social covers our 'Cold Spots' report today. Read more at bit.ly/46e3wOy
bit.ly
Humanities and arts degrees disappearing in parts of UK
Students from rural and disadvantaged areas disproportionally affected by subject cuts, British Academy warns
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Those who say the Western provinces should join the United States: 🔴 MB: 6% 🔴 AB: 6% 🔴 BC: 4% 🔴 SK: 3% Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
open.substack.com
Western Canadians Cooling On Separation
While many believe they'd be better off on their own, support for leaving remains low
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Department of Offense
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Featuring @scotvoting.bsky.social data and our recent blog You can read it, and other great SES analysis, here: scottishelections.ac.uk/category/blog/
scottishelections.ac.uk
Blog
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Benedict Douglas @benedictdouglas.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
Lovely use of the phrase "constitutional Tetris" in explaining why lack of effective devolved (and local?) democracy in England enables Farage to stir up xenophobia
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Alain-G. Gagnon @alainggagnon.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
centre.irpp.org/research-stu...
centre.irpp.org
A Less Resentful Federation? Findings from the 2025 Provincial Resentment Index - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation
The fourth edition of the Provincial Resentment Index shows that, on average, Canadians feel slightly less aggrieved about their province’s place in the federation than at any point since the index wa...
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
Same is visible in SQA data (which admittedly is begging out for control vars like course choice) Large gap at Nat5 Visible gap at Highers Gone by Adv Highers - pity we don't use those for uni entrance as much www.itv.com/news/2025-08...
itv.com
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Andy Philip @andydphilip.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
I grew up near the route of the old Aberdeen-Ellon-Fraserburgh railway - it would have made my life a lot easier. Freight was still using the line after oil was struck, and towns mushroomed. Maybe a pipe dream, but this would be great for the region. www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/politics/...
pressandjournal.co.uk
Fraserburgh and Peterhead now 'strongest candidates in Scotland' for new rail links
Campaigners say it’s more important than ever to reverse historic railway cuts in north Aberdeenshire - ahead of a major energy conference.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
I think it's really nice they do this but this is my fairly regular request that someone in the PSA puts the Scottish Higher results day in the diary and creates an equivalent post. We need Scottish students to study politics as well.
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UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
❗Calling all social scientists ❗ 🔎 Want your work to get noticed by non-academic audiences? Our blog page provides clear and insightful analysis on topical issues, especially UK-EU relations🇬🇧🇪🇺 Got an idea? Send it to info@ukandeu.ac.uk Check out our latest blogs 👉 ukandeu.ac.uk/analysis/blo...
ukandeu.ac.uk
Blogs - UK in a changing Europe
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Scott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
A new iPhone update threatens to upend public opinion research, particularly state and local polls - Op-ed from pollster Patrick Ruffini www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | How Apple could send democracy to the spam folder
An iPhone update threatens to upend public opinion research.
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
More SQA data Attainment gap for girls and boys %A at National 5 Girls 43.6 Boys 34.7 %A at Higher Girls 34.1 Boys 27.0 %A at Adv Higher Girls 31.6 Boys 31.1 www.sqa.org.uk/sqa/114507.h...
sqa.org.uk
SQA
SQA - Scottish Qualifications Authority
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Happy SQA results day (To me, who has 7 more to enjoy 🥳🫠) Amidst the stats released re #s going to Sc uni, might also be worth reporting Sc clearing degrees available to those from Sc schools vs rUK on UCAS site Strathclyde Sc students 0 RUK students 223 degrees available via clearing. Or ...
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Civil Service World @civilserviceworld.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Sir Robert Chote, who has been chair since June 2022, announced his resignation last month www.civilserviceworld.com/professions/...
civilserviceworld.com
Cabinet Office launches search for UK Statistics Authority chair
Penny Young, deputy chair of UKSA's board, to be interim chair when Sir Robert Chote departs
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
There it is: call for papers, inaugural conference of @epssnet.bsky.social in Belfast, 2026. Please send your best work and support this new important initiative! epssnet.org/belfast-2026/
epssnet.org
EPSS 2026 Conference | June 18–20 | ICC Belfast, UK
Join top political scientists for the EPSS 2026 Annual Conference in Belfast. Submit papers, attend panels, and network with fellow researchers.
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Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Quick reminder of this time limited offer on the latest "Nuffield" study, which will be out in the autumn - 25% off with Waterstones online until tomorrow
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University of Edinburgh - School of Social and Political Science @uoe-sps.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Don’t miss our very own SPS academics taking part in this year’s Festival of Politics. Nida Alahmad - Peace in the Middle East? Leah McCabe - The rise of misogyny Hayley Bennett - Holyrood 2026 the big issues Benjamin Martill - How safe is Europe? www.festivalofpolitics.scot
Don’t miss our very own SPS academics taking part in this year’s Festival of Politics.
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Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Understanding your members is vital - but many organisations struggle to know what data to collect or what to ask Our new report, funded by @acadsocsciences.bsky.social sciences.bsky.social & ESRC, shares best practice to help membership bodies build a clearer, data-driven picture
rss.org.uk
RSS publishes new guidance to help membership organisations maximise their data
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Civil Service World @civilserviceworld.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Funding announcement comes as MPs warn of “severe challenges” faced by research and innovation sector www.civilserviceworld.com/professions/...
civilserviceworld.com
UKRI commits extra £168m for public sector data-linking work
Funding announcement comes as MPs warn of “severe challenges” faced by research and innovation sector
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Andrew Parkin @parkinac.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
I think @cbreton.bsky.social is understating how useful and even important this image from the resentment index is. I guess the succinct way to summarize it is: this explains a lot.
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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
The piece bemoans that polls include the views of people the author doesn't think much of. But whether they, or I, agree with people doesn't take away their voice, their vote or their citizenship. Polls are a democratic leveller, far preferable to elitism of thinking only some views should count.
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Citizen Participation @oliverescobar.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
🤔 What's the point of democratic innovation? Can it address crurrent crises and build democracies for the future? 💡In this new article @adrianbua.bsky.social and I argue that the field needs to strengthen its change-making orientation and capacity. Open access 👉🏼 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Democratic innovation for change: A participatory corrective to deliberative hegemony - Oliver Escobar, Adrian Bua, 2025
The world faces social, political, economic, and ecological crises, and there is doubt that democratic governance can cope. Democracies rely on a narrow set of ...
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Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
For folks newly interested in 16 year olds voting can I recommend years of scholarship by @eichhornjan.bsky.social in Scottish setting Also, in 2014 indyref the risk survey showed youngest members of electorate were our ideal deliberative citizens, most open minded in their info sources
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Andy Arthur💃🏰⚓🦌 Threadinburgh 🧵 @threadinburgh.scot · 16/07/2025
"The Potato Eight". 🥔🥔🥔🥔🥔🥔🥔🥔 These "glamour girls" of the Potato Marketing Board toured British seaside resorts in summer 1939 to promote eating potatoes as a route to health and efficiency and "overturn old fashioned notions about the potato being taboo for the woman who wants to keep her figure" 🤸
newsprint photo. 8 young women are kneeling down and hold up signs that spell out "The Potato Eight", each is in a matching gymanstic outfit. Behind them is an art deco swimming pavilion.
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 10/07/2025
A beautiful, beautiful refutation of a very strange claim about #farright voting in #Germany that can 𝘢𝘭𝘴𝘰 serve as a methodological primer
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UK Data Service Impact @ukdsimpact.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
🖥️New on the Data Impact blog 🖥️ Annie Flynn from @royalstatsoc.bsky.social introduces the launch of a new open access journal, RSS: Data Science and AI, and the relaunch of the digital platform Real World Data Science. blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk/a-steadying-...
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