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Sara M

@saramussen.bsky.social
147 followers 168 following 127 posts

She/Her mostly here to listen and learn but I wrote this a few years back if you are interested and want to give a read.... www.theporchcommunity.net/essays/20…

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Reposted by Sara M
Congresswoman Sara Jacobs @sarajacobs.house.gov · 16/10/2026
We need to end this new ICE surge in San Diego, but more than that, we need to get ICE out of our communities. Their tactics are traumatizing our kids and ripping families apart.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
In case you missed it live earlier, my "big October El Niño update" was recorded and is now available. This was a bit of a marathon session, but I covered a lot of ground and answered quite a few excellent viewer questions submitted via live chat! Check it out.
youtu.be
The big October El Niño update: Status check on El Niño, still expected to become historic,& impacts
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive #weather and #climate-focused "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain. 10/13/2026 topics: This will be the long-promised "big October El Niño update." I'll offer a comprehensive overview of current conditions, forecasts, and observat
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Here it is: My big October update on the now near-record/record-strength El Niño event and the still-increasing likelihood of significant California impacts this winter. This deep-dive post is meant to accompany my Tuesday 1pm PT livestream.
weatherwest.com
El Niño, already near/at record intensity, will further strengthen to historic level and likely bring major California & SW U.S. winter impacts - Weather West
October 12, 2026 - Daniel Swain - A quick recap of the forecast vs real-world evolution of El Niño 2026 thus far An El Niño event officially developed in the tropical Pacific Ocean earlier this summer, and it has strengthened almost continually since that point. In fact, as of mid-October, the 2026 El Niño event has already become the strongest on record #
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
On Tuesday, Oct 13 at 1pm PT, I'll have my "big October El Niño" update. There's a lot to discuss regarding this extremely strong event and the growing likelihood of substantial California & SW US impacts.
youtube.com
The big October El Niño update: Status check on El Niño, still expected to become historic,& impacts - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive #weather and #climate-focused "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain. 10/13/2026 topics: ...
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Reposted by Sara M
National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 10/10/2026
Tropical Storm Rachel will bring hazardous conditions to Baja California and the Southwest this weekend, including damaging winds, flash flooding, and life-threatening surf and rip currents. Coastal flooding and erosion are also expected to worsen. hurricanes.gov
National Hurricane Center forecast issued at 11 AM PDT October 10, 2026, showing Tropical Storm Rachel over the Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and moving northeast at 22 mph. Rachel is forecast to approach the northern Baja California coast Sunday morning before weakening to a tropical depression over the southwestern United States by Sunday evening. Tropical storm warnings (blue) and watches (yellow) are in effect for portions of Baja California and Southern California. The white cone shows the probable path of the storm's center, not the full extent of hazardous conditions.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Rapid response blog post on Tropical Storm Rachel and the growing potential for notable Southern California/SW US impacts. Will also be going live on YouTube at Noon Pacific Time (15 minutes!) to discus. #CAwx
weatherwest.com
Remarkable weather weekend ahead as Tropical Storm Rachel approaches San Diego and early-season trough ends record-breaking autumn heatwave - Weather West
October 9, 2026 - Daniel Swain - One of SoCal's worst late-season heatwaves on record finally breaking (after breaking records) I am writing this quick post rapidly from my hotel room, so it'll rely more heavily on embedded social media threads than usual. But I would be remiss if I didn't write something up regarding the remarkable weather weekend coming up in #
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 09/10/2026
#Rachel is expected to approach the coast of the northern Baja CA Peninsula and extreme Southern CA at tropical storm strength Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of western Baja California, Mexico where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect.
National Hurricane Center forecast for Tropical Storm Rachel, issued October 9, 2026, at 2 PM PDT. Rachel has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and is moving northeast at 7 mph. The storm is forecast to move northeast toward the Baja California Peninsula, then weaken while approaching southern California and Nevada over the weekend. Tropical storm warnings are indicated along portions of Baja California, with tropical storm watches along nearby coastal areas. The forecast cone represents the probable path of the storm's center, and hazardous conditions can occur outside the cone.Weather Prediction Center map showing flash flood risk across the Southwest. A Moderate Risk (red) covers portions of southeastern California near the Arizona border, south of Las Vegas. A broader Slight Risk (yellow) extends from southern California into southern Nevada, surrounded by a Marginal Risk (green) covering portions of California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah.Weather Prediction Center map showing an expanded flash flood risk across the Southwest. A Moderate Risk (red) stretches from southeastern California through southern Nevada, including Las Vegas. A broad Slight Risk (yellow) covers portions of southern California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah, with a surrounding Marginal Risk (green) extending farther north and east.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 09/10/2026
The US will be impacted by 2 tropical systems this weekend. Hurricane #Isaias is approaching the Gulf Coast today & Tropical Storm #Rachel will approach the West Coast later this weekend. Be sure to keep up to date with the latest from BOTH storms at hurricanes.gov and weather.gov.
Satellite imagery overlaid with three forecast track cones: Rachel tracking toward Southern California/Nevada, Simon moving north into western Mexico, and Isaias tracking from the Gulf of Mexico northeast across the U.S.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
As noted earlier this summer, episodes like this in California will become less rare as climate (and, thus, tropical/subtropical oceans) continue to warm due to climate change. One of the first studies on this was just published earlier this summer.
nature.com
Increasing tropical cyclone rainfall and landslide risk in Southern California
Nature Climate Change - Southern California is rarely affected by tropical cyclones at present. Here the authors show that this could change with warming, leading to an increase in landslide risk...
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Ocean temperatures anomalies of this magnitude are, quite frankly, astonishing (and yes, they are clearly record-breaking)--made possible by a combination of an extremely strong El Niño acting atop a severe pre-existing marine heatwave amplified by climate change.
Map from cyclonicwx.com showing where water temperatures in the Eastern Pacific are currently record warm (cross-hatched areas). There is a large blob of such waters right in the path of TS Rachel.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Rachel is actually expected to *restrengthen* slightly into strong TS, with sustained winds around 60-65mph prior to landfall. That is not far below hurricane strength (74 mph). Despite a relatively stable & dry airmass, ocean temperatures are *10-13F* above average in vicinity.
Map of Pacific basin-wide SST anomalies. Most locations are extremely warming, especially the equatorial zone (associated with a record-strength El Nino event) and right west of the coast of Baja CA (in Rachel's path).
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Tropical Storm Rachel, which is now expected to make landfall near MX/CA border, is not currently a very impressive-looking tropical cyclone, with sparse deep convection & clear dry mid-level air intrusion. However, ambient ocean conditions are extraordinarily warm... [Thread]
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
The NOAA National Hurricane Center has just issued a Tropical Storm Watch part coastal Southern California, including city/county of San Diego. This is only second time such a product has ever been issued for any part of California (TS Hilary in 2023 was other instance). #CAwx
Official graphic from NOAA NHC showing projected path of TS Rachel, including Tropical Storm Watches that have been issued for northern Baja, CA, MX and southern California, CA, USA.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 09/10/2026
There is another tropical system set to impact the West Coast. Tropical Storm #Rachel will be approaching southern California later this weekend. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for southern California. Get the latest at hurricanes.gov and weather.gov.
Note: The cone contains the probable path of the storm center but does not show the size of the storm. Hazardous conditions can occur outside of the cone.   Details & Current Information:Storm: Tropical Storm Rachel   Date & Time: Friday October 09, 2026, 8 AM PDT Advisory 50   Issuer: NWS National Hurricane Center   Center Location: $22.8^\circ\text{N}, 124.6^\circ\text{W}$   Max Sustained Wind: 50 mph   Movement: NE at 5 mph   Forecast Positions:8 AM Fri: Tropical Storm ('S')   5 AM Sat / 5 PM Sat / 5 AM Sun / 5 PM Sun: Tropical Storm ('S')   Watches & Warnings:Tropical Storm Watch (Yellow): Baja California Peninsula coast and Southern California coastline   Map Description:
Forecast cone showing Tropical Storm Rachel moving northeast from the Eastern Pacific toward the northern Baja California Peninsula and Southern California/Nevada region.  Tropical Storm Watch vs. Tropical Storm Warning

   
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Tropical Storm Watch (Yellow):

   
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A Tropical Storm Watch is issued when tropical storm conditions are possible, typically within 48 hours.

   
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Prepare your home by securing loose items outside or moving them indoors. Have an emergency supply kit ready and charge your devices.   
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Tropical Storm Winds Possible.

   
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Tropical Storm Warning (Blue):

   
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A Tropical Storm Warning is issued when tropical storm conditions are expected, typically within 36 hours.

   
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Follow the advice of local officials and be ready to seek shelter in a sturdy structure.   
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Tropical Storm Winds Expected!
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Just did some number crunching using latest (Oct 1) ECMWF seasonal data, and I must say that I've never seen such high predictive confidence in a very wet California winter. This is a truly extraordinary forecast amid a record-strength El Niño event. [Thread: please read to end.]
Model-relative sea surface temperature anomalies for November 2026–January 2027. The supplied grid is displayed without added smoothing or coastal filling. Beige marks land and gray marks missing ocean values. The main colour scale spans -2 to +10°F, with white at zero. Hot pink marks anomalies above +10°F. This map does not establish an operational ENSO category.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 22/09/2026
John Oliver is right: One huge company shouldn’t own your doctor, your insurer, and your pharmacy – AND get to squeeze every penny out of you at each step.
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Jonathan Edward Durham @thisone0verhere.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
I know it’s hard to watch all these beautiful things be carried away by time and see the wrong things growing in their place. But listen. Listen. We have to be the beautiful things now. It has to be us. It has to be us. Courage.
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Dane is at TsunamiCon and Bird Oktoberfest. @monkeyminion.com · 31/07/2026
Don’t forget! Amongst all the con craziness, we are still running a #Kickstarter for The Big Book of Borbs! Thank you to everyone who has already backed it! We can’t wait to get it into your hands!! www.kickstarter.com/projects/mon...
Book of Borbs Kickstarter image
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Congresswoman Sara Jacobs @sarajacobs.house.gov · 17/05/2026
No matter what state you’re in, the Supreme Court’s gutting of the Voting Rights Act is attack on us all — and we need YOU to pull up and fight back.
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 26/03/2026
He lost in court FIVE times trying to kill these projects that would have powered over a million homes. So he decided to buy his way out of it instead. Yes, you heard that right. The President of the United States is literally spending your tax dollars to make your energy bills more expensive.
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 26/03/2026
Trump is paying a foreign company nearly $1 BILLION of YOUR money to stop building wind farms in America that would have lowered your electricity bills.
nytimes.com
Trump Administration to Pay $1 Billion to Energy Giant to Cancel Wind Farms
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Nature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 10/03/2026
COVID-19 infection is associated with a 2.3-fold risk of developing acute kidney injury, a 1.4-fold risk of chronic kidney disease, and a 4.7-fold risk of end-stage renal disease compared to influenza, reports a study published in Communications Medicine. 🧪
go.nature.com
The risk of kidney disease increases following SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to influenza - Communications Medicine
Zhang et al. utilized a large real-world dataset from more than three million adults in the United States to compare the incident of kidney disease risks following COVID-19 and influenza infections. The study found that COVID-19 is associated with a higher risk of acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease, and end stage renal disease than influenza.
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Wil Wheaton ❌👑 @wilwheaton.net · 11/02/2026
Y'all, ICE thugs are still terrorizing people in Minneapolis and St. Paul. They are counting on America looking away, and it's currently working. Please tell everyone you know, please reach out to people with huge followings, and ask them to help refocus our attention on the ongoing abuses.
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
Leading American companies — including Palantir, Deloitte, and private prison giant GEO Group — raked in over $22B from ICE and CBP contracts last year. Do not forget who is profiting from cruelty and human suffering.
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Leah @leah.myatproto.social · 28/01/2026
#ClimateSky #ScienceSky #AgSky 🧪🩺 ✈️ 🌧️ 🌱
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
“Imagine how they lie when there’s no evidence to contradict them.” Watch this powerful message from Jon Stewart.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 25/01/2026
“Please get the truth out about our son.” Read and share the statement from the parents of Alex Pretti, the VA ICU nurse who was shot and killed by border patrol.
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 25/01/2026
Senate Democrats must block the bill providing additional funding for ICE. ICE already received a massive enforcement windfall in the Big Ugly Bill. In light of ongoing abuses and lack of accountability, Congress should not be writing yet another blank check.
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Congresswoman Sara Jacobs @sarajacobs.house.gov · 25/01/2026
Justice for Alex Pretti.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 24/01/2026
AOC: "An ICE officer had violently pushed a woman to the ground and he had come over to help get her up and that is what precipitated this incident that very quickly led to an execution in the streets. What we are seeing here is a momentous pivotal moment for the United States."
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Max Berger @maxberger.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
I wish Democrats would start just speaking the truth: “ICE is killing American citizens in public for exercising their freedom of speech because Donald Trump wants to be a king. This isn’t about immigration—Trump wants to make it illegal to oppose him, and to stay in power until he dies.”
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
I genuinely think boycotting the World Cup is some of the strongest leverage the Europeans have.
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Bruce Little @brucedlittle.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Four-time Grammy Award nominee Jesse Welles performs his song "Join Ice." Bob Dylan once said a single folk singer could defeat an entire army. Ladies and gentlemen, I think we have our man.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
If you're living somewhere outside the USA, one thing you can do is pressure your leaders to boycott World Cup and Olympic events here.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 14/11/2025
An unusually strong storm system will bring widespread rain to southern California through Sunday. The period of most concern is tonight through Saturday night when a large area of heavy rain and isolated but potentially severe thunderstorms will bring a moderate risk of... (1/2)
A Level 3 out of 4, moderate risk, for excessive rainfall is in place across southern California including Sant Barbara, to Los Angeles, Long Beach, and Santa Clarita.
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Congresswoman Sara Jacobs @sarajacobs.house.gov · 13/11/2025
San Diego: now is the time to prepare for this weekend's storm. Take a look at these tips to prepare and find out how to report any damage or issues.
Background: image of the view through rainy windshield of car on a freeway. 

Text: WEATHER ALERT: Atmospheric river set to drench San Diego this weekend. An intense storm is poised to bring strong rain, wind, cooler temperatures, and maybe even thunderstorms to San Diego as an atmospheric river sweeps across Southern California this weekend. The biggest impacts are expected Friday through Sunday as the storm moves from north to south, with Saturday being the most intense day of rain. [CBS8 logo]

Are you prepared? [arrow]Background: image of the view through rainy windshield of car on a freeway. 

Text: HOW TO PREPARE: 
Sign up for Alert San Diego notifications for all of your telephone numbers. www.alertsandiego.org. 

Pick up free bags and/or sand (SD County/CalFire). Find a location:
bit.ly/sd-sandbags

For additional information on how to protect yourself and your property: www.readysandiego.org Background: image of the view through rainy windshield of car on a freeway. 

Text: WHERE TO REPORT:

Blocked storm drains, potholes and broken street lights — San Diego City’s Get It Done app or go to www.sandiego.gov/get-it-done. 

Flooding — San Diego City's emergency dispatch center: (619) 527-7500

Downed electrical lines or gas emergencies — San Diego Gas and Electric: (800) 411-7343
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NPR @npr.org · 05/11/2025
JUST IN: Mamdani, a democratic socialist and state assemblymember, will make history as the first Muslim and South Asian person — as well as the youngest in over a century — to serve as New York City mayor.
n.pr
Mamdani wins New York City mayoral race, in a historic victory for progressives
Mamdani, a democratic socialist and state assemblymember, will make history as the first Muslim and South Asian person — as well as the youngest in over a century — to serve as New York City mayor.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Motherfucking wind farms…
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
From 1980-2002 THREE storms acheived extreme rapid intensification. From 2003-2025 EIGHTEEN storms achieved extreme rapid intensification. 6X increase! It’s not coincidence, it’s climate change! (source of data Dr Kieran Bhatia x.com/bhatiakieran...)
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CA Health & Human Services @calhhs.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
As the federal government shutdown disrupts critical food benefits, food banks across the state are available to assist Californians in need. Dial 2-1-1 to speak with someone about services available in your area, or find a local food bank near you at cafoodbanks.org/our-members.
CalHHS Secretary Kim Johnson with Governor Gavin Newsom and Attorney General Rob Bonta.
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Governor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 29/10/2025
As part of today's historic return of ancestral land in the Sierra Nevada foothills and Central Valley back to the Tule River Tribe, the Department of Fish and Wildlife is helping reintroduce tule elk to the area. It's a critical step in restoring balance to the lands and waters of their ancestors.
Governor Newsom announces the return of 17,030 acres of ancestral land to the Tule River Indian Tribe and the reintroduction of tule elk to the area.Governor Newsom announces the return of 17,030 acres of ancestral land to the Tule River Indian Tribe and the reintroduction of tule elk to the area.
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Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
NOAA’s hurricane research division staff has been cut from 52 in 2020 to 28 in 2025, almost a 50% cut. They’ve resorted to using volunteers to man the critical radar and dropsonde stations on Hurricane Hunter flights. Senseless cuts in an era of climate change making the strongest storms stronger.
nytimes.com
Volunteers Step In to Help Understaffed NOAA Track Hurricane Melissa
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Governor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 28/10/2025
2,500 pantries supported across the state $80M in state funds fast-tracked for distribution 390 @calvolunteers.bsky.social — with hundreds more waiting in the wings And National Guard men and women deployed, proud to be the good guys We will not just let Californians in need go hungry.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Jamaica, in particular, will likely suffer catastrophic impacts from now rapidly-intensifying (but slow-moving) Hurricane #Melissa. A *Category 5* landfall now appears to be the most likely outcome, & 30-40+ inches of *additional* rain in mountains will lead to extreme flooding.
Official graphic depicting potential rainfall from Melissa in the Carribbean from the National Hurricane Center. Over 30-40 inches may locally fall in the mountains of Jamaica. Note that additional rainfall may fall, beyond indicated here, outside of the 4 day window mentioned.
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 03/10/2025
Here’s what we’re fighting for: Americans could see their premiums raised by an average of 114 PERCENT if Congress doesn’t extend Affordable Care Act tax credits. A 60-year-old couple making $85,000 will see their health care costs increase by $22,600! Totally unacceptable.
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Juan Escalante @juanescalante.com · 18/09/2025
DISNEY: Wins 5 Emmys for ANDOR, a show about resisting fascism ALSO DISNEY: Bends the knee to the federal government and suspends Jimmy Jimmy Kimmel for resisting fascism
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Writers Guild of America West @wgawest.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
WGA Statement on ABC’s Decision to Pull Jimmy Kimmel Live!
The right to speak our minds and to disagree with each other - to disturb, even - is at the very heart of what it means to be a free people. It is not to be denied. Not by violence, not by the abuse of governmental power, nor by acts of corporate cowardice.
As a Guild, we stand united in opposition to anyone who uses their power and influence to silence the voices of writers, or anyone who speaks in dissent. If free speech applied only to ideas we like, we needn't have bothered to write it into the Constitution. What we have signed on to - painful as it may be at times - is the freeing agreement to disagree.
Shame on those in government who forget this founding truth. As for our employers, our words have made you rich.
Silencing us impoverishes the whole world.
The WA stands with Jimmy Kimmel and his writers.
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Margaret Cho @margaretcho.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
No matter what he cancels he can’t cancel himself off the Epstein list.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 18/09/2025
First Colbert, now Kimmel. Last-minute settlements, secret side deals, multi-billion dollar mergers pending Donald Trump's approval. Trump silencing free speech stifles our democracy. It sure looks like giant media companies are enabling his authoritarianism.
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 30/07/2025
TSUNAMI WARNING 3: See tsunami.gov for alert areas. M8.7 080mi SE Petropavlovsk, Kamchatka 1625PDT Jul 29
tsunami.gov
U.S. Tsunami Warning Centers
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