iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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NBER @nber.org · 24/08/2026

Designing a method for measuring the risk preferences of agents in the deep past, from @remylevin.bsky.social and Daniela Vidart www.nber.org/papers/w35634

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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 06/07/2026

@remylevin.bsky.social & @danielavidart.bsky.social combine American panel and survey data to show that labour markets that prime-aged men experienced while growing up shaped their willingness to work decades later. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

The figure plot the cohort decomposition of male labour force participation and lifetime labour market experiences.

Labour force participation among prime-aged American men has fallen for over half a century, and standard explanations leave much of the decline unaccounted for. This column combines panel and survey data to show that the labour markets these men experienced while growing up shaped their willingness to work decades later. These effects survive childhood moves across states and likely operate through men’s beliefs about whether work will pay off. If temporary downturns in labour demand can persistently influence labour supply, anchoring expectations about employment, not just inflation, may have a place in macroeconomic policy.

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Reposted by Remy Levin

NBER @nber.org · 18/06/2026

The 50-year decline in US male labor force participation is partly driven by men’s beliefs about the returns to work, shaped by lifetime experiences of male labor markets, from @remylevin.bsky.social and Daniela Vidart www.nber.org/papers/w35327

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Jonathan Birch @birchlse.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).

An email from Martin Peterson to university administrators.

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Laura K Gee @laurakgee.bsky.social · 03/12/2025

Enjoy this huskie + basketball french toile wallpaper) from a great visit @uconn.bsky.social including pizza with @davidesimon.bsky.social @danielavidart.bsky.social @remylevin.bsky.social and a visit to the Dairy Bar with @deliafurtado.bsky.social, bonus was seeing @nataliemillar.bsky.social

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Delia Furtado @deliafurtado.bsky.social · 11/11/2025

Nothing like waking up to find out your colleagues have a WP out that makes you rethink the interpretation of one of your papers! We show that weaker work norms increase the likelihood of going on DI when times are tough, but worth thinking about where those norms come from:

delia-furtado.uconn.edu

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 11/11/2025

🦶New version of our WP “Nobody Wants to Work Anymore”🦶w/ @danielavidart.bsky.social Headline: a major contributor to the 50-year decline in U.S. male labor force participation is changes in men's beliefs about returns to work, shaped by lifetime experiences of aggregate male labor markets.

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Paul Macklin @mathcancer.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

So once they identified today's Nobel prize recipients, they couldn't quite track them down.

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Mindy Weisberger @laminda.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

Whatever you're doing, STOP RIGHT THIS SECOND and watch a sperm whale gulp down a squid, I promise you will not regret it

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Molly Jong-Fast @mollyjongfast.bsky.social · 18/09/2025

They are literally canceling culture

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Richard Tol @richardtol.bsky.social · 07/09/2025

Hassett prepping lies for confirmation hearing.

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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 07/09/2025

Excellent piece by Ezra Klein: if Dems really believe that Trump is creating an authoritarian government they should not continue to fund it. The shutdown is their only leverage right now to draw attention to what is happening and maybe force change. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/07/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Stop Acting Like This Is Normal

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 07/09/2025

Many studies claim a steady decline of cognitive ability with age, starting from as earlier as one’s twenties. But this research is flawed, argues Aaron Dymarskiy—more accurate research finds it does not peak until at least age 60: buff.ly/SiVx5ve

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Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

The biggest analytical weakness of Americans in trying to understand the current moment is that their powers of analogy begin and end with US history. The idea that something qualitatively different might be arising simply doesn’t occur to them.

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Florian Ederer @florianederer.bsky.social · 03/09/2025

We usually rely on GDP, trade, or wages to study the past. This amazing paper flips the script. It analyzes 630,000 paintings (1400-2000) to extract emotions and shows how art tracks living standards, wars, inequality, and even climate shocks. (How is this economics? Everything is economics!)

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Kai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 03/09/2025

About this Florida vaccine story: When they were little - 1 yr and 3 1/2 - my two older boys, who’d had all their shots, got whooping cough. We asked their pediatrician what would’ve happened if they hadn’t been vaccinated. “Oh, they’d have died.”

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

I’ve got a new working paper with @danielavidart.bsky.social, hot off the press. We develop a new method for measuring the risk preferences of agents in the past, and apply it to the U.S. from 1890-1920. Check it out! Feedback is welcome. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/chcof...

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Rebecca Sear @rebeccasear.bsky.social · 10/08/2025

Essay which clearly outlines the scientific and ethical problems with selecting embryos for polygenic traits. Scientists associating themselves with embryo selection companies, and those who’ve previously defended sociogenomics but are staying silent on these companies, come in for criticism here

Imagine a world in which a very effective polygenic score for depression is developed, and it really takes off. Everyone starts reproducing that way, and selecting embryos to try to protect their kids from depression.
What would happen? We have no effing idea what would happen. That means embryo selection companies face a dilemma: they can rely on the fact that polygenic scores for behavior don't work well enough to make a difference one way or another, or they are conducting unregulated experiments on human babies, never mind the human genome at large.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 03/08/2025

I think this is naive. Human curiosity isn’t going away, but science requires real resources. The US is the world’s largest economy, and US scientific output dwarfs that of any other country. A major contraction in US science means a major contraction in global science.

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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 02/08/2025

Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements This is a big deal

August 1, 2025
AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
Committee on Economic Statistics and Committee on Government Relations

Statement from the American Economic Association on the
Dismissal of the BLS Commissioner

Leaders of the American Economic Association express their grave concern over the dismissal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today.
The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions. Undermining the independence or credibility of these agencies threatens the integrity of the information that markets, institutions, and the public rely on every day.
Measuring the vast and dynamic U.S. economy in real time is inherently challenging. It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as more complete and higher-quality data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor-not failure or bias.
The BLS has long had a well-deserved reputation for professional excellence and nonpartisan integrity.
Safeguarding this tradition is vital for the continued health of the U.S. economy and public trust in our institutions.
We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure.

Lawrence Katz
President, American Economic Association
Katharine Abraham
President-Elect, American Economic Association
Karen Dynan
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Economic Statistics
Kenneth Troske
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Government Relations

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Chris Kluwe @chriswarcraft.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

There are no job losses in Ba Sing Se

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

So when are we starting to monitor US GDP with nightlights?

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Kai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

Okay, *now you can start to worry about data being manipulated.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 02/07/2025

I suspect we won’t see true AGI until we have quantum computing on lock

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Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Everything that’s happened over the past six months has been a response to an imaginary crisis. There is no immigrant invasion. No trade crisis. No scientific or governance crisis. Just people completely high off their own supply trying to fundamentally reorder society. None of this had to happen.

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lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

I love this imagery: seeing Buddha meditating under a tree and about to achieve enlightenment Mara's army attacks. But such is the power of peaceful calm around Gautama that as arrows and spears approach they transform into flowers, and fall gently to the ground around Buddha. I reflect on it often.

A richly detailed Tibetan Buddhist thangka painting depicting the scene of Siddhartha Gautama's enlightenment. The Buddha sits serenely in meditation on a lotus pedestal beneath the Bodhi tree, encircled by an aura. Surrounding him are armies of demonic figures sent by Mara, shown charging with weapons, fierce expressions, and dramatic gestures, yet their attacks dissolve before reaching him. Above, deities and celestial beings emerge from clouds, sending beams of light toward the Buddha, symbolising divine support. The backdrop includes stylised mountains and swirling clouds, enhancing the cosmic and spiritual atmosphere of the moment.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

We should redefine the Singularity as the inevitable moment when one banana will in fact cost $10, Michael.

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Shai Carmi @shaicarmi.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

Great short popular article on the current status of possibly-Denisovan fossils, and which species they may represent. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

nature.com

Who were the ancient Denisovans? Fossils reveal secrets about the mysterious humans

Clues are emerging about the ghostly clan that settled eastern Asia and left a genetic legacy in people today.

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Sera Markoff @profsera.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

Many others are posting abt this too but this graphic viscerally shows how dire the presidential budget is for NASA 🔭🧪and worldwide astronomy. I can’t express how sad this makes me, as an American scientist. And it’s mostly already paid for projects, so also no logic in terms of saving money.

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The Onion @theonion.com · 30/05/2025

Novelty Car Horn Playing ‘La Cucaracha’ Sends Stephen Miller Into Dissociative Fugue State theonion.com/novelty...

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 27/05/2025

Credit where credit is due: o3 is incredible. Hard to believe you get access to this technology for $20/month.

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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 26/05/2025

The obliteration of this survey is a terrible loss to social science.

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Pete Buttigieg @petebuttigieg.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

America cannot long remain free, nor first among nations, if it becomes the kind of place where universities are dismantled because they don't align politically with the current head of the government.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Trump is not protecting American Jews against antisemitism. On the contrary, he’s spreading and normalizing it.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

Man, this brand of commentary is so tedious. LLMs are obviously an extremely useful technology. Pretending like they’re not, or that there’s some kind of unique shame in using them, is just silly. More broadly, moralistic environmental critiques that emphasize austerity are tired and ineffective.

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Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

This is an astonishing deliberate reversal of technological progress, the stuff Dark Ages are made of. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/01/u...

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Mike Shor @mikeshor.com · 18/04/2025

🎓It’s a rare privilege to mentor someone like Ana—brilliant, curious, and kind. Ana’s research asks tough questions about gender, work, and family. Congrats, Dr. Karaban! 👏 #PhDone #EconSky @akaraban.bsky.social @remylevin.bsky.social @deliafurtado.bsky.social

Department mailer congratulating Ana Karaban on defending her dissertation

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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 11/04/2025

The Trump adminstration's attack on colleges and universities is going to make America poorer in the short run and a lot poorer in the long run.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

And that thing is our system of government and economy being actively transformed from a high-growth liberal democracy to a low-growth oligarchic kleptocracy.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

Similar error in this piece, imo, as in critiques of carbon capture and removal. It’s not either/or-we need both. And the evidence that de-extinction is taking away funds or focus from “pre-extinction” conservation efforts is nonexistent.

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Ernie Tedeschi @ernietedeschi.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

Long-run consumer expectations in the UMich survey rise to their highest level since April 1995. Note that when @weakinstrument.bsky.social & I dug in, we found that the shift to online methodology did *not* significantly affect short- or long-run expectations in the survey, just sentiment.

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Remy Levin @remylevin.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

Curious that both NOAA and NCAR have had "scheduled maintenance" in the last week that had not been previously announced. 🤔

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Ryan Bernardoni @dangercart.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

The banning of "Confirmation bias" when you've already blamed "bias" is a confirmation of one's bias

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