Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/03/2026and @kevinpgallagher.bsky.social @debtjustice.bsky.social @cgdev.org @agelpern.bsky.social @theomaret.bsky.social @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social @veron.bsky.social 010
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/03/2026Could be of interest to @mileskahler.bsky.social @laynamosley.bsky.social @rickyclark.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social @danielmcdowell.bsky.social @mcopelov.bsky.social @jeffcolgan.bsky.social @lipscy.bsky.social @peterrosendorff.bsky.social @marinazucker.bsky.social 120
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/03/2026It offers 8 recommendations, including w/r to threshold effects from income classification; political threats to sustainability; analysis of institutional strength; climate considerations; and Bank-Fund collaboration. DSAs cannot be perfect, but they should not be perceived as biased. RTs welcome. 110
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/03/2026My new paper has just been posted by the Global Governance program at Carnegie. Debt sustainability analyses, produced by the IMF and World Bank, critically determine financing to and debt restructuring needed from low-income countries. I examine their framework (LIC-DSF), currently under review.carnegieendowment.orgGetting Debt Sustainability Analysis Right: Eight Reforms for the Framework for Low-Income CountriesThe pace of change in the global economy suggests that the IMF and World Bank could be ambitious as they review their debt sustainability framework. 172
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/05/2025We’ll discuss competitiveness, defense, competition, fiscal integration and EU autonomy. Should be of interest to @katemcnamara.bsky.social @erik-jones.bsky.social @rdanielkeleman.bsky.social @vanghel.bsky.social @manuelamoschella.bsky.social @waltraudschelkle.bsky.social 020
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/05/2025At #EUSA2025 many great panels on Europe in realignment, internally and externally. See our panel on the Draghi Report and Transatlantic Relations, Saturday, 8:30, Homer. With @ofioretos.bsky.social Amy Verdun, Mark Pollack, Matthias Matthijs, @jefeja.bsky.social 170
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 18/03/2025www.ft.com/content/8074...ft.comGermany’s parliament approves Friedrich Merz’s €1tn spending planChancellor-in-waiting uses outgoing Bundestag to loosen debt brake and unleash investments in defence and infrastructure 010
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 18/03/2025www.ft.com/content/8074...ft.comGermany’s parliament approves Friedrich Merz’s €1tn spending planChancellor-in-waiting uses outgoing Bundestag to loosen debt brake and unleash investments in defence and infrastructure 030
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 18/03/2025The end of an era in German economic policy and the beginning of a new one: Bundestag approves Friedrich Merz’s €1tn spending plan 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 05/12/2024The report solidifies two dueling narratives, one a diagnosis of illiquidity, the other of debt unsustain- ability, to play out in the coming months. 020
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/12/2024WB 2024 debt report is now published. "[A] metastasizing solvency crisis .... continues to be misdiagnosed as a liquidity problem in many of the poorest countries," writes Chief Economist Indermit Gill. www.worldbank.org/en/programs/...worldbank.orgInternational Debt ReportThe World Bank’s International Debt Report features external debt statistics and analysis for low- and middle-income countries and information on new bond issuance in international capital markets. 151
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 25/11/2024So glad to find this debt starter pack on Bsky, and to be shifting the conversation here. Thankyou @kpatricio.bsky.social @upanizza.bsky.social 020
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 28/09/2024Should be of interest @mileskahler.bsky.social @laynamosley.bsky.social @rickyclark.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social @danielmcdowell.bsky.social @mcopelov.bsky.social @jeffcolgan.bsky.social @lipscy.bsky.social @peterrosendorff.bsky.social @marinazucker.bsky.social @kevinpgallagher.bsky.social 030
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 28/09/2024Pleased to post new paper on IMF policy reforms and debt restructuring -- lending into arrears, financing assurances, etc. Tho complex, these changes hold the prospect of speeding lending to debtor countries, reducing financial losses, and socializing non-Paris Club creditors into the process.cigionline.orgThe IMF’s April 2024 Policy Reforms and Sovereign Debt RestructuringThe Common Framework for Sovereign Debt Restructuring provides a process for easing debt burdens on low-income countries but has operated too slowly for the four countries that have so far sought reli... 150
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/09/2024@jfmorin.bsky.social @mileskahler.bsky.social @laynamosley.bsky.social @gbeaumier.bsky.social @erikvoeten.bsky.social @rickyclark.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social @danielmcdowell.bsky.social @mcopelov.bsky.social @adreher.bsky.social @jeffcolgan.bsky.social @abenewman.bsky.social 040
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 04/09/2024#APSA2024 Panel on Thursday on the Evolution of International Regime Complexes, 2-3:30, Marriott Room 406, with Julia Gray, Ayse Kaya, Eugenia Heldt, Orfeo Fioretos, Mark Pollack and myself. We address how and why complexes adapt or fail to do so. 131
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Could interest @jfmorin.bsky.social @mileskahler.bsky.social @laynamosley.bsky.social @gbeaumier.bsky.social @erikvoeten.bsky.social @rickyclark.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social @danielmcdowell.bsky.social @mcopelov.bsky.social @adreher.bsky.social @jeffcolgan.bsky.social @abenewman.bsky.social 020
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024We heartily thank Alison Johnston, @hozic.bsky.social @RIPEJournal editorial team and our reviewers, especially our enormously constructive macroreviewer, whoever they might be! 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024We invite scholars to investigate similar dynamics in other of regime complexes, further develop measures of hierarchy and differentiation, examine accountability and legitimacy in complexes, and expand on our conjectures about the evolution of complexes over time. 010
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Finally, I test the framework theory against three regional complexes for crisis finance in East Asia, Latin America and Europe, finding it generally holds. The single anomaly (adjustment in euro area) is explained by inter-institutional collaboration. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 200
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Tyler Pratt argues that, when institutions are differentiated by value (benefits increase as rules become more rigorous), institutional overlap can actually increase policy adjustment, shown by election observation and carbon offsets. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024@stephofmann @patrykpawlak explore emergence of complexes in entirely new issue areas, focusing on cyberspace. Resourceful governments reconfigure policy frames in new/existing institutions to build coalitions, reducing differentiation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Rie Kijima and @lipscy.bsky.social examine education, arguing network effects and entry barriers configure inter-institutional competition, and finding that, when seeking change, powerful states introduce institutional overlap while weaker ones differentiate. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024@Mer29Eilstrup theorizes how complexes' architectures facilitate and constrain institutional development in an endogenous, path-dependent fashion, examining three critical junctures in the evolution of the complex for nuclear nonproliferation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Our framework article, coauthored with Tyler Pratt (@TPr47413111), theorizes the link btwn institutional hierarchy and differentiation ("architecture"), otoh, and policy adjustment, regime shifting/creation, otoh - tested by 6 articles in the collection. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024@stephofmann @patrykpawlak explore emergence of complexes in entirely new issue areas, focusing on cyberspace. Resourceful governments reconfigure policy frames in new/existing institutions to build coalitions, reducing differentiation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 000
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Rie Kijima and @lipscy.bsky.social examine education, arguing network effects and entry barriers configure inter-institutional competition, and finding that, when seeking change, powerful states introduce institutional overlap while weaker ones differentiate. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 09/02/2024Very pleased to announce that our project on International Regime Complexity (summarized in this thread, poster earlier this week on X) is now fully published and openly available @RIPEJournal as a collection at www.tandfonline.com/journals/rri...tandfonline.comInternational Regime ComplexesExplore the article collection: International Regime Complexes. Published in Review of International Political Economy. 1115
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 07/01/2024We are also interested in how and why international institutions collaborate among themselves or fail to do so. We especially invite proposals proposals that address democracies’ international collaboration, and collaboration’s impact on the quality, resilience and restoration of democracy. 010
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 07/01/2024For APSA2024, please consider submitting your panel or paper proposal to Division 17 International Collaboration. Submission deadline is January 17. Our division is concerned with a broad array of state and non-state cooperation. Please circulate! 133
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 28/11/2023The International Collaboration division encourages proposals for papers and panels at APSA2024 in Philadelphia, Sept 5-8. Our submission portal is now open! See our call at connect.apsanet.org/apsa2024/202... 011
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 15/11/2023Today, Tyler Pratt published "Value Differentiation, Policy Change and Cooperation in International Regime Complexes" in RIPE, part of our special issue on regime complexity and open access. Congratulations Tyler! www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.... 041
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20239/9 but acknowledge other factors can also be important and propose the theory as a scaffolding to which supplements can be attached. Thank you to everyone who advised and assisted along the way! Reposts welcome. 000
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20238/ We encourage other scholars to test these expectations against additional cases of regime complexes, historical, current and emerging. We submit that hierarchy and differentiation are important determinants of outcomes in all complexes, . . . 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20237/ We review origins of regime complexes and identify feedback processes that drive their evolution over time. Serves as framework for a RIPE special issue on regime complexity (w @lipscy.bsky.social, Rie Kijima, Mette Eilstrup-Sangiovanni, Stephanie Hofmann, Patryk Pawlak) -- posts forthcoming. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20236/ Hierarchical and differentiated complexes exhibit policy adjustment that is stronger, disciplined relative to nonhierarchical-undifferentiated ones, while hierarchical-undifferentiated and nonhierarchical-differentiated complexes exhibit regime shifting and creation, respectively. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20235/ Specifically, we identify testable hypotheses regarding the joint effects of authority and differentiation on behavioral adjustment on the part of states and other actors, and their strategic responses to sustained dissatisfaction with the regime. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20234/ We highlight two features of relations among institutions, relations of authority and institutional differentiation, that vary across regime complexes and provide their basic "architectures." This architecture in turn shapes patterns of cooperation within the issue area. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20233/ But scholars reach different conclusions as to whether such complexes strengthen or weaken cooperation. Our new article proposes a general theoretical framework for explaining variation in outcomes across regime complexes. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/20232/ Regime complexes are sets of international institutions that operate in a common issue area and the (formal and informal) mechanisms that coordinate them -- as found eg in development finance, climate change mitigation or peacekeeping. 100
Randall Henning @randallhenning.bsky.social · 31/10/2023The Review of International Political Economy has just published a piece by Tyler Pratt and myself, open access.tandfonline.comHierarchy and differentiation in international regime complexes: a theoretical framework for compara... 181