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Miles Kahler

@mileskahler.bsky.social
1.3K followers 373 following 102 posts

Global politics and governance, contemporary and historical. American University SIS and Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Gardening, travel, hiking. Opinions my own. Re-posts do not = endorsement.

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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Jordan Tama @jordantama.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Sharing new article with @hanaattia.bsky.social in @fpajrnl.bsky.social on factors that influence Congressional action to impose sanctions on other countries. We find Congress is responsive to both domestic interest groups and international conditions when acting on sanctions. tinyurl.com/2w4pyevf
tinyurl.com
The Domestic and International Sources of Legislative Action on Economic Sanctions
Abstract. When does the U.S. Congress move to impose sanctions on foreign countries? While prior research highlights Congress’s influence on sanctions poli
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I have been predicting this all week; finally, media attention. Those with asthma and other respiratory illnesses in central DC must suffer in order to satisfy this insane bid for the largest fireworks ever. Why would anyone go near the Mall after this warning? wapo.st/4p1WAgv
wapo.st
Fireworks on Mall likely to cause hazardous air pollution, documents show
Internal modeling shows the July 4th fireworks display will cause hazardous pollution around the Mall and “very unhealthy conditions across central D.C.”
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
What great American movie to watch this July 4th weekend? After reading this analysis of Trump and his crypto empire, The Grifters (1991) seems about right. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/01/u...
nytimes.com
Crypto Brought Trump a Huge Windfall, Even as Many Investors Lost Big
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
A mystery that someone as cynical and opportunistic as Netanyahu could not predict that Trump would throw him under the bus, just as he has so many others.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
My latest on global governance in the era of Trump, Putin, and Xi @carnegieendowment.org . As major powers disengage or disrupt, alternatives can sustain cooperation, avoiding stagnation or fragmentation--and a future dominated by predation and closure. carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
Global Governance in the Twenty-First Century: Sustain, Reform, Transform
Alternatives to the major powers must play a larger role, no matter if the aim is preservation of the existing global order, reform of its institutions, or transformation into a new model of governanc...
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
References to the Thucydides Trap in Beijing leads me to paraphrase Keynes: "Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct international relations theorist."
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Even for an administration that is Hypocrisy Unlimited, this tops the charts. After his unsuccessful influence campaign in Hungary, Vance tells the Pope to stop meddling in US politics (which must mean the Pope should stop talking about peace). www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/u...
nytimes.com
Vance Says Pope Leo Should Stay Out of U.S. Affairs
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Worth recalling that soldiers in Nazi Germany's Wehrmacht inscribed "Gott mit uns" [God [is] with us] on their belt buckles. Not a great precedent for Hegseth or the U.S. military. Hegseth Invokes Divine Purpose to Justify Military Might www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/u...
nytimes.com
Hegseth Invokes Divine Purpose to Justify Military Might
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Just when the EU needed to present a united front to the Trump administration, it falters. If the EU cannot cohere around a trade agreement, how will it respond effectively to US tariff threats? www.nytimes.com/2026/01/21/u...
nytimes.com
As Europe Tries to Diversify Trade, a Major Deal With South America Stumbles
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Let's see: substitute US for China, and the subtitle could be a quote from Mark Carney's Davos speech yesterday.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Excellent analysis of the Carney speech.
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Erin Lockwood @erinkaylockwood.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
This speech is truly remarkable: Havel's greengrocer and its implications for the fragility of the rule-based international order, the performance of sovereignty, sovereignty as hierarchy, economic integration as coercion and subordination, avoiding the dominance of both hegemons and hyperscalers...
youtube.com
Davos LIVE: Canadian PM Mark Carney speaks at World Economic Forum
YouTube video by Associated Press
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Charter of new Board of Peace is IO as country club: Membership by Trump's invitation; initiation fee of $1 billion in first year (or out after three);Trump can veto Board's decisions and appoint or remove members. Mar-a-Lago goes global, as a competitor to the UN. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Broad mandate of Trump’s Board of Peace sets it up for rivalry with UN
Body was originally planned to oversee Gaza but charter’s expansive wording suggests it could mediate in other conflicts
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Why US manufacturing will not revive despite (or because of) Trump's tariffs. And why your next sofa or table will cost more. The view from North Carolina and China. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
The reality of trying to make US manufacturing great again
The fortunes of furniture makers in North Carolina and Foshan in China show the impact of Trump’s tariff regime
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
A moment of your time from Greenland: if you can explain this convoluted governance mess for Gaza, Part 2, you may be in the running for a Nobel Peace Prize. www.ft.com/content/e98e...
ft.com
Donald Trump names Tony Blair, Jared Kushner and Marc Rowan to advise Gaza ‘Board of Peace’
US president will chair executive body that he says will guide reconstruction of war-ravaged enclave
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
I am sure this will be normalized by one "expert" or another, but could you imagine this headline even two years ago? giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
US senators introduce bill to stop military from occupying Nato territories
Legislation would prevent American forces from using congressional funds to annex Greenland
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Of all the appalling pardons by Trump (and there are many), this must be the worst. A convicted narcotrafficking president leaves prison, thanks to Stone and Gaetz (with Silicon Valley investors in the background). Policy under Trump 2: have friends who can reach Trump. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
wsj.com
How a Man Convicted of Running a Latin American Narco State Landed a Pardon
Former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández’s unusual network of Trump allies and MAGA influencers helped deliver an extraordinary pardon to him.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Thought this was a joke post from The Onion, but no, once-respected institute, now reaches new low in our emerging crony-capitalist state.Campaign for a Nobel Peace Prize continues. (If you think there is peace in the eastern DRC, read the latest from Amnesty or HRW.) www.nytimes.com/2025/12/03/u...
nytimes.com
Trump Renames Institute of Peace for Himself
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
So much for restoring US manufacturing. US automobile sector contends with tariffs, which are "a mess on top of a mess." No surprise that small and medium enterprises are suffering the most. on.ft.com/4nLta4u
on.ft.com
‘This is existential’: Donald Trump’s tariffs drive US car sector into turmoil
Michigan’s ‘Big Three’ carmakers forecast a combined $7bn tariff-related hit to earnings in 2025
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
US bailout of Argentina in question. Is a US promise to do "whatever it takes" credible from this administration? Especially with anger of US soybean interests over a bailout of one of its competitors. If additional IMF resources are required, will Europe and Japan go along? on.ft.com/3KPh2kn
on.ft.com
Argentine assets hit by fresh selling amid worries over US bailout
Peso, stocks and bonds all fall as investors fret over lack of details from Washington on rescue plan
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Nick Knudsen @nickknudsenus.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Check out the MASSIVE crowd in DC marching to the White House to protest the federal takeover of the city! #FreeDC!
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Phil Lewis @phillewis.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
The We Are All DC march to protest against Trump admin’s takeover of DC is currently heading toward the White House: Via @benjalvarez1.bsky.social
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Wendy H. Wong @profwhw.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
We ought to think about #AI as a #humanrights issue. 💬 Sep. 16, I will be back in Toronto to give the Frank W. Woods lecture at the Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy. Come join us! Registration and info here👇 munkschool.utoronto.ca/event/we-dat... #bigdata #humanrights #wethedata
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Benjamin Faude @benjaminfaude.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
Please join us for the launch of our E&IA Roundtable: 'Global Governance in Hard Times.' Presentations: Faude+Karlsrud; @yoramhaftel.bsky.social & @stephofmann.bsky.social; @ninareiners.bsky.social; Julia Morse; @mstephen.bsky.social. Comments: @hbirk.bsky.social; @tsommerer.bsky.social. Details:
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Yet another way that citizens can push back against a presidential power grab in their city: serve on grand juries and refuse to indict. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/27/u...
nytimes.com
Prosecutors Fail to Secure Indictment Against Man Who Threw Sandwich at Federal Agent
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
My Trade Secrets today. India's east Asian-style goods export model has taken a bit of a battering from Trump, and it's not entirely clear what will replace it. Also, the UK brouhaha over age verification for online porn shows that deregulation is tougher than it looks. www.ft.com/content/13dc...
ft.com
India struggles to escape the Trump tariff trap
Narendra Modi’s push for the country to become a low-cost goods exporter has made it vulnerable
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
Easy to miss, with Alaska and DC news, but the Trump admin has sided with autocratic petrostates to block a treaty on plastic pollution. One delegate described the US position as "more regressive than the Saudis." www.ft.com/content/f808...
ft.com
UN plastics treaty talks fail after US joins petrostates in blocking action
Delegates criticise role of Trump administration in siding with Saudi Arabia and other petrochemical producers
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
A reminder from the hellscape described by Trump (my city-state of DC): compared to 50 states, highest percentage of BA degree holders (26.9%); highest (by far) of PhDs (10.4%).
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
I have left the @cfr.org Studies program to join the Global Order and Institutions Program @carnegieendowment.org. Look forward to working with Stewart Patrick and @carnegieendowment.org colleagues on the urgent agenda of sustaining multilateral cooperation and reforming global institutions.
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Phillip Ayoub @payoub.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Absolutely incredible turnout for Budapest Pride! So proud of all the organizers, including some old friends, who estimate hundreds of thousands— major embarrassment to Orban
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
My entry in an earlier Iran debate,,about JCPOA. Despite opposition to the regime, Iranian views probably remain the same: widespread support for a national nuclear program (not a nuclear weapon). Argument against harsher sanctions then and military action to dislodge the regime now.
lawfaremedia.org
Iran, Sanctions, and the Illusion of a Better Bargain
Even the most vehement critics of the Obama administration’s agreement curbing Iran’s nuclear capabilities, among them Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Electoral meddling again: Trump cabinet member supporting an illiberal presidential candidate in an allied democracy. After the Trump administration has targeted major instruments (USAID, VOA) that undermine authoritarian regimes. apnews.com/article/pola...
apnews.com
Noem urges Poles to elect Trump ally as CPAC holds its first meeting in Poland
The Conservative Political Action Conference, a U.S. group that seeks to spread conservative ideas worldwide, is holding its first meeting in Poland, where the second round of a presidential election ...
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
Much-touted UK "trade deal" is a "concept of a deal." Summary confirms what all trade experts know: the devil is in the details. For aspiring Range Rover and Mini owners, 10% tariff remains on cars exported under quota--better than North American imports (as US automakers notice). on.ft.com/4iUd9pK
on.ft.com
The unanswered questions over Donald Trump’s trade deal with Britain
Pact lacks clarity in many crucial areas, say trade experts and industry bodies
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Clear "Trump effect" in Australia and Canada, boosting center-left. Trump remains unpopular in UK, yet Trump-style appeal of Reform/Farage leads to big gains in local elections. Less perceived threat from Trump in UK? Or protest vote in local elections, with no risk of Reform national government?
wsj.com
First Canada, Now Australia: The Trump Factor Boosts Another World Leader in an Election
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese was returned to power in an election Saturday, the latest left-leaning leader to achieve a comeback victory thanks partly to President Trump.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
So Waltz is not fired, just exiled to a cold, unfriendly, distant place, which will describe the UN for the next few years.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Waltz firing recalls The Mirror and The Light: embarrassed the king (Anne of Cleves for Cromwell; Signal for Waltz), and then enemies in the court move in for the kill (literally for Cromwell; not so serious for Waltz). Does not end well for several of those Henry VIII courtiers; in Trump's case?
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
An iPhone is a very sophisticated device, but this dissection demonstrates why disentangling supply chains and moving manufacturing back to the US is such a pipe dream. ig.ft.com/us-iphone/
ig.ft.com
Why Trump can’t build iPhones in the US
The administration wants the iPhone to be manufactured in America. The components that power it show why that is highly impractical
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
I defer to Canadian election experts, but these results indicate a lot of strategic voting on the left, especially prior NDP voters. As well as a sad reflection on the US 2024 election: what would have been the equivalent scare to convince stay-at-home Dems to turn out? We had Trump, after all.
nytimes.com
Canada Election 2025 Live Results and Map: Carney and Liberals Win
Canadians are heading to the polls today to elect their members of Parliament. First polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Recently read All The King's Men by Robert Penn Warren. Based on Huey Long, one of the greatest US novels about politics. Story of populist Willie Stark and his journalist-fixer Jack Burden definitely resonates today. Streamed 1949 film of same; won 3 Oscars, even darker than the novel.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Looks like Australia is following Canada: a Trumpy right-wing leader is losing ground to Labour. The Trump brand does not seem to be playing well internationally (or increasingly in the US?). on.ft.com/3YzWXTf
on.ft.com
Rightwing challenger Peter Dutton’s ‘anti-woke’ drive loses ground with Australian voters
Opposition leader has taken a hit from comparisons with Donald Trump in run-up to election
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
If you are not alarmed by current events: Martin Wolf in the pages of the very mainstream FT: "The debate over whether to take Trump literally or seriously is over. His administration is engaged in a comprehensive assault on the American republic and the global order it created." on.ft.com/3R6R6Ro
on.ft.com
Trump’s tariffs will damage the world
The trade deficits will remain roughly unchanged — the globe will just end up poorer
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Reposted by Miles Kahler
Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
The US ends lifesaving food aid for millions in 14 countries, including Syria, Afghanistan, & Yemen. The World Food Program calls it a ‘death sentence’ These life-saving programs, some of the last humanitarian aid to these countries, were being canceled “for the convenience of the US Government”
apnews.com
The US ends lifesaving food aid for millions. The World Food Program calls it a 'death sentence'
The Trump administration has ended funding to U.N. World Food Program emergency programs helping keep millions alive in Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen and 11 other impoverished countries, many of them stru...
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Jennifer Hillman's arguments on the abuse of presidential power by Trump apply even more clearly to the latest barrage of tariffs. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/trum...
lawfaremedia.org
Trump’s Use of Emergency Powers to Impose Tariffs Is an Abuse of Power
President Trump’s tariff war waged in the name of a national emergency over fentanyl imports is an abuse of power.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Great turnout at the Washington Monument, with spillover from the Sylvan Theater onto the Mall, where min-demos took place. Wonderful, creative signs and inspiring speeches by Jamie Raskin (D, MD) and Maxwell Frost (D, FLA).
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Now our national security team is being determined by right-wing conspiracy theorists. What could possibly go wrong? www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04...
nytimes.com
Trump Administration Live Updates: Security Officials Said to Be Fired at Conspiracy Theorist’s Urging
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
This gets my vote for understated headline of the year (so far): www.ft.com/content/85d7...
ft.com
Donald Trump baffles economists with tariff formula
Calculation deeply flawed economically and will fail in stated aim of ‘driving bilateral trade deficits to zero’, say analysts
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
The balance sheet of imperialism--but done in advance this time. You can bet that the loss of autonomy for Greenlanders will not be priced into the calculations.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Hard to recall a greater geopolitical blunder by a major power.
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
FT editors sum up the effect of the Trump auto tariffs: a US industry left with high-cost gas guzzlers as its EV (and other) production is disrupted by Trump administration policy and tariffs. China's tech lead in EVs widens; US consumers suffer. Oh, what a wonderful new world. on.ft.com/4hL90Ux
on.ft.com
US auto tariffs help Chinese EVs to race ahead
BYD’s technological advances show where the centre of innovation now lies
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Miles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Exhibition on the first months of the American Revolution (250th anniversary next month) at the Society of the Cincinnati in DC. Everyone learns about Lexington, Concord, and Bunker Hill, but the invasion of Canada and siege of Quebec are somehow overlooked. Did not end well then or in 1812-14.
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