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Erik Voeten

@erikvoeten.bsky.social
2.5K followers 359 following 96 posts

Georgetown prof. Expect content on international politics, climate, soccer, and other random stuff. Views my own. Website: erikvoeten.georgetown.domains

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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
New article with @jonasheering.bsky.social in @nature.com Communications on the public backlash against data centers. In Germany, U.S. and Chinese operates get a nationality penalty that is often larger than large increases in electricity prices & environmental harm. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
How sovereign control, decarbonization and energy costs shape public support for data centers - Nature Communications
Investigating how publics think about the environmental, economic, and geopolitical tradeoffs that data centers entail, results show that public opposition depends on pre-existing political cleavages ...
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
We are thrilled to announce that @rmmyrick91 has won the 2026 Lepgold book award for Polarization and International Politics! press.princeton.edu/books/paperb...
press.princeton.edu
Polarization and International Politics
How extreme polarization undermines the advantages that democracies have when formulating foreign policy
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
From our FirstView: The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines by VINCENT HEDDESHEIMER, @hannohilbig.bsky.social and @erikvoeten.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 26/03/2026
#OpenAccess from the latest issue of @iojournal.bsky.social - Transboundary Air Pollution and Hazy Accountability: Evidence from South Korea - cup.org/4rT0tnr - Haillie Lee & @erikvoeten.bsky.social
A large white "IO" on a dark blue background with the hashtag "#OpenAccess" below it.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
I'm curious dariia-m.github.io/econ-title-g...
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Wessel van Rensburg @wildebees.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Erik Voeten's new Annual Review piece tackles a key problem: how do we actually measure which countries align with whom geopolitically? The traditional UN voting approach misses so much - trade flows, security partnerships, diplomatic coordination. We need better tools for today's multipolar world.
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Dave Palfrey @01factory.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
behind a paywall for me, but there is an open version here:
osf.io
OSF
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
This is a good example of the argument @profmichaelross.bsky.social and I made in Foreign Affairs last year about how the US becoming the world's largest oil and gas producer facilitates the aggressive behavior of the Trump administration www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/c...
nytimes.com
Trump Bets That ‘Energy Dominance’ Will Make War in Iran Less Costly
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments - www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
annualreviews.org
Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments
A vast literature examines how geopolitical alignments influence militarized conflict, trade, investment, aid, and other outcomes in international relations. Yet, considerable ambiguity remains regard...
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
The Guardian has a striking map suggesting Trump has pushed the world, especially Europe, toward China. It’s visually compelling. But misleading. The world isn’t moving away from the U.S. The U.S. is moving away from the world. as I show on @goodauth.bsky.social. goodauthority.org/news/the-wor...
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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Today the @nytimes.com @patcohen.bsky.social flagged “neoroyalism,” a term coined by abenewman.bsky.social & Stacie Goddard. 

 On a recent Good Authority podcast, Goddard and @erikvoeten.bsky.social unpacked what this means for global order: goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
goodauthority.org
The new neo-royalist world order
Stacie Goddard and Abe Newman explain how cliques are ruling the world.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Check out the @goodauth.bsky.social podcast and the @iojournal.bsky.social article (short, open access) that forms the basis of the conversation refers to.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
New @goodauth.bsky.social podcast with @fgenovese.bsky.social and @jeffcolgan.bsky.social on how the world moves on with climate motigation in the new Trump era goodauthority.org/news/can-cli...
goodauthority.org
Can climate policies survive the return of Trump? 🎧
Can climate policies survive the return of Trump? Two experts discuss how the U.S. and the world move forward with climate mitigation.
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
📣📣📣Announcing...Chalkboard Politics @chalkboardpolitics.bsky.social, a podcast by students, for students (and their teachers). Written, edited, and mixed by the students at @siwpscolumbia.bsky.social and distributed by @goodauth.bsky.social. 1/ www.podbean.com/media/share/...
Chalkboard politics logo, a chalkboard with the podcast name and affiliations
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Transactional foreign policy par excellence: pay $1 billion and get a permanent seat on the Peace Board. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Trump Wants Nations to Pay $1 Billion to Stay on Peace Board
The Trump administration is asking countries that want a permanent spot on his new Board of Peace to contribute at least $1 billion.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
And this article by @soyounglee.bsky.social in @iojournal.bsky.social "The presence of capitalintensive resources-such as oil or minerals-raises concerns about how the benefits of acquiring the territory would be distributed within the nation." www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Resources and Territorial Claims: Domestic Opposition to Resource-Rich Territory | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Resources and Territorial Claims: Domestic Opposition to Resource-Rich Territory - Volume 78 Issue 3
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Ken Schultz @kschultz.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Apropos current events, I want to tout this paper by @soyounglee.bsky.social showing that discussion of economic benefits can reduce public support for military action. People are skeptical when they think specific groups (e.g., oil companies) will benefit. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Domestic Distributional Roots of National Interest
SOYOUNG LEE Yale University, United States, and Duke University, United States

What international issues become national interests worth fighting for, and why? Contrary to conventional wisdom, I argue that issues without clear economic value, such as barren lands, are more likely to be perceived as national interests because they do not benefit any single domestic group. Since who benefits is unclear, politicians have an easier time framing such issues as benefiting the whole nation. I test this argument using survey experiments on the American public. The results show that first, issues providing diffuse benefits to citizens are more likely to be considered national interests than issues providing concentrated benefits to certain domestic groups. Second, issues with clearer economic value are harder to frame as having diffuse benefits because they are more easily associated with specific beneficiaries. This study proposes a new theory of national interest and offers a potential explanation for why people frequently support conflict over issues without obvious benefits.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Six months ago @profmichaelross.bsky.social and I wrote in Foreign Affairs that the US is increasingly behaving like a petrostate. Seems relevant today
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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
Who will win the AI race? 🎧 In our latest podcast, Georgetown’s @erikvoeten.bsky.social and George Washington’s @jeffreyding.bsky.social discuss how artificial intelligence may reshape global power. Listen here: goodauthority.org/news/who-wil...
goodauthority.org
Who will win the AI race? 🎧
Jeffrey Ding argues it’s less about innovation than implementation.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
I had a fascinating conversation with @jeffreyding.bsky.social l about the future of AI and great power competition based on his award winning book for the @goodauth.bsky.social podcast goodauthority.org/news/who-wil...
goodauthority.org
Who will win the AI race? 🎧
Jeffrey Ding argues it’s less about innovation than implementation.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
New paper with @jonasheering.bsky.social on public opposition to data center construction. We find that the nationality of the operator is even more important than very substantial increases in electricity costs.
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Mortara Center for International Studies, Georgetown University @mortaracenter.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
On November 19th, Professor @jeffreyding.bsky.social from The George Washington University received the prestigious Lepgold Book Prize at the Mortara Center. This award recognizes the best book in international relations published in 2024. Photo credit: @georgetown-sfs.bsky.social
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Europeans worry that accommodating Putin repeats past errors. My latest on @goodauth.bsky.social with findings from a new article "Voting with Putin" with Jana Lipps in @cpsjournal.bsky.social where we document mainstream and cultural conservative support for Putin goodauthority.org/news/why-eur...
goodauthority.org
Why Europeans are worried about appeasing Putin, again
Both mainstream European politicians and cultural conservatives have frequently voted to accommodate Putin.
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Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
We are on the brink of a once in a generation transformation in world politics. @erikvoeten.bsky.social @segoddard.bsky.social and I talk neo-royalism as one future. Give a list: goodauthority.org/news/the-new... Check out the article it is based on here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Further Back to the Future: Neo-Royalism, the Trump Administration, and the Emerging International System | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Further Back to the Future: Neo-Royalism, the Trump Administration, and the Emerging International System - Volume 79 Issue S1
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
The new neo-royalist world order. Stacie Goddard and @abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today! goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
goodauthority.org
The new neo-royalist world order
Stacie Goddard and Abe Newman explain how cliques are ruling the world.
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
@erikvoeten.bsky.social has built his career on one goal: make ideas flow more freely. In this week’s Etched in Marble, we talked about writing, editing, & how to carry arguments beyond academia without losing their complexity. 🪶 New post: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/etched-in-... 🧵
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
Etched in Marble: Erik Voeten on Time, Clarity, and Moving Ideas Beyond Academia
Writers on the Forces That Shape Us and the Writing That Endures
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
🧵New piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on risks of striking Venezuela, focused on the added risk from Trump team of loyalists. Hint: it has to do with centralized role of Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, and the incompetence of advisers like SecDef Hegseth. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m...
goodauthority.org
Trump may strike Venezuela. His team makes that very risky.
Take a close look at who is advising the president on U.S. policy.
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Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
1/When @himself.bsky.social and I wrote about the future of US economic coercion we hoped that the tools could be used for global collective goods like climate. Now US “evaluating sanctions on officials sponsoring activist-driven climate policies”’ on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
on.ft.com
US accused of ‘bully-boy’ tactics to sink climate deal
Officials say ‘threats’ used to derail net zero deal for shipping industry ripped up rules of global diplomacy
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
As a Dutch friend, I agree with this and I don't think it means that votes will be "lost." It is up to the other parties to figure out how to attract those voters who really care about animal rights, pensions, Christianity and so on.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
The Dutch election is more of a reshuffling than a major realignment of the electorate but fragmentation of the far right will still likely bring a centrist government coalition. My quick takeaways @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Three quick takeaways from the Dutch elections: @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...
goodauthority.org
Three takeaways from the too-close-to-call Dutch election
A young charismatic liberal leader may well become the next Dutch prime minister.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Read Anjali Dayal on the UN and also listen to her podcast To Save Us from Hell open.spotify.com/show/2WBQHl2...
open.spotify.com
Spotify – Web Player
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
New out in @apsrjournal.bsky.social. We show how the AfD in Germant was able to use opposition to the green transition to attract voters in highly polluting occupations and communities that rely on those occupations.
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand: $678M raised through those spam tactics $282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies. $11M to actual campaigns (1.6%) The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
open.substack.com
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
New UN ideal point estimates available. These are for the first time based on years rather than UNGA sessions. For more, see here: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
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Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
This is fantastic. Very excited by this development in European Political Science. Please come and join us. Get involved. Sign up to the listserv. Etc
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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
🚨Global public action (climate!) is most effective when countries do it together yet we're in a period of IO backlash rooted in left-behind places Does it mean all left-behind regions hate IOs the same? @patrickbayer.bsky.social & I have a paper accepted @bjpols.bsky.social abt this🧵 osf.io/rtymv
Climate Policy Costs, Regional Politics and Backlashagainst International Cooperation by Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese.

This paper investigates the conditions under which subnational concerns shape public assessments of international climate governance. In line with existing literature, we maintain that costly policy adjustments fuel negative views of international cooperation in policy exposed regions. At the same time, we argue that the more resentful relations are with the national center of politics, the more sympathetic these regions areto international institutions and global governance. Based on geographically targeted survey data from theUnited Kingdom, we find that fossil fuel-intensive regions with strong, institutionalized regional politics have more positive assessments of international climate cooperation than structurally similar regions where regional political institutions are less pronounced. The findings show that regional politics characteristics are key for understanding climate policy beliefs among citizens that bear the brunt of adjustments to international climate agreements
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
I have a new short piece in Foreign Affairs with @profmichaelross.bsky.social arguing that "the United States’ emergence as the world’s leading oil and gas producer is a critical and often neglected element of today’s global disorder." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
Petrostate America
The downsides of energy independence.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
(Finally) out in the Journal of Politics: Do Domestic Climate Rulings Make Climate Commitments More Credible? Evidence from Stock Market Returns." A quick thread on paper and process www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
journals.uchicago.edu
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
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Paul Voosen @voosen.me · 11/04/2025
BREAKING from @science.org: The Trump admin is seeking to kill nearly all climate research at NOAA, its climate science agency. Its near-final budget proposal would end all NOAA research labs, academic institutes, and regional climate centers. And it wants to fully end the NOAA Research division.
science.org
Trump seeks to end climate research at premier U.S. climate agency
White House aims to end NOAA’s research office; NASA also targeted
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Trump’s policies are terrible for even the people who support him. Episode 34276 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Texas Oil Executives Are Frustrated at Trump for Crushing Crude Prices
The angry mutterings at the Permian Basin Petroleum Association’s “Spring Swing” golf tournament this week weren’t all about missed putts or lost balls. The Texas oilmen on the fairways had a more ser...
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Important and yet another illustration of both how pointless and harmful these tariffs are.
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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 04/04/2025
Whenever the news comes that people are turning on Trump there's some guy who will come out of the woodwork and say "Well, his base wont care", but it's important to remember that it took way more than Trump's base to get him elected and all those people are souring on him.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Another great data visualization by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com (the article says that the non-MAGA group is larger but not by how much, which would be useful to know). Trump chaos is alienating Republicans www.ft.com/content/26d1...
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
On Fox News, the tariffs are already having positive effects. No mention of a stock market crash.
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Maybe Trump is a closet degrowth leftist? His entire economic plan implies dramatic reductions in consumption. #DegrowthDonnie
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The Economist @economist.com · 03/04/2025
Donald Trump has committed the most profound, harmful and unnecessary economic error in the modern era. Almost everything he said—on history, economics and the technicalities of trade—was utterly deluded econ.st/3YbbFjq
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Kyle Meng @kylemeng.com · 03/04/2025
Puzzled by where Trump's numbers on tariffs charged on US exports come from? Do they seem oddly high? Especially given all this talk about how trade is too liberalized? What are actual tariffs charged on US exports? 1/ @econsky
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Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
The estimator will be fine. But if the US will keep voting this way, we will see a pretty rare radical switching in sides, like Cuba after Castro and Iran after the Islamic revolution....... Or we could see a new second dimension.
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Anjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Support for Ukraine at the UNGA, 93-18, 65 abstentions; the US swinging to vote with Russia, which I’d argue is the most dramatic shift in US policy at the UN since its founding 80 years ago
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