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Javier Flórez Mendoza

@pseud0safari.bsky.social
87 followers 154 following 22 posts

Economist | Bassist

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Reposted by Javier Flórez Mendoza
Communications Sustainability @commssustain.nature.com · 21/09/2026
💻 📈AI is becoming a major electricity user. Powering AI data centers could require about 1% of the world's electricity by 2030. Growth is concentrated in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, creating uneven pressures on power systems. 🧪 Read more: www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Artificial intelligence data centers could reach one percent of global electricity demand by 2030 - Communications Sustainability
AI data centers could consume 239 to 295 terawatt hours by 2030, about 1% of global electricity demand, with capacity concentrated in North America, Western Europe and Asia-Pacific, according to a fra...
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FIW Research Centre International Economics @centrefiw.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
📢 Call for Papers – 19th @centrefiw.bsky.social Research Conference "International Economics" 🗓 11–12 Feb 2027, @wuvienna.bsky.social 🎤 Keynote Lecture: FelixTintelnot (Duke University) ⏳ Deadline: 26 Oct 2026 Submit 👉 conference2027.fiw.ac.at ℹ️Details: www.fiw.ac.at/event/19-fiw... #EconConf
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Catherine Wolfram @cwolfram.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
New paper in @science.org: As of 2025, 80 carbon-pricing instruments were in place across 50 jurisdictions. By coordinating across systems, we can increase emission reductions and avoid trade barriers from a profusion of different border adjustments. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
Building a scalable climate coalition for heavy industry
Emissions could be reduced, with minimal impact on production, while generating billions in public revenues
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AERE @aereorg.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) doesn't just curb carbon leakage. It may recruit other countries into carbon pricing!🤝 A new #JAERE paper finds the CBAM cuts EU leakage from 40% to 15%. 📊 #JaereFigureFriday 📈📉 #Econsky
A waterfall plot. It consists in a big black bar on the left side (initial emissions), with
smaller bars stacked side by side showing changes in emissions in each country compared to the baseline. The small bars cumulate to another bar on the right, which shows the emissions in the counterfactual emissions. A horizontal line shows how much emissions are reduced in the coalition countries (EU, Canada, Japan, Korea, Taiwan) compared to the baseline (953 MtCO2) and another line shows how much emissions are reduced in total (691 MtCO2). The difference between these two numbers correspond to the contribution of non-coalition countries to the change in emissions (691).
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 06/08/2026
Almost no one liked this paper when it was first circulated. Economists disliked it, China hawks disliked it more. Glad I wrote it, and I am happy to see it now published in the Journal of World Trade. Comments welcome (!!!). JWT: doi.org/10.54648/tra... Ungated: www.piie.com/publications...
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東京大学 The University of Tokyo / UTokyo @utokyoofficial.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Climate change costs lives in more ways than one. Researchers find warming temperatures will increase the number of suicides associated with temperature exposure worldwide, with some regions hit harder than others . #UTokyoResearch www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/focus/en/pre...
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Reposted by Javier Flórez Mendoza
Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 15/07/2026
China and the new era of critical minerals diplomacy. Beijing’s export controls on rare earths and other niche metals are distorting markets and fueling resource nationalism by Camilla Hodgson www.ft.com/content/a501...
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
After a long journey, the Granular Trade and Production Activities (GRANTPA) Database is finally published in World Trade Review. Many thanks to my co-authors Sebastien Bradley, Mario Larch, and @yotoyotov.bsky.social 🔗 www.cambridge.org/core/journal... 🆓️Data access: grantpadatabase@gmail.com
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Background paper of Asian Development Policy Report 2026 by @adb.org "Fragmenting Globalization: How Tariff Walls Reshape Bilateral Trade" is officially out. 🔗 Available here: www.adb.org/sites/defaul...
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
-"Assessing the impact of trade policies on environmental outcomes and welfare" @wiiw.ac.at ✅️✨️
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Reposted by Javier Flórez Mendoza
NBER @nber.org · 10/07/2026
Developing a tractable quantitative model of international trade in which agents make bilateral investments in resilience under general equilibrium uncertainty, from Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu, @reddingecon.bsky.social, and David Xu www.nber.org/papers/w35416
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
😐🌐
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Era gol de Davinson Sánchez ...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 26/06/2026
i just want it to be winter again
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Asjad Naqvi @asjadnaqvi.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
New updates to #Stata #arcplot and #ntwrk packages are now up. Examples show trade of #green products using COMTRADE #BACI data + #IMF's green taxonomy. Networks shows the two layer "shell" layout with custom nodes. More options coming soon! #StataViz
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FIW Research Centre International Economics @centrefiw.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
@centrefiw.bsky.social & @univie.ac.at invite to the 9th Workshop on International Economic Networks (WIEN) 📅 July 9–10, 2026 | Vienna 🎤 Keynotes: Matilde Bombardini & Thierry Mayer Program & Registration: www.fiw.ac.at/event/worksh... #InternationalEconomics #GlobalValueChains #EconomicGeography
fiw.ac.at
WORKSHOP ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC NETWORKS (WIEN) 2026 - FIW
WORKSHOP ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC NETWORKS (WIEN)   Date                July 9-10, 2026 Venue             Sky Lounge, Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1, 1090 Vienna   July 9 08:50 – 09:00   Welcome 09:00 – 0...
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Excellent piece by Nicolas Albertoni and Rupert Schlegelmilch on EU-Mercosur. -"uncertainty can become not only a constraint, but also a catalyst for cooperation and agreement". 🔗 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
EU–Mercosur: Negotiating and Concluding a Trade Agreement in an Age of Trade Uncertainty | World Trade Review | Cambridge Core
EU–Mercosur: Negotiating and Concluding a Trade Agreement in an Age of Trade Uncertainty
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Asjad Naqvi @asjadnaqvi.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
🚀 "ntwrk": A Stata package for network analysis 🚀 ⭐ Yesterday at the @statacorp.bsky.social Germany 2026 conference in Munich, I showcased the #ntwrk package: github.com/asjadnaqvi/s... The package is a designed for both network analysis and graph layouts. Check it out! Up soon SSC.
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Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Gravity models usually make distance a shipping cost. What if distance also makes encounters between buyers and suppliers less likely? A new firm-to-firm matching model fits granular customs data and helps resolve trade and labor-market puzzles. buff.ly/XURqW3P
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Reposted by Javier Flórez Mendoza
AERE @aereorg.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
📢 Just accepted in #JAERE! 📢 "The potential of Carbon Border Adjustments to foster climate cooperation" by Timothé Beaufils @timbeaufils.bsky.social, Joschka Wanner @joschkawanner.bsky.social, and Leonie Wenz @leoniewenz.bsky.social. 📎 Read it here: buff.ly/wYSfTox 📈📉 #Econsky
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Here we go @chadpbown.com @soumayakeynes.ft.com ▶️🎧 HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
📖🔜🙌
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wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 26/05/2026
Direktor @marioholzner.bsky.social im ORF über das Handelsabkommen der EU mit den USA, auf dessen Umsetzung sich die EU nun geeinigt hat. #tariffs #Zölle #trumptariffs on.orf.at/video/143238...
on.orf.at
Talk: Mario Holzner über das EU-Handelsabkommen mit den USA - Guten Morgen Österreich vom 21.05.2026
In Schwaz in Tirol findet die Weltmeisterschaft im Sportkegeln statt. Am Austragungsort, einer umgebauten Tennishalle, spricht ORF-Redakteurin Reingard Diermayr mit der Nationaltrainerin der Damen, Do...
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Harald Oberhofer @ho2604.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Unser neues Jahresgutachten zur österreichischen Außenwirtschaft. ⬇️
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 13/05/2026
Guanyu Lu, Kenta Tanaka, & Toshi H. Arimura find evidence that Japan's regional emissions trading system improves the productivity of regulated manufacturing facilities during the initial compliance period, though not in the transitional period. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
Emissions trading systems have been widely studied globally, but less attention has been paid to their impacts on the productivity of the regulated facilities. This column examines the impact of Japan's regional emissions trading systems on productivity during both the pre-compliance transition period and the compliance period. The findings indicate that although no evidence supports total factor productivity increases during the transitional period, installations improve their productivity during the initial compliance period.
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Pleased to be part of the Asian Development Policy Report 2026, Global Value Chains and Inclusive Development @adb.org Thanks to my co-authors from @wiiw.ac.at @olreit.bsky.social and @stehrer.bsky.social and all researchers who contributed. Available here: 🔗 www.adb.org/adpr/edition...
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NBER @nber.org · 09/05/2026
Data from hundreds of thousands of ancient coins is used to reconstruct granular time series of trade and real consumption around the Mediterranean from the 4th to the 10th century, from @johannesmboehm.bsky.social and Thomas Chaney www.nber.org/papers/w35156
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John V. Kane @uptonorwell.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Comes out August 4th via @ucpress.bsky.social and can be pre-ordered on the UCP site with discount code UCPSAVE30 to save 30%. If you teach methods and/or are thinking about doing a PhD (but are intimidated by statistical analysis), this book is for you! 😊 www.ucpress.edu/books/truth-...
ucpress.edu
Truth Addict by John Kane - Paper
Scholarship is a powerful tool for changing how people think, plan, and govern. By giving voice to bright minds and bold ideas, we seek to foster understanding and drive progressive change.
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Reposted by Javier Flórez Mendoza
Cecilia Malmström @ceciliamalmstrom.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
The EU-Mercosur trade agreement is finally happening www.piie.com/events/2026/...
piie.com
The EU-Mercosur trade agreement is finally happening
After more than 20 years in the making, the interim trade agreement between the Mercosur countries (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay) and the European Union finally applies provisionally as of...
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
open.spotify.com/episode/1AsD... Excellent Episode @chadpbown.com extremely insightful for understanding Trade and Industrial Policy! Looking forward to read How To Win A Trade War.
open.spotify.com
212. America's semiconductor policy and the AI race with China
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Yoto V. Yotov @yotoyotov.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
IV-PPML-HDFE. We are happy to introduce an instrumental-variable Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator with high-dimensional fixed effects. We also provide a robust and user-friendly ‘ivppmlhdfe’ package for Stata and Julia. More details here 👇 ideas.repec.org/p/drx/wpaper...
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FIW Research Centre International Economics @centrefiw.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
New @centrefiw.bsky.social Policy Brief: The EU-India Free Trade Agreement by Michael Landesmann, Javier Mendoza & Robert Stehrer (wiiw.ac.at). It examines the geo-political & geo-economic drivers behind the FTA, principal features & anticipated economic effects. ➡️ www.fiw.ac.at/publications...
fiw.ac.at
FIW-PB 74: The EU-India Free Trade Agreement - FIW
Abstract: After nearly two decades of intermittent negotiations, the EU and India announced the conclusion of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) at their summit in New Delhi on 27 January 2026. This paper a...
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 21/04/2026
@lionel-fontagne.bsky.social, C Mitaritonna, G Orefice, & G Santoni find, following an air service agreement, airlines reorganise international routes, serve more passengers, operate more direct connections, & hence reduce the amount of CO2 emissions per passenger. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
The figure reports, for 2012–2019, the evolution of country pairs covered by Air Service Agreements (ASAs), distinguishing between fully liberalised and not fully liberalised agreements, together with the corresponding evolution of international passenger traffic. Fully liberalised air service agreements include agreements with unrestricted traffic rights, multiple designation, free capacity setting, and flexible pricing provisions.

Air transport is central to global connectivity, but regulatory restrictions impose high transport costs. This column studies how the signing of air service agreements reshapes airline networks and carbon emissions embedded in international flights. Using data over 2012-2019, it shows that following an air service agreement, airlines reorganise international routes, serve more passengers, operate more direct connections, and hence reduce the amount of carbon emissions per passenger. However, they also increase demand for flights, which increases total traffic and emissions. Policies regulating access to the aviation market must be complemented by first-best instruments that directly target emissions.
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Lauri Holappa @lauriholappa.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
UTAKin yhdessä itävaltalaisen wiiwin kanssa valmistelema Paluu huipulle vaatii tarkkuutta -raportti julkaistiin tänään Sitran julkaisusarjassa. Raportissa osoitamme, mitkä alat ovat Suomen kasvun ja tavaraviennin kannalta lupaavimpia. 1/x
utak.fi
UTAK selvitti Suomen tulevaisuuden tärkeimmät kasvualat – UTAK
Selvitys antaa päätöksentekijöille välineitä oikeiden strategisten valintojen tekemiseksi.
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Very happy to see our piece on 🇫🇮 Industrial Policy. Many thanks to my co-authors from @wiiw.ac.at Francesca Guadagno and Doris Hanzl-Weiss and @lauriholappa.bsky.social @alajanantti.bsky.social from @utak.bsky.social. 🔗 Available (in Finnish) here: www.sitra.fi/wp-content/u...
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Otto Kyyrönen @ottokyyronen.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
@sitra.fi julkaisi tänään ”Paluu huipulle vaatii tarkkuutta” -selvityksen, jonka @utak.bsky.social’n ja @wiiw.ac.at’n tutkijat ovat laatineet. Selvitys paikantaa aloja, jotka lisäävät tuotannon kompleksisuutta ja kasvua Suomessa. Keskeistä tietoa suomalaiselle teollisuuspolitiikalle!
utak.fi
UTAK selvitti Suomen tulevaisuuden tärkeimmät kasvualat – UTAK
Selvitys antaa päätöksentekijöille välineitä oikeiden strategisten valintojen tekemiseksi.
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Asjad Naqvi @asjadnaqvi.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
A new #MacroCritical post is now up: "Energy Systems and the SNA" medium.com/macrocritica...
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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
You can cut emissions and still lose the climate… New study highlights a critical gap: without protecting ecological boundaries (forests, freshwater, biodiversity), Earth’s natural climate regulation can break down. Climate policy must move beyond carbon alone. www.nature.com/articles/s43...
nature.com
Ecological boundaries must be incorporated in the post-COP30 climate regime - Communications Earth & Environment
The Earth’s climate is regulated and stabilised by interconnected ecosystem processes. This Comment argues that following on from COP30, nature-based indicators should be integrated into formal climat...
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 09/03/2026
Japan’s playbook on raw materials security is worth taking global ft.trib.al/tFZTVPP | opinion
ft.trib.al
Japan’s playbook on raw materials security is worth taking global
The country has been ahead of others in heeding the danger of China’s stranglehold on critical minerals
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NBER @nber.org · 08/03/2026
Neoclassical economics emphasizes that international trade acts like an improvement in technology that is mutually beneficial. Tariffs are a tax on this trading technology, from Ralph Ossa and @reddingecon.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34915
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Forthcoming in AEJ: Macroeconomics: "Environmental Subsidies to Mitigate Net-Zero Transition Costs" by Eric Jondeau, Gregory Levieuge, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, and Gauthier Vermandel.
aeaweb.org
Environmental Subsidies to Mitigate Net-Zero Transition Costs
(Forthcoming Article) - Imperfect competition within the pollution abatement equipment sector may hinder the Paris Agreement’s goals. We show that carbon tax–funded environmental subsidies can stimulate firm entry, enhance competition, and lower abatement costs for businesses. Using a quantitative macro-climate model with an endogenous market structure for abatement equipment, we estimate that optimally allocating subsidies (60% to startups and 40% to existing companies) could enhance efficiency, generating annual global GDP savings of $2.5 to $3.1 trillion by 2060.
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 24/02/2026
Russia acquired Western weapons components post-sanctions via 3 channels: gradual introduction of restrictions, goods transiting through Russia, or rerouted goods. L Scheckenhofer @feodorateti.bsky.social @torundavid.bsky.social @joschkawanner.bsky.social cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
The figure shows monthly Russian imports of 42 military-relevant product categories from the EU Common High-Priority list, total and decomposed by channel, using Russian customs transaction data and authors’ coding of EU export bans. Dark red: products not yet subject to any ban. Light red: partially banned products (some product variants are banned but others remain legal to export). Dark grey: in-transit flows with EU as both origin and dispatch country. Light grey: fully banned products rerouted via third countries (non-EU dispatch country).

Despite comprehensive export sanctions from Western allies against Russia, Western components continue to appear in Russian weapons. This column uses transaction-level Russian customs data combined with novel data on EU export bans to separate and quantify three distinct channels through which banned military-relevant goods reached Russia. Trade continued legally for nearly two years, as restrictions were gradually introduced. Furthermore, goods could claim to transit through Russia en route to other destinations or they were rerouted through intermediary countries. It argues that the design and implementation of export bans deserve at least as much attention as their announcement.
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Economics. For Society. @ubscenter.uzh.ch · 10/02/2026
Global trade is under pressure: former @wto.org Chief Economist Ralph Ossa explains why small, open economies such as 🇨🇭 Switzerland need to defend and adapt the rules-based system during these turbulent times. www.ubscenter.uzh.ch/en/news_even... #EconomicsForSociety #UZH #shareUBS @econ.uzh.ch
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Robert Stehrer @stehrer.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Our @mghodsi.bsky.social, @gfelbermayr.bsky.social, @yotoyotov.bsky.social, @heiderkariem.bsky.social report on #Iran was just released by @insm.de. Thanks for the great work and cooperation. www.insm.de/aktuelles/pu...
insm.de
INSM-Gutachten: Machtwechsel im Iran könnte Wirtschaft ankurbeln - INSM
Ein internationales Autorenteam des Österreichischen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung (WiFO), des Wiener Instituts für internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche und der Drexel University Philadelphia/USA...
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WIFO @wifo.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Aufhebung der EU-Sanktionen würde Irans BIP langfristig um mehr als 80% steigern. Gleichzeitig könnte BIP in EU & AT um 0,3% bzw. 0,5% wachsen. @gfelbermayr.bsky.social @heiderkariem.bsky.social @mghodsi.bsky.social #RobertStehrer @wiiw.ac.at @yotoyotov.bsky.social für @insm.de buff.ly/Jg5aELp
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Communications Sustainability @commssustain.nature.com · 26/01/2026
🏢Data from #Chinese cities, combined with modeling, paints an actionable picture of the #building #CO2 emissions. Without intervention, emissions could rise by 2060. #Zero-carbon buildings cut annual CO₂, though it requires $446.8B in investment. 🔗🧪www.nature.com/articles/s44458-025-00024-4
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wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 23/01/2026
Iran protests: Will the collapsing economy topple the regime? An interview with our economist and #Iran expert @mghodsi.bsky.social, conducted by @iipvienna.com President Hannes Swoboda. www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSYh...
youtube.com
Iran Protests. Will the collapsing economy topple the regime?
YouTube video by IIP Vienna
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 23/01/2026
New VoxTalks Economics w/ @talknormal.co.uk: What’s next for Trump’s tariffs? @baldwinre.bsky.social and Gene Grossman discuss the future of tariffs, trade rules, and global economic spillovers in a conversation recorded at the CEPR Symposium in Paris. Listen here: cepr.org/multimedia/w... #EconSky
New VoxTalks Economics: What’s next for Trump’s tariffs?

Richard Baldwin and Gene Grossman discuss the future of tariffs, trade rules, and global economic spillovers in a conversation recorded at the CEPR Symposium in Paris.

Listen here: https://cepr.org/multimedia/whats-next-trumps-tariffs
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Javier Flórez Mendoza @pseud0safari.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I like the world without — unnecessary noise — and — reading this — every two sentences. — All I ask is coffee, — silence, — and one honest human thought at a time.
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