iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 18/05/2026

🎧The new episode of CEE Exchange: Richard Grieveson & @marioholzner.bsky.social on our new forecast for Central, East, Southeast Europe. With the Iran war, the region's macro outlook shifted, requiring leaders to move beyond "cheap labour" towards a high-tech future. open.spotify.com/episode/4VVK...

open.spotify.com

The CEE Growth Model in Transition

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 17/02/2026

Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline, argues @marioholzner.bsky.social in his new opinion piece. wiiw.ac.at/n-716.html #enlargement #EuropeanUnion #EU #Ukraine

wiiw.ac.at

United Europe 2031: Widen, Deepen, Survive (news article)

Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

My five cents opinion piece on how to manage EU enlargement in a big bang United Europe accession regatta by 2031

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

Economics for Health @econforhealth.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

📢 Coming on December 15... the 4️⃣th edition of @econforhealth.bsky.social #CigaretteTaxScorecard! The 🆕 Scorecard uses latest data from @who.int to assess #cigarette tax policies in 171 countries 🌐 Join us for the launch #webinar at 9am ET to hear from the authors 📽️ jh.zoom.us/j/9242517268...

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 25/09/2025

👉 Explore the full results at geoii.eu and join our online launch event on 1 October, 14:00–15:30 CEST here: ➡️ wiiw.ac.at/how-big-is-t... 10/10

geoii.eu

The Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index

Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index analyzes evolving trade/investment ties between EU, US, China, Russia 2010-2023 #geoeconomics

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 25/09/2025

How connected is the 🇪🇺 to its neighbourhood – and how does it perform compared with 🇨🇳, 🇷🇺, and the 🇺🇸? Our new study and index with @bst-europe.bsky.social and ECIPE explain Europe’s economic and political ties with its neighbours. 1/10 🧵#Thread 🔗 geoii.eu

geoii.eu

The Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index

Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index analyzes evolving trade/investment ties between EU, US, China, Russia 2010-2023 #geoeconomics

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 25/09/2025

New study with @bst-europe.bsky.social & ECIPE: The 🇪🇺 is gaining influence in Eastern Europe, but losing ground to 🇨🇳 in North Africa and 🇹🇷. The 🇪🇺 should therefore strategically leverage its economic relations with its neighbourhood to remain competitive with 🇨🇳, 🇷🇺, 🇺🇸. wiiw.ac.at/the-eu-is-ga...

wiiw.ac.at

The EU is gaining influence in Eastern Europe, but losing ground to China in North Africa and Turkey (news article)

New Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index (GEOII) shows: The EU should strategically leverage its economic relations with neighbouring countries in...

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 15/09/2025

Hot off the press: Our new paper by @marioholzner.bsky.social et al.: Local politicians are the primary obstacle to high-speed rail projects in Europe, as shown by the case of the Brenner Base Tunnel in Germany and Austria. #EuropeanSilkRoad Download: ➡️ wiiw.ac.at/p-7397.html

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES) @aies.at · 23/09/2025

📢Join us on 1 Oct 2025, 18:00 (CET) at the Vienna School of International Studiesfor the event: "Africa’s Impact on Europe’s Future" 🌍🇪🇺 Speakers: Wolfgang Pusztai, @ghainzl.bsky.social , @marioholzner.bsky.social Moderator: Dr. Werner Fasslabend #AIES #Africa #Europe #Geopolitics #Vienna

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 28/07/2025

Tariff at the end of the tunnel Trump's tariffs hit EU exports with 15% duties. Trade drops, prices fall, and output shrinks slightly. EU likely sees balanced welfare effects, but tensions and uncertainty remain. See my latest trade war simulation 👇 wiiw.ac.at/tariff-at-th...

wiiw.ac.at

Tariff at the end of the tunnel (news article)

Trump's tariffs hit EU exports with 15% duties. Trade drops, prices fall, and output shrinks slightly. EU likely sees balanced welfare...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 10/07/2025

Australia meets Austria on 20 July 2025 at 11:00 @Musikverein 🦘🦘🦘 www.musikverein.at/konzert/?id=...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 30/06/2025

EU budget: Back to the future – From coal and steel to wind power and drones The EU needs to transform its budget into a fully-fledged fiscal policy instrument. A European Treasury should issue Eurobonds, financing strategic public goods. Pages 35-38: www.eca.europa.eu/ECAPublicati...

eca.europa.eu

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

“Despite this lack of notoriety, Austria’s [EVG and IMS] are quietly critical for all advanced semiconductor manufacturing . . . , we find it humorous that Austria could single-handedly bring the semiconductor supply chain . . . to its knees.” www.ft.com/content/1c4f...

ft.com

Austria’s ‘hidden’ tech champions at the core of global chipmaking

Two companies produce the lion’s share of high-tech tools crucial to make chips

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

A pessimistic take on AI's effect on white collar labour markets in the short run... www.axios.com/2025/05/28/a...

axios.com

Behind the Curtain: Top AI CEO foresees white-collar bloodbath

Hardly anyone is paying attention.

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 25/05/2025

“Fifty years from now, you will want to be able to look in the mirror and know that you did what you thought was right, in every part of your life,” the Fed chair said. “At the end of the day, your integrity is all you have.” on.ft.com/3HoKfAV

on.ft.com

Federal Reserve’s Jay Powell urges US university students to protect democracy

US central banker praises American colleges as Trump steps up attacks on Ivy League

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

The answer must be (customs) unity - check our latest @CentreFiw policy brief on a simulation of a customs union between 🇪🇺🇬🇧🇨🇦🇲🇽🇯🇵 fiw.ac.at/en/publication…

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Join our 59th FIW lecture in Vienna on 22 May at 09:30, where Romana Vlahutin, @ho2604.bsky.social & yours truly, will discuss how the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats, based on this policy brief: www.fiw.ac.at/en/publicati... Register here 👇👇👇 www.fiw.ac.at/en/event/59-...

fiw.ac.at

FIW-PB 67 (Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats - FIW

Abstract:This Policy Brief explores the potential impact of forming a customs union between the European Union (EU) and key global partners (e.g. Canada, the UK, Mexico and Japan) as a strategic respo...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 21/05/2025

You want to know more about @wiiw.ac.at ? Check out our 2024 online annual report - particularly the highlights section...

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 21/05/2025

Proud to present our new website on our #annualreport2024. Interactive infographics with our key indicators on budget, personnel, projects, publications, media & PR provide an overview of our work. Check it out: ➡️ annual-report.wiiw.ac.at 🧵1/2

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 20/05/2025

Don't miss today, 20 May, 16:00 CET @wiiw.ac.at: What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future? Great event with Branko Milanovic and Anastas Vangeli. For more: ➡️https://shorturl.at/sunNR

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

fiw.ac.at

FIW-PB 67 (Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats - FIW

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

Research Center for the History of Transformations @recetvienna.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

This year's #RECETFestival on "Migration & Transformation" is coming up. We are ready and excited to welcome you in our festival tent on June 3-June 5, 2025. Visit www.recet.at/festival to find out more about the Festival line-up.

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future? Join us for a great event with Branko Milanović and Anastas Vangeli in Vienna on 20 May 2025 at 16:00 @wiiw.ac.at Register here: 👇👇👇 wiiw.ac.at/futures-of-g...

wiiw.ac.at

Futures of Global Capitalism: China, the US, and the Lessons of the In-Between – From Sino-Yugoslav Relations to a Post-Globalization World (event)

What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future?

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Join us on 3 June @wiiw.ac.at Spring Seminar in cooperation with @wien.gv.at & @kdzaustria.bsky.social on "Growing Cities vs. Shrinking Countryside in Central Europe" with our distinguished keynote speakers CoR President Kata Tüttő & @rodriguez-pose.bsky.social Register 👇👇 wiiw.ac.at/spring-semin...

wiiw.ac.at

Spring Seminar 2025: Growing Cities vs. Shrinking Countryside in Central Europe (event)

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

"consolidate the various stocks of debt already issued with the joint backing of EU member states. A single issuer and set of bonds could over time replace the jigsaw of national bonds, as well as cover all new ones" on.ft.com/3GGii7s

on.ft.com

Trump has created a chance for the euro to rival the dollar

European leaders need to shed their political timidity to take the necessary steps

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

When will it finally become common sense, that deepening the EU's capital market means to offer joint Eurobonds for pan-European investment in large quantities...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 30/04/2025

What is "Durchhalteparole" in English?

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

wiiw @wiiw.ac.at · 29/04/2025

Hot off the press: Our Spring Forecast for 23 countries in Eastern Europe 2025-2027. Region to remain on growth trajectory, despite Trump’s tariffs; trade war and uncertainty as major risks; 🇺🇦's economy in murky waters; 🇷🇺’s growth to pick up, thanks to Trump. 🧵#Thread 1/11

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Reposted by Mario Holzner

Andrew Watt @andrewwatteu.bsky.social · 23/04/2025

Austria' successful socioeconomic model is built on strong social partnership and a robust and effective welfare state (including social housing). Europe should learn from its own most successful models and deepen social partnership also at EU level.

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

"The world requires, in other words, a new global trade regime where countries agree to restrain their domestic imbalances and match domestic demand with domestic supply. Only then will states no longer be forced to absorb one another’s internal imbalances." www.foreignaffairs.com/world/global...

foreignaffairs.com

The Global Trading System Was Already Broken

But there’s a better way to fix it than a reckless tariff regime.

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 19/04/2025

Disregarding Norway's oil & Luxembourg's (& Switzerland's) banking economy, Austria's differentiated, "normal" economy is leading by far in terms of disposable income of its "typical", median inhabitant - 1/4 more than in the EU - USP: a hyper-corporatist, federal welfare state.

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 15/04/2025

All US assets are for sale - also in the housing market...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Nuclear involves more than double the cost of solar or wind energy generation... small reactors even substantially more...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 13/04/2025

"the iPhone maker would need at least three years and $30bn just to shift a tenth of its supply chain from Asia to the US." on.ft.com/4ihE7rb

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

The ideal: "formation of a new customs union along the lines proposed by Keynes in 1944. To join, countries must recognise the external consequences of their policies and must take steps to keep domestic demand and domestic supply in overall balance." on.ft.com/3Eioa64

on.ft.com

The US would be better off without the global dollar

Trump’s tariffs were erratic and flawed but imbalances in the world economy are real

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Someone is trading options well these days...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Crude oil is now down to 60$ ... once it reaches 40 (as during the first year of the pandemic), Russian budget spending for extraction will be higher than the revenue... a global recession could have the potential to stop the war in Ukraine...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

I hope someone is collecting and contextualising these memes...

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

"Contemporary equivalents of the post-WWII settlement might include a Bretton Woods 2; more social spending; skills-based migration; and reducing the cost of vocational training and higher education. Hopefully it will not take World War III to get us there." www.nytimes.com/2025/04/05/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Globalization Is Collapsing. Brace Yourselves.

The world was just as intertwined 100 years ago, and its unraveling was a disaster. Can we avoid the same outcome?

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

Economists in 10 years looking for an exogenous shock in their data

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

And how was it possible for the words "truth" and "social" to take on a whole new connotation?

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Mario Holzner @marioholzner.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

I hope someone is checking up on those who have recently bought a lot of put options...

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