Sign in

Michal Onderco

@profonderco.bsky.social
879 followers 652 following 91 posts

Professor of International Relations at Erasmus University Rotterdam, affiliated with Charles University in Prague. VU Amsterdam, EUI, CISAC, WIAS-alum. Nuclear weapons | foreign policy | CEE

PostsRepliesMedia
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Don’t you love it when you see research relevant for what you read in the news? @dagmarvorlicek.bsky.social has today a new piece out in RIS on #laboratories in #globalpolitics! Congrats! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Laboratories in global politics: Towards technopolitical histories of security | Review of International Studies | Cambridge Core
Laboratories in global politics: Towards technopolitical histories of security
030
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Ordered for @erasmusuniversity.bsky.social ‘s library!
020
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
A realist discovers that economic statecraft matters and contemporary power has multiple dimensions
093
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
There is absolutely zero doubt that under @adreher.bsky.social ‘s tenure, RIO was the best managed journal in the field by quite some margin, publishing consistently great work. Tough but fair, with incredible response time. Thank you for your service!
131
Reposted by Michal Onderco
European Leadership Network (ELN) @theeln.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
AI-enabled warfare is giving the US unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, argues @profonderco.bsky.social. From Venezuela to Iran, lower-risk operations lower the bar for war, exposing allies to miscalculation. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
AI enables strategic stupidity. That should terrify Europe
AI-enabled warfare is giving the United States unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, writes Erasmus University Rotterdam Professor Michal Onderco. From the Caracas raid to st...
022
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Recent military operations in Venezuela and Iran show that the AI gives the US tactical excellence but enables strategic stupidity. What are the three reasons this should terrify Europe? Read in my new piece for @theeln.bsky.social -> europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
AI enables strategic stupidity. That should terrify Europe
AI-enabled warfare is giving the United States unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, writes Erasmus University Rotterdam Professor Michal Onderco. From the Caracas raid to st...
031
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Very excited to present my book at @managingtheatom.bsky.social next week!
010
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Thanks to @tomwetienne.bsky.social and an accident, we now know whether Oppenheimer changed how people think about nuclear weapons 👇. Now our in @ipsr-risp.bsky.social
010
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
You probably mistook SK prime minister for SK president
040
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Quick reactions after learning that no, nobody could stop him. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m... 1/
goodauthority.org
Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him?
Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him? Congress, public opinion, and administration insiders aren’t reliable constraints on Trump’s foreign policy decisions.
16642239
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
If you have time to read only one thing on today’s strikes, make it @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social ‘s analysis in @thebulletin.org .
0154
Reposted by Michal Onderco
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
The "debate" in the run-up to this makes Iraq 2003 look like the Athenian polis.
441275
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · 26/02/2026
This week at a FIIA seminar, @profonderco.bsky.social, @pesumatti.bsky.social and Katja Creutz discussed the complexity of democratic foreign policy-making on nuclear security in the twenty-first century. Watch the recording ⤵️ fiia.fi/en/tapahtumat/europes-nuclear-umbrella
Matti Pesu, Katja Creutz and Michal Onderco on stage.
062
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
This was a great event, and i’m very thankful to Andrej Findor for organizing it!
010
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Mijn eerste keer op nederlandse live radio, en dan bij @ovt-vpro.bsky.social !
030
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Claudia Major @claudmajor.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
What nuclear options does Europe have with less US; or without? Our study is now published 👇 , a fantastic teamwork of the European Nuclear Study Group, co-chaired by @tobiasbunde.bsky.social James Davis & myself.
110226
Reposted by Michal Onderco
European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
65.1🦋 Attitudes toward international organisations? 🌍 Exploring #Technocratic & #Populist attitudes, Reinout van der Veer & @profonderco.bsky.social use survey data across five European 🏤 countries to explain how people view #InternationalOrganisations
buff.ly
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations - Volume 65 Issue 1
042
Reposted by Michal Onderco
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Interesting attempt to summarize Europe's deterrence options/dilemmas on page 56 of the @munsecconf.bsky.social European deterrence report. securityconference.org/en/publicati...
Europe's Nuclear Deterrence Options table.
26213
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Thanks to everyone for joining the launch of Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella yesterday in The Hague. Thanks especially to the discussants Michaele de Goeij, @lindedesma.bsky.social and Sico van der Meer.
150
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
A few words (in Slovak) about #NewSTART by @profonderco.bsky.social for @pravdask.bsky.social. spravy.pravda.sk/svet/clanok/...
spravy.pravda.sk
Priblížil sa svet k jadrovej vojne? Posledná atómová dohoda medzi USA a Ruskom vypršala
Systém dohôd obmedzujúcich počty a nasadenie jadrových zbraní medzi Spojenými štátmi a Ruskom sa rozpadol.
031
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · 04/02/2026
Final update: The translator sent a very kind email to explain the context around all this. If even a single Iranian can draw strength from the book, I'm glad it was published in Farsi. It's an honour and I hope you will succeed
1142
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Maaike @maaikeverbruggen.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
Netherlands will be "constructive" towards the "strenghtening of a European nuclear deterrent" They will join the Treaty of Achen (Franco-German defence cooperation treaty) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aachen_...
We verdiepen de Europese defensiesamenwerking. We zetten in op gezamenlijke 
aanschaf in gebruikerspoules van strategische capaciteiten die voor individuele landen 
te kostbaar zijn. Nederland loopt voorop in het realiseren van een Europese pijler 
binnen de NAVO. Ook staan we constructief tegenover het versterken van een 
Europese nucleaire afschrikking. We treden toe tot het verdrag van Aken
173
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
As someone who sat on the Sartori Prize cmte last yr, I have to say that RISP consistently delivers clever high-quality papers with good data and relevant questions. Hard to find another “national” journal in Europe with such good quality. This paper fits the pattern.
042
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Nicole Grajewski @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
As some of you already know, I recently moved to Paris for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at @ceri-sciencespo.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social. Here is a recent interview I did on my research agenda and background. www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/en/news...
sciencespo.fr
Are nuclear issues at the heart of the Russia-Iran relationship?
Interview with Nicole Grajewsi
1555
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
If you’re in The Hague: join the official book launch on 10 February 2026. I’ll be discussing the book with Sico van der Meer, Michaele de Goeij, and Linde Desmaele. More info: www.eur.nl/en/essb/even...
eur.nl
Book Launch: Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella
On Tuesday 10 February 2026, Dr. Michal Onderco will present his latest book “Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella”, recently published by Cambridge University Press.
011
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
To the best of my knowledge, this is the first comparative study of contestation around nuclear sharing across all five host countries. It draws on original data on public opinion, political parties, and civil society, and is written with non-specialists in mind.
110
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Today Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella is officially out. The book examines how nuclear sharing is contested across Europe, and why governments stick with these policies even when they’re deeply unpopular. www.cambridge.org/nl/universit...
cambridge.org
Europe's Nuclear Umbrella | Cambridge University Press & Assessment
2126
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Never had the pleasure of meeting David Malone, but we corresponded and he had an incredibly generous mind. May his soul rest in peace!
000
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Stephen Herzog @herzogsm.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
The Nonproliferation Review published the first of 2 special issues from the Harvard–MacArthur Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group. #OpenAccess intro by the 3 working group co-chairs & special issue editors, Hassan Elbahtimy, @professorrdg.bsky.social, & me: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Getting beyond nuclear deterrence: a research agenda
For eight decades, the practice of nuclear deterrence has been treated as common sense in many influential policy-making and scholarly circles. This remains the case although most states neither po...
034
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Why do some EU members “care” more about the 🇮🇱-🇵🇸 conflict than others? Together with @valeriovignoli.bsky.social and @irena-kalhousova.bsky.social , we argue this is due to domestic polarization, demography and trade patterns. Read more in #openaccess onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Who Cares: Why the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict Matters (More) to Some EU Member States
What drives the salience of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict amongst EU member states? This article employs domestic foreign policy theories to explain the factors underlying variation in salience, e...
071
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Happy to give a book talk: Europe: flexible | US: late March | E Asia: mid-spring. If your class or group is interested in nuclear weapons, democracy, or alliances, let’s talk!
020
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
🎉 Excited to share that “Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella” @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org will be out in physical form before Christmas. It tells the story of how Europeans contest nuclear weapons - and how policymakers react. Pairs perfectly with hot and cold beverages. ☕ www.cambridge.org/9781009698672
cambridge.org
Europe's Nuclear Umbrella | Cambridge University Press & Assessment
241
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
The BBC report screenshot in your first post is also not about Eindhoven
000
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Also the official press release of @minvandefensie.bsky.social www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieu...
defensie.nl
Optreden tegen drones boven vliegbasis Volkel
Defensie is vrijdagavond tot actie overgegaan toen tussen 19.00 en 21.00 uur meerdere drones werden gezien boven vliegbasis Volkel. De drones zijn waargenomen door bewakingspersoneel. Luchtmachtperson...
010
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Yesterday’s article about Volkel nos.nl/l/2591497
nos.nl
Luchtmacht heeft wapens ingezet tegen 5 tot 10 drones boven vliegbasis Volkel
De drones werden gezien door bewakingspersoneel, waarna luchtmachtpersoneel vanaf de grond wapens inzette om ze neer te halen.
200
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
“Personeel van de Koninklijke Luchtmacht heeft gisteravond vanaf de grond geprobeerd om drones neer te halen die boven vliegbasis Volkel werden gezien. Dat gebeurde met wapens, meldt het ministerie van Defensie in een persbericht.” First para of the NOS
100
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
“Wapens ingezet” nos.nl/l/2591497
nos.nl
Luchtmacht heeft wapens ingezet tegen 5 tot 10 drones boven vliegbasis Volkel
De drones werden gezien door bewakingspersoneel, waarna luchtmachtpersoneel vanaf de grond wapens inzette om ze neer te halen.
100
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Our paper with Ulrich Kühn @ifshhamburg.bsky.social on organizing nuclear policies in Europe has now an issue! Who are the architects, and who are the bricoleurs? Read in #openaccess at Intl Politics link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Organizing nuclear policies in Europe: of bricoleur plurality, architect absence, and spoiler disruption - International Politics
A major question in organizing European security is how Europe should deal with nuclear weapons. Historically, extended nuclear deterrence and later multilateral nonproliferation and bilateral arms co...
020
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
DL on Wednesday!
021
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna! ⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025 wratil.eu/files/MULTIR... 1/4 🧵
17679
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Peter was deeply knowledgeable, but exceptionally devout to democratic process. There’s no better example than the NPT’s extension. Indefinite extension wasn’t his preferred option. But when the politicians decided to go for it, he made it work. True class. RIP
020
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
And I had the privilege of studying the work of Goosen the diplomat for my book on the NPT’s extension published with @stanfordpress.bsky.social (3/4) www.sup.org/books/politi...
sup.org
Networked Nonproliferation | Stanford University Press
The Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) had many opponents when, in 1995, it came up for extension. The majority of parties opposed extension, and experts expected a limited extension...
130
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
In 2017, I had an honor to interview him on this momentous negotiation for a project with Wilson Center (2/n) digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/ora...
digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org
110
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Peter Goosen, the titan of arms control, has passed. Peter was an amazing man, a proud South African who left his mark on chemical, biological and nuclear arms control. However, he will be most famously known for his role in the NPT’s indefinite extension in 1995. (1/n)
142
Reposted by Michal Onderco
European Security @europeansecurity.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
New OA article: The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance by Mahmoud Javadi, @profonderco.bsky.social & Sophie Vanhoonacker: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
033
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
Together with Mahmoud Javadi and Sophie Vanhoonacker, we just published a piece in @europeansecurity.bsky.social on why EU is not more active in military AI regulation. Drawing on regime complexity scholarship, our answer is simple: EU doesn't offer what MSs want. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
052
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Ben Coates @bencoates1.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
I won’t tell you who to vote for. But don’t listen to those who rage about how the country has been ruined. It’s one of the most successful place in the world by almost every measure you can think. Is everything perfect? No! Could things improve? Yes!
212016
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Valentina Di Stasio @distasioval.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Postdoc opening. Background in IR/PolSci, quantitative skills. Great supervisors.
022
Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Come work with us! A new postdoc vacancy at @essb-erasmusuni010.bsky.social on willingness to fight. Join our small but active group. DL on 12 Nov. For more info, see www.eur.nl/en/working-a...
eur.nl
Post-doc Willingness to Fight
Want to gain a deeper understanding of what citizens think about the military, security and defence policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine? Please join!
031
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Matt Steinglass @mattsteinglass.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
I wrote about the Polish refusal to extradite a Ukrainian suspect in the Nord Stream attack to Germany. A few things didn't make it in. First: the court said jurisdiction over attacks on a pipeline in international waters is hazy. Sounds weird, right? 1/8 www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
economist.com
Poland refuses to extradite a Nord Stream suspect
Relations with Germany take a turn for the worse
1143