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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 2h

There's an issue behind warnings about superintelligence, writes Sara Goudarzi @saragoud.bsky.social. "There is no established path showing that today's AI systems will surpass the smartest humans, much less a scientific basis for calculating the likelihood that such systems will destroy humanity."

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How the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big business

There is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 20h

In case you missed it: The final vestiges of a nomadic pastoral tradition pre-dating the founding of Rome could also be Europe's best unheralded tool to curb the extreme wildfires that ravage the continent year after year. Read more on the Bulletin's site: buff.ly/dntG2CI

Julián López’s flock of sheep graze in public lands near Cazorla, Spain. (Photo: Emerson Mendoza Ayala)

A wildfire burns in northern Portugal in August 2024. (Neal Haddaway)

Javier Guerrero Vilches is a third-generation transhumant shepherd. He poses for the camera in front of his flock. (Emerson Mendoza Ayala)

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 28/09/2026

France's nuclear example shows that while "technologies provide easy political hype, they must prove safety, economic viability, and a clear advantage over existing low-carbon energy alternatives before major investment is justified," write AnnaJulia Yates, Allison Macfarlane, and Alexander Wimmers.

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Why the world's top nuclear nation is sitting out the hype on small reactors

Unlike the US and UK, where start-ups and governments are betting heavily on small modular reactors, France’s state-led nuclear sector is prioritizing large-scale builds. With SMRs facing operational…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 27/09/2026

Widely thought of as the "founder of the internet," Vint Cerf discusses the ideals behind the original internet—including the emphasis on the net being an open, neutral, level playing field—and how to re-install a sense of trust to today's new AI-dominated version.

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“The internet is a giant copying machine”: Interview with Vint Cerf

Widely thought of as the “founder of the internet,” Vint Cerf talks about how to re-install a sense of trust to this new AI-dominated version, and the ideals behind the original internet—including…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 27/09/2026

Thomas Graham, Jr., a diplomat, arms control negotiator, and a critic of President Reagan's "Star Wars" initiative, died this month at age 92. Graham spent 27 years negotiating limits on the world's nuclear arsenals and successfully led the US effort to make the Non-Proliferation Treaty permanent.

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Thomas Graham Jr. helped build an arms control system now under strain

Diplomat and negotiator Thomas Graham Jr., who died at 92, spent nearly three decades shaping every major US nuclear agreement and leading the effort to permanently extend the Non-Proliferation…

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Reposted by Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Why is the world's top nuclear nation sitting out the hype on Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)? In a new piece for @thebulletin.org, AnnaJulia Yates, Allison Macfarlane & Alexander Wimmers break down France's cautious approach to SMRs. 🧵👇

A modern industrial facility with large circular structures, green energy components, and surrounding trees, set near mountains and wind turbines. (Image: EDF)

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 25/09/2026

Unlike the US and UK, where start-ups and governments are betting heavily on small modular reactors, France's state-led nuclear sector is prioritizing large-scale builds. AnnaJulia Yates, Allison Macfarlane, and Alexander Wimmers write about why. ⬇️

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Why the world's top nuclear nation is sitting out the hype on small reactors

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 24/09/2026

Beijing views "strategic stability" as a guarantee of non-interference, while Washington pays the phrase little mind, writes Tong Zhao. Ahead of their summit, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping must move past ambiguity and define real red lines for space weapons, missile defense, and regional security.

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Trump and Xi agreed on "strategic stability." They now need to decide what it means

Beijing views "strategic stability" as a guarantee of non-interference, while Washington pays the phrase little mind. Ahead of their Washington summit, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping must move past…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 24/09/2026

Watch the full livestream of Climate Desk Live from New York City, featuring Zohran Mamdani, Garrison Hayes, Bulletin editor-in-chief Sharon Weinberger, and numerous other experts and leaders. buff.ly/DZ6QsFb

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- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 23/09/2026

The US could use its acknowledgement of having space weapons as the first step in a reciprocal transparency and risk-reduction initiative. It could invite Russia and China to acknowledge a basic reality: All three nuclear powers possess systems that could interfere with or destroy space assets.

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The US acknowledged its space weapons. Now it must build guardrails

Confirming classified space-control capabilities will not deter rivals on its own—Washington must now use this disclosure as a springboard for reciprocal transparency and risk-reduction measures…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 23/09/2026

"Europe did not solve its data privacy problems, nor did it fix the internet. But the EU did arrive earlier at a more accurate diagnosis of these issues precisely because of the historical, governmental, and philosophical factors that differentiate it from North America." —Enrique Dans

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Three reasons Europe learned to distrust Big Tech before America did

European attitudes toward digital privacy and technology regulation are dismissed in the US as technophobia. But there are distinct, historically grounded reasons why Europe has moved further and…

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Reposted by Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Last week, the US confirmed what competitors already assumed—it has on-orbit space weapons. Russia and China immediately accused Washington of sparking an arms race, but competition in space has been underway for years. So why disclose it now? 🧵

A man in a suit stands at a podium on stage, facing an audience, with two teleprompters in front of him and stage lights shining above. (Photo by US Air Force/Malia Heemsoth)

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 22/09/2026

Climate change has supercharged heatwaves in the Mediterranean, and rural land abandonment and dwindling pastoral activities have allowed tall greenery to grow across grasslands, turning swathes of Europe into tinderboxes. More grazing can help prevent wildfires, but shepherds need more support.

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Flocks of nomadic sheep might be Europe’s oldest fix for extreme wildfires

Extensive grazing could help protect landscapes from one of the most destructive impacts of climate change, but shepherds need more support.

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 22/09/2026

Last week marked the first time a United States official has acknowledged that the US possesses space-based weapons. An arms race in space has been underway for years, writes Mallory Stewart. The important question is why the US chose to make this disclosure now—and what it plans to do with it.

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The US acknowledged its space weapons. Now it must build guardrails

Confirming classified space-control capabilities will not deter rivals on its own—Washington must now use this disclosure as a springboard for reciprocal transparency and risk-reduction measures…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 21/09/2026

Extensive grazing could help protect landscapes from one of the most destructive impacts of climate change, write Tristan Bove, Emerson Mendoza Ayala, and Neal Haddaway @nealhaddaway.bsky.social. But shepherds need more support. ⬇️

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Flocks of nomadic sheep might be Europe’s oldest fix for extreme wildfires

Extensive grazing could help protect landscapes from one of the most destructive impacts of climate change, but shepherds need more support.

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 21/09/2026

We're honored to share that the Bulletin has been awarded the Miwon Peace Prize at the Peace BAR Festival at Kyung Hee University. Watch the address given by Bulletin president and CEO Alexandra Bell here: buff.ly/iSKG8we

Bulletin President and CEO Alexandra Bell, Governing Board Chair David Kuhlman, and Science and Security Board Chair Daniel Holz pose after accepting the 2nd Miwon Peace Prize. (Kyung Hee University)

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 19/09/2026

European attitudes toward digital privacy and technology regulation are often dismissed in the US as technophobia. But there are distinct, historically grounded reasons why Europe has moved further and faster to regulate Big Tech, writes Enrique Dans, a professor at IE Business School, Madrid.

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Three reasons Europe learned to distrust Big Tech before America did

European attitudes toward digital privacy and technology regulation are dismissed in the US as technophobia. But there are distinct, historically grounded reasons why Europe has moved further and…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 19/09/2026

Repeated US and Israeli threats of further strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure are converging with mounting diplomatic pressure, writes Seyed Hossein Mousavian of @princeton.edu. "Iran’s nuclear file is no longer merely a technical or legal issue." buff.ly/l7IExkR

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 18/09/2026

Countries could soon begin shaping a verification system for the Biological Weapons Convention, something it still lacks. They should build a verification scheme that generates robust, independently acquired and mutually intelligible evidence, writes Filippa Lentzos @filippalentzos.bsky.social. ⬇️

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Are countries making bioweapons? ‘Bioaudits’ could help find out

Countries could soon begin shaping the contours of a verification system for the global treaty banning bioweapons–something the Biological Weapons Convention, which entered into force in 1975, still…

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 17/09/2026

"Prediction markets are creating new nightmares for operational security," write @szakonyi.bsky.social, Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, and Michael Hornsby. They allow those with inside information to bet on national security issues, all while giving both allies and adversaries a possible heads-up.

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Insiders are betting on war: How prediction markets are becoming a national security threat

Prediction markets allow those with insider information bet on national security issues, giving adversaries a potential heads-up.

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Reposted by Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Robert Rust @rrucs.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

My first for @bulletinatomic.bsky.social, a deep dive on a CCTV doc about China's missile silos and thoughts on what a direct reference to the project in prominent media means for our understanding of China's nuclear thinking: thebulletin.org/2026/09/here...