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Paul B

@paulbr4.bsky.social
1.1K followers 541 following 1.5K posts

Bikes, Books, Music. Australia

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Reposted by Paul B
Nick Feik @nickfeik.bsky.social · 7h
When you realise how history will judge you
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 11h
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
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Simon Rosenberg @simonrosenberg.bsky.social · 4h
"The last of the free western Democratic Nations- SUPPORT THE ICC & THE RULE OF LAW" I wish we could say the same about the Australian government. But our PM and foreign minister view international law as expendable to their main game: being a doormat for the Trump regime and Israel. #auspol
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PacoOnPause @pacoonpause.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Why scientists are rethinking the immune effects of SARS-CoV-2: www.bmj.com/content/390/...
bmj.com
Why scientists are rethinking the immune effects of SARS-CoV-2
“Immunity debt,” a theory to explain the global surge in non-covid infections since pandemic restrictions were lifted, is increasingly being challenged by emerging evidence. Nick Tsergas reports Myco...
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David Marler @qldaah.bsky.social · 5h
It's been over 2 weeks since the government dumped hundreds of reports on a Friday. Amongst them the news 91 children known to Queensland child protection died last financial year. Silence from Premier David Crisafulli & zero follow up. #qldpol
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Paul B @paulbr4.bsky.social · 14h
m.youtube.com/watch?v=CqDG...
m.youtube.com
Eddie Hazel - California Dreamin'
YouTube video by OzzySer Music
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Paul B @paulbr4.bsky.social · 16h
Why is it that when I'm drunk I spill less coffee dosing the moka pot? m.youtube.com/watch?v=57F5...
m.youtube.com
The Paradise Motel - Bad Light
YouTube video by TheParadiseMotel
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Reposted by Paul B
The Cathy Wilcox @cathywilcox.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
thepoint.com.au/new/261009-k...
thepoint.com.au
Kudelka Climate Cartoon Award announces 2026 longlist
The annual Stanley Awards, Australia’s premier awards for cartoonists, has announced its long list for best climate cartoon honours. Born out of a boycott of fossil fuel sponsorship, from this year th...
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The Cathy Wilcox @cathywilcox.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Hey guess what everybody? We’re doing a climate cartoon award again and we’re naming it in our dear, late friend Jon Kudelka’s honour!
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🎃👻🧙‍♀️ Vio the VVitch 🧙‍♀️👻🎃 @viothevvitch.myatproto.social · 08/10/2026
this is so fucking sad
Alvin Sng 0 @alvinsng My wife: Can you read our baby a book?
Follow
Me: Icanjust play an audiobook from my phone.
My wife: But then it won't be in your voic e.
Me:| can train a voice model.
Parenting hits different when you workin Al.
8:30 AM .07 Oct 26 . 816K Views
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Gnome De Plume (Sista Cate Ruth) ♿🎃👻💀🧛🏽‍♂️ @sistacatruthpurry.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Ok. I'm confused. Andrew Hastie says, in order to avoid becoming a "supplicant state", Australia needs its own AI industry. But he goes on to say that aligning with AUKUS provides for ally-backed AI in Australia. How does that protect our sovereignty, exactly? 🤔 It's US AI, not Australian.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 07/10/2026
If One Nation's immigration cuts had any chance of lowering rents, Phil Coorey and the entire better-than-you political class would be screaming bloody murder on behalf of property investors and landlords. Instead he acts as if One Nation's in-house economics team (me neither!) has credibility.
Afr headline: 'We'll cut your rent by up to 4k': Hanson ups the ante on immigration

Sorry by Phil Coorey
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Paul B @paulbr4.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Lock It Glory Box Because the Night Lots of other great songs there
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Nick Harkaway @nickharkaway.com · 08/10/2026
I am so bloody tired of government by electoral attack strategy. You WON, now get off your collectively irresponsible arse and govern for survival, happiness and prosperity, not the fantasies of billionaire US tech-and-sex-party magnates.
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Simon Rosenberg @simonrosenberg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
"Australia’s media has made the shift that Labor is at one end of that discourse and One Nation is at the other – which makes anything in the middle, the acceptable centre." @amyremeikis.bsky.social The 'sensible centre' is increasingly toxic. #auspol www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/politic...
thenewdaily.com.au
Australia's 'sensible centre' is shifting radically to the right
Australia has a new political centre, but just because it falls in the middle of two policies, that doesn’t make it good policy.
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Ambassador Ken Fairfax (ret) @portlandken.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
The accounting is in: In Oregon there are 111 data centers. The TOTAL number of people employed at data centers is just 2,630, or 0.1% of the labor force. Those 100 data centers consumer 23% of all electricity used in Oregon. Meanwhile, electricity rates skyrocket as more centers are built.
opb.org
Oregon data centers by the numbers: 111 facilities consume nearly one-quarter of state’s power, according to new report
A first-of-its-kind report details the footprint of the controversial facilities.
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Australian Conservation Foundation @ausconservation.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
There came a time when we understood that asbestos was a product that when you used it as intended would cause harm. That's now the case with coal and gas. We don't mine and export asbestos anymore. #auspol www.abc.net.au/news/2026-10...
abc.net.au
High Court's coalmine emissions ruling says 'the quiet part out loud'
Activists, politicians and the resources sector are fired up about a High Court ruling over a planning statute.
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The Point @thepointau.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
"COPping it, Australian style" a new cartoon by @fionakatauskas.bsky.social See this afternoon's cartoon on The Point: thepoint.com.au/opinions/261008-cop…
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 08/10/2026
The finns are justifiably very pissed about Google razing a forest to erect a chatbot building lnkd.in/p/eKFXmtE9
Q Search
Bram Vranken likes this
Esa Mäkinen
3rd+
Executive editor at Helsingin Sanomat. Working with ... 19h
+ Follow
Google refuses to answer why they cut down 1,8×1,8km of forest for data center even Finnish authorities said not to do it. So our journalist went to Google offices to demand answers. None were given, guard was summoned.
18.10a valvontavirasto kehotti Good
◄ Slackskeyttämään kaikki luontoon vaikuttavat
ät.
<
Tilaajille
☐ Û
HS
Käy Googlen pääkonttorilla, mutta yhtiö kieltäytyy vastaa...
CO Olivier Hoedeman and 39 others
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The DILETTANTE @demwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Dad: we need to get lobbyists out of politics, end Aukus and the US alliance and start doing something about fossil fuels Me: so you need to vote Greens Dad: no i can’t vote Greens Me: if you genuinely want those things you have to vote Green because none of the others agree with you. Dad: Me:
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ABC News Australia @news.abc.net.au · 08/10/2026
What a High Court decision on a NSW coal mine could mean for WA gas projects
abc.net.au
WA's oil and gas industry watches impact of High Court ruling closely
WA's energy sector is sounding the alarm over a landmark High Court ruling that overseas emissions from a proposed NSW coal mine were required to be considered when approving the project.
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Matt Golding @goldingcartoons.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
The High Court has found that under NSW planning law, miners must also account for “scope three” emissions – the pollution created when the coal is burnt by their overseas customers www.theage.com.au/environment/...
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Asher Wolf @asherwolf.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
“Oh no, poor landlords are only able to charge $700 per week in rental income when median net income around $1155 per week”. How tf is anyone meant to pay rent, bills and still eat?
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Hypervisible @hypervisible.blacksky.app · 07/10/2026
They are becoming more and more explicit that creating dossiers on you and graphing your relationships is the whole point. “Agents” indeed. www.cnbc.com/2026/10/07/m...
Former Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is taking a try-before-you-buy approach with her new photo-centric AI agent startup Dazzle, a tactic she said is important “for those occasional users or those users who are just trying to see what the service can do at the very beginning.”

Dazzle analyzes users’ personal photos to understand aspects of their lives, such as their family members or interests, and then can take actions like reminding someone that a pair of shoes they recently looked up is on sale online.

It’s a strategy she learned from her early tenure at Google
, before the company built its market-leading online ad platform.
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Pup Fiction @pupfiction.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
“Now mines may have to work out how to reduce emissions from their export customers,” said the CEO of the Minerals Council. So sad that these companies might have to have some corporate responsibility thrust upon the poor dears 😢 🎻
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
One thing I find endlessly funny about the rise of AI is that it has revealed that there is a large number of people who believe that the reason they wrote essays at school or university is their teachers were desperately waiting for them to provide a definite answer to “Lear: what’s up with him?”
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Pup Fiction @pupfiction.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
But no doubt the Labor government will use shitloads of our money to appeal the decision basically forever, just like they are doing to Rex Patrick over his FOI win. Sorry but I can’t celebrate until actual policy changes
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Paul Begley @yelgeb.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
"Mates, cronies, party donors, lobbyists and insiders work to the disadvantage of the interests of the constituencies he has pretended to champion. Albanese knows this but thinks he can get away with it." Jack Waterford johnmenadue.com/post/2026/10...
johnmenadue.com
Greens can hope to pick up the mess Labor and Albanese have made
Labor’s shift to the right has opened political space on its left. If the Greens seriously want to become an alternative party of government, they must take votes from Labor, professionalise and build...
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Senator David Shoebridge @davidshoebridge.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I know Tony and Wendy well. They're good friends and long-time Greens, and they've spent decades fighting to protect the Hunter Valley they love. Today they took on the fossil fuel giants and got an important win.
Guardian article screenshot. Headline: Hunter Valley community group wins landmark high court climate change case over coalmine.Photo of David Shoebridge, Larissa Waters, Wendy, and Tony standing together and smiling in a Parliament office
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Paul B @paulbr4.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
They'll blame the people that warned them this would happen
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Kon Karapanagiotidis @kkarapanagiotidis.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
To every Australian banging on this morning on talkback radio about wanting ZERO migration, I concede. You can have it. As long as you are ok with the high chance of ZERO emergency medical care when you’re sick. ZERO aged care when you’re old. ZERO fresh food when you’re hungry.
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Paul B @paulbr4.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
'While banks were "lucky" to have physical branches, Buxton anticipated acting against these threats would be a problem for many organisations, in a future where the only trustworthy communications would be "in-person".' Doesn't help that the banks are closing their branches as fast as they can
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Tim Hollo @timhollo.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
HUGE news Kind of shocking that it's up to the High Court to make decisions democratic governments are proving incapable of making. And kind of shocking that it was a split decision. But massive congrats to everyone who made this happen. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Hunter Valley community group wins landmark high court climate change case over Mount Pleasant coalmine
Ruling on Mount Pleasant coalmine shows ‘we cannot continue to dig up coal … and pretend the consequences have nothing to do with us’, group says
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Dr Dean Burnett @drdeanburnett.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
"By using AI, tasks like essays that used to take hours can be completed in minutes!" Sure, like how if I arrive at the gym and immediately go for a shower, my workout is done in record time. And if I throw my sandwiches straight in the bin, I can finish my lunch in under 10 seconds.
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Michael Dowling aka MeckeringBoy @meckeringboy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
ALL these political parties scapegoat migrants & foreign students when we know the biggest problems are wealthy non-tax/paying multi-homeowners, & neo-con policies that stopped building social housing & sold off older social housing stocks to investors. Try going to a hospital… without OS workers.
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Peggy Sanders @peggysanders.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
VIC Labor Premier just announced he will not form minority govt with Greens. Following same pattern as Tasmanian Labor Party refusal to form minority govt with Greens, instead letting LNP take Governnent. Will VIC Labor hand govt over to LNP/ON rather than form minority govt with Greens?
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Eddy Jokovich @eddyjokovich.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Something about the #FlyDubai story doesn't add up. Conflicting accounts, extraordinary claims, unanswered questions – and an extraordinarily convenient political narrative. Why didn’t journalists check the stories? The Weekly Brief from New Politics: www.newpolitics.com.au/p/why-the-fl...
newpolitics.com.au
Why the FlyDubai story doesn’t add up, a Greens left turn and Australia’s politics of power
The FlyDubai narrative deserves more scrutiny, Shoebridge pushes the Greens towards the populist left; One Nation gets closer to Rinehart; Big tech and AI; and Labor pushes another massive coalmine.
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
One of those "oh things are improving... wait, WTUF, the gap is that big?" graphs
Chart of median age of death:

	Non-indigenous	Indigenous
2009	80.9	56.1
2010	81.1	56.5
2011	81.3	56.7
2012	81.6	57.2
2013	81.7	57.3
2014	81.8	57.8
2015	81.9	57.9
2016	82	58.7
2017	82	59.3
2018	82	60.1
2019	81.9	60.4
2020	81.9	61
2021	82	61.7
2022	82.1	62.3
2023	82.3	63
2024	82.3	63.2
2025	82.2	63.5
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Hypervisible @hypervisible.blacksky.app · 05/10/2026
But did he use an ai agent to book the rescue? Missed opportunity there.
gizmodo.com
Teen Left Stranded on a Cliff After Letting AI Plan Hike
A 16-year-old hiker had to be rescued after using AI to plan his route.
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Graham Readfearn @readfearn.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
A month of broken records for temperatures around Australia. Hottest September ever for minimums across the continent, scores of places setting records for warmest September. A snow depth gauge in the NSW alps fell to zero - a first for any September since it was deployed in 1954.
theguardian.com
Australia experiences second hottest September on record as El Niño and climate crisis combine
Alpine areas also experience record-breaking heat with snow depth recorded at zero in Kosciuszko national park
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
theonion.com/trump-drops-...
theonion.com
Trump Drops Bombshell Evidence Biden Actively Campaigned Against Him
WASHINGTON—During an address to the nation Tuesday in which he claimed to have obtained definitive proof that the election was stolen, President Donald Trump presented bombshell evidence showing his o...
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Steve Baty (He/him) @docbaty.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Australia playing a leadership role at COP31 while approving new coal and gas projects - massive ones - at home, to be exported and burned abroad, is the height of hypocrisy. Packaged up with a patronising visit to Fiji.
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
My latest for @deepcutnews.bsky.social on the we need less govt spending folk who pay no tax. open.substack.com/pub/deepcutn...
open.substack.com
News Corp, Santos, Kogan paid $0 in tax. But sure, let’s blame ‘government spending’ - Greg Jericho
The Coalition want to cut already-underfunded social and health services, while staying silent on the corporations paying nothing
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Rav BOO!dram 🎃👻 @rvbdrm.com · 05/10/2026
If you’re arresting a Jewish 94-year-old human rights lawyer for peacefully protesting, you’re on the wrong side of history. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10...
aljazeera.com
‘I’m rather proud’: Barrister, 94, arrested for supporting Palestine Action
Margaret Owen OBE, a celebrated human rights lawyer and friend of Ed Miliband’s late mother, talks to Al Jazeera.
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Gekko @gekko.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The Greens under new leadership have made the decision to be a government-in-waiting and many Australians are energised by that Its not only a mess made by Albanese and Labor, its a dysfunctional mess created by major parties in our body politic that serves no-one johnmenadue.com/post/2026/10...
johnmenadue.com
Greens can hope to pick up the mess Labor and Albanese have made
Labor’s shift to the right has opened political space on its left. If the Greens seriously want to become an alternative party of government, they must take votes from Labor, professionalise and build...
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Sandy Horne @sandyhorne.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
A white-browed woodswallow at Gluepot Reserve, South Australia. #birdsseenin2026
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Sydney Knitting Nannas and Friends @knitnannassyd.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
HVO coal mine expansion was approved to continue for 19 more years and more news from the Nannas. knittingnannas.org/2026/10/06/n...
knittingnannas.org
Nanna News 6 Oct 2026
It was a shocking week for Knitting Nannas and the movement to protect our climate, land, water and natural environment. The Hunter Valley Operation coal mine expansion was approved.
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Jo Dyer @instanterudite.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Isn't that sweet? One Rinehart subsidiary purchases a building for the use of another Rinehart subsidary.
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Richard Kadrey @richardkadrey.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Econ 101
Person one: Taught my kids how socialism works. Let them trick or treat while I stayed home. Then took all their candy. Socialism 101.

Person two : The socialism part is where the community came together and fed your kids for free. The capitalism part is where you made them do all the work and stole from them.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 05/10/2026
It feels like a real tactic to apply "don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good" to someone just trying to the absolute bog standard bare minimum of climate action (like: 'reduce fossil fuel usage') Just keep shifting the flag of 'reasonable middle ground' further towards pro-fossil positions
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