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Tim Baxter

@timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au
11K followers 1.3K following 5.9K posts

Australian climate researcher and advocate on unceded Wurundjeri Country. Burgeoning neo-luddite. Why am I becoming more anarchist with each passing climate disaster? If you want to save the world: Let's have a chat. www.naruresearch.com.au

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Reposted by Tim Baxter
Penny Tangey @pennytangey.bsky.social · 55m
"Infamous betrayal".. Agreed. It's Circle of Friends level stuff but with much less good excuses. www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
Approval of biggest coal project in NSW planning commission’s history described as ‘infamous betrayal’
Independent Planning Commission says climate change impacts from Hunter Valley project will be ‘outweighed’ by economic benefits
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 1h
As a disgruntled anarchist forced to work within a system I don't trust or like, I don't have much time for party politics. Within that caucus, Shoebridge feels like a good choice to match the moment though.
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Adam Morton @adammorton.bsky.social · 5h
A story of our time: Approval of biggest coal project in NSW planning commission’s history described as ‘infamous betrayal’. Independent Planning Commission says climate change impacts from Hunter Valley project will be ‘outweighed’ by economic benefits.
theguardian.com
Approval of biggest coal project in NSW planning commission’s history described as ‘infamous betrayal’
Independent Planning Commission says climate change impacts from Hunter Valley project will be ‘outweighed’ by economic benefits
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Antoinette Lattouf @antoinettelattouf.bsky.social · 10h
www.ettemedia.com/war-of-words... READ: An exclusive data analysis of 42 interviews conducted on ABC’s 7.30 on conflict zones — and what they tell us about the broadcaster's bias. (No paywall)
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 3h
Today, but not today.
A series of folks in blue holding a "walk for solar" banner.
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Michael Mazengarb @michaelmazengarb.bsky.social · 6h
Summary of the IPC's consideration of the cost of HVO's Scope 3 emissions: 'Yeah, they might cause hundreds of millions in damage to NSW, but we're just not sure on the exact figure, so we're going to ignore it.'
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Dr. Sean Buckley @congensean.bsky.social · 20h
Out now – my (very first!) Masters student’s (very first!) paper on #popgen of an endangered marsupial, the western ringtail possum (ngwayir in Noongar language). Using genomics of >400 possums, we found sig. spatial variation in genetic diversity, connectivity, and genomic vulnerability. (1/9)
A ngwayir sitting in an urban tree outside a motel in the town of Albany, on the south coast of Western Australia. The possum is sitting in side profile, showcasing its small round ears, largely black body (with white underside) and long prehensile tail draping from the branch. Taken by me in June 2026 on holiday, at around 8pm.
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Australian Conservation Foundation @ausconservation.bsky.social · 10h
The World Nuclear Industry status report was released overnight in Turkiye. The report again shows the nuclear power industry is running to stand still. In 2025, seven nuclear reactors closed and just four opened. (1/8) #auspol ☢️
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 12h
This is a really great piece. I commend this as your morning read. 🙂
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Comms Declare @commsdeclare.bsky.social · 13h
Amazing insights here into how big oil is pushing into Australian schools. www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09...
abc.net.au
Inside the fossil fuel industry's push into Australian classrooms
At least 260 educational programs in Australia are sponsored by fossil fuel companies, according to a report by a climate advocacy group.
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Tom Quinn @tomquinn.bsky.social · 13h
[The Future Fund] bought another 8,000 shares in the Israeli company Elbit Systems, with the value of its holdings in the defence technology and electronics company jumping by another 128 per cent (from $8.6m to $19.7m). Two years ago, the Future Fund only held $1.3m worth of Elbit Systems shares.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 22h
No-one wins a million bucks! The author of this surprisingly rational take on offsets and the government's ACCU bill is new One Nation MP David Farley. Lots of folks have theorised AI, but I'm not sold on that theory. Of course it might be, but the structure of the argument feels too human to me.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 22h
No-one wins a million bucks! The author of this surprisingly rational take on offsets and the government's ACCU bill is new One Nation MP David Farley. Lots of folks have theorised AI, but I'm not sold on that theory. Of course it might be, but the structure of the argument feels too human to me.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 29/09/2026
$1 million says you will never guess who wrote this without googling. @grogsgamut.bsky.social @ketanjoshi.co @louisemorris.bsky.social
Carbon credits, by their very nature, are priced on a story about what would have happened, and that is a soft number. Soft numbers don't fail quietly. When a court or a regulator, or another peer-reviewed study, puts hard figures on how much of this scheme was never real, we will not get a gentle correction. We'll get a stampede. The buyers will flee, the prices will crater and every company, every facility and every government contract that leaned on these credits to claim compliance will be exposed all at once.
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marque lawyers @marquelawyers.com.au · 29/09/2026
The Oz piles straight in before Mehreen has even declared, just to remind her what it'll do to her if she dares.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 29/09/2026
I think I'll put the answer online about 9pm. No-one has it yet.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 29/09/2026
Good girls get carrots.
Same photo as the quoted one, but in this one the dog is graciously receiving a carrot.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 29/09/2026
No notes.
Photo of feet on an Ottoman on a balcony, with a husky lying on her bed in shot. A hill and a patchy evening sky are in the distance.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 29/09/2026
$1 million says you will never guess who wrote this without googling. @grogsgamut.bsky.social @ketanjoshi.co @louisemorris.bsky.social
Carbon credits, by their very nature, are priced on a story about what would have happened, and that is a soft number. Soft numbers don't fail quietly. When a court or a regulator, or another peer-reviewed study, puts hard figures on how much of this scheme was never real, we will not get a gentle correction. We'll get a stampede. The buyers will flee, the prices will crater and every company, every facility and every government contract that leaned on these credits to claim compliance will be exposed all at once.
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Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 28/09/2026
New tool directly links carbon emissions to amount of environmental and economic damage caused
theguardian.com
New tool directly links carbon emissions to amount of environmental and economic damage caused
Carbon Impacts Tracer can be used to estimate climate impact from emissions across eight different factors, including lost food production The biggest coal project before authorities in New South Wales, the HVO mine, will emit the equivalent of about 809m tonnes of climate-warming carbon dioxide if it wins approval. That number, for most people, will carry little meaning, as might the calculation that adding that amount of greenhouse gas to the atmosphere will cause an extra 0.00036C of global heating. But what if the public was instead told that that amount of carbon dioxide would expose almost half a million people to unprecedented heat, or kill nearly 15 million coral colonies on the Great Barrier Reef every time it bleaches? All those statistics come from a new tool that translates the emissions from burning fossil fuels into estimated real-world climate effects taken from peer-reviewed climate studies. “Small numbers in global warming can mean catastrophic impacts,” says prof Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at the Australian National University who is part of a team launching the Carbon Impacts Tracer. Continue reading...
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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
So BoM, are you saying there have been no climate events worthy of a Special Climate Statement in Australia in 2.5 years? Not even the heatwave in January 2026 that saw 49C reached somewhere in Australia for 6 days in a row, and the worlds most southern 50C on record? www.bom.gov.au/climate/curr...
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 28/09/2026
If a "climate tech" company is pivoting to servicing the needs of a generative AI industry that specifically hungers for fossil fuels, how on Earth is that still "climate tech"? That is petrotech - and we should call it that, when it is that. techcrunch.com/2026/09/28/t...
The pivot has helped many climate tech startups land fresh funding from investors. Total venture deal value has risen for four consecutive quarters, cresting the $14 billion-mark in the first quarter of this year, according to the most recent available data from PitchBook. It’s the best fundraising environment for climate tech in the last few years, with most of the deal value driven by sectors boosted by data center construction, including the built environment, grid infrastructure, and dispatchable energy that can be turned on or off when it’s needed.

Ultimately, the undercurrent at New York Climate Week was that the data center party won’t last forever, but it might last long enough to help startups build durable businesses. Once that happens, they can refocus on the carbon-cutting mission they were founded to pursue.
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Australian Conservation Foundation @ausconservation.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Be very kind to them. Don't use insecticides. Turn off unnecessary outdoor lights. Pop any moth that comes inside back outside so it can continue its migration. au.news.yahoo.com/aussies-warn...
au.news.yahoo.com
Aussies warned not to make common mistake as thousands of moths swarm
A phenomenon not seen in around 20 years has returned to Sydney.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 28/09/2026
Today I learned that in the middle ages, some folks - including possibly the Pope himself! - thought geese grew from barnacles. I guess it makes a kind of sense for people who don't know about migratory patterns of birds, but also: what.
en.wikipedia.org
Barnacle goose myth - Wikipedia
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Kon Karapanagiotidis @kkarapanagiotidis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The Victorian Police are investigating after our 2 ASRC Catering Social Enterprise Vans were stolen. To those who have reached out asking how they can help. There’s two ways: Chip in to help cover what insurance won’t: donate.asrc.org.au Call 000 if you spot either of our ASRC Catering white vans
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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 27/09/2026
Honestly impressed at the level of patience this kid has dealing with these terrible parents.
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Peter Anderson @zerogeewhiz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Incredible. The billionth example of AI doing what it's supposed to do because what it's supposed to do is incredibly poorly-defined and does not worry about basic identity concepts like consent and data security.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 26/09/2026
Energy nerd Christmas was yesterday, with the release of the Australia's official energy data for 2024–25. I think the share of Australia's gas being sent offshore hit a new all-time record high for the year, which is neat unless you are running an Aussie business or home that uses energy.
Australian gas production and use in the 2024–25 financial year
As with every other year in the past decade, Australia produced far more gas than it used in 2024-25.

76.5% of all the gas produced in Australia shipped overseas via one of Australia's 10 liquefied gas terminals. Another 8.3% of all the gas produced in Australia was burned by those gas export terminals and their supporting infrastructure to produce, process and compress that gas for export.

Well under one-fifth of the gas produced in Australia went to Australian users of the fuel. Gas exporters burn more of their own product preparing gas for export than any sector of Australia's domestic economy.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 27/09/2026
Happy ten year anniversary of the 2016 blackout in South Australia. I was told that as clean power grew in Aus, we'd see a blackout apocalypse. The chart below shows blackouts for generation shortfall as columns, and renewable proportion as a percent of the eastern grid. Enjoy :)
a chart showing blackout data for Australia
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 27/09/2026
Last night I learned about the Burkle Crater - and theorised mega-tsunami - from a comet impact in the Indian Ocean 5000 years ago. The evidence is all circumstantial. Some of the evidence is certainly bullshit. There's a heck of a lot of it though and it's hard to argue with all of it!
youtu.be
The Burckle Crater Mega Tsunami & Global Flood (THE FULL DOCUMENTARY)
YouTube video by OzGeology
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 26/09/2026
Energy nerd Christmas was yesterday, with the release of the Australia's official energy data for 2024–25. I think the share of Australia's gas being sent offshore hit a new all-time record high for the year, which is neat unless you are running an Aussie business or home that uses energy.
Australian gas production and use in the 2024–25 financial year
As with every other year in the past decade, Australia produced far more gas than it used in 2024-25.

76.5% of all the gas produced in Australia shipped overseas via one of Australia's 10 liquefied gas terminals. Another 8.3% of all the gas produced in Australia was burned by those gas export terminals and their supporting infrastructure to produce, process and compress that gas for export.

Well under one-fifth of the gas produced in Australia went to Australian users of the fuel. Gas exporters burn more of their own product preparing gas for export than any sector of Australia's domestic economy.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 26/09/2026
Given how close the game was, perhaps Freo would have won the grand final if all the players weren't weighed down by that big heavy Woodside logo on their chest.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 26/09/2026
At the end of the day, the bookies were the real winner.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 25/09/2026
What do you think piping the most expensive fossil fuel - extracted by the most expensive means - then sending it through an enormous, absurdly expensive pipeline is going to do to your energy bill? The folks spruiking this shit pretend to be serious, but come the fuck on. Bloody rent-seekers. 🙄
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 23/09/2026
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.
theguardian.com
Huge El Niño projected to cause more than 450,000 deaths by February
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
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Bob Wong @bbmwong.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Media coverage of PhD student Shannon Kaiser’s paper investigating impacts of coal mine wastewater on amphibians. Link to the paper: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... www.abc.net.au/news/science...
abc.net.au
Scientists probe connection between deadly frog disease and coal wastewater
A study on the impact of chytrid fungus disease in Royal National Park frogs raises questions about regulation of coalmine wastewater.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 25/09/2026
What do you think piping the most expensive fossil fuel - extracted by the most expensive means - then sending it through an enormous, absurdly expensive pipeline is going to do to your energy bill? The folks spruiking this shit pretend to be serious, but come the fuck on. Bloody rent-seekers. 🙄
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climatecouncil.org.au @climatecouncil.org.au · 24/09/2026
As climate pollution drives worsening floods, bushfires and heatwaves, it’s time for major sporting codes, arts bodies and event organisers to stop giving a free kick to fossil fuel sponsorships. #getoffmychest
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Tasmanian Climate Collective @tasclimateco.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The devastating floods in Nepal highlighted a powerful idea: Sometimes the difference between life and death isn't hours of preparation but just seconds of warning and then knowing what to do. In this series of posts, we outline the steps to not just planning for an emergency, but knowing (1/6)
Image from a Tasmanian Climate Collective Facebook post
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Fergus Green @fergusgreen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
My new open access article with @michelezadra.bsky.social in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social critically reflects on the potential for citizens' climate assemblies to provide an escape route from the apparent “democracy–decarbonization dilemma". doi.org/10.1017/S153...
doi.org
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Australian Conservation Foundation @ausconservation.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Such a familiar story. www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09...
abc.net.au
Coal mine owners walk away and leave rehabilitation to state
Liquidators surrender the leases of a central Queensland coal mine, with questions around who will manage and pay for the rehabilitation of the site.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 24/09/2026
Seventeen years ago today I dressed in a suit and a giant Kevin Rudd mask to dance in an AYCC video. But I couldn't see so I had to get gently guided back into the shot part way through. youtu.be/Sk3ZjUP7AWU?...
youtu.be
Kevin Rudd joins Youth Decide volunteers for Hot in Here dance.
YouTube video by Australian Youth Climate Coalition
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 24/09/2026
Science is really cool! We should do more science. Perhaps science can find something better to do than putting pig jizz in children's eyes though.
fox9.com
Pig semen eye drops may treat rare childhood eye cancer, study says
Researchers have created experimental eye drops that use a molecule derived from pig semen that could treat a rare form of eye cancer, according to a recent study.
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Adam Morton @adammorton.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Clear Air column today. These used to be published on a cycle. More recently happening when they happen. Which includes today. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
The Coalition says it wants cheaper power, not ideology. But its evidence-free plan is all ideology | Adam Morton
The reheated plans to scrap renewable schemes, boost fossil fuels and revive nuclear are transparently Trumpian
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 24/09/2026
Science is really cool! We should do more science. Perhaps science can find something better to do than putting pig jizz in children's eyes though.
fox9.com
Pig semen eye drops may treat rare childhood eye cancer, study says
Researchers have created experimental eye drops that use a molecule derived from pig semen that could treat a rare form of eye cancer, according to a recent study.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 24/09/2026
I'm back on campus at Unimelb for the first time in several years today. It's fascinating to me how it has simultaneously changed so much and barely at all in the seven years since I worked here.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 23/09/2026
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.
theguardian.com
Huge El Niño projected to cause more than 450,000 deaths by February
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
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Tom Swann @tomswann.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Remember when Labor won an unexpected and not entirely deserved landslide because the other side was flirting with certain tendencies just as the country revulsed against them?
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 23/09/2026
If you are looking for a really charming and challenging game, I commend Rubinite on Steam to you. It's an indie 2D souls-like where every fight is a boss battle. There are only about ten battles across the whole game, but some of them took me two hours or so to beat. Lots of fun. Expect to swear.
youtu.be
Rubinite Review - A Standout Indie Boss Rush RPG You Should Know About
YouTube video by Noisy Pixel
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 23/09/2026
Very sensible and serious members of the Australian political commentariat like to claim that climate change has lost its political salience. Meanwhile, the lunatic right barely find the time to discuss anything else.
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